TONY GONZALEZ SHOULD NOT RETIRE!

Bob Lung, Staff Writer November 14, 2012

After three straight weeks of no Quality Games, the “retirement” question was aimed at Tony Gonzalez once again and he responded with 11 catches, 122 yards and two touchdowns. On behalf of all Tony Gonzalez owners, I say, “Take your time, Tony”.

Each week this season, the Quality Games Review will be here to assist you. It should help you see who is performing above average to help your team win, along with those who may be hurting your chances. As the year goes on, consistency trends will start to show the players that are becoming consistent performers and those who are one-week wonders.

The Quality Game Score is the awarding of a Quality Game to a player each week when they exceed the average points scored in your league for that position. The more Quality Games a player is awarded each year, the more consistent that player is, and the more beneficial they are to your Fantasy team. The scoring method used will be a standard PPR format with four points for passing touchdowns and six for all others.

So, let’s begin the review…

 

Quarterbacks – (Quality Game Factor – 18.27)

Quality Game Earners – Week 10

Rank
Player
Team
Score
1 Joe Flacco BAL 34.15
2 Matt Ryan ATL 31.75
3 Matthew Stafford DET 28.75
4 Philip Rivers SD 27.35
5 Drew Brees NO 25.80
6 Andy Dalton CIN 25.75
7 Carson Palmer OAK 25.40
8 Ryan Fitzpatrick BUF 25.05
9 Andrew Luck IND 23.45
10 Sam Bradford STL 21.75
11 Russell Wilson SEA 20.80
12 Tom Brady NE 19.75
13 Peyton Manning DEN 19.45
14 Christian Ponder MIN 20.55
15 Josh Freeman TB 18.90
16 Cam Newton CAR 18.75
17 Colin Kaepernick SF 18.45
18 Tony Romo DAL 18.35

THE EXPECTED

Nothing helps your Fantasy quarterback like a healthy dose of New Orleans Saints’ defense! Matt Ryan was “high” on life this past weekend and took the second spot overall. Matthew Stafford appears to be getting his “mojo” back as well, with his fourth Quality Game in his last five games. Peyton Manning earned his seventh straight Quality Game and is now tied for second place overall with Drew Brees. Cam Newton and Tony Romo have each now earned Quality games in back-to-back weeks. However, both have been a tremendous disappointment this season.

THE UNEXPECTED

Andrew Luck continues to be red hot. He is ranked seventh in total points and tied for fourth in consistency. Josh Freeman continued his current hot streak with his fifth straight Quality Game. Ryan Fitzpatrick earned his sixth Quality Game of the season for a 67 percent Quality Success Rate (QSR), which ties him with Aaron Rodgers. The injury to Alex Smith opens the door for Colin Kaepernick. Not a great passer but extremely fast on his feet, he may be one to watch if Michael Vick is lost for a long period of time.

Here is a group of those bad surprises; quarterbacks who didn’t earn a Quality Game this week.  Vick is injured but Eli Manning is poisoned with a case of the sucks, especially the past three weeks!

Rank
Player
Team
Score
22 Ben Roethlisberger PIT 9.60
24 Eli Manning NYG 8.85
25 Michael Vick PHI 8.20
29 Matt Schaub HOU 6.55
32 Jay Cutler CHI 3.70

Consistency Leaders – YTD – Quarterbacks

Player Name
Total Points
Rank
Total QG
Total GP
QSR
Tom Brady 214.35 5 9 9 100%
Drew Brees 238.15 1 8 9 89%
Peyton Manning 213.05 6 8 9 89%
Matt Ryan 226.05 3 7 9 78%
Andrew Luck 204.45 7 7 9 78%
Matthew Stafford 198.90 8 7 9 78%
Carson Palmer 192.95 9 7 9 78%
Aaron Rodgers 229.75 2 6 9 67%
Robert Griffin III 217.35 4 6 9 67%
Andy Dalton 188.95 10 6 9 67%
Josh Freeman 184.95 12 6 9 67%
Ryan Fitzpatrick 167.05 18 6 9 67%
Cam Newton 185.55 11 5 9 56%
Ben Roethlisberger 177.50 13 5 9 56%
Michael Vick 176.25 14 5 9 56%
Tony Romo 171.35 16 5 9 56%
Eli Manning 168.85 17 5 10 50%

Tom Brady remains as the sole perfect quarterback. Drew Brees stole the top spot in overall points with Aaron Rodgers on a bye week. Matt Ryan ranks third overall and is tied for fourth place in consistency. In baseball, there is the Mendoza line at a batting average of .200. Well, in Fantasy Football consistency, there is the “Jay Cut-off”. This is a QSR of 50 percent or below. Eli Manning just hit the “Cut-Off” this week. Of course, Jay Cutler is below that at 44 percent.

