TONY GONZALEZ SHOULD NOT RETIRE! - RotoExperts

TONY GONZALEZ SHOULD NOT RETIRE!

Bob Lung, Staff Writer November 14, 2012

After three straight weeks of no Quality Games, the “retirement” question was aimed at Tony Gonzalez once again and he responded with 11 catches, 122 yards and two touchdowns. On behalf of all Tony Gonzalez owners, I say, “Take your time, Tony”.

Each week this season, the Quality Games Review will be here to assist you. It should help you see who is performing above average to help your team win, along with those who may be hurting your chances. As the year goes on, consistency trends will start to show the players that are becoming consistent performers and those who are one-week wonders.

The Quality Game Score is the awarding of a Quality Game to a player each week when they exceed the average points scored in your league for that position. The more Quality Games a player is awarded each year, the more consistent that player is, and the more beneficial they are to your Fantasy team. The scoring method used will be a standard PPR format with four points for passing touchdowns and six for all others.

So, let’s begin the review…

 

Quarterbacks – (Quality Game Factor – 18.27)

Quality Game Earners – Week 10

RankPlayerTeamScore
1Joe FlaccoBAL34.15
2Matt RyanATL31.75
3Matthew StaffordDET28.75
4Philip RiversSD27.35
5Drew BreesNO25.80
6Andy DaltonCIN25.75
7Carson PalmerOAK25.40
8Ryan FitzpatrickBUF25.05
9Andrew LuckIND23.45
10Sam BradfordSTL21.75
11Russell WilsonSEA20.80
12Tom BradyNE19.75
13Peyton ManningDEN19.45
14Christian PonderMIN20.55
15Josh FreemanTB18.90
16Cam NewtonCAR18.75
17Colin KaepernickSF18.45
18Tony RomoDAL18.35

THE EXPECTED

Nothing helps your Fantasy quarterback like a healthy dose of New Orleans Saints’ defense! Matt Ryan was “high” on life this past weekend and took the second spot overall. Matthew Stafford appears to be getting his “mojo” back as well, with his fourth Quality Game in his last five games. Peyton Manning earned his seventh straight Quality Game and is now tied for second place overall with Drew Brees. Cam Newton and Tony Romo have each now earned Quality games in back-to-back weeks. However, both have been a tremendous disappointment this season.

THE UNEXPECTED

Andrew Luck continues to be red hot. He is ranked seventh in total points and tied for fourth in consistency. Josh Freeman continued his current hot streak with his fifth straight Quality Game. Ryan Fitzpatrick earned his sixth Quality Game of the season for a 67 percent Quality Success Rate (QSR), which ties him with Aaron Rodgers. The injury to Alex Smith opens the door for Colin Kaepernick. Not a great passer but extremely fast on his feet, he may be one to watch if Michael Vick is lost for a long period of time.

Here is a group of those bad surprises; quarterbacks who didn’t earn a Quality Game this week.  Vick is injured but Eli Manning is poisoned with a case of the sucks, especially the past three weeks!

RankPlayerTeamScore
22Ben RoethlisbergerPIT9.60
24Eli ManningNYG8.85
25Michael VickPHI8.20
29Matt SchaubHOU6.55
32Jay CutlerCHI3.70

Consistency Leaders – YTD – Quarterbacks

Player NameTotal PointsRankTotal QGTotal GPQSR
Tom Brady214.35599100%
Drew Brees238.1518989%
Peyton Manning213.0568989%
Matt Ryan226.0537978%
Andrew Luck204.4577978%
Matthew Stafford198.9087978%
Carson Palmer192.9597978%
Aaron Rodgers229.7526967%
Robert Griffin III217.3546967%
Andy Dalton188.95106967%
Josh Freeman184.95126967%
Ryan Fitzpatrick167.05186967%
Cam Newton185.55115956%
Ben Roethlisberger177.50135956%
Michael Vick176.25145956%
Tony Romo171.35165956%
Eli Manning168.851751050%

Tom Brady remains as the sole perfect quarterback. Drew Brees stole the top spot in overall points with Aaron Rodgers on a bye week. Matt Ryan ranks third overall and is tied for fourth place in consistency. In baseball, there is the Mendoza line at a batting average of .200. Well, in Fantasy Football consistency, there is the “Jay Cut-off”. This is a QSR of 50 percent or below. Eli Manning just hit the “Cut-Off” this week. Of course, Jay Cutler is below that at 44 percent.

