DOUG MARTIN: MY FAVORITE MARTIN!

Bob Lung, Staff Writer November 9, 2012

At the end of Week 4 and heading into his bye week, Doug Martin was basically a forgotten Fantasy player. He was ranked somewhere around 24th place in total points and was only at a 50 percent Quality Success Rate (QSR). Since his return from the bye week, he’s earned four straight Quality Games, was the top scorer in the last two weeks and last weekend almost set the record for most Fantasy points in one game since the year 2000. Can this hot streak continue? Absolutely! Top scorer every week? Probably not. But for now, he’s the new “My Favorite Martin”.

Each week this season, the Quality Games Review will be here to assist you. It should help you see who is performing above average to help your team win, along with those who may be hurting your chances. As the year goes on, consistency trends will start to show the players that are becoming consistent performers and who are one-week wonders.

The Quality Game Score is the awarding of a Quality Game to a player each week when they exceed the average points scored in your league for that position. The more Quality Games a player is awarded each year, the more consistent that player is and the more beneficial they are to your Fantasy team. The scoring method used will be a standard PPR format with four points for passing touchdowns and six for all others.

So, let’s begin the review…

Quarterbacks – (Quality Game Factor – 18.27)

Quality Game Earners – Week 9

Rank Player Team Score
1 Carson Palmer OAK 34.00
2 Andrew Luck IND 30.15
3 Aaron Rodgers GB 29.20
4 Jay Cutler CHI 24.65
5 Peyton Manning DEN 24.35
6 Cam Newton CAR 23.75
7 Russell Wilson SEA 23.35
8 Josh Freeman TB 22.55
9 Michael Vick PHI 21.90
10 Matt Schaub HOU 21.30
11 Tony Romo DAL 20.05
12 Drew Brees NO 19.85
13 Andy Dalton CIN 19.55
14 Ryan Tannehill MIA 18.40
15 John Skelton ARI 18.30

THE EXPECTED

Carson Palmer is quietly putting up a pretty consistent season. I promoted him as one of my top backup quarterbacks to draft this year with the potential of being a QB1. He’s lived up to that with his overall ranking of ninth place in total points and is tied for fourth in consistency with a 75 percent QSR. Peyton Manning has greatly exceeded my expectations this year. He’s now tied for second place in consistency with Drew Brees at an 88 percent QSR. He’s earned six straight Quality Games. Cam Newton got back on the good list this week but is still struggling with his consistency this year, with a marginal 50 percent QSR.

THE UNEXPECTED

Andrew Luck is red-hot and is now ahead of Robert Griffin III in consistency with a 75 percent QSR versus RGIII’s 67 percent QSR. Luck earned his sixth Quality Game out of his last seven games. Josh Freeman continued his current hot streak with his fourth straight Quality Game and fifth out of his last six games. Russell Wilson earned his third Quality Game out of his last four games and should be a nice bye replacement this week.

Here is a group of those bad surprises; quarterbacks who didn’t earn a Quality Game this week.  Matt Ryan had a great week in passing yards but zero touchdowns did him in.

Rank Player Team Score
16 Matt Ryan ATL 17.90
17 Philip Rivers SD 17.80
18 Ben Roethlisberger PIT 17.70
20 Robert GriffinIII WAS 16.05
22 Matthew Stafford DET 14.05
27 Eli Manning NYG 5.25

Consistency Leaders – YTD – Quarterbacks

Player Name Total Points Rank Total QG Total GP QSR
Tom Brady 194.60 4 8 8 100%
Drew Brees 212.35 3 7 8 88%
Peyton Manning 194.60 5 7 8 88%
Matt Ryan 194.30 6 6 8 75%
Andrew Luck 182.00 7 6 8 75%
Matthew Stafford 170.15 8 6 8 75%
Carson Palmer 168.55 9 6 8 75%
Aaron Rodgers 229.75 1 6 9 67%
Robert GriffinIII 217.35 2 6 9 67%
Michael Vick 168.05 10 5 8 63%
Ben Roethlisberger 167.90 11 5 8 63%
Josh Freeman 166.05 13 5 8 63%
Andy Dalton 163.20 14 5 8 63%
Ryan Fitzpatrick 143.00 17 5 8 63%
Eli Manning 161.00 15 5 9 56%
Cam Newton 166.80 12 4 8 50%
Tony Romo 153.00 16 4 8 50%
Alex Smith 137.85 22 4 8 50%
Jay Cutler 134.50 24 4 8 50%

Tom Brady remains as the sole perfect quarterback since he had a bye week. Robert Griffin III is really struggling, as he’s only earned two Quality Games out of his last five. Eli Manning is also reeling with only one Quality Game out of his last four games.

