FANTASY FOOTBALL: QUALITY GAME REVIEW – WEEK 2

Bob Lung, Staff Writer September 19, 2012

Consistency. Any educated fantasy owner knows that you need your Fantasy Football players to be not only good, but also consistently good! It’s a proven fact that the more consistent your Fantasy players are throughout the season, the better chance that you’ll have to win. More wins equals playoffs and playoffs can turn into championships! That’s why I’ll be here each week to help you identify the most consistent Fantasy football players in your quest towards a Fantasy championship.

A quick recap for those unfamiliar with the Quality Game Scores System.  The Head-to-Head (H2H) format in Fantasy Football leads to the need for consistency. Many teams have been near the top of their league in scoring, but miss the playoffs by one or two games. Many will call it “bad luck” and that’s partially true. Injuries to key players, bad weather, etc. are situations that affect our Fantasy teams, but are uncontrollable. However, there is one aspect of Fantasy football that you can control. The consistency of your team!

A Quality Game is awarded to a player each week when they exceed the average points scored in your league for that position. The more Quality Games a player is awarded each year, the more consistent that player is and the more beneficial they are to your Fantasy team.

The scoring method used will be 1 point per 20 yards passing and 4 points for passing touchdowns; 1 point per 10 yards rushing and receiving; 1 point per reception; and 6 points for any rushing/receiving touchdown.

So, let’s begin the review…

 

Quarterbacks – (Quality Game Factor – 18.27)

Quality Game Earners – Week 2

Rank Player
Team
Score
1 Eli Manning
NYG
34.30
2 Robert GriffinIII
WAS
33.50
3 Michael Vick
PHI
29.95
4 Cam Newton
CAR
29.75
5 Sam Bradford
STL
27.50
6 Andy Dalton
CIN
27.30
7 Philip Rivers
SD
26.10
8 Brandon Weeden
CLE
24.70
9 Matt Cassel
KC
24.55
10 Drew Brees
NO
24.25
11 Carson Palmer
OAK
22.35
12 Ben Roethlisberger
PIT
21.75
13 Ryan Tannehill
MIA
21.40
14 Andrew Luck
IND
21.30
15 Christian Ponder
MIN
20.95
16 Matt Ryan
ATL
20.85
17 Ryan Fitzpatrick
BUF
20.30
18 Alex Smith
SF
20.00
19 Kevin Kolb
ARI
19.00
20 Tom Brady
NE
18.70

 

THE EXPECTED

Eli Manning had a huge day and led the Giants and most of his Fantasy teams to a victory this week. Michael Vick (just like his team) continues to struggle and yet pull out a victory/Quality Game each week so far. Cam Newton came back strong this week after missing out on a Quality Game last week. Tom Brady sneaked onto the good list and has two straight Quality Games but is ranked 15th in total points for quarterbacks. Concerned? Yeah, a little. It is certainly worth keeping an eye.

THE UNEXPECTED

Robert Griffin III earned the second spot for the second straight week and leads quarterbacks in total Fantasy points. The next Cam Newton? Possibly, but remember Newton started off red hot and fizzled later in the season. Sam Bradford earned the fifth spot this week and had an absolute “love affair” with Danny Amendola on the field. Brandon Weeden earned his first Quality Game as a rookie. So now, Russell Wilson remains the only rookie quarterback who has not earned a Quality Game yet. Come on, give him a break, Blaine Gabbert only earned ONE all last season.

Here is a group of those “bad” surprises, quarterbacks who didn’t earn a Quality Game this week. Yep, that’s Aaron Rodgers on the bad list and ranked 27ththis week. This is his first non-Quality Game (in a game that he started) since Week 17 in 2010 and he played in the same game scenario (Chicago at home).

Rank Player
Team
Score
22 Matthew Stafford
DET
15.50
23 Tony Romo
DAL
15.45
24 Joe Flacco
BAL
14.60
27 Aaron Rodgers
GB
13.35
28 Peyton Manning
DEN
12.95
30 Matt Schaub
HOU
9.45
31 Jay Cutler
CHI
7.50

Running Backs – (Quality Game Factor – 10.35)

Quality Game Earners – Week 2

Rank Player
Team
Score
1 Reggie Bush
MIA
34.70
2 C.J. Spiller
BUF
32.00
3 Trent Richardson
CLE
30.50
4 Arian Foster
HOU
26.70
5 Willis McGahee
DEN
26.40
6 Darren Sproles
NO
25.80
7 Ben Tate
HOU
25.70
8 Ray Rice
BAL
21.20
9 Jackie Battle
SD
18.90
10 Frank Gore
SF
18.50
11 Pierre Thomas
NO
18.30
12 Marshawn Lynch
SEA
18.20
13 Andre Brown
NYG
17.00
14 LeSean McCoy
PHI
16.90
15 Mike Goodson
OAK
16.70
16 Maurice Jones-Drew
JAX
15.70
17 Cedric Benson
GB
15.60
18 Jonathan Stewart
CAR
13.80
19 BenJarvus Green-Ellis
CIN
13.50
20 Chris Ogbonnaya
CLE
13.30
21 DeAngelo Williams
CAR
12.90
22 Doug Martin
TB
12.60
23 Stevan Ridley
NE
12.50
24 Lamar Miller
MIA
12.50
25 Daryl Richardson
STL
12.20
26 Matt Forte
CHI
12.00
27 DeMarco Murray
DAL
11.50
28 Mark Ingram
NO
11.30
29 Michael Turner
ATL
11.20
30 Peyton Hillis
KC
11.10
31 Adrian Peterson
MIN
11.00
32 Isaac Redman
PIT
10.90
33 Curtis Brinkley
SD
10.60
34 Mike Tolbert
CAR
10.60

