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Reggie Bush has three consecutive 100-yard rushing games. Photo Credit: |
I’ve been unable to pull the trigger the past few weeks but Tim Tebow keeps putting up numbers. Should I start him over Matthew Stafford this week for the upside?
I am glad this question came in. A lot of owners tend to overthink and try to get cute in Week 16. If Stafford got you here and is playing well, why would you break that success now? Tebow has a great matchup and I endorse him many weeks, but not over Stafford. Tebow faced the Patriots, who rank last against the pass last week, and he was only allowed to throw 22 passes. What does that indicate? Denver doesn’t want him to throw much. I know he adds the rushing yards, but Stafford is on a pass-first team. Over the last five weeks, Stafford has outscored Tebow four times. Stafford has more upside. He passed for 391 yards and four TDs last week. Tebow won’t do that. Stafford has passed for at least 276 yards in five of the last six games. I have the same scenario in one of my leagues and Stafford has been locked in. If Tebow outscores him this week, I won’t regret it. It’s the right decision.
I need two from Arian Foster, Felix Jones and Reggie Bush.
This one is pretty easy. Foster is a must-start every week. He gets the ball incessantly and produces in the passing game as well. If you don’t already, it’s quite clear you can trust Bush right now. He’s running the best he ever has. He has three consecutive 100-yard rushing games and has at least 22 carries in two of the games, including last week’s 206 yards on 25 carries with a TD. Bush only has six receptions the last three games, but he has 41 for the season and can help in PPR leagues. Not only is New England awful against the pass, they rank No. 19 against the run and have allowed 12 rushing TDs. They allowed 137 yards rushing in the first quarter alone last week. Bush is a RB1, and I see very few instances where he’s on the bench. Jones has a hamstring injury and didn’t practice Tuesday or Wednesday. Durability is always an issue, and while he may play and could be recommended in certain instances if he does play, you don’t need to take the risk.
I have Mike Wallace, Roddy White, Percy Harvin, and Victor Cruz. I need three. I am wary of Wallace if Ben Roethlisberger sits. Do you see it that way? Also picked up Brent Celek and dropped Owen Daniels. Thoughts?
Many people who are still playing this week will encounter these tough decisions. You made it here because you have very good teams and depth, so arduous choices will be made. When you look at the players of this caliber, the one with the most downside needs to be left out. A microscopic eye is needed to break them down. White is an excellent start against the Saints. Despite a dud last week, Harvin was way too good the weeks before his three receptions for eight yards last week. If Darrelle Revis faces Hakeem Nicks most of the time, it will benefit Cruz. It doesn’t appear Ben Roethlisberger will play. That doesn’t mean Mike Wallace is an automatic sit, but in this case, I would bench him. Expectations need to be tempered if Charlie Batch starts at QB for the Steelers. Wallace is certainly capable of taking a short pass and breaking a big play and the Rams secondary isn’t very good. The move for Celek was smart. Daniels is a game-time decision and too risky to start.
Need a flex in a PPR between Santana Moss and Plaxico Burress.
I liked Moss in a good matchup last week against the Giants and he scored a TD. He only had four targets and caught two passes for 40 yards, but when the Redskins built a lead, they eschewed the pass for the run. In the three previous weeks in his return from injury, Moss had 26 targets. While he hasn’t produced any big games, he has scored in two straight. The Vikings are one of the worst teams against the pass and have been decimated by injuries in the secondary having allowed 31 TDs to just six interceptions. Burress also has a good matchup against the Giants, who have also given up a lot of passing yards. Burress is always a threat to score in the red zone, but he has just 10 targets resulting in four receptions in the last three games. He’s more of a risk, so go with Moss.
I need a RB/WR flex in a PPR out of Steven Jackson and Anquan Boldin.
Jackson has had some tough matchups the last few weeks and still put up good numbers, especially in a PPR league. Many will automatically send him to the bench this week with the Steelers on tap. The Steelers rank seventh against the run, but Jackson isn’t an automatic bench. Jackson had 20 carries for 63 yards with a TD and three catches for 60 yards against the Seahawks and 18 carries for 73 yards with nine catches for 72 yards against the Bengals the last two weeks. Take note the nine catches last week came with Kellen Clemens at quarterback, and he’s expected to start again. Clemens loves to check down, so Jackson could be in store for another good game in a PPR league. Boldin has been mediocre recently and hasn’t scored a TD in four consecutive games. He has just 16 receptions the last six games. Expect the Ravens to go run heavy against the Browns. When the Ravens have been successful, it’s a run-first approach. Expect that this week, and Boldin could see cornerback Joe Haden, too.
I need 2 RBs, WRs, and a flex from Arian Foster, Rashard Mendenhall, Willis McGahee, BenJarvus Green-Ellis, Dez Bryant, Victor Cruz, James Jones, and Anquan Boldin.
Foster is an easy pick and with Ben Roethlisberger likely to sit, expect Mendenhall to get a lot of carries against a Rams defense that ranks last against the run. At wide receiver, Cruz and Bryant are the picks. While Bryant has seen fewer targets with Miles Austin back, he has scored in two consecutive games and is a better option than Jones and Boldin. Cruz is the second receiver. Cruz hasn’t scored in three consecutive games, but he’s still getting a lot of targets with 26 the last three games. He has 18, 15 and nine points in a PPR league the last three games. At flex, go with McGahee as long as he’s healthy. McGahee ran really well last week with seven carries for 70 yards before leaving with an injury. He will be motivated to go against his former team and the Bills rank 29th against the run. The Bills have allowed 16 rushing TDs.
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Adam is a staff writer at RotoExperts.com. You can email him at aronis@rotoexperts.com, on twitter at AdamRonis or check out his Newsday blog.
