DOUG MARTIN: MY FAVORITE MARTIN! - RotoExperts

DOUG MARTIN: MY FAVORITE MARTIN!

Bob Lung, Staff Writer November 7, 2012

At the end of Week 4 and heading into his bye week, Doug Martin was basically a forgotten Fantasy player. He was ranked somewhere around 24th place in total points and was only at a 50 percent Quality Success Rate (QSR). Since his return from the bye week, he’s earned four straight Quality Games, was the top scorer in the last two weeks and last weekend almost set the record for most Fantasy points in one game since the year 2000. Can this hot streak continue? Absolutely! Top scorer every week? Probably not. But for now, he’s the new “My Favorite Martin”.

Each week this season, the Quality Games Review will be here to assist you. It should help you see who is performing above average to help your team win, along with those who may be hurting your chances. As the year goes on, consistency trends will start to show the players that are becoming consistent performers and who are one-week wonders.

The Quality Game Score is the awarding of a Quality Game to a player each week when they exceed the average points scored in your league for that position. The more Quality Games a player is awarded each year, the more consistent that player is and the more beneficial they are to your Fantasy team. The scoring method used will be a standard PPR format with four points for passing touchdowns and six for all others.

So, let’s begin the review…

Quarterbacks – (Quality Game Factor – 18.27)

Quality Game Earners – Week 9

RankPlayerTeamScore
1Carson PalmerOAK34.00
2Andrew LuckIND30.15
3Aaron RodgersGB29.20
4Jay CutlerCHI24.65
5Peyton ManningDEN24.35
6Cam NewtonCAR23.75
7Russell WilsonSEA23.35
8Josh FreemanTB22.55
9Michael VickPHI21.90
10Matt SchaubHOU21.30
11Tony RomoDAL20.05
12Drew BreesNO19.85
13Andy DaltonCIN19.55
14Ryan TannehillMIA18.40
15John SkeltonARI18.30

THE EXPECTED

Carson Palmer is quietly putting up a pretty consistent season. I promoted him as one of my top backup quarterbacks to draft this year with the potential of being a QB1. He’s lived up to that with his overall ranking of ninth place in total points and is tied for fourth in consistency with a 75 percent QSR. Peyton Manning has greatly exceeded my expectations this year. He’s now tied for second place in consistency with Drew Brees at an 88 percent QSR. He’s earned six straight Quality Games. Cam Newton got back on the good list this week but is still struggling with his consistency this year, with a marginal 50 percent QSR.

THE UNEXPECTED

Andrew Luck is red-hot and is now ahead of Robert Griffin III in consistency with a 75 percent QSR versus RGIII’s 67 percent QSR. Luck earned his sixth Quality Game out of his last seven games. Josh Freeman continued his current hot streak with his fourth straight Quality Game and fifth out of his last six games. Russell Wilson earned his third Quality Game out of his last four games and should be a nice bye replacement this week.

Here is a group of those bad surprises; quarterbacks who didn’t earn a Quality Game this week.  Matt Ryan had a great week in passing yards but zero touchdowns did him in.

RankPlayerTeamScore
16Matt RyanATL17.90
17Philip RiversSD17.80
18Ben RoethlisbergerPIT17.70
20Robert GriffinIIIWAS16.05
22Matthew StaffordDET14.05
27Eli ManningNYG5.25

Consistency Leaders – YTD – Quarterbacks

Player NameTotal PointsRankTotal QGTotal GPQSR
Tom Brady194.60488100%
Drew Brees212.3537888%
Peyton Manning194.6057888%
Matt Ryan194.3066875%
Andrew Luck182.0076875%
Matthew Stafford170.1586875%
Carson Palmer168.5596875%
Aaron Rodgers229.7516967%
Robert GriffinIII217.3526967%
Michael Vick168.05105863%
Ben Roethlisberger167.90115863%
Josh Freeman166.05135863%
Andy Dalton163.20145863%
Ryan Fitzpatrick143.00175863%
Eli Manning161.00155956%
Cam Newton166.80124850%
Tony Romo153.00164850%
Alex Smith137.85224850%
Jay Cutler134.50244850%

Tom Brady remains as the sole perfect quarterback since he had a bye week. Robert Griffin III is really struggling, as he’s only earned two Quality Games out of his last five. Eli Manning is also reeling with only one Quality Game out of his last four games.

On the inconsistent side, the biggest surprises are quarterbacks like Cam Newton (ranked 12th overall and 50 percent QSR) and Tony Romo (16th and 50 percent) and Philip Rivers (25th and 25 percent QSR). These Fantasy players are killing a ton of Fantasy teams.

