College Baseball · 6 months ago

D1Baseball Super Regionals Previews & Picks for Saturday

Sportsgrid Staff

Host · Writer

Why Follow Sharp Action?
Why Follow Sharp Action?
Sharp bettors wager early, big, and with purpose. Smart money doesn’t chase hype—it targets inefficiencies. When the handle percentage greatly outweighs the public bet count, it often signals smart money at work. The handle-to-bet ratios in these two matchups suggest Duke and LSU are positioned to dominate, and that totals action on LSU/WVU is quietly building behind the scenes.
Stay locked into SportsGrid for more market-driven insight as we move closer to Omaha.

Final Picks Recap:
- Arkansas ML (-175)
- Arkansas -1.5 (+100)
- UTSA ML (+135) (sharp money says ride the upset)
- Duke -2.5 (-130)
- LSU -2.5 (-115)
- LSU vs. WVU Over 11.5 (-130)
Stay ahead of the game and elevate your sports betting experience with SportsGrid.
D1Baseball Super Regionals Saturday
As the Super Regionals heat up, sharp bettors have begun to shape the board. As betting volume builds around Saturday’s Super Regionals, we see clear line movement and handle shifts hinting at where the sharp money is going. What’s the smart money telling us about Tennessee vs. Arkansas, UTSA vs. UCLA, Murray State vs. Duke, and LSU vs. West Virginia?

We broke down the odds movement and handle distribution to deliver sharply aligned predictions based on the latest BetMGM data.

WHERE TO WATCH SUPER REGIONALS
1 p.m. (ESPNU) - Murray St. (42-14) at Duke (40-19)
2 p.m. (ESPN) - West Virginia (44-14) at No. 6 LSU (46-15)
5 p.m. (ESPN) - No. 14 Tennessee (46-17) at No. 3 Arkansas (46-13)
7 p.m. (ESPNU) - UTSA (47-13) at No. 15 UCLA (45-16)

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Tennessee vs. Arkansas
- Opening ML: Tennessee +125 | Arkansas -150
- Current ML: Tennessee +135 | Arkansas -175
- % Bets (ML): 33% on Arkansas
- % Handle (ML): 80% on Arkansas
- Opening Spread: Tennessee +1.5 (-125) | Arkansas -1.5 (+105)
- Current Spread: Tennessee +1.5 (-130) | Arkansas -1.5 (+100)
- % Bets (Spread): 55% on Arkansas -1.5
- % Handle (Spread): 78% on Arkansas -1.5
Prediction: Arkansas ML & -1.5
Despite receiving just 33% of moneyline bets, Arkansas commands 80% of the handle, signaling heavy sharp action. The juice shift from -150 to -175 confirms significant confidence from high-stakes bettors. Add in the strong 78% handle on the -1.5 runline, and this looks like a sharp-backed blowout. Arkansas should win and cover.
UTSA vs. UCLA
- Opening ML: UTSA +160 | UCLA -200
- Current ML: UTSA +130 | UCLA -167
- % Bets (ML): 71% on UTSA
- % Handle (ML): 91% on UTSA
- Opening Spread: UTSA +1.5 (-135) | UCLA -1.5 (+105)
- Current Spread: UTSA +1.5 (-130) | UCLA -1.5 (+100)
- % Bets (Spread): 56% on UTSA
- % Handle (Spread): 44% on UTSA
Prediction: UTSA ML (Upset Alert)
This is the sharpest dog on the board. UTSA has seen the moneyline shift from +160 to +135, with 91% of the handle but only 71% of bets—a sharp steam move. UCLA’s runline hasn’t gained traction despite a favorable payout, indicating a lack of confidence on their side. UTSA is a live dog with real upset potential.
Murray State vs. Duke
- Opening ML: Murray State +350 | Duke -450
- Current ML: Murray State +260 | Duke -370
- % Bets (ML): 22% on Duke
- % Handle (ML): 31% on Duke
- Opening Total: O/U 12.5 (-120)
- Current Total: O/U 12.5 (-105)
- % Bets (Total): 11% on Over
- % Handle (Total): 9% on Over
- Opening Spread: Duke -2.5 (-130)
- Current Spread: Duke -2.5 (-130)
- % Bets (Spread): 44% on Duke
- % Handle (Spread): 49% on Duke
Prediction: Duke -2.5
There’s no value in the moneyline here, but the consistent line at -2.5 (-130) combined with nearly half the handle on just 44% of bets suggests sharp money is aligned with the Blue Devils on the run line. This is a classic case of public resistance but quiet professional confidence. Duke should win comfortably.
LSU vs. West Virginia
- Opening ML: WVU +260 | LSU -350
- Current ML: WVU +240 | LSU -325
- % Bets (ML): 41% on LSU
- % Handle (ML): 64% on LSU
- Opening Total: O/U 11.5 (-120)
- Current Total: O/U 11.5 (-130)
- % Bets (Total): 36% on Over
- % Handle (Total): 60% on Over
- Opening Spread: LSU -2.5 (-115)
- Current Spread: LSU -2.5 (-115)
- % Bets (Spread): 22% on LSU
- % Handle (Spread): 78% on LSU
Prediction: LSU -2.5 & Over 11.5
This game is loaded with sharp signals. LSU's run line has only 22% of bets but a massive 78% of the handle, a textbook sharp indicator. Add in 60% of the handle on the Over with just 36% of bets and a juiced total (-130), and you’ve got strong evidence that sharps expect LSU to pour it on. Ride both LSU -2.5 and Over 11.5.
Why Follow Sharp Action?
Why Follow Sharp Action?
Sharp bettors wager early, big, and with purpose. Smart money doesn’t chase hype—it targets inefficiencies. When the handle percentage greatly outweighs the public bet count, it often signals smart money at work. The handle-to-bet ratios in these two matchups suggest Duke and LSU are positioned to dominate, and that totals action on LSU/WVU is quietly building behind the scenes.
Stay locked into SportsGrid for more market-driven insight as we move closer to Omaha.

Final Picks Recap:
- Arkansas ML (-175)
- Arkansas -1.5 (+100)
- UTSA ML (+135) (sharp money says ride the upset)
- Duke -2.5 (-130)
- LSU -2.5 (-115)
- LSU vs. WVU Over 11.5 (-130)
Stay ahead of the game and elevate your sports betting experience with SportsGrid.
D1Baseball Super Regionals Saturday
As the Super Regionals heat up, sharp bettors have begun to shape the board. As betting volume builds around Saturday’s Super Regionals, we see clear line movement and handle shifts hinting at where the sharp money is going. What’s the smart money telling us about Tennessee vs. Arkansas, UTSA vs. UCLA, Murray State vs. Duke, and LSU vs. West Virginia?

We broke down the odds movement and handle distribution to deliver sharply aligned predictions based on the latest BetMGM data.

WHERE TO WATCH SUPER REGIONALS
1 p.m. (ESPNU) - Murray St. (42-14) at Duke (40-19)
2 p.m. (ESPN) - West Virginia (44-14) at No. 6 LSU (46-15)
5 p.m. (ESPN) - No. 14 Tennessee (46-17) at No. 3 Arkansas (46-13)
7 p.m. (ESPNU) - UTSA (47-13) at No. 15 UCLA (45-16)

Have all the intel you need? Free actionable info is one click away! Sign up for our daily newsletter, SportsGrid Daily.

D1Baseball Super Regionals Previews & Picks for Saturday

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