Popular Features

  • Ranking the NFL Offenses for Fantasy Purposes
    February 24, 2020
    Initial 2020 Dynasty Fantasy Football Rankings: Two Players You Are Way Too Low On

    2020 Dynasty Fantasy Football Rankings The Super Bowl was three weeks ago, meaning there hasn’t been NFL football played in almost a month. The thing about dynasty fantasy football, however, is that it never sleeps. Never. This especially applies to dynasty fantasy football, which is a complete 12-month project embarked upon every year. Right now…

  • 2020 Dynasty Fantasy Football Rankings premium
    February 3, 2020
    2020 Dynasty Fantasy Football Rankings

    2020 Dynasty Fantasy Football Rankings The 2019-20 football season is finally past us. The Kansas City Chiefs won the Super Bowl, Damien Williams proved that Kareem Hunt never mattered and…now we are on to winning dynasty fantasy football titles in 2020. With a sensational rookie class including a stud quarterback and multiple star wide receivers,…

  • Don't Draft Lamar Jackson: Draft The NEXT Lamar Jackson
    February 20, 2020
    Don’t Draft Lamar Jackson: Draft The NEXT Lamar Jackson

    Don’t Draft Lamar Jackson: Draft The NEXT Lamar Jackson Owning Lamar Jackson in 2019 was a great experience; he was the main player we told you last year to draft to win your league! Owning Patrick Mahomes in 2018 was an equally joyous experience. Finding breakout quarterback seasons in the later round of your redraft…

  • What Smart Fantasy Football Players Should Do With Leonard Fournette
    February 13, 2020
    What Smart Fantasy Football Players Should Do With Leonard Fournette

    What Smart Fantasy Football Players Should Do With Leonard Fournette I would not be surprised if you clicked this article and expected for the advice to be simple on Leonard Fournette: FADE. If that is the mindset you have with Fournette, I get it. As I was thinking about fantasy football in 2020, I realized,…

  • Three Candidates To Be The Next Great Fantasy Football Wide Receivers
    February 21, 2020
    Three Candidates To Be The Next Great Fantasy Football Wide Receivers

    Three Candidates To Be The Next Great Fantasy Football Wide Receivers We are in a rather transitionary time in fantasy football compared to the stasis that has existed for the last 10 years or so. Some of the biggest names at the quarterback position are retiring or entering their post-peak years. There is hardly any…

  • 2020 NFL Draft Prospect Profile: CeeDee Lamb, Oklahoma
    February 5, 2020
    CeeDee Lamb Tops the Initial 2020 Wide Receiver Prospect Model

    Which 2020 Wide Receiver Prospects Have the Best Odds for Success? Last year at RotoExperts, I released the model that I use to evaluate wide receiver prospects. I’ll be doing the same thing again this year, with updates every so often as we lead up to the Draft. The objective of all of my prospect…

  • 2020 NFL Draft Scouting Prospect Profile: D'Andre Swift, Georgia
    February 4, 2020
    2020 NFL Draft Scouting Prospect Profile: D’Andre Swift, Georgia

    2020 NFL Draft Scouting Prospect Profile: D’Andre Swift, Georgia When D’Andre Swift started his final season at Georgia, the dynasty fantasy football community expected him to be great. He was ranked as the consensus top overall player in “developmental” leagues (which are dynasty leagues in which you can already draft college players. Georgia’s running backs…

  • 2020 NFL Draft Prospect Profile: Clyde Edwards-Helaire, LSU
    January 31, 2020
    2020 NFL Draft Prospect Profile: Clyde Edwards-Helaire, LSU

    2020 NFL Draft Prospect Profile: Clyde Edwards-Helaire, LSU Clyde Edwards-Helaire is not going to get very much pub. Right or wrong, he wasn’t the engine that made LSU’s national championship offense run. That was Joe Burrow with Justin Jefferson, Ja’Marr Chase and Terrace Marshall Jr. Helaire is not in the same tier of running back…

  • FANTASY FOOTBALL HIT RATES
    January 30, 2020
    2019 Fantasy Football Hit Rates: Did ZeroRB Die?