 

Running Backs – (Quality Game Factor – 10.35)

Quality Game Earners – Week 9

RankPlayerTeamScore
1Doug MartinTB55.20
2Adrian PetersonMIN34.30
3Mikel LeshoureDET25.00
4Chris JohnsonTEN24.50
5Marcel ReeceOAK23.50
6Isaac RedmanPIT23.10
7Marshawn LynchSEA23.00
8Matt ForteCHI22.80
9Joique BellDET19.90
10Trent RichardsonCLE19.60
11Ray RiceBAL18.40
12Arian FosterHOU17.10
13Michael TurnerATL16.20
14Felix JonesDAL15.90
15LeSean McCoyPHI15.30
16C.J. SpillerBUF15.20
17Reggie BushMIA14.60
18LaRod Stephens-HowlingARI13.90
19BenJarvus Green-EllisCIN13.30
20Vick BallardIND12.80
21Evan RoysterWAS12.60
22Ronnie BrownSD12.30
23Christopher IvoryNO12.00
24Mike GoodsonOAK11.20
25Shaun DraughnKC10.70

THE EXPECTED

The high praise for Doug Martin just keeps coming after last week’s performance. In my local league, which has bonuses for levels of performance and touchdown yardage, Martin scored 73 points! I’m mentioned this last week but it bears repeating, as bad as the Eagles are, LeSean McCoy and his Fantasy production just keeps consistently rolling along. Adrian Peterson’s 74-yard run versusSeattleproved once again just how great he is. Please watch it if you haven’t seen. Speaking of long touchdown runs, Chris Johnson proved why you just can’t bench him. He struggled that entire game and then BOOM, he’s golden!

THE UNEXPECTED

Mile Leshoure exploded this past week. His consistency is at 67 percent for the six games that he’s played in and he’s earned three Quality Games out of his last four weeks. He’s becoming a must-starter now. Evan Royster earned a Quality Game forWashingtonthis past week while Alfred Morris did not. Keep an eye on this as the Shanahanigans could be ready to begin after the bye week. With Darren Sproles gone, please don’t buy into the Saints’ Russian roulette at running back, someone might get hurt and it could be you.

Below is a list of some of the top running backs in football that did not earn a Quality Game this week. Darren McFadden is hurt. Shocking, I know.

RankPlayerTeamScore
28Jamaal CharlesKC9.60
30Ryan MathewsSD9.20
34Fred JacksonBUF8.50
37Willis McGaheeDEN8.00
40Alfred MorrisWAS7.60
45Ahmad BradshawNYG4.80
49Darren McFaddenOAK3.70

Consistency Leaders – YTD – Running Backs

Player NameTotal PointsRankTotal QGTotal GPQSR
Adrian Peterson171.70299100%
Arian Foster162.70388100%
Ray Rice154.30488100%
LeSean McCoy135.10788100%
Marshawn Lynch136.1068989%
Matt Forte109.80166786%
Doug Martin171.9016875%
C.J. Spiller131.8086875%
Darren Sproles107.00185771%
Trent Richardson148.5056967%
Chris Johnson124.8096967%
Alfred Morris116.80126967%
Mikel Leshoure91.90224667%
Ryan Mathews81.60234667%
Maurice Jones-Drew76.00264667%
DeMarco Murray67.803255100%
Willis McGahee121.00105863%
Frank Gore116.50135863%
Reggie Bush113.50145863%
Stevan Ridley111.70155863%
Ahmad Bradshaw108.60175863%
Darren McFadden106.50195863%
Michael Turner100.00215863%
Shonn Greene101.00204850%
BenJarvus Green-Ellis80.00244850%
Isaac Redman66.80343650%
Jamaal Charles118.60113838%
Steven Jackson68.10313838%

There are still only five perfects. You have the Holy Trilogy (Arian Foster, Ray Rice and LeSean McCoy) and Adrian Peterson and DeMarco Murray. Of course,Murray’s injury is holding him at the perfect mark for now. Peterson is the only remaining nine game perfect.

Overall, I’m actually disappointed in the running backs consistency. Outside of the four perfects (who’ve played at least eight games), there are only five other running backs over 70 percent QSR. And one of those (Darren Sproles) is out for about four weeks.

