Living proof why you shouldn't break the bank for saves.
To steal part of a line from the hit HBO series, Entourage, if I told you at the beginning of the season that the closers for the San Francisco Giants, Kansas City Royals, and Baltimore Orioles would all save 40-plus games, is that something you would've been interested in? My guess is that you probably would've mocked me for making such a brazen claim, especially because three of those four closers probably weren't even drafted in most leagues. But with Joakim Soria and George Sherrill combining to save 18 games in the last month, including seven saves in the last week alone, there's a good chance that some of those projections might actually be realized (or even surpassed if Sherrill can keep up his current pace of 56 saves). You see, when I mentioned back in April, "it's quite fun to rack up saves with a guy like George Sherrill while someone is drowning in misery because they wasted...um...I mean, spent a high draft pick on a guy like J.J. Putz", I received a flurry of e-mails from friends questioning my "expertise". Now, I'm not about to gloat over the fact that I was right. After all, I've been plenty wrong this year as well (see Brandon Lyon). I'm only bringing this up because it reinforces the overall point of my intro and, as Ben Ice once told me, an occasional "I told you so" is always good for the soul. Ah, I feel much, much better now. Let's be honest, saves aren't exactly a rare thing. If anything, history has shown us that saves are available either for free or at a discount during the course of a season (see Kevin Gregg and Jeremy Accardo in 2007). Sure, some will argue that K-Rod, Papelbon, and Mariano are worth the early pick (or major coin out of one's budget in auction leagues), but I'd counter that players like Sherrill, Soria, Wilson, and even Salomon Torres (and his Major League-leading 11 saves over the last month) have provided more bang for the buck. As for this week's Pecking Order, Mike Gonzalez enters and -- surprise, surprise -- Rafael Soriano exits. Other than that, things are holding steady. Stay tuned though. With Jason Isringhausen back and Eric Gagne due to return shortly, it could get very interesting over the next week or two. Stats as of June 24, 2008 “On Board” Mariano Rivera, NYY Trevor Hoffman and Rivera entered last week's Padres/Yanks series with exactly 1,000 saves combined. 21-for-21, 35.1 IP, 40 Ks, 0.76 ERA, 0.57 WHIP. Next in line: Kyle Farnsworth Third in line: Jose Veras (courtesy of reader Robert Oleksa from Bayonne, NJ) Jonathan Papelbon, BOS Pap blew a save this past week but don’t blame him. Blame it on the rain. 22-for-26, 34.1 IP, 45 Ks, 2.10 ERA, 0.90 WHIP Next in line: Hideki Okajima Third in line: Manny Delcarmen  | | After blowing a save on June 14, Joe Nathan converted his next three opportunities. Photo Credit: zrod09 |
Joe Nathan, MIN Nathan is well on his way to breaking the Twins all-time saves record. 20-for-22, 31.2 IP, 34 Ks, 1.42 ERA, 0.95 WHIP Next in line: Matt Guerrier Third in line: Jesse Crain Billy Wagner, NYM Since blowing his third consecutive save on June 12, Wagner has converted four straight without allowing an earned run. 17-for-22, 31 IP, 37 Ks, 2.03 ERA, 0.94 WHIP Next in line: Duaner Sanchez Third in line: Aaron Heilman Brad Lidge, PHI With Philadelphia struggling, Lidge hasn’t had a save opportunity in two weeks. 