Dobish's Daily Bread

Recent Posts »

If you spend big in DFS, grab DeMarco Murray

If you spend big in DFS, grab DeMarco Murray

Daniel Dobish, Staff Writer September 20, 2014

Can you believe that we’re already in Week 3 of the NFL regular season. The good news is that while Fantasy owners in standard leagues are at the quarter pole of the regular season, we still have 15 weeks of action in Daily Fantasy. Let’s win some money this weekend.

WEATHER REPORT

1pm – San Diego at Buffalo (Temp near 70, SW wind 11 to 15 mph and 90 percent chance of precipitation)
1pm – Baltimore at Cleveland (Temps mid 70s, WNW wind from 15 to 18 mph and 40 percent chance of scattered t-storms)
1pm – Oakland at New England (Temps upper 80s, 50 percent chance of scattered t-storms)

(DraftDay.com salaries in parentheses) (all times ET)

BIG-TICKET ITEMS

DeMarco Murray, RB, Dallas ($14700 at STL): If you’re going to spend heavily on any one player, Murray has to be your guy. Sure, he has faced the St. Louis Rams just twice in his career, but he has had his best days as a pro against them. In Week 7 of the 2011 season, Murray rolled up 253 rushing yards on 25 carries with a touchdown, and in Week 3 of the 2013 season, he ran 26 times for 175 yards and a score while adding three grabs for 28 yards. This season, the Rams rank 29th against the rush, allowing 171 yards per game. Murray WILL go off again.

Cordarrelle Patterson, WR, Minnesota ($10700 at NO): If Fantasy owners aren’t salivating about Patterson’s matchup this weekend, well they should be. He will face the 32nd-ranked pass defense in the NFL, a Saints defense which has been dinged for an NFL-worst 10 plays of 20 or more yards through the air.

C.J. Spiller, RB, Buffalo ($10200 vs SD): As mentioned above, there is a high probability of rain in the Chargers-Bills game, and that likely means we’ll see more ground-based offense than usual. Spiller has toted the rock 27 times in the first two games while adding four receptions. It wouldn’t be surprising to see Spiller get 20 touches in Week 3, and on a potentially sloppy field, the Chargers could have difficulty wrapping him up.

MID-LEVEL VALUES

Matt Asiata, RB, Minnesota ($9700 at NO): Asiata isn’t as great of a DFS bargain as last weekend, but he still has a mid-level salary and he could shine in a potential shootout in the Superdome. While he ran 13 times for just 36 yards, he was targeted seven times out of the backfield, posting five grabs for 48 yards and a touchdown. Look for similar Fantasy production this week against a Saints pass defense which is dead-last in the NFL, allowing 323.5 yards per game.

Chad Henne, QB, Jacksonville ($9350 vs IND): Yes, really. If your Daily Fantasy provider requires two starting quarterbacks, Henne is a viable option. First off, the Colts rank 29th in the NFL against the pass, allowing 295 yards per game with a total of four touchdowns through two games. They have been dinged for three plays of 40 or more yards through the air. Henne isn’t great, but he should be adequate, and could pass frequently if his team gets behind early, too. He will also save you plenty of salary to spend on studs at other spots.

Kyle Rudolph, Minnesota ($8350 at NO): Again, we’ve mentioned multiple times about the inability of the Saints to stop the pass. Rudolph could very well make his way into the end zone for the second time in three games. He was targeted eight times in Week 2 against New England, and double-digit targets wouldn’t be surprising here.

BARGAIN BASEMENT

Alfred Blue, RB, Houston ($4000 at NYG): File this name away for Sunday, and when inactives are announced at 11:30am ET or so, make your decision then. RB Arian Foster (hamstring) is listed as questionable for this weekend’s game at N.Y. Giants. If he is declared inactive, Blue might step up and carry the mail. He had 11 carries last week to just three for Jonathan Grimes, apparently passing him on the depth chart. Blue could be a surprise against Big Blue if he starts.

Ahmad Bradshaw, RB, Indianapolis ($5950 at JAC): The Jaguars are allowing 168 yards per game on the ground with four rushing touchdowns through the first two games, and they cannot stop the pass either, ranking 26th in the NFL. There is plenty of opportunity for Bradshaw to get into open spaces, and at this low salary he is a player who could well exceed expectations.

