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Baseball
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2B Jesus Guzman, 24 (L), Midland RockHounds (Oakland Athletics, AA) |
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Written by Jason Revelia, RotoExperts.com Staff Writer
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Thursday, 19 June 2008 |
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Diamond in the Rough 6/19/2008 
2B Jesus Guzman, 24 (L), Midland RockHounds (Oakland Athletics) This is the kind of player that makes me love what I’m doing. And the kind of pickup that proves all over again that Billy Beane is a genius. This past offseason Beane and company signed Guzman (then 23 a year old 3B out of the Seattle Mariners organization) via free agency. It’s appropriate that a GM like Beane would see talent where the dysfunctional Mariners organization saw trash. That is why those two organizations are going in opposite directions. Not that it would be odd for an organization to give up on a 23 year old who had failed at Advanced-A. Guzman however didn’t fail at all. In fact, most would say he was quite successful hitting, .301 with 25 HR and 38 doubles. I can hear the argument now “It’s the California League and everyone can hit there…especially a 23 year old”. Unfortunately for the fantasy faithful, too many people are too willing to slap a label on a player because of “common knowledge” concepts. That’s why you come to RotoExperts.com. Because we don’t take anything for granted. To some it might have seemed a correct assumption, but this 23 year old had only 85 Ks with 50 walks and spent his 21st and 22nd birthdays in Double-A. While he hit only .258 and .257 in ’05 and ’06, he did reward the Mariners in ’07 with a quality performance. That’s what the minor leagues are for right, learning the game of baseball? It was a dumb call by the M’s, but a great scoop for Beane and company. Whatever the reason may have been, kudos to Beane and his scouts for doing their job and finding a “Diamond in the Rough”. Guzman is listed at third base, but he is spending almost all of his time now at second base and hitting third in the RockHounds lineup. That position switch may take care of any defensive issues he had at third, and if he comes up as a middle infielder, there is some nice power production to drool over. Guzman started this year at AA and has been on fire, raking for a .354 average, 12 HRs, 19 2Bs, 2 3Bs and 5 SBs. For all you “Dynasty” or “Keeper” league players, this is a huge shout out to you. You had better look and see if you can use this kid on your team NOW before the word gets out about him (Oops! It just did.) and someone else grabs him. Don’t be the Mariners! The rats are bailing from that stinking…um, sinking ship as fast as you can say Geronimo! 2007 A+ (23) .301 BA 518 AB 102 R 156 H 38 2B 5 3B 25 HR 112 RBI 50 BB 85 SO 3 SB 3 CS .370 OBP.539 SLG .908 OPS 2008 AA (24) .354 BA 291 AB 50 R 103 H 19 2B 2 3B 12 HR 66 RBI 25 BB 50 SO 5 SB 5 CS .404 OBP.557 SLG .960 OPS |
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Last Updated ( Wednesday, 25 June 2008 )
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Brett Cecil, 22 (LHP), New Hampshire Fisher Cats (Toronto Blue Jays, AA) |
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Written by Jason Revelia, RotoExperts.com Staff Writer
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Tuesday, 17 June 2008 |
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Diamond in the Rough
6/17/2008 SP Brett Cecil, 22 (LHP), New Hampshire Fisher Cats (Toronto Blue Jays)
Brett Cecil was a college closer and a 2007 first-round pick out of the University of Maryland. Now, I know a first-round pick isn’t exactly what some people would call a “Diamond in the Rough”. I disagree…as I did when I featured Sean Doolittle in early June. There are times when guys who get drafted get lost in the shuffle, even though they are playing better than some of the more highly touted picks.
Someone needs to explain to me how a kid like this isn’t being talked about more after the start he has had to his career (97.1 IP, 2.31 ERA, and 108 Ks) not to mention that nasty slider he has.
Cecil is a left-handed pitcher with a low 90’s fastball with some sink, a hooking curveball, a changeup that is a work in progress and of course that nasty slider. I guess I should cut people some slack for not talking him up more since the Blue Jays are in the process of converting this college closer into a starter.
Don’t get me wrong, John Sickles has him as the 29th best pitching prospect and second on his Toronto Blue Jays Top 20. Baseball America also has him as their second overall Blue Jay prospect. So why haven’t I seen or heard more about him?
Cecil has been on a strict pitch count that is now at 75 pitches, which will increase as the Blue Jays stretch him out into starter. He has the makings of a number 2 or 3 starter and will be able to help fantasy teams quickly with his strikeout totals.
There are so many guys like Brett Cecil that get overlooked. Next thing you know you are hearing about them after someone else already owns him.