 

Running Backs – (Quality Game Factor – 10.35)

Quality Game Earners – Week 10

Rank
Player
Team
Score
1 Fred Jackson BUF 27.50
2 Adrian Peterson MIN 26.60
3 Arian Foster HOU 22.70
4 Marshawn Lynch SEA 22.10
5 Danny Woodhead NE 22.10
6 Steven Jackson STL 20.70
7 Frank Gore SF 20.50
8 Chris Johnson TEN 20.40
9 Andre Brown NYG 20.40
10 Felix Jones DAL 18.30
11 Marcel Reece OAK 17.40
12 C.J. Spiller BUF 17.10
13 Ray Rice BAL 16.80
14 Jamaal Charles KC 16.00
15 Stevan Ridley NE 15.80
16 Christopher Ivory NO 15.50
17 Doug Martin TB 14.90
18 LeSean McCoy PHI 14.20
19 Willis McGahee DEN 12.90
20 Ryan Mathews SD 12.60
21 Joique Bell DET 11.80
22 Daniel Thomas MIA 10.50

THE EXPECTED

Steven Jackson earned a rare Quality Game this year. His 44 percent QSR this season has many folks disappointed in his performance. However, since this past weekend’s performance was against the 49ers, I’d say he’s not done yet. Also speaking of not done yet; how about Chris Johnson’s fifth straight Quality Game this past weekend? He’s now ranked ninth in total points overall. Jamaal Charles is now ranked 11th in total points and is easily the most inconsistent top 12 running back with a 44 percent QSR. The other Top 12 running backs are all above a 67 percent QSR.

THE UNEXPECTED

Danny Woodhead is also at a 44 percent QSR but he’s really a feast or famine guy this season. Marcel Reece filled in nicely for Darren McFadden this past weekend. Chris Ivory appears to be the Fantasy leader so far in the Saints’ backfield in Darren Sproles’ absence. This is kind of surprising since you didn’t hear his name until two weeks ago. Oh yeah, Andre Brown is eating into Ahmad Bradshaw’s Fantasy numbers.

Below is a list of some of the top running backs in football that did not earn a Quality Game this week. The Bears slug-fest against the Texans hurt Matt Forte and don’t look now, but the Bears head to San Francisco this weekend.

Rank
Player
Team
Score
24 Ahmad Bradshaw NYG 10.10
37 Matt Forte CHI 5.60
44 Reggie Bush MIA 3.90
67 Michael Turner ATL 1.50

Consistency Leaders – YTD – Running Backs

Player Name
Total Points
Rank
Total QG
Total GP
QSR
Adrian Peterson 198.30 1 10 10 100%
Arian Foster 185.40 3 9 9 100%
Ray Rice 171.10 4 9 9 100%
LeSean McCoy 149.30 6 9 9 100%
Marshawn Lynch 157.20 5 9 10 90%
Doug Martin 186.80 2 7 9 78%
C.J. Spiller 148.90 7 7 9 78%
Matt Forte 115.40 17 6 8 75%
Darren Sproles 107.00 19 5 7 71%
Ryan Mathews 94.20 25 5 7 71%
Chris Johnson 145.20 9 7 10 70%
Trent Richardson 148.50 8 6 9 67%
Frank Gore 137.00 10 6 9 67%
Willis McGahee 132.90 12 6 9 67%
Stevan Ridley 127.50 13 6 9 67%
Alfred Morris 116.80 15 6 9 67%
Maurice Jones-Drew 76.00 33 4 6 67%
Darren McFadden 106.50 20 5 8 63%
Mikel Leshoure 97.70 22 4 7 57%
Andre Brown 94.70 24 4 7 57%
Daniel Thomas 61.20 39 4 7 57%
Ahmad Bradshaw 117.70 14 5 9 56%
Reggie Bush 116.40 16 5 9 56%
Michael Turner 101.50 21 5 9 56%
Felix Jones 84.10 30 4 8 50%
Jamaal Charles 134.60 11 4 9 44%

There are still only four legit perfects. The Quality Quartet continues to dominate the consistency, especially when you consider that, other than Marshawn Lynch’s 90 percent QSR, no other running back has earned eight Quality Games. C.J. Spiller moves into the Top 7 in overall points, and he now gets the backfield to himself on Thursday night with Fred Jackson out this week.

Michael Turner is becoming a real dud with a QSR of only 56 percent. He has only one Quality Game in the last four weeks. Reggie Bush and Ahmad Bradshaw have also slipped down to that level.