On the inconsistent side, the biggest surprises are quarterbacks like Cam Newton (ranked 12th overall and 50 percent QSR) and Tony Romo (16th and 50 percent) and Philip Rivers (25th and 25 percent QSR). These Fantasy players are killing a ton of Fantasy teams.

 

Running Backs – (Quality Game Factor – 10.35)

Quality Game Earners – Week 9

Rank Player Team Score
1 Doug Martin TB 55.20
2 Adrian Peterson MIN 34.30
3 Mikel Leshoure DET 25.00
4 Chris Johnson TEN 24.50
5 Marcel Reece OAK 23.50
6 Isaac Redman PIT 23.10
7 Marshawn Lynch SEA 23.00
8 Matt Forte CHI 22.80
9 Joique Bell DET 19.90
10 Trent Richardson CLE 19.60
11 Ray Rice BAL 18.40
12 Arian Foster HOU 17.10
13 Michael Turner ATL 16.20
14 Felix Jones DAL 15.90
15 LeSean McCoy PHI 15.30
16 C.J. Spiller BUF 15.20
17 Reggie Bush MIA 14.60
18 LaRod Stephens-Howling ARI 13.90
19 BenJarvus Green-Ellis CIN 13.30
20 Vick Ballard IND 12.80
21 Evan Royster WAS 12.60
22 Ronnie Brown SD 12.30
23 Christopher Ivory NO 12.00
24 Mike Goodson OAK 11.20
25 Shaun Draughn KC 10.70

THE EXPECTED

The high praise for Doug Martin just keeps coming after last week’s performance. In my local league, which has bonuses for levels of performance and touchdown yardage, Martin scored 73 points! I’m mentioned this last week but it bears repeating, as bad as the Eagles are, LeSean McCoy and his Fantasy production just keeps consistently rolling along. Adrian Peterson’s 74-yard run versusSeattleproved once again just how great he is. Please watch it if you haven’t seen. Speaking of long touchdown runs, Chris Johnson proved why you just can’t bench him. He struggled that entire game and then BOOM, he’s golden!

THE UNEXPECTED

Mile Leshoure exploded this past week. His consistency is at 67 percent for the six games that he’s played in and he’s earned three Quality Games out of his last four weeks. He’s becoming a must-starter now. Evan Royster earned a Quality Game forWashingtonthis past week while Alfred Morris did not. Keep an eye on this as the Shanahanigans could be ready to begin after the bye week. With Darren Sproles gone, please don’t buy into the Saints’ Russian roulette at running back, someone might get hurt and it could be you.

Below is a list of some of the top running backs in football that did not earn a Quality Game this week. Darren McFadden is hurt. Shocking, I know.

Rank Player Team Score
28 Jamaal Charles KC 9.60
30 Ryan Mathews SD 9.20
34 Fred Jackson BUF 8.50
37 Willis McGahee DEN 8.00
40 Alfred Morris WAS 7.60
45 Ahmad Bradshaw NYG 4.80
49 Darren McFadden OAK 3.70

Consistency Leaders – YTD – Running Backs

Player Name Total Points Rank Total QG Total GP QSR
Adrian Peterson 171.70 2 9 9 100%
Arian Foster 162.70 3 8 8 100%
Ray Rice 154.30 4 8 8 100%
LeSean McCoy 135.10 7 8 8 100%
Marshawn Lynch 136.10 6 8 9 89%
Matt Forte 109.80 16 6 7 86%
Doug Martin 171.90 1 6 8 75%
C.J. Spiller 131.80 8 6 8 75%
Darren Sproles 107.00 18 5 7 71%
Trent Richardson 148.50 5 6 9 67%
Chris Johnson 124.80 9 6 9 67%
Alfred Morris 116.80 12 6 9 67%
Mikel Leshoure 91.90 22 4 6 67%
Ryan Mathews 81.60 23 4 6 67%
Maurice Jones-Drew 76.00 26 4 6 67%
DeMarco Murray 67.80 32 5 5 100%
Willis McGahee 121.00 10 5 8 63%
Frank Gore 116.50 13 5 8 63%
Reggie Bush 113.50 14 5 8 63%
Stevan Ridley 111.70 15 5 8 63%
Ahmad Bradshaw 108.60 17 5 8 63%
Darren McFadden 106.50 19 5 8 63%
Michael Turner 100.00 21 5 8 63%
Shonn Greene 101.00 20 4 8 50%
BenJarvus Green-Ellis 80.00 24 4 8 50%
Isaac Redman 66.80 34 3 6 50%
Jamaal Charles 118.60 11 3 8 38%
Steven Jackson 68.10 31 3 8 38%

