Fantasy Baseball: 2 Start SPs to Stream in Week 4
Need a quick stat injection in your pitching categories? Not to worry, FNTSY Sports Network’s Pat Mayo and Garion Thorne have your Fantasy Baseball needs covered with their top available Week 4 2-start pitchers.
Weekend Starting Pitcher Stream Options For April 19 & 20
Pat Mayo and Garion Thorne discuss streaming strategies and debate available starting pitchers for Saturday, April 19 & Sunday, April 20. They help you run through your Fantasy Baseball lineup, so you can pad wins, strikeouts or ratios categories.
GARION’S WEEKEND STREAMS
April stinks. It is, without question, the worst month to project and stream pitchers. Wednesday’s Toronto/Minnesota game was cancelled due to snow. Yeah. Snow. R.A. Dickey already blames wind, humidity, and most likely radio frequencies for the inconsistencies of his signature knuckleball, so I’m going to assume its effects are diminished in a blizzard. The first four weeks of the season are generally marred by injury, off-days, and the elements. This, obviously, creates turmoil in pitching schedules and match-ups. Did Martin Perez benefit from suddenly being pushed forward to start against Houston last Sunday? Sure. Did I intend to use him as a valuable two-start pitcher for Week 3? You better believe it. Needless to say, when streaming in the early part of the year you have be more attentive than normal – especially when it comes to the usually crucial weekend. There would be nothing worse than picking up Brad Peacock tomorrow and having him not pitch Sunday. Because then you just own Brad Peacock. You’re that guy. Actually, if you’re reading this Friday, maybe planning on picking up Jason Vargas for a Saturday stream, don’t bother. He was moved up to tonight. I’ll assume most outside the greater Missouri area were unaware of this and I honestly can’t blame you. Not often “Vargas” is trending on Twitter. Please – pay attention.
SATURDAY, APRIL 19TH
- Roenis Elias (3%) @MIA
- Jose Quintana (47%) @TEX
- Henderson Alvarez (2%) vs. SEA
- Eric Stults (3%) vs. SF
- Ivan Nova (48%) @TB
- Colby Lewis (2%) vs. CWS
- Brett Oberholtzer (3%) @OAK
- Kevin Correia (1%) @KC
- Kyle Kendrick (3%) @COL
- Bud Norris (2%) @BOS
Roenis Elias (3%) @MIA - Elias has already made his rounds through the AL West this season, posting his best outing of the young campaign his last time out against Texas. It will get substantially easier this weekend in Miami. Now, I’ll get this out of the way early – entering Week 4, we’ve just reached the cusp of 2014 stats actually meaning something. That said, most pitchers with good numbers might as well have “REGRESSION” tattooed across their forehead. Elias for instance sports a .222 BABIP and 84.3% strand rate. Yes, these will normalize, but you’re looking at the wrong stats. The key for the lefty will be gauging if his 17.6% line drive rate is an aberration or the beginning of a trend. If it’s the latter, Roenis definitely has some value. Also, regression works both ways. Don’t expect the Marlins’ league leading .340 team BABIP to sustain much longer.
Brett Olberholtzer (3%) @OAK – We all knew it had to happen at some point. Sooner or later I was going to suggest streaming an Astro, I mean, the entire rotation is generally unowned, so there’s 162 opportunities – one had to eventually look decent. Don’t let Olberholtzer’s 0-3 record fool you, he’s actually pitched quite well to begin 2014 and against top-end talent. The Yankees, Blue Jays, and Rangers managed just seven earned runs off Olberholtzer through 18 innings, equating to a stellar 2.93 FIP and 0.94 WHIP. A lot of this success is due to a change in pitch sequence. So far this season Olberholtzer is throwing his curve 28.1% of the time, up from 16.7% in 2013, and batters are hitting it a measly .177 clip. Add in a strand rate of 66.3% that is sure to at least normalize and there’s a ton to like about Houston’s lefty. Just remember, he’s still an Astro. Wins will always be at a premium.
SUNDAY, APRIL 20TH
- Juan Nicasio (3%) vs. PHI
- Robbie Erlin (8%) vs. SF
- David Hale (3%) @NYM
- Brandon Morrow (10%) @CLE
- Rick Porcello (38%) vs. LAA
- Robbie Ross (6%) vs. CWS
- Erik Johnson (2%) @TEX
- Phil Hughes (7%) @KC
- Hector Santiago (11%) @DET
- Carlos Carrasco (1%) vs. TOR
Robbie Erlin (8%) vs. SF – Erlin’s stat-line might be the most fun of any player in baseball right now. It makes almost zero sense. Through 11.1 innings this season, the San Diego rookie has fanned 14 batters and walked just one. Incredibly small sample size, but a 31.1% strikeout rate all the same. So you’d figure with all those whiffs, it’d be Erlin’s strand rate that would be unsustainable, right? No – it’s down at 63.6%, putting his 3.18 ERA nearly four times higher than his 0.83 FIP. Add in a 33.3% line drive rate, 12.2% swinging strike rate, and a 0.97 WHIP and you have a mess of stats pulling you in opposite directions. But let’s slow down. This is what we know about Erlin – he’s young, he’s talented, and if he wants to be successful he needs to start conserving pitches. He’s also got the benefit of calling Petco Park home and facing the suddenly slumping Giants offence, which, after a torrid start, has scored just 11 runs in their past five games. I like the match-up. Just don’t expect the strikeout numbers to stay where they are.
