Popular Features

  • 2019 First Round NFL Mock Draft: Pre-Combine
    February 28, 2019
    2019 First Round NFL Mock Draft: Pre-Combine

    Pre-Combine NFL Mock Draft The 2019 NFL Draft is over 50 days away but the speculation on how the first round will go is in full swing. I have been waiting my whole football career to be in the position to do a first-round NFL Mock Draft and with so much intrigue, especially amongst the top…

  • First Round Rookie Mock Draft
    February 18, 2019
    First Round Dynasty Rookie Mock Draft

    With the Combine only a couple of weeks away, now seems like a good time to start evaluating not just who to target in dynasty rookie drafts, but where those targets may go in your league. I got together with Davis Mattek (@DavisMattek) to do a first round rookie mock draft. Our objective in this…

  • Dynasty Fantasy Football Rookie Rankings premium
    March 1, 2019
    2019 NFL Draft: Pre-Combine Dynasty Fantasy Football Rookie Rankings

    Pre-Combine Dynasty Fantasy Football Rookie Rankings Earlier this week, Anthony Amico published his pre-combine rookie WR rankings. Now that the NFL combine is upon us, here are my Dynasty Fantasy Football Rookie Rankings. I have done them by position: Quarterback, Wide Receiver, Running Back and Tight End. These positional rankings are going to change for…

  • The 2019 Post-Combine RB Success Model 2
    March 2, 2019
    The 2019 Post-Combine RB Success Model

    Which 2019 RB Prospects Have the Best Odds to Succeed? I’ve been doing a lot of modeling on the wide receiver side of things so far, but very little with running backs. There are some new modeling techniques I’ve been eager to try, with one of them being a logistic regression to find success probability…

  • 2019 NFL Draft Prospect Profile: Josh Jacobs, Alabama
    March 15, 2019
    2019 NFL Draft Prospect Profile: Josh Jacobs, Alabama

    Josh Jacobs 2019 NFL Draft Prospect Profile Scouting Report Josh Jacobs is not an easy prospect to evaluate. For most NFL scouts and self-styled NFL Draft analysts on the internet, he is either the best running back in the 2019 NFL draft class or at least in the conversation. I have a distinct feeling that…

  • You Are Probably Too Low On Damien Williams For Fantasy Football
    March 19, 2019
    You Are Probably Too Low On Damien Williams For Fantasy Football

    Damien Williams: First Round Fantasy Football Pick Damien Williams is being ranked and drafted erroneously. As of this moment, his Expert Consensus Ranking on Fantasy Pros (which combines rankings from across the industry) plants him as the 43rd overall player. At the running back position, he is being ranked behind Derrick Henry, Kerryon Johnson, Phillip…

  • 2019 NFL Draft Prospect Profile: Deebo Samuel, South Carolina
    March 19, 2019
    2019 NFL Draft Prospect Profile: Deebo Samuel, South Carolina

    Deebo Samuel 2019 NFL Draft Prospect Profile Scouting Report Deebo Samuel has had a wild ride as a prospect. In 2017 lists and at the start of the 2018 season, he was perhaps regarded as one of the best wide receiver prospects in the entire class. Samuel was pretty consistently hampered by injury while at…

  • Fantasy Football Free Agency: Tyrell Williams & Oakland Raiders 2
    March 19, 2019
    Fantasy Football Free Agency: Tyrell Williams & Oakland Raiders

    Fantasy Football Free Agency: Tyrell Williams Signs With The Oakland Raiders The wide receiver market was not nearly as good in free agency as it was via trade, making Tyrell Williams one of the best options out there for teams to sign. The Raiders made what appeared to be a sizable commitment for him – four years and…

  • 2019 NFL Draft Prospect Profiles: David Montgomery, Iowa State
    March 18, 2019
    2019 NFL Draft Prospect Profiles: David Montgomery, Iowa State

    David Montgomery 2019 NFL Draft Prospect Profile Scouting Report More so than any other running back (other than the undraftable Elijah Holyfield), David Montgomery did himself no favors at the NFL Combine. Before the combine, it was assumed that either Montgomery or Josh Jacobs would be the top running back selected in the NFL Draft.…

  • 2019 NFL Draft Prospect Profile: Marquise Brown, Oklahoma
    March 18, 2019
    2019 NFL Draft Prospect Profile: Marquise Brown, Oklahoma

    2019 NFL Draft Prospect Profile Scouting Report: Marquise Brown Marquise Brown, the ‘Hollywood’ cousin of new Oakland Raiders wide receiver Antonio Brown, put on a dazzling show his final season at Oklahoma. Playing with Heisman Trophy winner Kyler Murray, he played his way into the first round of the NFL Draft conversation. Unfortunately, he was…