There are still only five perfects. You have the Holy Trilogy (Arian Foster, Ray Rice and LeSean McCoy) and Adrian Peterson and DeMarco Murray. Of course,Murray’s injury is holding him at the perfect mark for now. Peterson is the only remaining nine game perfect.

Overall, I’m actually disappointed in the running backs consistency. Outside of the four perfects (who’ve played at least eight games), there are only five other running backs over 70 percent QSR. And one of those (Darren Sproles) is out for about four weeks.

 

Wide Receiver – (Quality Game Factor – 10.85)

Quality Game Earners – Week 9

Rank Player Team Score
1 Brandon Marshall CHI 39.20
2 Eric Decker DEN 29.90
3 A.J. Green CIN 23.50
4 TY Hilton IND 22.30
5 Randall Cobb GB 21.60
6 Golden Tate SEA 20.90
7 Reggie Wayne IND 20.80
8 Calvin Johnson DET 19.90
9 Andre Johnson HOU 19.80
10 Larry Fitzgerald ARI 19.40
11 DeSean Jackson PHI 19.00
12 Roddy White ATL 18.80
13 Julio Jones ATL 18.70
14 Brian Hartline MIA 18.70
15 Kevin Ogletree DAL 18.60
16 Mike Williams TB 16.80
17 Vincent Jackson TB 16.40
18 James Jones GB 16.10
19 Dwayne Bowe KC 15.90
20 Donnie Avery IND 15.80
21 Mike Wallace PIT 15.60
22 Rod Streater OAK 15.40
23 Sidney Rice SEA 15.40
24 Malcom Floyd SD 14.80
25 Miles Austin DAL 14.60
26 Torrey Smith BAL 14.60
27 Marques Colston NO 14.60
28 Micheal Spurlock JAX 14.50
29 Justin Blackmon JAX 14.20
30 Demaryius Thomas DEN 13.70
31 Steve Smith CAR 13.10
32 Michael Floyd ARI 13.00
33 Davone Bess MIA 12.70
34 Andre Roberts ARI 12.60
35 Donald Jones BUF 12.50
36 Darrius Heyward-Bey OAK 12.40
37 Kenny Britt TEN 11.70
38 Victor Cruz NYG 11.70
39 Jason Avant PHI 11.60
40 Josh Morgan WAS 11.50
41 Nate Washington TEN 11.50
42 Ryan Broyles DET 11.20

THE EXPECTED

Another Fantasy player that I was wrong about was Brandon Marshall. It’s not that I didn’t think he would earn a ton of Fantasy points. I just didn’t believe that he could be consistent with Jay Cutler throwing him the ball. I was wrong.Marshall’s outburst this past week vaulted him to the top spot in the overall year-to-date points as well and he’s at an 88 percent QSR and is tied for second with five other receivers. A.J. Green’s owners were happy to see him return from his bye week and jump right back on the consistency train. Calvin Johnson finally earned his first Quality Game in three weeks. Madden Curse? It still lives!

THE UNEXPECTED

Randall Cobb and James Jones have now both earned six straight Quality Games. Looking for some consistent waiver wire potentials? These receivers have recently earned multiple Quality Games and could be waiting for you to pick them up: Ryan Broyles, Nate Washington and Andre Roberts. The potential waiver wire receivers with back-to-back Quality Games are Golden Tate, Donald Jones and Sidney Rice.

Here is the list of top wide receivers that didn’t earn a Quality Game this week. This list is almost as big and significant as the quarterbacks list this week. Dez Bryant and Hakeem Nicks both look like they should not be playing. They can’t be helping their teams, both on the field or in Fantasy.