    2019 Fantasy Football Hit Rates: Did ZeroRB Die? 2019 felt like a unique fantasy football season…but was it? People almost always feel that way but the real way to test this is to look at fantasy football hit rates from the year to see how “wild” things actually got. Comparing the accuracy of the fantasy football…

  • 2020 NFL Draft Prospect Profile: Justin Jefferson, LSU
    February 17, 2020
    2020 NFL Draft Prospect Profile: Justin Jefferson, LSU

    2020 NFL Draft Prospect Profile: Justin Jefferson, LSU If you say to me that you know who and what Justin Jefferson is, then I know that you are a liar. Perhaps one of the hardest things to account for in prospects is when their context drastically changes in the middle of their careers. There is…

2019 NFL Betting Futures: Early Look

2019 NFL Betting Futures: Early Look
Davis Mattek May 17, 2019 12:58PM EST

A Look At The 2019 NFL Player Betting Futures

NFL betting futures are always a fun way to follow a season. There are stories of people who bet on Arian Foster to lead the league in rushing in 2010 as he was an undrafted nobody or grabbing Patrick Mahomes at 100/1 to win the MVP in 2018. Winning one of those futures is only incredibly profitable but if you’re tuned in enough, it’s possible to find those odds yourself. While we will take a deeper look at win totals and playoff odds in later articles, the first part of the NFL betting futures market that I want to look at are the player futures. All of the odds listed in this article are from the Fanduel Sportsbook as of the morning of May 17th. The basis for these picks are the RotoExperts projections, which are powered by high-level analytics.

Join The Fanduel Sportsbook To Wager On NFL Betting Futures With A Sign Up Bonus!!

Early NFL Betting Futures Picks

DeShaun Watson To Win MVP At +3400

The criteria for winning an MVP at this point is basically “Who has the best quarterback season?” Watson really should not be this deep. He has thrown only 17 interceptions in his two-year NFL career, averages 8.5 adjusted yards per attempt, has three stud wide receivers (Hopkins, Fuller, Coutee) and adds extra scoring/yardage with his legs. It is unlikely to me that Watson would finish outside the top-five in MVP voting if he plays a 16 game healthy season. Our conservative, median projection does not make this bet seem exceedingly likely but my supposition is that Watson’s median projection do not account for his play-making style of quarterbacking that could lead to a 50-touchdown season.

Kyler Murray To Win Offensive Rookie Of The Year At +230

Lock this up like you would a mutual fund. The only way that the best college quarterback we have ever seen would not win this award would be through injury. Kyler ran for 1,000 yards and averaged 13 adjusted yards per attempt in his Heisman season at Oklahoma. He was drafted first overall to a team that just hired an Air Raid coach and drafted three highly-rated prospects at wide receiver. Kyler will be running on designed plays, scrambling and adding even league-average passing numbers make this bet a stone lock.

Ben Banogu To Win Defensive Rookie Of The Year At +3300

For an outside-shot player to win Defensive Rookie Of The Year in the NFL futures betting market, they have to be capable of splash plays. Banogu was the most athletic EDGE player in the class and was drafted to a Colts team where he will be in rotation from Week One. Past winners of this award have been an EDGE player four of the last nine years (more than any other position). Quinnen Williams and Ed Oliver also offer decent equity at their odds but we need to have a long shot at what I feel is a fairly flukey award.

Jameis Winston For Most Passing Yards At +2300

Our projections have this as almost a must bet. Winston is only projected behind Patrick Mahomes in passing yardage by 120 yards and is projected for the fifth most passing attempts in the NFL. Bruce Arians runs a vertical passing offense that will encourage both attempts and a high average depth of target. Arians passing offenses have finished second, seventh and ninth twice in his time calling plays in the NFL. In the past, he was able to make use of players like John Brown and Mike Wallace who profile like Chris Godwin and Justin Watson. Overall, we are very bullish on Jameis Winston and this is a great number to take.

Patrick Mahomes For Most Passing Touchdowns At +360

Over the course of the offseason, I have toned down our projection for the Kansas City Chiefs offense. We’ve lowered their expected points scored, their yards per play and adjusted yards per attempt and it just doesn’t matter. Mahomes was so brilliant in his sample over the first 20 games of his career that he is still projected for seven more touchdowns than every other player. Getting him at plus money for this makes it a fairly safe investment.

