Strokes gained: approach
Greens In Regulation %
Good Drive %
Matt Kuchar ($10,800 on DraftKings) – For a brief moment it appeared Kuchar was poised to break through for his first ever major at Augusta. Unfortunately, his spotlight faded by the back 9 on Friday. Kuchar’s window may be shutting in terms of getting a major, but the window to win another Tartan jacket is still wide open for him. He dominates at Pete Dye courses in general, especially at Harbourtown. Kuchar’s last PGA tour win was at the RBC in 2014, and he’s contended every year since finishing 5th, T-9, and T-11.
Emiliano Grillo ($8,600) – Emiliano Grillo is beginning to deliver on the potential that he’s shown throughout his young career. He’s made every cut this season to go along with four Top 10 finishes. Grillo is in fine form at the moment after finishing third at the Houston Open. He was just a few shots shy of clinching the final ticket to the Masters. Grillo has never played at this site, but he does everything that you need to do on this course well. He ranks 19th on Tour in Greens in Regulation, and 13th in good drive %. He’s also an above average scrambler and ranks in the top third of the field in strokes gained: approach.
Adam Hadwin ($8,100) – Hadwin had the same story as Kuchar in terms of getting the bulk of his shine on Thursday last week. He shot 69 to start his second career appearance at Augusta, but faded throughout the rest of the week, finishing at one-under good for a T-24. Hadwin has been extremely consistent this year, and now that he’s back in a regular field, his chances of success go up exponentially. Despite being priced at $8,100 Hadwin has the ninth best odds of winning this week at 2.37%. Hadwin’s been having his best ball striking season, ranking in the Top 15 in the field in both strokes gained: approach and greens in regulation. His putter began the year cold, but that will continue to improve as he’s normally an elite putter.
Zach Johnson ($7,900) – If Zach Johnson keeps being listed in the 7K range, I’m going to keep endorsing him. With the exception of stacked field events such as last week, Johnson is constantly one of the best values every week. This week he’s ranked as the ninth best value on DailyRoto’s value optimization tool. Johnson’s recent course history isn’t great, but Harbourtown is a great fit for where his game is at right now. His lack of distance won’t be much of a disadvantage, he scrambles well, and he’s been striping his irons this season. Johnson has been dominant in strokes gained: approach ranking 11th on Tour this season. He’ll continue to rack up Top 25s while staying below the 8K range.
Luke Donald ($7,700) – This may be the only event worth taking Luke Donald in, but as long as he’s teeing it up at Harbour Town I’ll have Luke Donald in my lineup. Over the last nine seasons Donald has finished in the Top 3 at the RBC Heritage seven times! That includes finishing runner-up in 2016 and 2017. Somehow Donald has never converted any of those Top 3 finishes into a win. I think that benefits Donald and his owners, as he’ll still focus desperately on trying to get that Tartan jacket that has just barely eluded him so many times.
Lucas Glover ($6,800) – Lucas Glover is a good bit underpriced this week, and DailyRoto’s value tool notices this as well, ranking him as the seventh best value this week. He may have heavy ownership, but he’s a must-play if you need to make space for the more expensive players. Glover has missed only one cut this season, and his recent history is solid with T-33, T-32, T-18 in his last three RBC Heritage tries.
Zach Johnson Featured Image: (AP Photo/Chris Carlson)
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