 

Running Backs – (Quality Game Factor – 10.35)

Quality Game Earners – Week 10

RankPlayerTeamScore
1Fred JacksonBUF27.50
2Adrian PetersonMIN26.60
3Arian FosterHOU22.70
4Marshawn LynchSEA22.10
5Danny WoodheadNE22.10
6Steven JacksonSTL20.70
7Frank GoreSF20.50
8Chris JohnsonTEN20.40
9Andre BrownNYG20.40
10Felix JonesDAL18.30
11Marcel ReeceOAK17.40
12C.J. SpillerBUF17.10
13Ray RiceBAL16.80
14Jamaal CharlesKC16.00
15Stevan RidleyNE15.80
16Christopher IvoryNO15.50
17Doug MartinTB14.90
18LeSean McCoyPHI14.20
19Willis McGaheeDEN12.90
20Ryan MathewsSD12.60
21Joique BellDET11.80
22Daniel ThomasMIA10.50

THE EXPECTED

Steven Jackson earned a rare Quality Game this year. His 44 percent QSR this season has many folks disappointed in his performance. However, since this past weekend’s performance was against the 49ers, I’d say he’s not done yet. Also speaking of not done yet; how about Chris Johnson’s fifth straight Quality Game this past weekend? He’s now ranked ninth in total points overall. Jamaal Charles is now ranked 11th in total points and is easily the most inconsistent top 12 running back with a 44 percent QSR. The other Top 12 running backs are all above a 67 percent QSR.

THE UNEXPECTED

Danny Woodhead is also at a 44 percent QSR but he’s really a feast or famine guy this season. Marcel Reece filled in nicely for Darren McFadden this past weekend. Chris Ivory appears to be the Fantasy leader so far in the Saints’ backfield in Darren Sproles’ absence. This is kind of surprising since you didn’t hear his name until two weeks ago. Oh yeah, Andre Brown is eating into Ahmad Bradshaw’s Fantasy numbers.

Below is a list of some of the top running backs in football that did not earn a Quality Game this week. The Bears slug-fest against the Texans hurt Matt Forte and don’t look now, but the Bears head to San Francisco this weekend.

RankPlayerTeamScore
24Ahmad BradshawNYG10.10
37Matt ForteCHI5.60
44Reggie BushMIA3.90
67Michael TurnerATL1.50

Consistency Leaders – YTD – Running Backs

Player NameTotal PointsRankTotal QGTotal GPQSR
Adrian Peterson198.3011010100%
Arian Foster185.40399100%
Ray Rice171.10499100%
LeSean McCoy149.30699100%
Marshawn Lynch157.20591090%
Doug Martin186.8027978%
C.J. Spiller148.9077978%
Matt Forte115.40176875%
Darren Sproles107.00195771%
Ryan Mathews94.20255771%
Chris Johnson145.20971070%
Trent Richardson148.5086967%
Frank Gore137.00106967%
Willis McGahee132.90126967%
Stevan Ridley127.50136967%
Alfred Morris116.80156967%
Maurice Jones-Drew76.00334667%
Darren McFadden106.50205863%
Mikel Leshoure97.70224757%
Andre Brown94.70244757%
Daniel Thomas61.20394757%
Ahmad Bradshaw117.70145956%
Reggie Bush116.40165956%
Michael Turner101.50215956%
Felix Jones84.10304850%
Jamaal Charles134.60114944%

There are still only four legit perfects. The Quality Quartet continues to dominate the consistency, especially when you consider that, other than Marshawn Lynch’s 90 percent QSR, no other running back has earned eight Quality Games. C.J. Spiller moves into the Top 7 in overall points, and he now gets the backfield to himself on Thursday night with Fred Jackson out this week.

Michael Turner is becoming a real dud with a QSR of only 56 percent. He has only one Quality Game in the last four weeks. Reggie Bush and Ahmad Bradshaw have also slipped down to that level.