 

THE EXPECTED

Darren Sproles is quietly again this season earning Quality Games week after week. He’s ranked fifth in total points and is a perfect two for two. The running back right behind him in total points is Frank Gore. As always, everyone leaves Gore for “dead” and yet there he is, producing with consistency again this year. Another back who received no love this preseason due to off-field issues and injuries is Marshawn Lynch and yet, he has a 100 percent Quality Success Rate (QSR) through the first two weeks as well.

THE UNEXPECTED

C.J. Spiller is the leader after two weeks in total Fantasy points while Reggie Bush led the running backs in Week 2 and is second in total points. Unexpected? Absolutely! Trent Richardson earned his first Quality Game and looked like a beast in his touchdown run. Ben Tate may be worth a pickup in leagues even if you don’t have Arian Foster on your team. Tate earned 25.70 points and ranked seventh for the week. He and Foster earned a combined 52.40 Fantasy points in one game!

Below is a list of some of the top running back picks in most fantasy drafts this past month that did not earn a Quality Game this week. Two straight weeks without a Quality Game from Jamaal Charles and the future isn’t looking brighter. And I’m sure the name, Chris Johnson, sends every Fantasy owner to the ledge at this moment.

Rank Player
Team
Score
36 Kevin Smith
DET
9.00
37 Alfred Morris
WAS
8.90
44 Darren McFadden
OAK
6.10
46 Steven Jackson
STL
5.80
47 Michael Bush
CHI
5.40
50 Jamaal Charles
KC
5.20
52 Chris Johnson
TEN
4.80
73 Ahmad Bradshaw
NYG
1.60

Wide Receiver – (Quality Game Factor – 10.85)

Quality Game Earners – Week 2

Rank Player
Team
Score
1 Danny Amendola
STL
37.00
2 Hakeem Nicks
NYG
35.90
3 Victor Cruz
NYG
34.90
4 Dwayne Bowe
KC
30.20
5 Roddy White
ATL
24.20
6 Vincent Jackson
TB
23.80
7 Percy Harvin
MIN
23.70
8 Demaryius Thomas
DEN
21.80
9 Donnie Avery
IND
20.80
10 Brian Hartline
MIA
20.10
11 Reggie Wayne
IND
19.10
12 A.J. Green
CIN
18.80
13 DeSean Jackson
PHI
18.40
14 Mike Wallace
PIT
18.40
15 Brandon LaFell
CAR
17.50
16 Calvin Johnson
DET
17.40
17 Miles Austin
DAL
17.30
18 Malcom Floyd
SD
16.90
19 Greg Little
CLE
16.70
20 Brandon Tate
CIN
16.10
21 Antonio Brown
PIT
15.80
22 Mike Williams
TB
14.90
23 Leonard Hankerson
WAS
14.80
24 Wes Welker
NE
14.50
25 Jordy Nelson
GB
14.40
26 Mohamed Massaquoi
CLE
14.00
27 Brandon Lloyd
NE
14.00
28 Andrew Hawkins
CIN
13.60
29 Steve Johnson
BUF
13.60
30 Steve Smith
CAR
13.40
31 Brandon Gibson
STL
13.30
32 Michael Crabtree
SF
12.70
33 Santonio Holmes
NYJ
11.80
34 Armon Binns
CIN
11.60

 

THE EXPECTED

The number of Quality Game earners at wide receiver dropped back to normal range with 34, after last week’s 48. If the Texans’ running back duo wasn’t good enough with 52.70 combined Fantasy points, how about the Giants’ receivers, Victor Cruz and Hakeem Nicks combining for 70.80 points? Roddy White stayed consistent this week while Julio Jones did not. Demaryius Thomas was supposed to be the occasional big-play inconsistent receiver and Eric Decker would be Mr. Consistency with Peyton Manning. So far, it’s been Thomas who has been consistent while Decker is zero for two in Quality Games.

THE UNEXPECTED

Let me be the first to highlight that DeSean Jackson is a perfect two for two in Quality Games so far this season. He’s still only ranked 24th, but his consistency is worth noting. Is he turning the corner? We’ll keep an eye on it. Danny Amendola? Did I draft him in a number of leagues as solid backup PPR receiver? Yep, but this is ridiculous! He set a record for 12 first-half catches and finished with 15! Now, he did earn a Quality Game in Week 1, so he’s certainly not a flash-in-the-pan. In 2010, he earned 10 Quality Games in a PPR format. If he’s available on the waiver wire, grab him! A couple of additional receivers who have 100 percent QSR’s that may be available on the waiver wire: Malcom Floyd, Donnie Avery, Brandon LaFell, Andrew Hawkins and Brandon Gibson.