18-for-18, 31 IP, 40 Ks, 0.87 ERA, 1.03 WHIP Next in line: Tom Gordon Third in line: J.C. Romero Francisco Rodriguez, LAA On June 18, K-Rod blew his first save in over two months. Currently on pace for 64 saves. 31-for-33, 35 IP, 33 Ks, 2.06 ERA, 1.17 WHIP Next in line: Scot Shields Third in line: Jose Arredondo Matt Capps, PIT Fear not, his job is secure. 17-for-20, 36.1 IP, 26 Ks, 2.72 ERA, 1.02 WHIP Next in line: Damaso Marte Third in line: John Grabow George Sherrill, BAL By George, Sherrill will make you nervous. But more times than not he will get the job done. Case in point: After loading the bases against the Cubs on Tuesday night, Sherrill struck out the side to nail down save number 26. 26-for-29, 35 IP, 35 Ks, 3.09 ERA, 1.23 WHIP Next in line: Jim Johnson Third in line: Chad Bradford Bobby Jenks, CHI (AL) Jenks is one reason that White Sox fans are optimistic about 2008. 16-for-19, 29.1 IP, 19 Ks, 2.15 ERA, 1.13 WHIP Next in line: Octavio Dotel Third in line: Scott Linebrink Todd Jones, DET June: 6-for-6 with a 2.89 ERA 14-for-14, 28.1 IP, 10 Ks, 3.81 ERA, 1.38 WHIP Next in line: Joel Zumaya Third in line: Fernando Rodney Francisco Cordero, CIN Retired Bobby Abreu, Alex Rodriguez, and Jason Giambi to pick up his 14th save of the season last Friday. 14-for-17, 32.2 IP, 35 Ks, 2.76 ERA, 1.19 WHIP Next in line: Jeremy Affeldt Third in line: David Weathers Joakim Soria, KC Since blowing his first save of the season on June 7, Soria has converted seven straight. During that span, he’s only allowed two hits, while striking out seven. 20-for-21, 34 IP, 35 Ks, 1.32 ERA. 0.79 WHIP Next in line: Ron Mahay Third in line: Yasuhiko Yabuta Takashi Saito, LAD Not only are the Dodgers struggling, but Saito is too. June swoon: Two losses, 4.50 ERA, 1.63 WHIP. 11-for-14, 31.2 IP, 42 Ks, 2.56 ERA, 1.23 WHIP Next in line: Jonathan Broxton Third in line: Joe Beimel Huston Street, OAK Ugly week for Street: 3 IP, 5 ER, 1 BS, 1 L 14-for-17, 34.1 IP, 37 Ks, 4.19 ERA, 1.08 WHIP Next in line: Keith Foulke Third in line: Santiago Casilla Kerry Wood, CHI (NL) Wood is one save behind Brian Wilson for the National League lead. 19-for-23, 38.2 IP, 46 Ks, 2.56 ERA, 0.85 WHIP Next in line: Carlos Marmol Third in line: Bob Howry Trevor Hoffman, SD Hoffman entered Tuesday night’s game in a non-save situation, gave up back-to-back homers, and took the loss. More concerning, Hoffman hasn’t had a save opportunity in over two weeks. 15-for-18, 26 IP, 30 Ks, 4.85 ERA, 1.19 WHIP Next in line: Heath Bell Third in line: Cla Meredith Brandon Lyon, ARI Lyon picked up his 16th save against his former team, the Red Sox, on Monday night. 16-for-18, 30.2 IP, 21Ks, 2.35 ERA, 1.14 WHIP Next in line: Chad Qualls Third in line: Tony Pena Jon Rauch, WAS Courtesy of Yahoo Sports: Of the 35.2 innings Rauch has pitched, only 17.2 have been in save situations. In other words, Rauch is closing for a very bad team. 15-for-18, 37.2 IP, 34 Ks, 2.39 ERA, 0.93 WHIP Next in line: Saul Rivera Third in line: Joel Hanrahan BJ Ryan, TOR Ryan had a rough start to the month of June, but other than a single walk, he’s been perfect over his last 4.0 IP. 15-for-17, 25 IP, 27 Ks, 2.52 ERA, 1.28 WHIP Next in line: Scott Downs Third in line: Jesse Carlson Brian Wilson, SF Remarkably, Wilson hasn’t blown a save since May 2. He’s hardly been dominant though, sporting a 4.26 ERA in six June appearances. 