Here at RotoExperts.com we are making it easier for you to keep up with the minor league players you need to know about. For an in depth look at the 2008 Draft first-round draft picks and when you can expect them to impact your fantasy teams read RotoExperts.com own Mark Strausberg’s Article Mice and Men: Feeling A Draft.
2007 SS NYP (21) 1 W 0 L 1.27 ERA 14 G 13 GS 0 SV 49.2 INN 36 H 10 R 7 ER 1 HR 11 BB 56 SO 2.14 GO/AO .197 BAA
2008 A+ and AA (22) 1 W 1 L 3.40 ERA 14 G 14 GS 0 SV 47.2 INN 38 H 20 R 18 ER 4 HR 16 BB 52 SO 2.56 GO/AO .215 BAA |
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Last Updated ( Thursday, 19 June 2008 )
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Daryl Thompson, 22 (RHP), Louisville Bats (Cincinnati Reds, AAA) |
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Written by Jason Revelia, RotoExperts.com Staff Writer
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Tuesday, 03 June 2008 |
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Diamond in the Rough
6/03/2008
Daryl Thompson, 22 (RHP), Louisville Bats (Cincinnati Reds, AAA)
Daryl Thompson has had an interesting road to the Cincinnati Reds triple-A affiliate. He is the Reds last real chance to get any kind of return out of the highly criticized trade with the Washington Nationals of Austin Kearns, Felipe Lopez and Ryan Wagner for Thompson, Bill Bray, Royce Clayton, Brendan Harris and Gary Majewski.
Drafted out of high school by the Montreal Expos in the 8th round of the 2003 draft, Thompson made his debut that year in the Gulf Coast League and sported a 2.15 ERA in 12 Games. In 2004, he didn't continue on that path in Savannah (A-ball) where he finished 4-9 with a 5.08 ERA. The next season he started back in Savannah lowering his ERA to a decent 3.35 with 48 K's in 53.2 IP. Unfortunately that was the only good news in 2005. It ended in July with a torn labrum that required shoulder surgery. He spent most of 2006 rehabbing and getting back his form.
Thompson returned to A-ball in 2007 looking like a different pitcher, at least from a numbers perspective. In 28 IP at Class A Dayton he gave up only 16 H, 1 HR and 2 BB. He was promoted to High-A Sarasota, ending up with 105 IP and giving up 106 H and a troublesome 19 HR. The biggest stat in my book was the fact that he finished with 133 IP while showing strength and confidence in his surgically repaired shoulder.
This year has been a big step; no scratch that, a big leap forward for him, which always scares stat gurus who think...what if it's just an anomaly? I have a tendency to believe in an anomaly a little more when there is a bigger body of work to look at. Even though he is in his 6th professional season, he has only pitched 2 of those from start to finish. During his minor league career, we have seen glimpses of his ability to dominate hitters like he has this year. It was at the start of his '05 and '07 seasons, but it didn't last long. This year though it was at Double-A and has now moved quickly to Triple-A.
Thompson is a fly ball-strikeout pitcher, which is always a high-risk high-reward fantasy baseball pitcher. If he gets called up he will be pitching in one of the worst ball parks for pitchers. There is also the issue of recently called up Homer Bailey. The good news is he will almost certainly be under most people's radar and may provide you a perfect opportunity to find some help, especially with K's, in the second half of this year...so keep an eye out for him.
2007 A and A+ (21) 14 W 5 L 3.18 ERA 27 G 27 GS 0 SV 133 INN 122 H 54 R 47 ER 20 HR 33 BB 121 SO 0.67 GO/AO .243 BAA
2008 AA and AAA (22) 4 W 2 L 1.58 ERA 11 G 11 GS 0 SV 68.1 INN 48 H 19 R 12 ER 2 HR 16 BB 62 SO 0.83 GO/AO .203 BAA |
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Last Updated ( Thursday, 19 June 2008 )
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1B Sean Doolittle, 21 (L), Stockton Ports (Oakland Athletics, A) |
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Written by Jason Revelia, RotoExperts.com Staff Writer
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Thursday, 29 May 2008 |
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Diamond in the Rough 5/29/08 Sean Doolittle, 1B, 21 (L), Stockton Ports (Oakland Athletics, A)
Sean Doolittle is not your prototypical 1B. In fact, like many draftees, he will not be playing his main position in the majors.
Doolittle, the 41st overall pick of the 2007 Draft out of the University of Virginia, was a pitcher at UVa. A southpaw, he had 22 wins, a UVa record when he left school. Doolittle hit a lot but not for a lot of power...27 2B and 15 HR in his first two years at UVa. The lack of power could be somewhat be attributed to UVa's pitcher friendly home park.