Derek Carrier, TE, San Francisco ($4000 at ARI): Keep a close eye on the inactives before finalizing your lineup. Carrier was targeted four times last weekend, posting three grabs for 41 yards. With TEs Vernon Davis (ankle) and Vance McDonald (knee) having not practiced this week, and the team promoting TE Asante Cleveland from the practice squad Saturday, it appears Carrier might get the start. If so, he could easily exceed DFS salary expectations.

 

Wednesday’s Daily Fantasy MLB Pregame Update

Wednesday’s Daily Fantasy MLB Pregame Update

Daniel Dobish, Staff Writer September 17, 2014

There are 13 evening games in Major League Baseball Wednesday, Sept. 17.

EVENING TV SCHEDULE

7:10pm – Washington at Atlanta (ESPN)
10:05pm – Seattle at L.A. Angels (ESPN)

WEATHER REPORT

8:15pm – Milwaukee at St. Louis (35 percent chance of showers)

(DraftDay.com salaries in parentheses)

ATLANTA BRAVES

Braves SP Alex Wood ($17150) will be facing a lineup of Washington Nationals consisting mostly of backups (see below), as they rest their starters following the clinching of the NL East Division title. … C-OF Evan Gattis (illness) is sidelined due to strep throat, however.

BALTIMORE ORIOLES

The Orioles clinched the American League East Division title Tuesday, and their regulars are mostly getting a rest Wednesday. While OF Adam Jones ($9500) and OF Nelson Cruz ($11250) get starts, and 1B-OF Steve Pearce ($8850) is also in there, OF Nick Markakis is resting, as is 2B-3B Ryan Flaherty and 1B-3B Kelly Johnson.

CHICAGO CUBS

Cubs SP Kyle Kendricks ($13400) is a solid value at this price level, facing a Cincinnati Reds lineup with mostly reserves, as manager Bryan Price has benched his regulars due to poor performance (see below). … 2B-OF Arismendy Alcantara (wrist) is sidelined again, but hopeful of playing Thursday.

CINCINNATI REDS

Reds skipper Bryan Price has shaken up his lineup after a lackluster performance in the first two games against the Chicago Cubs. Regulars OF Jay Bruce, 3B Todd Frazier, OF Billy Hamilton, C Devin Mesoraco and 2B Brandon Phillips are all gathering some pine with youngsters C Tucker Barnhart ($5000), 2B-SS Jake Elmore ($5000), 1B-OF Donald Lutz ($5000), Yorman Rodriguez ($5000) and veteran INF Ramon Santiago ($6000) getting starts.

DETROIT TIGERS

Tigers 3B-OF Nick Castellanos ($6150) (foot) is in the starting lineup after missing one game with a left foot ailment. However, C Alex Avila (head) is sidelined after being smacked in the catcher’s mask by a foul tip, so C Bryan Holaday ($5450) gets the nod behind the dish.

MINNESOTA TWINS

Twins SS Eduardo Escobar (shoulder) left Tuesday’s game, and is sidelined Wednesday. Veteran SS-3B Eduardo Nunez ($6650) slides into the lineup in his absence. … 1B Kennys Vargas ($5950) has launched 16 homers this season, including Tuesday’s game, yet his DFS salary remains tremendously low.

NEW YORK METS

Mets OF Juan Lagares (elbow) is expected to miss a few games, according to manager Terry Collins. With Lagares sidelined Wednesday, TC is going with OF Kirk Neuwenhuis ($6900) in center field. He isn’t a terrible play if you’re looking for a low-end outfielder to help save salary for other positions.

NEW YORK YANKEES

Yankees 1B Mark Teixeira ($8350) (wrist) is back in the starting lineup Wednesday at Tampa Bay, and he is batting in the cleanup spot. At this mid-level price, and such an advantageous spot in the lineup, he isn’t a terrible play when healthy. … OF Carlos Beltran (personal) is away from the team on a personal family issue.

OAKLAND ATHLETICS

Athletics C Derek Norris ($6850) gets the start at designated hitter, while C Geovany Soto ($5000) gets a crack against his former team, the Texas Rangers, while starting behind the plate. Soto is an attractive low-priced option with an added side of vengeance.