Rockin’ Thomas Rawls in the Fantasy Football Playoffs

RotoExperts Staff December 7, 2016 9:15PM EDT

It’s ride or die weekend in Fantasy Football. Some lucky cats get to enjoy the first-round bye, while others do battle on the imaginary gridiron with the hope of advancement. Who are the running backs to trust this week? Beyond the elite five or six who start every week no matter what, now is the time when matchups do come into focus. As mentioned last week, Matt Forte is a tremendous play this weekend, as the Jets look to rebound from an abysmal Monday Night Football loss to the Colts, with a tasty matchup out west against the 49ers. Forte should do very well, particularly because Bryce Petty will be the starting quarterback. There are others who stand to excel this week and over the rest of the second season. Here are a few players who will likely be the catalyst for owners on the drive to the chip, and a few players (and a whole team) who aren’t likely to get to Fantasy paydirt for the hopeful few who insist on trotting them out there each week, hoping for a different result.

Trending Up:

Thomas Rawls is a bona fide RB1 the rest of this season. Photo Credit: John Sommers/Icon Sportswire

Thomas Rawls is a bona fide RB1 the rest of this season. Photo Credit: John Sommers/Icon Sportswire

Thomas Rawls – Sunday night’s bloodbath showed exactly why the Seahawks waited for Rawls, and why it was apparently so easy to kick Christine Michael to the curb. Rawls came out hot with two touchdowns in the first half, and finished with 106 rushing yards on only 15 carries. He missed some time in the second quarter while getting run through the concussion protocol and still managed to have a terrific night, even after returning in the second half. Rawls is a bona fide RB2 with RB1 upside down the stretch.

Alfred Morris – Alf has been little more than a ghost for the majority of the season, amassing just 231 yards on 61 carries. But the Cowboys are essentially one win away from clinching the NFC East, and two wins away from locking up the top seed in the Conference. What this could mean is heavy doses of Alfred Morris as soon as Week 15, depending on what happens this weekend against the Giants, and what the Seahawks manage against Green Bay. The Cowboys will want to preserve premier asset Ezekiel Elliott, and if they rest the rookie, Morris enters the picture as an RB2 just in time for the Fantasy Football finals. You want a lottery ticket? Here it is.

Jordan Howard – The Bears are terribly one-dimensional, and on Sunday that one dimension ran roughshod over the 49ers; 32 carries for 117 yards and three touchdowns later, the rookie is 117 yards away from a thousand-yard season. More than anything else, this shows anyone with eyes that the iron clad rule of Fantasy Football in 2016 is: Always start your running back against the 49ers. Howard is showing that he is capable of being the top back full-time for Chicago with five games of 100 or more yards on the year, and over 1,100 yards from scrimmage. Howard is locked in as an RB2 against the Lions this week.

Trending Down:

The Green Bay PackersWith just three rushing TDs for the season, and none of them by a starting halfback, the Packers’ running game is officially nonexistent. Many of us had high hopes for James Starks, filling in for Eddie Lacy. Still others thought that Ty Montgomery would be “the man.” The signing of castoffs, Knile Davis and then Christine Michael, seemed to portend a new dawn for the Packers’ offense, but nothing has changed. This is a pass-first team with a revolving door at RB. Avoid all Packers RBs at all costs.

Theo Riddick – The Lions are having a fine season and are currently in command of the NFC North at 8-4. What’s concerning, though, is that Theo Riddick, their presumptive lead running back, hasn’t been able to get any consistency as the Lions attempt to establish their running game. With just 17 rushing attempts in his last three games, Riddick is primarily, if not exclusively, a PPR threat (18 receptions over the same span). On Sunday against the Saints, Riddick managed his first touchdown since October, and even in a mostly friendly matchup, he could only muster 17 yards from scrimmage. The Fantasy Football playoffs feature faceoffs against the Bears, Giants and Cowboys for Detroit, which is pretty middle of the road with the good (Bears) and the less good (Giants and Cowboys). Riddick has become hard to trust of late, and is ideally suited as a matchup dependent FLEX candidate, particularly in PPR formats.

Wendell Smallwood Expectations were pretty high when Smallwood was named the starter, after Ryan Mathews was diagnosed with a sprained MCL and expected to miss a few weeks. Instead, the Eagles have gone almost 50-50 with the workload between Smallwood and Darren Sproles, whom the coaches trust in pass protection much more than the rookie. Rumor again is that he will be the “featured” running back this week against the Bengals, but the “fool me once…” line comes to mind. Smallwood has had 66 yards from scrimmage over the last two games in which he had also been the apparent “featured” running back. Wild Card weekend is not the week to throw darts and hope for a big game from a boom or bust back. When the floor is another sub 50-yard game, and an aggressive ceiling is 15 carries for about 80 yards, I just don’t see Smallwood getting the volume of work or the right kind of work (e.g. red zone/goal line); he’s simply too hard to trust in a must-win week.