 

Wide Receiver – (Quality Game Factor – 10.85)

Quality Game Earners – Week 10

Rank
Player
Team
Score
1 Calvin Johnson DET 38.70
2 Danario Alexander SD 24.40
3 Jeremy Maclin PHI 23.30
4 Demaryius Thomas DEN 22.50
5 Cecil Shorts JAX 22.50
6 A.J. Green CIN 21.50
7 Danny Amendola STL 21.20
8 Torrey Smith BAL 20.70
9 Donald Jones BUF 19.40
10 Sidney Rice SEA 19.40
11 Denarius Moore OAK 19.00
12 Darrius Heyward-Bey OAK 18.80
13 Brandon Marshall CHI 18.70
14 Roddy White ATL 18.40
15 Malcom Floyd SD 18.30
16 Michael Crabtree SF 18.00
17 Dez Bryant DAL 17.70
18 Reggie Wayne IND 17.60
19 Laurent Robinson JAX 16.70
20 Hakeem Nicks NYG 16.50
21 Lance Moore NO 16.10
22 Brian Hartline MIA 15.90
23 Jarius Wright MIN 15.80
24 Brandon Stokley DEN 15.40
25 Mohamed Sanu CIN 15.00
26 Steve Johnson BUF 14.60
27 Titus Young DET 13.50
28 Wes Welker NE 13.40
29 Golden Tate SEA 13.10
30 Micheal Spurlock JAX 12.10
31 Marques Colston NO 11.60
32 Julio Jones ATL 11.50
33 DeSean Jackson PHI 11.20
34 Jeremy Kerley NYJ 11.20
35 Vincent Jackson TB 10.90

THE EXPECTED

Did someone take the Madden 13 game off of the shelves? The Curse is over! Calvin Johnson took the top spot this past weekend and earned his first back-to-back Quality Games since Week 3. Demaryius Thomas continues to dominate with his sixth straight Quality Game. Roddy White and Julio Jones both earned Quality Games this week again as a result of playing the Saints’ defense. Dez Bryant finally got back on track this week, as did Steve Johnson. Both have been disappointments this season, as they are ranked 26th and 31st respectively.

THE UNEXPECTED

Danny Amendola came back from his injury with a vengeance this week and immediately appears to be Sam Bradford’s favorite once again. Other than Amendola, if you’re looking for some consistent waiver wire potentials, these receivers have recently earned multiple Quality Games and could be waiting for you to pick them up: Andrew Hawkins, Titus Young, Donald Jones and Golden Tate. The potential waiver wire receivers with back-to-back Quality Games are Brian Hartline and Cecil Shorts.

Here is the list of top wide receivers that didn’t earn a Quality Game this week. This list is almost as big and significant as the quarterbacks list this week. Victor Cruz is killing Fantasy teams right now!

Rank
 
Team
Score
43 Dwayne Bowe KC 9.50
44 Brandon Lloyd NE 9.50
47 Mike Williams TB 8.40
52 Andre Johnson HOU 7.50
59 Victor Cruz NYG 5.60
62 Miles Austin DAL 5.20
75 Eric Decker DEN 3.50
80 Steve Smith CAR 3.10

Consistency Leaders – YTD – Wide Receivers

Player Name
Total Points
Rank
Total QG
Total GP
QSR
Reggie Wayne 179.10 3 9 9 100%
Brandon Marshall 199.40 1 8 9 89%
A.J. Green 195.70 2 8 9 89%
Demaryius Thomas 164.90 6 8 9 89%
Danny Amendola 104.50 39 5 6 83%
Percy Harvin 162.30 7 7 9 78%
Wes Welker 158.00 9 7 9 78%
Randall Cobb 140.60 14 7 9 78%
James Jones 134.20 15 7 9 78%
Miles Austin 132.90 17 7 9 78%
Mike Wallace 132.70 18 7 9 78%
DeSean Jackson 121.70 24 7 9 78%
Denarius Moore 121.50 25 6 8 75%
Victor Cruz 176.30 4 7 10 70%
Calvin Johnson 168.40 5 6 9 67%
Roddy White 160.30 8 6 9 67%
Marques Colston 153.20 10 6 9 67%
Eric Decker 149.80 11 6 9 67%
Vincent Jackson 148.90 12 6 9 67%
Julio Jones 146.20 13 6 9 67%
Dez Bryant 121.00 26 6 9 67%
Steve Johnson 115.20 31 6 9 67%
Malcom Floyd 114.20 32 6 9 67%
Steve Smith 110.10 34 6 9 67%
Brandon Lloyd 108.00 35 6 9 67%
Nate Burleson 67.80 62 4 6 67%
Chris Givens 59.70 70 4 6 67%
Jordy Nelson 123.20 23 5 8 63%
Lance Moore 110.50 33 5 8 63%
Antonio Brown 99.50 42 5 8 63%
Golden Tate 96.40 45 5 8 63%
Sidney Rice 117.80 28 6 10 60%
Larry Fitzgerald 133.50 16 5 9 56%
Dwayne Bowe 128.20 21 5 9 56%
Andre Roberts 125.80 22 5 9 56%

Reggie Wayne remains as the only perfect. However, breathing down his neck at an 89 percent QSR is the trio of Brandon Marshall, A.J. Green and Demaryius Thomas. DenariusMoorehas quietly snuck into the 75 percent QSR for the year.