That being said, it wasn't a surprise that Oakland drafted him to play first base and not pitch. After signing last year, he reported to Short Season Northwest League and also played in the Midwest League in 2007. The A's might have questioned their decision to make him a hitter and not a pitcher after he hit a paltry .243 last year. Of greater concern was his lack of power; 4 HR in 239 AB's. The A's showed confidence in him this year however by starting him off in High A and not having him repeat the Midwest League.
Doolittle did just what he needed to do in the off-season. He hit the weight room and added 15 pounds of muscle. He’s come out of the gate hot, hitting 12 HR in only 185 AB's and adding 14 2B for a nice .627 SLG. I love it when hard work pays off! His walk to strike out ratio isn't a cause for concern with 31 BB and 53 SO. That isn't a great ratio for the walk hungry Oakland organization but I don't think it will hold him back one bit...especially if he can keep his OBP (currently at an unsustainable .425) around .380. The fact that he might be a viable candidate to man one of the outfield corners some day makes me believe that if he keeps hitting that he could reach the Majors by 2010.
Doolittle isn’t a someone who has come out of nowhere. He has however been written off due to his poor showing last year. That could be a mistake, but those kind of mistakes are our bread and butter. We don’t believe he’ll be overlooked for long.
2007 SS NOR and A (20) .243 AVG 239 AB 29 R 53 H 13 2B 0 3B 4 HR 33 RBI 33 BB 50 SO 1 SB 0 CS .341 OBP.347 SLG .688 OPS
2008 A+ (21) .335 AVG 185 AB 39 R 62 H 14 2B 2 3B 12 HR 43 RBI 31 BB 53 SO 4 SB 1 CS .425 OBP.627 SLG 1.052 OPS |
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Last Updated ( Thursday, 19 June 2008 )
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Jeremy Hellickson, 21 (RHP), Vero Beach Devil Rays (Tampa Bay Rays, A) |
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Written by Jason Revelia, RotoExperts.com Staff Writer
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Tuesday, 27 May 2008 |
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Diamond in the Rough 5/27/08 SP Jeremy Hellickson, 21 (RHP), Vero Beach Devil Rays (Tampa Bay Rays, A)
Selected in the fourth round of the 2005 draft by the Tampa Bay Rays,. Hellickson has been a little overshadowed in the pitching-rich Rays system by Jake McGee and David Price. That’s why you read this column. Jeremy will be a Top 30 prospect on most lists by the end of this season. We (fantasy owners) need to take notice of the fact that to have really good success in fantasy baseball it is a must to find good young effective strikeout pitchers. For instance, look at Johnny Cueto and Edison Volquez this year. If you were able to get them on your squad, then you are looking pretty good. While young pitchers will struggle at times, but you can usually count on a strikeout pitcher throwing strikes, even if his peripherals are going through a bit of PMS.
Jeremy fits in this category with a 64/4 K/BB ratio over 56.2 IP so far this year. He has a couple of issues to work through, such as the 6 HR he’s allowed, but that could be an anomaly as he allowed only 7 all last season over 111.1 IP.
If he shakes his early fly ball issues we wouldn’t be surprised to see him as a Top 10 prospect next year. His bigger problem is the aforementioned Rays organization, which has probably the best batch of young arms in the minor leagues. In addition to long term rotation locks Kazmir, Shields and Garza, Sonnastine and Jackson have pitched well enough to silence any chatter about bringing up fresh arms from the farm, at least for the moment. But with Price, McGee, Chris Mason, Mitch Talbot, Wade Davis, Jeff Niemann and Wade Townsend waiting in the wings there’s a long line to the MLB buffet table.
The good news is Hellickson is only 21 so there is plenty of time to bring him along. If your league has minor league slots, Hellickson is one of those kids you should strongly consider adding to your development squad.
2007 A (20) 13 W 3 L 2.67 ERA 21 G 21 GS 0 SV 111.1 INN 87 H 36 R 33 ER 7 HR 34 BB 106 SO 1.03 GO/AO .214 BAA
2008 A+ (21) 5 W 0 L 2.22 ERA 10 G 10 GS 0 SV 56.2 INN 55 H 16 R 14 ER 6 HR 4 BB 64 SO 1.08 GO/AO .251 BAA |
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Last Updated ( Thursday, 19 June 2008 )
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More...
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SS Mike Aviles, 27 (R), Omaha Royals (Kansas City Royals, AAA)
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3B Matt Gamel, 22 (R), Huntsville Stars (Milwaukee Brewers, AA)
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Chris Perez, 22 (RHP), Memphis Redbirds (St. Louis Cardinals, AAA)
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Jesse Todd, 22 (RHP), Springfield Cardinals (St. Louis Cardinals, AA)
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