Rank Player Team Score
44 Denarius Moore OAK 10.60
57 Steve Johnson BUF 5.90
60 Percy Harvin MIN 5.40
63 Jeremy Maclin PHI 4.80
69 Antonio Brown PIT 3.90
77 Dez Bryant DAL 2.50
82 Hakeem Nicks NYG 2.00
99 Jordy Nelson GB 0.00

Consistency Leaders – YTD – Wide Receivers

Player Name Total Points Rank Total QG Total GP QSR
Reggie Wayne 161.50 5 8 8 100%
Brandon Marshall 180.70 1 7 8 88%
A.J. Green 174.20 2 7 8 88%
Demaryius Thomas 142.40 8 7 8 88%
Miles Austin 127.70 17 7 8 88%
Mike Wallace 122.30 20 7 8 88%
Danny Amendola 83.30 47 4 5 80%
Victor Cruz 170.70 3 7 9 78%
Percy Harvin 162.30 4 7 9 78%
Randall Cobb 140.60 11 7 9 78%
James Jones 134.20 14 7 9 78%
Eric Decker 146.30 6 6 8 75%
Wes Welker 144.60 7 6 8 75%
DeSean Jackson 110.50 23 6 8 75%
Steve Smith 107.00 27 6 8 75%
Brandon Lloyd 98.50 34 6 8 75%
Denarius Moore 102.50 29 5 7 71%
Nate Burleson 67.80 60 4 6 67%
Chris Givens 59.70 69 4 6 67%
Roddy White 141.90 9 5 8 63%
Marques Colston 141.60 10 5 8 63%
Vincent Jackson 138.00 12 5 8 63%
Julio Jones 134.70 13 5 8 63%
Calvin Johnson 130.70 16 5 8 63%
Jordy Nelson 123.20 19 5 8 63%
Dwayne Bowe 118.70 21 5 8 63%
Andre Johnson 110.20 24 5 8 63%
Mike Williams 109.40 25 5 8 63%
Dez Bryant 103.30 28 5 8 63%
Steve Johnson 100.60 31 5 8 63%
Antonio Brown 99.50 32 5 8 63%
Malcom Floyd 95.90 37 5 8 63%
Lance Moore 94.40 38 4 7 57%
Golden Tate 83.30 46 4 7 57%
Brandon LaFell 71.20 56 4 7 57%
Larry Fitzgerald 133.50 15 5 9 56%

Reggie Wayne remains as the only perfect. While I mentioned about how inconsistent the running backs have been, the wide receivers are the opposite. There are 17 receivers over the 70 percent QSR level. However, on the wrong side of 70 percent is quite a number of “stud” receivers who were probably drafted in the first three rounds of most drafts. I’ll name a few of them: Roddy White, Julio Jones, Calvin Johnson, Jordy Nelson, Andre Johnson and Larry Fitzgerald.

 

Tight Ends – (Quality Game Factor – 9.40

Quality Game Earners – Week 9

Rank Player Team Score
1 Brandon Myers OAK 25.90
2 Jimmy Graham NO 21.20
3 Jermaine Gresham CIN 16.80
4 Owen Daniels HOU 16.20
5 Tom Crabtree GB 14.20
6 Joel Dreessen DEN 13.80
7 Dwayne Allen IND 13.50
8 Antonio Gates SD 13.30
9 Jason Witten DAL 12.10
10 Logan Paulsen WAS 10.90
11 Robert Housler ARI 10.50
12 Charles Clay MIA 10.10
13 Greg Olsen CAR 9.80
14 Brent Celek PHI 9.70

THE EXPECTED

The tight ends picked up their game this week with 14 Quality Game earners. However, once again, the top 14 has quite a number of non-studs. Jimmy Graham is slowly returning from his injury and earned back-to-back Quality Games. Owen Daniels stayed hot as well. Antonio Gates earned just his second Quality Game of the year. Plus, Mr. Reliable, Jason Witten earned his fifth straight Quality Game.

THE UNEXPECTED

Holy cow, where do I start with the no-name tight ends?LoganPaulsen? Robert Housler? Tom Crabtree? Charles Clay? Anyone? Buehler? Buehler? Actually, Paulsen and Housler have each earned two Quality Games out their last three. But, both are on byes this week. So, never mind.

Here are the top tight ends that didn’t earn a Quality Game this past week. Once again, Tony Gonzalez has let me down with this rash of inconsistency.