Extreme disappointments include Larry Fitzgerald (16th in total points and 56 percent QSR) and Andre Johnson (30th in total points and 56 percent QSR).

 

Tight Ends – (Quality Game Factor – 9.40)

Quality Game Earners – Week 10

Rank
Player
Team
Score
1 Tony Gonzalez ATL 35.20
2 Jimmy Graham NO 33.60
3 Greg Olsen CAR 31.20
4 Kyle Rudolph MIN 19.40
5 Dennis Pitta BAL 17.70
6 Scott Chandler BUF 17.50
7 Antonio Gates SD 15.70
8 Jason Witten DAL 12.70
9 Brandon Pettigrew DET 12.20
10 Rob Gronkowski NE 12.10
11 Brandon Myers OAK 10.70
12 Jermaine Gresham CIN 10.50
13 Tony Moeaki KC 9.80
14 Jared Cook TEN 9.60

THE EXPECTED

Tony Gonzalez regained his consistent swagger this week with a dominating performance. Jimmy Graham also earned over 30 points in PPR formats. Antonio Gates finally remembered that he’s supposed to be a top tight end in this league; either that, or Philip Rivers remembered – not sure which one at this point. Jason Witten earned his sixth straight Quality Game, which is the highest streak by any tight end this season.

THE UNEXPECTED

Greg Olsen is seventh in total points after his 30+ point performance this week, but he is only at a 56 percent QSR for the year. Brandon Myers quietly continues his excellent consistency for the season. Kyle Rudolph is ninth in total points but only has a 60 percent QSR. However, he also had a zero point week a few weeks ago. His inconsistency is rough to predict.

Here are the top tight ends that didn’t earn a Quality Game this week. Vernon Davis may win the most disappointing tight end ahead of Gates. Ok, maybe not, but it’s close enough.

Rank
Player
Team
Score
15 Heath Miller PIT 8.70
22 Vernon Davis SF 7.00
24 Brent Celek PHI 6.10
26 Joel Dreessen DEN 5.10

Consistency Leaders – YTD – Tight Ends

Player Name
Total Points
Rank
Total QG
Total GP
QSR
Jimmy Graham 140.30 3 7 8 88%
Owen Daniels 114.80 6 7 8 88%
Rob Gronkowski 154.10 2 7 9 78%
Jason Witten 130.50 4 7 9 78%
Brandon Myers 105.90 8 7 9 78%
Tony Gonzalez 158.70 1 6 9 67%
Heath Miller 122.10 5 6 9 67%
Jermaine Gresham 99.80 10 6 9 67%
Brandon Pettigrew 94.50 12 6 9 67%
Joel Dreessen 69.20 19 5 8 63%
Kyle Rudolph 100.60 9 6 10 60%
Tom Crabtree 42.30 35 3 5 60%
Greg Olsen 110.70 7 5 9 56%
Vernon Davis 93.40 13 4 9 44%

If you have a tight end above a 67 percent QSR, you’re in pretty good shape. If you’re above 78 percent, you’re in great shape! Congrats! Everyone else is scrambling for Quality Game scraps. There isn’t much out there. If I had to pick one, I’d try Jared Cook, who may find some consistent ways with the return of Jake Locker.

There’s your Week 10 list of Quality Games earned. Start watching these Quality rankings to find your next gem on the waiver wire and then let me know how they work out in your drive towards the championship!

 

Week Eleven – Quality Matchups

My Quality Game research has also shown that most Quality Games are earned during a Quality Matchup. This is a game where the player is either playing at home OR away versus a bottom ten defense. If you want more analysis to help with setting your lineup each week, check out the Xclusive Edge Package and you will see the Historical Consistency rankings each week.

So, let’s take a look at the schedule.

 

These teams have a bye this week:

Minnesota, New YorkGiants, Seattle and Tennessee

 

This week’s home teams are:

Atlanta, Pittsburgh, San Francisco, Kansas City, Dallas, Detroit, New England, Houston, Buffalo, Oakland, St. Louis, Washington, Denver and Carolina

 

Teams that are playing away versus a bottom ten defense include:

New Orleans@Oakland

Indianapolis@New England

Philadelphia@Washington

Miami@Buffalo

As I mentioned above, the Fantasy players on the teams in these Quality Matchups have a much higher rate of performing above average in comparison to the other players at that position.

If you have any questions about the Quality Game Scores, you can email me at blung@rotoexperts.com. You can also follow me on Twitter.

Listen to me live on Sirius channel 210 and XM channel 87 every Friday mornings at 9:30 am ET

NBA legend Julius “Dr. J” Erving has joined the Anthem Media team. Find out more about the Doctor’s arrival here

 

 

Print Friendly