 

Wide Receiver – (Quality Game Factor – 10.85)

Quality Game Earners – Week 9

RankPlayerTeamScore
1Brandon MarshallCHI39.20
2Eric DeckerDEN29.90
3A.J. GreenCIN23.50
4TY HiltonIND22.30
5Randall CobbGB21.60
6Golden TateSEA20.90
7Reggie WayneIND20.80
8Calvin JohnsonDET19.90
9Andre JohnsonHOU19.80
10Larry FitzgeraldARI19.40
11DeSean JacksonPHI19.00
12Roddy WhiteATL18.80
13Julio JonesATL18.70
14Brian HartlineMIA18.70
15Kevin OgletreeDAL18.60
16Mike WilliamsTB16.80
17Vincent JacksonTB16.40
18James JonesGB16.10
19Dwayne BoweKC15.90
20Donnie AveryIND15.80
21Mike WallacePIT15.60
22Rod StreaterOAK15.40
23Sidney RiceSEA15.40
24Malcom FloydSD14.80
25Miles AustinDAL14.60
26Torrey SmithBAL14.60
27Marques ColstonNO14.60
28Micheal SpurlockJAX14.50
29Justin BlackmonJAX14.20
30Demaryius ThomasDEN13.70
31Steve SmithCAR13.10
32Michael FloydARI13.00
33Davone BessMIA12.70
34Andre RobertsARI12.60
35Donald JonesBUF12.50
36Darrius Heyward-BeyOAK12.40
37Kenny BrittTEN11.70
38Victor CruzNYG11.70
39Jason AvantPHI11.60
40Josh MorganWAS11.50
41Nate WashingtonTEN11.50
42Ryan BroylesDET11.20

THE EXPECTED

Another Fantasy player that I was wrong about was Brandon Marshall. It’s not that I didn’t think he would earn a ton of Fantasy points. I just didn’t believe that he could be consistent with Jay Cutler throwing him the ball. I was wrong.Marshall’s outburst this past week vaulted him to the top spot in the overall year-to-date points as well and he’s at an 88 percent QSR and is tied for second with five other receivers. A.J. Green’s owners were happy to see him return from his bye week and jump right back on the consistency train. Calvin Johnson finally earned his first Quality Game in three weeks. Madden Curse? It still lives!

THE UNEXPECTED

Randall Cobb and James Jones have now both earned six straight Quality Games. Looking for some consistent waiver wire potentials? These receivers have recently earned multiple Quality Games and could be waiting for you to pick them up: Ryan Broyles, Nate Washington and Andre Roberts. The potential waiver wire receivers with back-to-back Quality Games are Golden Tate, Donald Jones and Sidney Rice.

Here is the list of top wide receivers that didn’t earn a Quality Game this week. This list is almost as big and significant as the quarterbacks list this week. Dez Bryant and Hakeem Nicks both look like they should not be playing. They can’t be helping their teams, both on the field or in Fantasy.

RankPlayerTeamScore
44Denarius MooreOAK10.60
57Steve JohnsonBUF5.90
60Percy HarvinMIN5.40
63Jeremy MaclinPHI4.80
69Antonio BrownPIT3.90
77Dez BryantDAL2.50
82Hakeem NicksNYG2.00
99Jordy NelsonGB0.00

Consistency Leaders – YTD – Wide Receivers

Player NameTotal PointsRankTotal QGTotal GPQSR
Reggie Wayne161.50588100%
Brandon Marshall180.7017888%
A.J. Green174.2027888%
Demaryius Thomas142.4087888%
Miles Austin127.70177888%
Mike Wallace122.30207888%
Danny Amendola83.30474580%
Victor Cruz170.7037978%
Percy Harvin162.3047978%
Randall Cobb140.60117978%
James Jones134.20147978%
Eric Decker146.3066875%
Wes Welker144.6076875%
DeSean Jackson110.50236875%
Steve Smith107.00276875%
Brandon Lloyd98.50346875%
Denarius Moore102.50295771%
Nate Burleson67.80604667%
Chris Givens59.70694667%
Roddy White141.9095863%
Marques Colston141.60105863%
Vincent Jackson138.00125863%
Julio Jones134.70135863%
Calvin Johnson130.70165863%
Jordy Nelson123.20195863%
Dwayne Bowe118.70215863%
Andre Johnson110.20245863%
Mike Williams109.40255863%
Dez Bryant103.30285863%
Steve Johnson100.60315863%
Antonio Brown99.50325863%
Malcom Floyd95.90375863%
Lance Moore94.40384757%
Golden Tate83.30464757%
Brandon LaFell71.20564757%
Larry Fitzgerald133.50155956%

Reggie Wayne remains as the only perfect. While I mentioned about how inconsistent the running backs have been, the wide receivers are the opposite. There are 17 receivers over the 70 percent QSR level. However, on the wrong side of 70 percent is quite a number of “stud” receivers who were probably drafted in the first three rounds of most drafts. I’ll name a few of them: Roddy White, Julio Jones, Calvin Johnson, Jordy Nelson, Andre Johnson and Larry Fitzgerald.