PITTSBURGH PIRATES

Pirates SS Jordy Mercer (back) will miss a second consecutive game due to a tight back. SS Clint Barmes ($5350) will once again fill in, but he gives you absolutely zip in offense most nights. Using him is strictly to punt the spot and save salary for other areas.

WASHINGTON NATIONALS

Like the Orioles, the Nats are basking in the glow of clinching their division crown Tuesday night. Regulars are sitting, including SS Ian Desmond, OF Bryce Harper, 1B Adam LaRoche, C Wilson Ramos and 2B-3B Anthony Rendon. C Sandy Leon ($5000) does the catching, and he has a minimum DFS salary, and 2B-OF Kevin Frandsen ($5000) is also in the lineup. OF Jeff Kobernus ($5450) gets a look at second base, while OF Steven Souza Jr. ($5000) is in the mix as well.

 

Load up with Cardinals in DFS in Week 2

Load up with Cardinals in DFS in Week 2

Daniel Dobish, Staff Writer September 13, 2014

There was plenty of news in the National Football League leading up to Week 2, and outside of the Cincinnati Bengals selling a ton of Devon Still jerseys to benefit his ill daughter, most the news has been bad. First off, Baltimore Ravens RB Ray Rice was released after being suspended indefinitely for his ugly, ugly domestic violence situation with his wife, and then Friday came word that Minnesota Vikings RB Adrian Peterson has been indicted for child abuse, and he has been deactivated for Week 2. The game will go on in Week 2, and NFL Football is more popular than ever, and the black eye will heal.

WEATHER REPORT

1pm – Detroit at Carolina (lower 70s, 50 percent chance of showers)
405pm – St. Louis at Tampa Bay (lower 90s, 50 percent chance of scattered thunderstorms)
425pm – Houston at Oaklnad (lower 70s, patchy areas of fog)

(DraftDay.com salaries in parentheses) (all times ET)

BIG-TICKET ITEMS

DeMarco Murray, RB, Dallas ($12150 at TEN): The Dallas Cowboys lost in Week 1 against the San Francisco 49ers, but Murray certainly did his part. He had 22 attempts for 118 yards and a score, and he also snagged three balls for 25 yards through the air. Murray will have the luxury of facing a Tennessee Titans defense which is a bit soft in the middle, losing LB Zach Brown (pectoral) for the season this week.

Carson Palmer, QB, Arizona ($13150 at NYG): The Detroit Lions made the New York Giants secondary look like a semi-pro team in Monday’s early game, slicing them apart in a 35-14 victory. Sure, the Cardinals do not have Calvin Johnson, but WRs Michael Floyd and Larry Fitzgerald are pretty good. The Cardinals should do most of their damage through the air, and another 300-yard game with at least two scores is in the offing for Palmer.

MID-LEVEL VALUES

Zach Ertz, TE, Philadelphia ($8550 at IND – Mon.): The Indianapolis Colts were toasted for three touchdowns by TE Julius Thomas last week in Denver. While Ertz might not be able to come close to that type production, he could very well duplicate his effort from last week (5-77-1).

Michael Floyd, WR, Arizona ($10400 at NYG): The Giants secondary was torched by Megatron last week, and while Floyd is not in his league, at least not yet, he has the chance to hit the century mark and find the end zone at least once. Pairing Floyd with Palmer in Daily Fantasy leagues might be like double coupon day the grocery store. Enjoy the double dip.

BARGAIN BASEMENT

Matt Asiata, RB, Minnesota ($4000 vs NE): Asiata is expected to step into the starting lineup and see a majority of the carries with Peterson deactivated for Week 2. Rookie Jerick McKinnon ($4000) will also see carries, but Asiata figures to have better Fantasy appeal.

Tampa Bay Buccaneers DST ($6650 vs STL): The Buccaneers will be facing either a second- or third-string quarterback when they take the field in Week 2 against the St. Louis Rams. The mistakes could be aplenty whether Shaun Hill or Austin Davis get the nod under center.

Austin Davis, QB, St. Louis ($7750 at TB): Davis could get the nod in this game if Hill (thigh) is unable to play. Things have gone from bad to worse in the Lou. Davis isn’t expected to have a giant stat line, but he doesn’t provide considerable salary cap relief, allowing you to load up on studs at other positions.