Popular Features

  • 2019 First Round NFL Mock Draft: Pre-Combine
    February 28, 2019
    2019 First Round NFL Mock Draft: Pre-Combine

    Pre-Combine NFL Mock Draft The 2019 NFL Draft is over 50 days away but the speculation on how the first round will go is in full swing. I have been waiting my whole football career to be in the position to do a first-round NFL Mock Draft and with so much intrigue, especially amongst the top…

  • First Round Rookie Mock Draft
    February 18, 2019
    First Round Dynasty Rookie Mock Draft

    With the Combine only a couple of weeks away, now seems like a good time to start evaluating not just who to target in dynasty rookie drafts, but where those targets may go in your league. I got together with Davis Mattek (@DavisMattek) to do a first round rookie mock draft. Our objective in this…

  • Dynasty Fantasy Football Rookie Rankings premium
    March 1, 2019
    2019 NFL Draft: Pre-Combine Dynasty Fantasy Football Rookie Rankings

    Pre-Combine Dynasty Fantasy Football Rookie Rankings Earlier this week, Anthony Amico published his pre-combine rookie WR rankings. Now that the NFL combine is upon us, here are my Dynasty Fantasy Football Rookie Rankings. I have done them by position: Quarterback, Wide Receiver, Running Back and Tight End. These positional rankings are going to change for…

  • The 2019 Post-Combine RB Success Model 2
    March 2, 2019
    The 2019 Post-Combine RB Success Model

    Which 2019 RB Prospects Have the Best Odds to Succeed? I’ve been doing a lot of modeling on the wide receiver side of things so far, but very little with running backs. There are some new modeling techniques I’ve been eager to try, with one of them being a logistic regression to find success probability…

  • 2019 NFL Draft Prospect Profile: Josh Jacobs, Alabama
    March 15, 2019
    2019 NFL Draft Prospect Profile: Josh Jacobs, Alabama

    Josh Jacobs 2019 NFL Draft Prospect Profile Scouting Report Josh Jacobs is not an easy prospect to evaluate. For most NFL scouts and self-styled NFL Draft analysts on the internet, he is either the best running back in the 2019 NFL draft class or at least in the conversation. I have a distinct feeling that…

  • You Are Probably Too Low On Damien Williams For Fantasy Football
    March 19, 2019
    You Are Probably Too Low On Damien Williams For Fantasy Football

    Damien Williams: First Round Fantasy Football Pick Damien Williams is being ranked and drafted erroneously. As of this moment, his Expert Consensus Ranking on Fantasy Pros (which combines rankings from across the industry) plants him as the 43rd overall player. At the running back position, he is being ranked behind Derrick Henry, Kerryon Johnson, Phillip…

  • 2019 NFL Draft Prospect Profile: Deebo Samuel, South Carolina
    March 19, 2019
    2019 NFL Draft Prospect Profile: Deebo Samuel, South Carolina

    Deebo Samuel 2019 NFL Draft Prospect Profile Scouting Report Deebo Samuel has had a wild ride as a prospect. In 2017 lists and at the start of the 2018 season, he was perhaps regarded as one of the best wide receiver prospects in the entire class. Samuel was pretty consistently hampered by injury while at…

  • Fantasy Football Free Agency: Tyrell Williams & Oakland Raiders 2
    March 19, 2019
    Fantasy Football Free Agency: Tyrell Williams & Oakland Raiders

    Fantasy Football Free Agency: Tyrell Williams Signs With The Oakland Raiders The wide receiver market was not nearly as good in free agency as it was via trade, making Tyrell Williams one of the best options out there for teams to sign. The Raiders made what appeared to be a sizable commitment for him – four years and…

  • 2019 NFL Draft Prospect Profiles: David Montgomery, Iowa State
    March 18, 2019
    2019 NFL Draft Prospect Profiles: David Montgomery, Iowa State

    David Montgomery 2019 NFL Draft Prospect Profile Scouting Report More so than any other running back (other than the undraftable Elijah Holyfield), David Montgomery did himself no favors at the NFL Combine. Before the combine, it was assumed that either Montgomery or Josh Jacobs would be the top running back selected in the NFL Draft.…

  • 2019 NFL Draft Prospect Profile: Marquise Brown, Oklahoma
    March 18, 2019
    2019 NFL Draft Prospect Profile: Marquise Brown, Oklahoma

    2019 NFL Draft Prospect Profile Scouting Report: Marquise Brown Marquise Brown, the ‘Hollywood’ cousin of new Oakland Raiders wide receiver Antonio Brown, put on a dazzling show his final season at Oklahoma. Playing with Heisman Trophy winner Kyler Murray, he played his way into the first round of the NFL Draft conversation. Unfortunately, he was…