NCAA Final Four Top Player Props for Florida vs Auburn | CBB Bets
Grant White
Host · Writer
The Auburn Tigers are trying to do something unprecedented: make the National Championship Game. Standing in their way is a ferocious Florida Gators squad that hasn’t been to the Ship since the 2006-07 season.
As we’ve seen throughout the year, both schools have elite playmakers who can lead their respective squads to victory. Moreover, the Tigers and Gators feature deep rosters, with several players capable of stepping up when needed.
We’ve sifted through the betting market and data to come up with our three favorite props for Saturday night’s Final Four clash between Florida and Auburn.
Where to Watch Florida vs Auburn
- Arena: Alamodome
- Location: San Antonio, TX
- Date: Saturday, April 5
- Where to Watch: CBS
- Time: 6:09 p.m. ET
- Spread: Florida -2.5 | Total: 159.5
- Moneyline: Florida -155 | Auburn +130
- Florida vs Auburn Matchup Page
Please be aware that betting odds may change after the publication of this article.
Alijah Martin Over 13.5 Points -115
Even before he landed in Gainesville, Alijah Martin had built a reputation for his clutch performances in big games. Since he’s been with Florida, the Gators faithful have gotten a first-hand look at what Martin is capable of.
Martin is coming off a more modest 10-point performance in the Elite Eight, representing just the second time over the last seven games that he’s been held below 14 points. Across that seven-game sample, the senior has averaged 10.0 field goals per game, hitting double-digit shot attempts in five straight.
Increased shot volume is a good look for the over on his point total, but there’s another component. Martin has a lackluster 35.0% shooting percentage over his last two games. That puts him over 10 points below his season-long average of 45.5%, making him a natural progression candidate against the Tigers.
Martin has been in this position before, and we saw him put the FAU Owls on his back. He won’t need to shoulder the entire load, but we expect Martin to do his part and go over 13.5 points on Saturday night.
Thomas Haugh Over 6.5 Rebounds -135
Led by Alex Condon, Reuben Chinyelu, and Thomas Haugh, the Gators are one of the top rebounding teams in the country. All three will figure prominently on the boards versus Auburn, but we expect the most from Haugh against the Tigers.
Haugh has been a beast on the glass. The 6’9" forward is coming off an 11-rebound performance in the Elite Eight, making it 27 boards over the previous three games. He hasn’t fallen below seven rebounds in any of those contests while averaging north of 30 minutes per game.
Most notably, Haugh works hard on the offensive end. He’s recorded no fewer than three offensive rebounds in five straight games, averaging 3.8 per game. Auburn has struggled in this regard. The Tigers sit tied for 162nd in the country, giving up 8.7 rebounds per game. That flaw was exposed in the Elite Eight, with the Michigan Wolverines grabbing 11 last weekend.
Haugh is proficient in rebounding. Given his recent surge, particularly on offense, we’re taking a stance on the Gators forward going over 6.5 rebounds at the Alamodome.
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Johni Broome Under 31.5 Points, Rebounds, and Assists -115
He’s not done yet, but Johni Broome has already written his pages in college basketball lore. The Tigers’ big man has had a triumphant senior campaign, leading Auburn to new heights. However, the Gators stack up as one of the pre-eminent defensive forces in the country. Broome will have difficulty replicating his season-long success in the Final Four.
There’s also the added component of anticipated regression. Broome is coming off consecutive 20-point efforts, with his latest performance landing on the unsustainable spectrum. The Florida native went 10-for-13 from the floor in the Elite Eight, equaling a jaw-dropping 76.9% field goal percentage. Across his three prior games, Broome was operating well below that standard, scoring on 41.9% of his shots.
In terms of shooting percentage, chances are Broome lands somewhere in the middle in the Final Four. His chances of putting up another monster boxscore diminish as he works his way back to normal range. When we factor in his boards and dimes, we’re betting he comes short of 31.5 points, rebounds, and assists.
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