Here is the list of top wide receivers that didn’t earn a Quality Game this week. That’s now two straight weeks with Larry Fitzgeraldon the bad list. That’s not good, folks. I warned everyone of his inconsistency with the poor quarterbacks in Arizona and it looks worse than I expected.

Rank Player
Team
Score
40 Eric Decker
DEN
9.30
42 Jeremy Maclin
PHI
9.30
48 Darrius Heyward-Bey
OAK
8.10
49 Marques Colston
NO
7.90
55 Torrey Smith
BAL
7.10
65 Julio Jones
ATL
5.50
68 Andre Johnson
HOU
5.10
69 Lance Moore
NO
5.00
70 Dez Bryant
DAL
4.70
71 Brandon Marshall
CHI
4.40
73 Kevin Ogletree
DAL
4.10
105 Larry Fitzgerald
ARI
1.40

Tight Ends – (Quality Game Factor – 9.40)

Quality Game Earners – Week 2

Rank Player
Team
Score
1 Dante Rosario
SD
26.80
2 Vernon Davis
SF
24.30
3 Brent Celek
PHI
23.70
4 Jimmy Graham
NO
20.10
5 Tony Gonzalez
ATL
20.00
6 Rob Gronkowski
NE
19.50
7 Martellus Bennett
NYG
18.20
8 Anthony McCoy
SEA
15.10
9 Brandon Myers
OAK
14.60
10 Dennis Pitta
BAL
14.50
11 Scott Chandler
BUF
13.30
12 Kyle Rudolph
MIN
12.50
13 Todd Heap
ARI
11.20
14 Heath Miller
PIT
10.90
15 Brandon Pettigrew
DET
10.80
16 Owen Daniels
HOU
10.70
17 Anthony Fasano
MIA
9.90
18 Jason Witten
DAL
9.80
19 Tom Crabtree
GB
9.70

 

THE EXPECTED

After last week’s extremely high number of Quality Games earned with 22, this week it only drops to 19! Wow! An injury to Aaron Hernandez paves the way for possible big numbers from Rob Gronkowski OR defenses will double team him and see what Brady can do with Welker and Lloyd. Only time will tell. Last year’s studs, Jimmy Graham and Gronkowski are ranked first and third after two weeks. Vernon Davis is wedged between them and looks like he may be shaking that inconsistency rap sheet off his back. Just in case, you’re wondering, Tony Gonzalez is still consistent and is ranked fourth overall with a perfect 100 percent QSR.

THE UNEXPECTED

So, tight ends have earned 22 and 19 Quality Games respectively over the first two weeks, however, there are only 13 tight ends with perfect 100 QSR’s. Some surprises include Dennis Pitta, Martellus Bennett, Scott Chandler, Brandon Myers and Kyle Rudolph. These guys may come in handy when the bye weeks begin. Oh yeah, the No. 1 tight end this week, Dante Rosario from San Diego. He replaced Antonio Gates and caught three touchdowns! Really? Why didn’t Rivers throw to Gates in the first game that much? Signed, Gates owner.

Here are the top tight ends that didn’t earn a Quality Game this week. Preseason sleeper favorite, Fred Davisis zero for two in Quality Games. I would find an alternative for your starting tight end real quick if you haven’t already.

Rank Player
Team
Score
22 Jermaine Gresham
CIN
7.70
23 Dallas Clark
TB
7.30
25 Jermichael Finley
GB
6.60
29 Jared Cook
TEN
5.30
40 Fred Davis
WAS
3.50
43 Jacob Tamme
DEN
3.30

 

There’s your Week Two list of Quality Games earned. Start watching these Quality rankings to find your next gem on the waiver wire and then let me know how they work out in your drive towards the championship!

Week Three – Quality Matchups

My Quality Game research has also shown that most Quality Games are earned during a Quality Matchup. This is a game where the player is either playing at home OR away versus a bottom ten defense. If you want more analysis to help with setting your lineup each week, check out the Xclusive Edge Package and you will see the Historical Consistency rankings each week.

So, let’s take a look at the schedule.

 

This week’s home teams are:

Carolina, Dallas, Indianapolis, Cleveland, Miami, New Orleans, Washington, Chicago, Minnesota, Tennessee, San Diego, Arizona, Oakland, Denver, Baltimore and Seattle

 

Teams that are playing away versus a bottom ten defense include:

Pittsburgh@Oakland

Kansas City@New Orleans

Buffalo@Cleveland

New YorkGiants @Carolina

 

As I mentioned above, the fantasy players on these teams in these Quality Matchups have a much higher rate of performing above average in comparison to the other players at that position.

If you have any questions about the Quality Game Scores, you can email me at blung@rotoexperts.com. You can also follow me on Twitter.

Listen to me live on Sirius channel 210 and XM channel 87 every Friday mornings at 9:30 am.

The Fantasy Sports Network has a new lineup of programming for the 2014 Fantasy Football season! More info is available right here

 

 

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