 

Wide Receiver – (Quality Game Factor – 10.85)

Quality Game Earners – Week 10

RankPlayerTeamScore
1Calvin JohnsonDET38.70
2Danario AlexanderSD24.40
3Jeremy MaclinPHI23.30
4Demaryius ThomasDEN22.50
5Cecil ShortsJAX22.50
6A.J. GreenCIN21.50
7Danny AmendolaSTL21.20
8Torrey SmithBAL20.70
9Donald JonesBUF19.40
10Sidney RiceSEA19.40
11Denarius MooreOAK19.00
12Darrius Heyward-BeyOAK18.80
13Brandon MarshallCHI18.70
14Roddy WhiteATL18.40
15Malcom FloydSD18.30
16Michael CrabtreeSF18.00
17Dez BryantDAL17.70
18Reggie WayneIND17.60
19Laurent RobinsonJAX16.70
20Hakeem NicksNYG16.50
21Lance MooreNO16.10
22Brian HartlineMIA15.90
23Jarius WrightMIN15.80
24Brandon StokleyDEN15.40
25Mohamed SanuCIN15.00
26Steve JohnsonBUF14.60
27Titus YoungDET13.50
28Wes WelkerNE13.40
29Golden TateSEA13.10
30Micheal SpurlockJAX12.10
31Marques ColstonNO11.60
32Julio JonesATL11.50
33DeSean JacksonPHI11.20
34Jeremy KerleyNYJ11.20
35Vincent JacksonTB10.90

THE EXPECTED

Did someone take the Madden 13 game off of the shelves? The Curse is over! Calvin Johnson took the top spot this past weekend and earned his first back-to-back Quality Games since Week 3. Demaryius Thomas continues to dominate with his sixth straight Quality Game. Roddy White and Julio Jones both earned Quality Games this week again as a result of playing the Saints’ defense. Dez Bryant finally got back on track this week, as did Steve Johnson. Both have been disappointments this season, as they are ranked 26th and 31st respectively.

THE UNEXPECTED

Danny Amendola came back from his injury with a vengeance this week and immediately appears to be Sam Bradford’s favorite once again. Other than Amendola, if you’re looking for some consistent waiver wire potentials, these receivers have recently earned multiple Quality Games and could be waiting for you to pick them up: Andrew Hawkins, Titus Young, Donald Jones and Golden Tate. The potential waiver wire receivers with back-to-back Quality Games are Brian Hartline and Cecil Shorts.

Here is the list of top wide receivers that didn’t earn a Quality Game this week. This list is almost as big and significant as the quarterbacks list this week. Victor Cruz is killing Fantasy teams right now!

Rank TeamScore
43Dwayne BoweKC9.50
44Brandon LloydNE9.50
47Mike WilliamsTB8.40
52Andre JohnsonHOU7.50
59Victor CruzNYG5.60
62Miles AustinDAL5.20
75Eric DeckerDEN3.50
80Steve SmithCAR3.10

Consistency Leaders – YTD – Wide Receivers

Player NameTotal PointsRankTotal QGTotal GPQSR
Reggie Wayne179.10399100%
Brandon Marshall199.4018989%
A.J. Green195.7028989%
Demaryius Thomas164.9068989%
Danny Amendola104.50395683%
Percy Harvin162.3077978%
Wes Welker158.0097978%
Randall Cobb140.60147978%
James Jones134.20157978%
Miles Austin132.90177978%
Mike Wallace132.70187978%
DeSean Jackson121.70247978%
Denarius Moore121.50256875%
Victor Cruz176.30471070%
Calvin Johnson168.4056967%
Roddy White160.3086967%
Marques Colston153.20106967%
Eric Decker149.80116967%
Vincent Jackson148.90126967%
Julio Jones146.20136967%
Dez Bryant121.00266967%
Steve Johnson115.20316967%
Malcom Floyd114.20326967%
Steve Smith110.10346967%
Brandon Lloyd108.00356967%
Nate Burleson67.80624667%
Chris Givens59.70704667%
Jordy Nelson123.20235863%
Lance Moore110.50335863%
Antonio Brown99.50425863%
Golden Tate96.40455863%
Sidney Rice117.802861060%
Larry Fitzgerald133.50165956%
Dwayne Bowe128.20215956%
Andre Roberts125.80225956%

Reggie Wayne remains as the only perfect. However, breathing down his neck at an 89 percent QSR is the trio of Brandon Marshall, A.J. Green and Demaryius Thomas. DenariusMoorehas quietly snuck into the 75 percent QSR for the year.