Bobby Rainey, RB, Tampa Bay ($6850 vs STL): I’m not totally convinced RB Doug Martin (knee) is 100 percent healthy and ready to shoulder the load against the Rams, if he plays at all. He is listed as questionable, which usually means there is a 50-50 chance he’ll be active. Rainey should still see a fair amount of touches whether Martin plays or not, and with no DL Chris Long (ankle) on the field, there might be a little more room to operate.

Jonathan Stewart, RB, Carolina ($5950 vs DET): If you’re not sold on Rainey as a viable RB2 or ‘flex’ DFS play, Stewart might be your cup of tea. He is expected to lead the running back-by-committee Sunday against the Lions, as DeAngelo Williams (thigh) is not at 100 percent, and a big question mark.

DFS owners can trust Clay Buchholz Thursday

DFS owners can trust Clay Buchholz Thursday

Daniel Dobish, Staff Writer September 11, 2014

There are 11 games in Major League Baseball Thursday, Sept. 11, including a doubleheader between the Minnesota Twins and Cleveland Indians.

On this day, take a minute to be thankful we have baseball, which was a catharsis during such an awful, awful time 13 years ago. Sometimes we take things for granted how great we have it in this country. Freedom is a wonderful thing, and others do not like our great nation. Be thankful we live where we do, and let’s hope we never see a repeat of such tragic, awful and unspeakable events. Remember those who lost their lives on that tragic day 13 years ago. Never forget.

EVENING TV SCHEDULE

12:35pm – St. Louis at Cincinnati (MLB Network)
2:10pm – Oakland at Chicago White Sox (MLB Network)
7:05pm – Pittsburgh at Philadelphia – OR – Tampa Bay at N.Y. Yankees (MLB Network)

WEATHER REPORT

12:05pm/3:35pm – Minnesota at Cleveland (10 percent chance of precipitation, 12 to 15 mph wind from LCF)
2:10pm – Oakland at Chicago White Sox (0 percent chance of precipitation, 14 to 17 mph wind to RF)
7:05pm – Tampa Bay at N.Y. Yankees (40 percent chance of scattered t-storms)
7:05pm – Pittsburgh at Philadelphia (40 percent chance of scattered t-storms)
7:10pm – Washington at N.Y. Mets (40 percent chance of scattered t-storms)
8:05pm – L.A. Angels at Texas (40 percent chance of scattered t-storms)

(DraftDay.com salaries in parentheses) (all times ET)

BIG-TICKET ITEMS

Clay Buchholz, SP, Boston ($13350 at KC): Buchholz had a 5-7 record with a 6.20 ERA Aug. 3. Since then, he has chopped off nearly a run from his overall ERA, and he has lasted at least six innings in each of his six outings since. And entering play Thursday, he has back-to-back victories for just the second time this season. Buchholz beat the Royals back on July 18 at Fenway Park in his only appearance against the team this season, allowing four runs over six innings. He is working against journeyman SP Liam Hendriks in a very winnable game.

Mike Fiers, SP, Milwaukee ($15700 vs MIA): With weather concerns rampant along the East Coast, look to Cream City where they play under the protection of a retractable roof. Plus, Fiers has been red hot lately. The Brewers pitcher is 5-1 with a 1.57 ERA in six outings since being recalled from the minors Aug. 9, lasting at least six innings while striking out at least five batters in each appearance.

MID-LEVEL VALUES

Marcell Ozuna, OF, Miami ($8400 at MIL): Ozuna has been unconscious lately, hitting .406 (13-for-32) with three doubles, a triple, two homers and 10 RBI in the month of September. He has homered in three straight games in Milwaukee, and he has driven in at least one run in four consecutive outings. At a mid-level salary, Ozuna is a steal until he cools off or his DFS salary skyrockets.

BARGAIN BASEMENT

Jon Jay, OF, St. Louis ($7200 at CIN): Not many players have hit well against Cincinnati Reds SP Johnny Cueto over the years, but Jay has done well. He is 12-for-23 (.522) with a double, three homers, seven RBI and a 1.517 OPS in his career against the Cincinnati ace. Add to the fact he is hitting .395 (34-for-86) with two doubles, a triple, 10 RBI and a .942 OPS over the past 30 days.

Miguel Montero, C, Arizona ($7550 at SF): Over the years, Montero has had decent success against San Francisco Giants SP Jake Peavy. He has six hits over 20 at-bats (.300) with two doubles, a homer, three RBI and a .967 OPS. At this minimum salary, Montero is worth a roll of the dice.

