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Moving Up, Moving Down: From Out of No Where - Part Two PDF Print E-mail
Written by Jon Williams   
Tuesday, 27 May 2008

Last week we were able to take a look at the players that came from seemingly nowhere to bolster the hopes of fantasy owners everywhere. This week we examine the players that cost us top draft picks and huge auction dollars only to disappoint beyond all reason. This won't be a bashing of rookie pitchers like Ian Kennedy, Clay Buchholz and Phil Hughes. We won't be calling out Ken Griffey Jr. and Carlos Delgado for being old - if your fantasy fortunes were resting on these guys then you were doomed from the get go. These weren't sleepers. These were the sure things that fantasy owners drafted for without hesitation that are now costing them huge.

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Robinson Cano - He is finally showing signs of snapping out of his funk but it is still (no doubt) dismaying for his fantasy owners to look at Cano's stat line and see such pathetic numbers. As of May 24th, Cano was batting just .232/.284/.356 with four home runs. I've been of the opinion that Cano is overrated since he came up, but allowed myself to be swayed that he was for real mostly because they were right. Don't give up on Cano, he'll be Moving Up.

Rafael Betancourt - He was an almost unanimous choice as the player most likely to take over as closer mid-season and congratulations everyone, you got it right. Unfortunately for fantasy owners, Betancourt just doesn't have the guile necessary for the closer role as his 6.62 earned run average and 1.698 WHIP demonstrate pretty clearly. As a setup man he should return to his productive ways. He'll be Moving Up, just not as a closer.

Justin Verlander - The ace of the Detroit Tigers was supposed to lead this rejuvenated team to the World Series, but instead has joined the rest of the team in plummeting into the basement of the American League Central Division. There is a slight degree of bad luck here (a very low strand rate), but it's the loss of control that is turning Justin Verlander into just another lousy pitcher this season. His age is all that keeps me from labeling him as Moving Down, but for this season I would avoid him.

C.C. Sabathia - To be fair, there were more than few experts pointing out the warning signs after Sabathia pitched a career-high 241 innings and then tossed several more in the playoffs. But most fantasy owners had no fear and drafted him in the early rounds or paid large sums of auction dollars to acquire him. He has been better lately, but not one of his owners is happy to see a 5.14 earned run average and 1.48 WHIP from their ace starter. He is Moving Up, just don't invest too much in acquiring him.

Travis Hafner - After his slightly (by slightly I mean "very") disappointing 2007 season, Hafner buyers may have been willing to live without the 30 home runs they'd come to expect from the Cleveland Indians' Designated Hitter. But even the most skeptical owner wasn't prepared for the .214/.319/.351 line that their investment has brought. Last year's decline was a clear sign that this year's fall was coming. It's tough to imagine him falling any further but Hafner is clearly Moving Down.

Eric Brynes - Few expected Eric Byrnes to enjoy the same success of 2007 this season. The batting average and stolen base rate was better than anything he had ever accomplished previously in his career. This year he's also been suffering through a variety of leg injuries, which only lessen Byrnes' opportunity to bounce back from his dismal start, batting .215/.276/.373. If Byrnes takes the time to let his leg heal he has a chance to put in a solid season, but so far he isn't doing that and you're witnessing the results. He is definitely Moving Down from last season but don't give up on him just yet, especially if you can stash him on your bench.

Ryan Howard - Howard owners need to prepare themselves. When you get right down to it, Ryan Howard is just a slightly sexier version of Adam Dunn. He doesn't make enough contact to hit for a very good average, and is more likely to hit below .260 than to hit above it. He'll blast them out of the park on a regular basis, but his previous batting average success has been the result of a few lucky streaks. He isn't Moving Down but his average won't be anything to call home about come the end of the season.

Tom Gorzelanny - The G-Man has been living on the edge of disaster for a while, and has been costly for a lot of owners who were expecting something like his last two seasons. His control has degraded along with his strikeout rate, and that is a combination that spells fantasy danger almost every time. Avoid Gorzelanny until he proves to have significantly improved his control because until then he's Moving Down.

Andruw Jones - Like Travis Hafner, you weren't expecting 41 homers or a .300 average, but more than a few fantasy owners would be glad to see a .250,25 homer pace. Keep dreaming. His contact rate has fallen even further into oblivion and his power seems nearly non-existent. Avoid him like the plague he is. Jones isn't just Moving Down he's digging to new depths this season.

Share your thoughts with Jon as he blissfully shines his Fantasy Sports Writers Association membership card by writing him at This e-mail address is being protected from spam bots, you need JavaScript enabled to view it

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