Extreme disappointments include Larry Fitzgerald (16th in total points and 56 percent QSR) and Andre Johnson (30th in total points and 56 percent QSR).

 

Tight Ends – (Quality Game Factor – 9.40)

Quality Game Earners – Week 10

RankPlayerTeamScore
1Tony GonzalezATL35.20
2Jimmy GrahamNO33.60
3Greg OlsenCAR31.20
4Kyle RudolphMIN19.40
5Dennis PittaBAL17.70
6Scott ChandlerBUF17.50
7Antonio GatesSD15.70
8Jason WittenDAL12.70
9Brandon PettigrewDET12.20
10Rob GronkowskiNE12.10
11Brandon MyersOAK10.70
12Jermaine GreshamCIN10.50
13Tony MoeakiKC9.80
14Jared CookTEN9.60

THE EXPECTED

Tony Gonzalez regained his consistent swagger this week with a dominating performance. Jimmy Graham also earned over 30 points in PPR formats. Antonio Gates finally remembered that he’s supposed to be a top tight end in this league; either that, or Philip Rivers remembered – not sure which one at this point. Jason Witten earned his sixth straight Quality Game, which is the highest streak by any tight end this season.

THE UNEXPECTED

Greg Olsen is seventh in total points after his 30+ point performance this week, but he is only at a 56 percent QSR for the year. Brandon Myers quietly continues his excellent consistency for the season. Kyle Rudolph is ninth in total points but only has a 60 percent QSR. However, he also had a zero point week a few weeks ago. His inconsistency is rough to predict.

Here are the top tight ends that didn’t earn a Quality Game this week. Vernon Davis may win the most disappointing tight end ahead of Gates. Ok, maybe not, but it’s close enough.

RankPlayerTeamScore
15Heath MillerPIT8.70
22Vernon DavisSF7.00
24Brent CelekPHI6.10
26Joel DreessenDEN5.10

Consistency Leaders – YTD – Tight Ends

Player NameTotal PointsRankTotal QGTotal GPQSR
Jimmy Graham140.3037888%
Owen Daniels114.8067888%
Rob Gronkowski154.1027978%
Jason Witten130.5047978%
Brandon Myers105.9087978%
Tony Gonzalez158.7016967%
Heath Miller122.1056967%
Jermaine Gresham99.80106967%
Brandon Pettigrew94.50126967%
Joel Dreessen69.20195863%
Kyle Rudolph100.60961060%
Tom Crabtree42.30353560%
Greg Olsen110.7075956%
Vernon Davis93.40134944%

If you have a tight end above a 67 percent QSR, you’re in pretty good shape. If you’re above 78 percent, you’re in great shape! Congrats! Everyone else is scrambling for Quality Game scraps. There isn’t much out there. If I had to pick one, I’d try Jared Cook, who may find some consistent ways with the return of Jake Locker.

There’s your Week 10 list of Quality Games earned. Start watching these Quality rankings to find your next gem on the waiver wire and then let me know how they work out in your drive towards the championship!

 

Week Eleven – Quality Matchups

My Quality Game research has also shown that most Quality Games are earned during a Quality Matchup. This is a game where the player is either playing at home OR away versus a bottom ten defense. If you want more analysis to help with setting your lineup each week, check out the Xclusive Edge Package and you will see the Historical Consistency rankings each week.

So, let’s take a look at the schedule.

 

These teams have a bye this week:

Minnesota, New YorkGiants, Seattle and Tennessee

 

This week’s home teams are:

Atlanta, Pittsburgh, San Francisco, Kansas City, Dallas, Detroit, New England, Houston, Buffalo, Oakland, St. Louis, Washington, Denver and Carolina

 

Teams that are playing away versus a bottom ten defense include:

New Orleans@Oakland

Indianapolis@New England

Philadelphia@Washington

Miami@Buffalo

As I mentioned above, the Fantasy players on the teams in these Quality Matchups have a much higher rate of performing above average in comparison to the other players at that position.

If you have any questions about the Quality Game Scores, you can email me at blung@rotoexperts.com. You can also follow me on Twitter.

Listen to me live on Sirius channel 210 and XM channel 87 every Friday mornings at 9:30 am ET

 

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Congratulations to Jake Ciely for being the No.1 Fantasy Baseball Ranker for the last two consecutive years!