Kennys Vargas, 1B, Minnesota ($7600 at CLE): Double check the lineups, as it is uncertain if manager Ron Gardenhire will play him in one or both of the doubleheader games. When he does play, Vargas is a phenomenal, cheap DFS option. He has driven in 26 runs over the past 27 games, posting an .843 OPS during the impressive span. He is also hitting .307 (35-for-114) with eight doubles and six homers during the stretch.

 

 

 

Tuesday’s Daily Fantasy MLB Pregame Update

Tuesday’s Daily Fantasy MLB Pregame Update

Daniel Dobish, Staff Writer September 9, 2014

There are 15 evening games in Major League Baseball Tuesday, Sept. 9.

EVENING TV SCHEDULE

7:05pm – Atlanta at Washington – OR – Kansas City at Detroit (MLB Network)

WEATHER REPORT

7:10pm – Colorado at N.Y. Mets (0 percent chance of precipitation, 11 to 14 mph wind in from RF)
8:05pm – L.A. Angels at Texas (0 percent chance of precipitation, 10 to 13 mph wind in from RCF)
8:10pm – Oakland at Chicago White Sox (50 percent chance of scattered t-storms, 10 to 13 mph wind in from RF)

(DraftDay.com salaries in parentheses)

BALTIMORE ORIOLES

The good news is that an MRI showed no major structural damage to the back of SS J.J. Hardy (back). The bad news is that he is still out until Friday. SS-3B Ryan Flaherty ($6200) gets the call in his absence. … SP Chris Tillman ($14000) makes the start against the Boston Red Sox Tuesday. He is 1-1 with a 2.81 ERA in three starts against the BoSox, posting 12 strikeouts over 16 innings with just one homer allowed this season.

BOSTON RED SOX

Red Sox 3B-OF Brock Holt (neck) has been under the weather lately, and he has been dealing with some neck discomfort. He remains sidelined, so avoid. 3B Will Middlebrooks ($5450) starts at third base, and 2B Jemile Weeks ($5000) gets the nod at second base tonight. Both could be decent low-priced alternatives. Weeks is in for 2B Dustin Pedroia (wrist), who continues to battle pain in his left wrist.

KANSAS CITY ROYALS

The Royals are without slumping 1B Billy Butler, who gets a night off to recharge. OF Josh Willingham ($8400) is handling the designated hitter duties.

LOS ANGELES ANGELS OF ANAHEIM

Angels OF Josh Hamilton (neck) continues to be sidelined due to his injury in the neck or shoulder area. With BroHam sidelined, OF Collin Cowgill ($5000) will be patrolling left field, with OF Kole Calhoun ($8750) in right and superstud Mike Trout ($13300) manning center.

MINNESOTA TWINS

Twins SS-OF Danny Santana (back) is out of the starting lineup Tuesday against the Cleveland Indians. OF Jordan Schafer ($6200) gets the starting nod in left field, and he mans the leadoff spot for manager Ron Gardenhire.

NEW YORK METS

Mets 3B David Wright (shoulder) is out of the lineup, as he is having an examination of his ailing shoulder. 1B-3B Eric Campbell ($5000) might be a nice, low-cost alternative at the hot corner.

NEW YORK YANKEES

Yankees 2B-3B Martin Prado (hamstring) is battling a left hamstring ailment, and he is sidelined Tuesday. 2B-SS Stephen Drew ($5400) gets the call at second base, and he is batting in the eighth spot. … OF Brett Gardner (abdomen) is also out of the lineup.

PHILADELPHIA PHILLIES

Phillies SS Jimmy Rollins (hamstring) is out of the lineup Tuesday, and manager Ryne Sandberg said he day to day. However, there were reports Monday that J-Roll would be sidelined a week with his strained left hamstring. Either way, avoid. SS Freddy Galvis ($5000) gets the starting nod. Another cheap option might be 3B Maikel Franco ($5000), who gets the start at third base.

PITTSBURGH PIRATES

Pirates 3B-OF Josh Harrison ($8800) (ankle) is back in the starting nine Tuesday, but DFS owners might want to give him a game or two to prove his health in one full game before plugging him back into the active lineup.