Robbie Ross (6%) vs. CWS – In the context of a streaming pitcher, Ross is a decent option. Even after leaving the bullpen he’s basically remained with a two pitch, fastball/slider arsenal, using the latter to rack up a respectable 6.5 strikeouts per nine so far in 2014. The problem is he’s just not as good as his 1.00 ERA or, well, Pat, suggests. Ross’ 10.7% walk rate through 18 innings is worrisome to say the least, and while that lack of control has yet to hurt him, he can’t sustain the pace he’s going at. His 88.5% strand rate is 7% higher than last season, which is slightly important when you consider last year he worked out of the bullpen. A 72% groundball rate is impossibly high, but necessary if Ross plans on continuing to induce a pair of double plays every nine frames. He’s due for a bad start and I can see it happening against a Chicago team that ranks 4th in the MLB in average and 5th in slugging percentage. Ride the hot streak if you must, but I warned you. Maybe respect the opinion of a man whose knowledge will bite your face off.
NBA Playoff Series Bets & Fantasy UFC on Fox 11
FNTSY Sports Network Gabriel Morency gets in-depth with expert handicapper Steve Merril of ProSportsInfo.com on the NBA Playoffs, breaking down the odds and the series odds of Round 1. Then MMA expert Robin Black of The Fight Network stops by to set up another Kountermove.com $1000 Freeroll for Saturday night’s UFC on Fox 11, headlined by Fabricio Werdum and Travis Browne. Finally, Gabe gives you his Plays of the the Day.
Gregory Polanco, Chris Johnson, Sidney Rice & NASCAR
FNTSY Sports Network’s Laura Diakun, Corey Erdman and Pat Mayo take a look at some of the top MLB Fantasy prospects who could be next to make their big league debuts: Oscar Taveras, Kevin Gausman and Gregory Polanco. Then Evan Tarracciano of RotoExperts.com joins Laura to figure out what the recent Sidney Rice and Chris Johnson signings mean to you and your Fantasy Football prep. Finally, Dan Dobish reflects on the NASCAR season to date with this weekend’s break in the schedule.
The Cincinnati Reds are Dividing the Fantasy World
Mike Cardano (@MikeCardano) discusses three polarizing Fantasy players: Homer Bailey, Tony Cingrani and Billy Hamilton.
Daily Fantasy Baseball Picks for April 18th
Mike Cardano (@MikeCardano) gives you some of his Daily Fantasy Baseball plays for April 18th…
Masahiro Tanaka, Jose Reyes & NBA/NHL Playoff Predictions
Hockey Hall of Fame writer Al Strachan joins Gabriel Morency to talk NHL Playoffs! As the first round continues, find out who he likes advancing and hear his thoughts on the current status of Canadian Hockey teams. Then Gabe is joined in studio by Pat Mayo to discuss the New York Yankees shutouts over the Cubs, Masahiro Tanaka and Michael Pineda, what to do with the oft-injured SS Jose Reyes and the NBA Playoffs. Finally, Gabe give you his Plays of the Day.
Daily Fantasy Baseball Picks for April 17th
Mike Cardano (@MikeCardano) gives you some of his Daily Fantasy Baseball plays for April 17th…
* Note, I forgot to recap yesterday’s Jedd Gyorko pick. Jedd was 1 for 3 yesterday with a single, a minor contributor to the cause…
Do you Believe that Players have a ‘Winner’s Mentality’?
Springer Projections, Calhoun Replacements and SP Pickups
FNTSY Sports Network’s Laura Diakun, Corey Erdman and Pat Mayo take a look at the hype surrounding George Springer,, his Fantasy projections and the next wave of Houston prospects that could be called up. Then they shift to young pitchers who are impressing early and Jim Johnson’s bounce back innings since losing his closing gig. The panel returns to discuss Prince Fielder’s slow start, Kole Calhoun hitting the DL & some replacements, injuries to the New York Mets rotation and Mayo’s PGA picks. Finally, Alex Myers of Golf Digest joins Laura to analyze this weekend’s PGA Tour event, the RBC Heritage.