Rank Player Team Score
16 Heath Miller PIT 8.80
19 Tony Gonzalez ATL 7.60
36 Brandon Pettigrew DET 2.10
41 Jermichael Finley GB 1.60

Consistency Leaders – YTD – Tight Ends

Player Name Total Points Rank Total QG Total GP QSR
Owen Daniels 114.80 4 7 8 88%
Jimmy Graham 106.70 6 6 7 86%
Rob Gronkowski 142.00 1 6 8 75%
Jason Witten 117.80 3 6 8 75%
Heath Miller 113.40 5 6 8 75%
Brandon Myers 95.20 7 6 8 75%
Joel Dreessen 64.10 19 5 7 71%
Tony Gonzalez 123.50 2 5 8 63%
Jermaine Gresham 89.30 8 5 8 63%
Brandon Pettigrew 82.30 11 5 8 63%
Kyle Rudolph 81.20 13 5 9 56%
Vernon Davis 86.40 10 4 8 50% Daniels Owen Owen Daniels 7 8 0.88
Brent Celek 81.60 12 4 8 50% Graham Jimmy Jimmy Graham 6 7 0.86
Greg Olsen 79.50 14 4 8 50% Gronkowski Rob Rob Gronkowski 6 8 0.75
Martellus Bennett 87.40 9 4 9 44% Witten Jason Jason Witten 6 8 0.75
Dwayne Allen 59.90 23 3 7 43% Miller Heath Heath Miller 6 8 0.75
Jared Cook 78.90 15 3 9 33% Myers Brandon Brandon Myers 6 8 0.75
Antonio Gates 70.10 18 2 7 29% Dreessen Joel Joel Dreessen 5 7 0.71
Jermichael Finley 61.10 20 2 9 22% Gonzalez Tony Tony Gonzalez 5 8 0.63
Gresham Jermaine Jermaine Gresham 5 8 0.63
Pettigrew Brandon Brandon Pettigrew 5 8 0.63
Rudolph Kyle Kyle Rudolph 5 9 0.56
Davis Vernon Vernon Davis 4 8 0.5
Celek Brent Brent Celek 4 8 0.5
Olsen Greg Greg Olsen 4 8 0.5
Bennett Martellus Martellus Bennett 4 9 0.44
Allen Dwayne Dwayne Allen 3 7 0.43
Cook Jared Jared Cook 3 9 0.33
Gates Antonio Antonio Gates 2 7 0.29
Finley Jermichael Jermichael Finley 2 9 0.22

I would have lost my house if I bet the mortgage on Owen Daniels to be all alone through mid-season at the top of the tight end consistency charts. But there he is! Brandon Myers is certainly the biggest surprise with his seventh place ranking and 75 percent QSR.

There’s your Week 9 list of Quality Games earned. Start watching these Quality rankings to find your next gem on the waiver wire and then let me know how they work out in your drive towards the championship!

 

Week 10 – Quality Matchups

My Quality Game research has also shown that most Quality Games are earned during a Quality Matchup. This is a game where the player is either playing at home OR away versus a bottom 10 defense. If you want more analysis to help with setting your lineup each week, check out the Xclusive Edge Package and you will see the Historical Consistency rankings each week.

 

So, let’s take a look at the schedule.

 

These teams have a bye this week:

Arizona,Cleveland,Green BayandWashington

 

This week’s home teams are:

New Orleans, New England, Philadelphia, Carolina, Minnesota, Chicago, Jacksonville, Pittsburgh, Cincinnati, Seattle, Baltimore, Tampa Bay, San Francisco and Miami

 

Teams that are playing away versus a bottom ten defense include:

Buffalo@New England

Tennessee@Miami

Oakland@Baltimore

Indianapolis@Jacksonville

San Diego@TampaBay

Atlanta@New Orleans

 

As I mentioned above, the Fantasy players on these teams in these Quality Matchups have a much higher rate of performing above average in comparison to the other players at that position.

If you have any questions about the Quality Game Scores, you can email me at blung@rotoexperts.com. You can also follow me on Twitter.

Listen to me live on Sirius channel 210 and XM channel 87 every Friday morning at 9:30 am ET

The Fantasy Sports Network is on the air! You can watch a live stream by clicking here, and make sure to tell your cable or satellite provider you want FNTSY now

Print Friendly