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CONSISTENTLY CONSISTENT WRs

Bob Lung Staff Writer February 16, 2012 10:02AM EDT
It’s one thing to be consistent during one season in Fantasy football. However, it’s those players who are consistently consistent that make up the real Fantasy studs. These players are the ones that should be drafted in the early rounds of most drafts. A consistently consistent player also shows that that player has remained steadily healthy as well, which is just as important as their performance.

This week we will look at the consistently consistent wide receivers. The Top 50 most consistent wide receivers and the number of Quality Games Earned each year are listed below.

I’m going to break these Top 50 into four tiers, analyze each tier and provide some insight on the players within each tier.

Rank Player Name
2009
2010
2011
Total
1 Roddy White
10
14
14
38
2 Larry Fitzgerald
13
11
11
35
3 Calvin Johnson
9
10
15
34
4 Mike Wallace
7
11
14
32
5 Wes Welker
11
9
12
32
6 Marques Colston
11
11
10
32
7 Greg Jennings
9
11
11
31
8 Hakeem Nicks
7
12
11
30
9 Reggie Wayne
11
11
7
29
10 Brandon Marshall
10
8
10
28
11 Percy Harvin
7
8
12
27
12 Dwayne Bowe
7
9
11
27
13 DeSean Jackson
11
7
8
26
14 Jeremy Maclin
7
11
8
26
15 Miles Austin
11
9
6
26
16 Andre Johnson
13
9
4
26
17 Santonio Holmes
10
6
9
25
18 Santana Moss
7
12
6
25
19 Steve Smith (CAR)
10
3
11
24
20 Brandon Lloyd
1
12
10
23
21 Pierre Garcon
7
9
7
23
22 Steve Johnson
0
10
12
22
23 Anquan Boldin
9
7
6
22
24 Davone Bess
7
11
4
22
25 Mario Manningham
8
10
4
22
26 Nate Burleson
6
5
9
20
27 Michael Crabtree
5
6
9
20
28 Donald Driver
9
5
6
20
29 Robert Meachem
8
6
6
20
30 Hines Ward
11
7
2
20
31 Nate Washington
4
5
10
19
32 Jabar Gaffney
4
6
9
19
33 Vincent Jackson
10
1
8
19
34 Steve Smith (NYG/PHI)
14
5
0
19
35 Mike Williams (TB)
0
11
7
18
36 Steve Breaston
6
5
6
17
37 Austin Collie
9
6
2
17
38 Derrick Mason
10
7
0
17
39 Dez Bryant
0
5
11
16
40 Jordy Nelson
3
2
11
16
41 Deion Branch
3
6
7
16
42 Brian Hartline
5
7
4
16
43 Sidney Rice
11
1
4
16
44 Jerricho Cotchery
9
4
3
16
45 Randy Moss
12
4
0
16
46 Chad OchoCinco
10
6
0
16
47 James Jones
4
6
5
15
48 Braylon Edwards
5
10
0
15
49 Lance Moore
1
8
5
14
50 Roy Williams
6
4
4
14


Tier One – The Elite (Ranks 1 – 8)

The Triple Double group is very small for wide receivers. We start with the top two most consistent receivers over the past three seasons, Roddy White and Larry Fitzgerald. The surprise is the third Triple Double receiver and that is Marques Colston.

The remainder of the Top Eight is no surprise. Calvin Johnson had a career year this season and Wes Welker is PPR gold every season when he’s healthy. Next is a quality trio of receivers. Mike Wallace, Greg Jennings and Hakeem Nicks have all earned double digit Quality Games over the past two seasons and are easily late first or early second round picks next season.


Tier Two – The Above Average (Ranks 9 – 18)

Reggie Wayne was expected to remain in Tier One at the end of 2011, but Peyton Manning’s injury hurt his opportunities this season. Brandon Marshall returned to form with his 10 Quality Games in 2011 and should be a good value pick in 2012.

Some of other good value picks in 2012 from this tier include Percy Harvin, Jeremy Maclin and Miles Austin. Harvin’s value will be the highest of these three since he ended the season ranked tied for fourth in Quality Games with 12. Maclin and Austin had injury issues in 2011 and will see their stock drop, but when healthy these two are extremely consistent.

Andre Johnson will be the one to watch, as we get closer to preseason in August. If he’s 100 percent healthy again, he’s a first or second round pick. However, there’s a little too much risk for me when choosing someone that high.

 

Tier Three – The Average (Ranks 19 – 30)

Steve Smith, from Carolina, is a surprise to be this low. However, his three Quality Games in 2010 is the reason for his ranking. The emergence of Cam Newton should continue my faith in Smith’s consistency for 2012. However, during the 2011 season, Smith earned seven Quality Games in his first eight games, but he only earned four over his last eight games. It wasn’t Newton’s fault. Newton still earned six Quality Games over the last eight games. This means that Carolina needs to find a better WR2 to keep teams from double-teaming Smith. If they don’t, stay away from drafting Smith early in this year’s draft.

Steve Johnson is the opposite of Steve Smith; he got better as the season progressed. He earned six straight Quality Games over the last six games of 2011. Mario Manningham will be an intriguing pick in 2012. He missed five games in 2011 and only earned four Quality Games due to the emergence of Victor Cruz. If all three Giants’ receivers are healthy in 2012, where all of the targets going to go? Manningham will be a great late round pick for handcuffing to Nicks or Cruz.

 

Tier Four – The Others (Ranks 31 – 50)

Let’s separate three players from list right away. Jordy Nelson and Dez Bryant are low WR1 picks in 2012, and Nate Washington showed some solid consistency during Kenny Britt’s absence and still should be a good value WR3 in 2012.

Vincent Jackson sits here due to his inconsistency and only one Quality Game in 2010. He will always be over-drafted and will never be on my team until he proves he can be a more consistent Fantasy player.

Mike Williams went from an extremely consistent rookie to an inconsistent sophomore player. I partly blame the horrible play by Josh Freeman and the rest of the Buccaneers’ offense. I like Williams as a late round pick in 2012 especially if Tampa Bay can improve their offensive weapons around him.

There are your most consistent wide receivers over the past three seasons. Keep this information handy as you prepare for your drafts this season. Consistency is good but consistently consistent is great!

 

If you have any questions about the Quality Game Scores, you can email me at blung@rotoexperts.com. You can also follow me on Twitter.


2 Comments »

  1. jwmann2 February 19, 2012 at 4:07 pm -

    Wow. Didn’t expect to see Roddy at the top of that list. I still say Bowe and Andre Johnson are the most under utilized and under valued receivers in this league.

    • Bob Lung, Staff Writer
      Bob Lung, Staff Writer February 19, 2012 at 5:11 pm -

      Yes, I agree. Bowe is always a great value due to his consistency. Johnson is a great pick (when healthy) regardless of format.

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