Stephen Strasburg (SP, WAS) – Well, we finally got our answer to “Will he or won’t he?” The Nationals did, in fact, shut down Strasburg for the postseason (last start Sept 7) with a comfortable lead in the NL East and a playoff berth within sight. So what do we make of Strasburg’s first “full” season? How about the scary thought that it can and will get better. Strasburg actually posted a high BABIP of .311 before being shut down and projects to carry one in the .260-.270 range. That is the reason behind his 2.82 xFIP, which likely isn’t even low enough. Take a minute and think about Strasburg’s numbers with no concern of pitch count, effort, inning limits, etc., plus an adjustment to his pitching level. With an 11.1 K/9, Strasburg could easily be looking at a 20-Win, sub-3.00 ERA, 240-plus K season, which puts him in line with Justin Verlander and firmly in the Top 10 overall.
PREMIUM: INSPECTOR BABIPSeptember 24, 2012
With championship week here, we throw out some pitching names worth your notice as the season winds down and we look to 2013. What does Batting Average on Balls in Play (BABIP) have to say about Stephen Strasburg, Jered Weaver, the disappointing Heath Bell and even some last-second championship help? Read on and best of luck as the baseball season winds down!