20-for-22, 29.2 IP, 35 Ks, 4.55 ERA, 1.45 WHIP Next in line: Tyler Walker Third in line: Keiichi Yabu Joe Borowski, CLE Borowski has only had two save chances in the month of June. Even though he blew one of them, he’s still got a firm grip on the role. 5-for-8, 13 IP, 8 Ks, 8.31 ERA, 2.00 WHIP Next in line: Masa Kobayashi Third in line: Rafael Betancourt “On the Fence” Jose Valverde, HOU Something’s not right with Valverde, that's for sure. Unfortunately, I have no idea what that something is. 19-for-23, 37.1 IP, 47 Ks, 4.34 ERA, 1.42 WHIP Next in line: Doug Brocail Third in line: Oscar Villarreal Salomon Torres, MIL Gagne could be back within a week. I’m almost sure he’ll return as a setup man, but let’s see what Yost does first before jumping on board. 13-for-15, 44.2 IP, 30 Ks, 2.62 ERA, 1.28 WHIP Next in line: Guillermo Mota Third in line: Brian Shouse Kevin Gregg, FLA Walked two, gave up one hit, and yielded one earned run, but he still converted the save on Saturday. 13-for-17, 35.2 IP, 28 Ks, 2.52 ERA, 1.29 WHIP Next in line: Matt Lindstrom Third in line: Joe Nelson/Justin Miller Troy Percival, TB Breaking news: Percival’s hammies are acting up again. 18-for-20, 26.1 IP, 27 Ks, 3.08 ERA, 0.87 WHIP Next in line: Dan Wheeler Third in line: J.P. Howell Brandon Morrow, SEA Morrow has been dealing with back issues of late and hasn’t pitched in a week. Back problems, especially for a young pitcher, raise a red flag for me. 2 for 2, 20 IP, 30 Ks, 0.90 ERA, 0.95 WHIP Next in line: Mark Lowe Third in line: Sean Green Mike Gonzalez, ATL Gonzalez has looked great in two of three outings since returning from the DL (Tommy John surgery). With Rafael Soriano’s elbow acting up again, Gonzo could keep this job the rest of the year. The only thing holding me back from a full-fledged recommendation is his own injury history. Let’s see him go a few weeks without any setbacks. 2-for-2, 3 IP, 4 Ks, 6.00 ERA, 1.33 WHIP Next in line: Manny Acosta Third in line: Blaine Boyer Brian Fuentes, COL I probably shouldn’t have had him “On the Ledge” last week, since he’s still performing quite well as Colorado’s closer. The odds of him getting shipped out of town are still pretty good, so my advice from last week stands – start shopping him around. 13-for-16, 31.1 IP, 28 Ks, 2.01 ERA, 1.15 WHIP Next in line: Taylor Bucholz Third in line: Manny Corpas “On the Ledge” C.J. Wilson, TEX I think I’ve made it clear how I feel about this guy. Unfortunately, so has Ron Washington. 15-for-17, 31.1 IP, 24 Ks, 4.88 ERA, 1.31 WHIP Next in line: Eddie Guardado Third in line: Joaquin Benoit Ryan Franklin, STL It appears that Izzy has pitched well enough to get his job back. 10-for-13, 35.2 IP, 22 Ks, 2.78 ERA, 1.46 WHIP Next in line: Jason Isringhausen Third in line: Chris Perez “On the Shelf” J.J. Putz, SEA New Seattle skipper Jim Riggleman doesn’t think Putz will be back until after the All-Star break. Are you surprised? 7-for-10, 19 IP, 23 Ks, 5.21 ERA, 2.00 WHIP Rafael Soriano, ATL Here’s all you need to know: Mike Gonzalez looks good and there’s no timetable for Soriano’s return. 3-for-4, 9 IP, 11 Ks, 2.00 ERA, 1.22 WHIP Eric Gagne, MIL Gagne is set to make one more appearance in the minors before the team calls him up. Once he returns, he’ll probably be a setup man, but there’s no telling what happens the minute Torres blows one. 10-for-15, 19.1 IP, 18 Ks, 6.98 ERA, 2.02 WHIP Disagree with Paul’s analysis? 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