 

Tight Ends – (Quality Game Factor – 9.40

Quality Game Earners – Week 9

RankPlayerTeamScore
1Brandon MyersOAK25.90
2Jimmy GrahamNO21.20
3Jermaine GreshamCIN16.80
4Owen DanielsHOU16.20
5Tom CrabtreeGB14.20
6Joel DreessenDEN13.80
7Dwayne AllenIND13.50
8Antonio GatesSD13.30
9Jason WittenDAL12.10
10Logan PaulsenWAS10.90
11Robert HouslerARI10.50
12Charles ClayMIA10.10
13Greg OlsenCAR9.80
14Brent CelekPHI9.70

THE EXPECTED

The tight ends picked up their game this week with 14 Quality Game earners. However, once again, the top 14 has quite a number of non-studs. Jimmy Graham is slowly returning from his injury and earned back-to-back Quality Games. Owen Daniels stayed hot as well. Antonio Gates earned just his second Quality Game of the year. Plus, Mr. Reliable, Jason Witten earned his fifth straight Quality Game.

THE UNEXPECTED

Holy cow, where do I start with the no-name tight ends?LoganPaulsen? Robert Housler? Tom Crabtree? Charles Clay? Anyone? Buehler? Buehler? Actually, Paulsen and Housler have each earned two Quality Games out their last three. But, both are on byes this week. So, never mind.

Here are the top tight ends that didn’t earn a Quality Game this past week. Once again, Tony Gonzalez has let me down with this rash of inconsistency.

RankPlayerTeamScore
16Heath MillerPIT8.80
19Tony GonzalezATL7.60
36Brandon PettigrewDET2.10
41Jermichael FinleyGB1.60

Consistency Leaders – YTD – Tight Ends

Player NameTotal PointsRankTotal QGTotal GPQSR       
Owen Daniels114.8047888%
Jimmy Graham106.7066786%
Rob Gronkowski142.0016875%
Jason Witten117.8036875%
Heath Miller113.4056875%
Brandon Myers95.2076875%
Joel Dreessen64.10195771%
Tony Gonzalez123.5025863%
Jermaine Gresham89.3085863%
Brandon Pettigrew82.30115863%
Kyle Rudolph81.20135956%
Vernon Davis86.40104850%DanielsOwenOwen Daniels780.88
Brent Celek81.60124850%GrahamJimmyJimmy Graham670.86
Greg Olsen79.50144850%GronkowskiRobRob Gronkowski680.75
Martellus Bennett87.4094944%WittenJasonJason Witten680.75
Dwayne Allen59.90233743%MillerHeathHeath Miller680.75
Jared Cook78.90153933%MyersBrandonBrandon Myers680.75
Antonio Gates70.10182729%DreessenJoelJoel Dreessen570.71
Jermichael Finley61.10202922%GonzalezTonyTony Gonzalez580.63
GreshamJermaineJermaine Gresham580.63
PettigrewBrandonBrandon Pettigrew580.63
RudolphKyleKyle Rudolph590.56
DavisVernonVernon Davis480.5
CelekBrentBrent Celek480.5
OlsenGregGreg Olsen480.5
BennettMartellusMartellus Bennett490.44
AllenDwayneDwayne Allen370.43
CookJaredJared Cook390.33
GatesAntonioAntonio Gates270.29
FinleyJermichaelJermichael Finley290.22

I would have lost my house if I bet the mortgage on Owen Daniels to be all alone through mid-season at the top of the tight end consistency charts. But there he is! Brandon Myers is certainly the biggest surprise with his seventh place ranking and 75 percent QSR.

There’s your Week 9 list of Quality Games earned. Start watching these Quality rankings to find your next gem on the waiver wire and then let me know how they work out in your drive towards the championship!

 

Week 10 – Quality Matchups

My Quality Game research has also shown that most Quality Games are earned during a Quality Matchup. This is a game where the player is either playing at home OR away versus a bottom 10 defense. If you want more analysis to help with setting your lineup each week, check out the Xclusive Edge Package and you will see the Historical Consistency rankings each week.

 

So, let’s take a look at the schedule.

 

These teams have a bye this week:

Arizona,Cleveland,Green BayandWashington

 

This week’s home teams are:

New Orleans, New England, Philadelphia, Carolina, Minnesota, Chicago, Jacksonville, Pittsburgh, Cincinnati, Seattle, Baltimore, Tampa Bay, San Francisco and Miami

 

Teams that are playing away versus a bottom ten defense include:

Buffalo@New England

Tennessee@Miami

Oakland@Baltimore

Indianapolis@Jacksonville

San Diego@TampaBay

Atlanta@New Orleans

 

As I mentioned above, the Fantasy players on these teams in these Quality Matchups have a much higher rate of performing above average in comparison to the other players at that position.

If you have any questions about the Quality Game Scores, you can email me at blung@rotoexperts.com. You can also follow me on Twitter.

Listen to me live on Sirius channel 210 and XM channel 87 every Friday morning at 9:30 am ET

 

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Congratulations to Jake Ciely for being the No.1 Fantasy Baseball Ranker for the last two consecutive years!