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Popular Features

  • Ranking the NFL Offenses for Fantasy Purposes
    February 24, 2020
    Initial 2020 Dynasty Fantasy Football Rankings: Two Players You Are Way Too Low On

    2020 Dynasty Fantasy Football Rankings The Super Bowl was three weeks ago, meaning there hasn’t been NFL football played in almost a month. The thing about dynasty fantasy football, however, is that it never sleeps. Never. This especially applies to dynasty fantasy football, which is a complete 12-month project embarked upon every year. Right now…

  • 2020 Dynasty Fantasy Football Rankings premium
    February 3, 2020
    2020 Dynasty Fantasy Football Rankings

    2020 Dynasty Fantasy Football Rankings The 2019-20 football season is finally past us. The Kansas City Chiefs won the Super Bowl, Damien Williams proved that Kareem Hunt never mattered and…now we are on to winning dynasty fantasy football titles in 2020. With a sensational rookie class including a stud quarterback and multiple star wide receivers,…

  • Don't Draft Lamar Jackson: Draft The NEXT Lamar Jackson
    February 20, 2020
    Don’t Draft Lamar Jackson: Draft The NEXT Lamar Jackson

    Don’t Draft Lamar Jackson: Draft The NEXT Lamar Jackson Owning Lamar Jackson in 2019 was a great experience; he was the main player we told you last year to draft to win your league! Owning Patrick Mahomes in 2018 was an equally joyous experience. Finding breakout quarterback seasons in the later round of your redraft…

  • What Smart Fantasy Football Players Should Do With Leonard Fournette
    February 13, 2020
    What Smart Fantasy Football Players Should Do With Leonard Fournette

    What Smart Fantasy Football Players Should Do With Leonard Fournette I would not be surprised if you clicked this article and expected for the advice to be simple on Leonard Fournette: FADE. If that is the mindset you have with Fournette, I get it. As I was thinking about fantasy football in 2020, I realized,…

  • Three Candidates To Be The Next Great Fantasy Football Wide Receivers
    February 21, 2020
    Three Candidates To Be The Next Great Fantasy Football Wide Receivers

    Three Candidates To Be The Next Great Fantasy Football Wide Receivers We are in a rather transitionary time in fantasy football compared to the stasis that has existed for the last 10 years or so. Some of the biggest names at the quarterback position are retiring or entering their post-peak years. There is hardly any…

  • 2020 NFL Draft Prospect Profile: CeeDee Lamb, Oklahoma
    February 5, 2020
    CeeDee Lamb Tops the Initial 2020 Wide Receiver Prospect Model

    Which 2020 Wide Receiver Prospects Have the Best Odds for Success? Last year at RotoExperts, I released the model that I use to evaluate wide receiver prospects. I’ll be doing the same thing again this year, with updates every so often as we lead up to the Draft. The objective of all of my prospect…

  • 2020 NFL Draft Scouting Prospect Profile: D'Andre Swift, Georgia
    February 4, 2020
    2020 NFL Draft Scouting Prospect Profile: D’Andre Swift, Georgia

    2020 NFL Draft Scouting Prospect Profile: D’Andre Swift, Georgia When D’Andre Swift started his final season at Georgia, the dynasty fantasy football community expected him to be great. He was ranked as the consensus top overall player in “developmental” leagues (which are dynasty leagues in which you can already draft college players. Georgia’s running backs…

  • 2020 NFL Draft Prospect Profile: Clyde Edwards-Helaire, LSU
    January 31, 2020
    2020 NFL Draft Prospect Profile: Clyde Edwards-Helaire, LSU

    2020 NFL Draft Prospect Profile: Clyde Edwards-Helaire, LSU Clyde Edwards-Helaire is not going to get very much pub. Right or wrong, he wasn’t the engine that made LSU’s national championship offense run. That was Joe Burrow with Justin Jefferson, Ja’Marr Chase and Terrace Marshall Jr. Helaire is not in the same tier of running back…

  • FANTASY FOOTBALL HIT RATES
    January 30, 2020
    2019 Fantasy Football Hit Rates: Did ZeroRB Die?

    2019 Fantasy Football Hit Rates: Did ZeroRB Die? 2019 felt like a unique fantasy football season…but was it? People almost always feel that way but the real way to test this is to look at fantasy football hit rates from the year to see how “wild” things actually got. Comparing the accuracy of the fantasy football…

  • 2020 NFL Draft Prospect Profile: Justin Jefferson, LSU
    February 17, 2020
    2020 NFL Draft Prospect Profile: Justin Jefferson, LSU

    2020 NFL Draft Prospect Profile: Justin Jefferson, LSU If you say to me that you know who and what Justin Jefferson is, then I know that you are a liar. Perhaps one of the hardest things to account for in prospects is when their context drastically changes in the middle of their careers. There is…