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2019 NFL Draft Betting: 10 Bets I’m Making

2019 NFL Draft Betting: 10 Bets I’m Making
Davis Mattek April 24, 2019 12:28PM EDT

2019 NFL Draft Betting: 10 Bets I’m Making

The 2019 NFL Draft is upon us. On Thursday, April 25th the chaos will begin. I am here, of course, to offer some insight on 2019 NFL Draft betting. After all, why would we watch a sporting event without wagering on it? Some of these props have been pulled from the Fanduel Sportsbook, our official partner at NFL365. These various props relate to the entirety of the 2019 NFL Draft.

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Who Will Be The Second Quarterback Drafted In The 2019 NFL Draft Betting

The fact that Daniel Jones, Dwayne Haskins, and Drew Lock are all listed at between +125 and +180 should be a dead giveaway that the market doesn’t really know what is going to happen. My selection for this bet is DANIEL JONES AT +180. Recent rumblings out of the Meadowlands have heavily linked Daniel Jones to the New York Giants at their sixth overall selection or maybe even their pick at #17. At the same time, we have been told that NFL teams are not as high on Dwayne Haskins and that the Broncos are seemingly moving away from Drew Lock. I would consider this bet all the way to +110.

Who Will Be The First Tight End Drafted In The 2019 NFL Draft Betting

The odds have shifted DRAMATICALLY for this one, to say the least. I booked a now-terrible looking bet with Matt Freedman from The Action Network that Noah Fant would be drafted over T.J Hockenson. Hockenson is now listed at -2000 to be the first tight end selected in the 2019 NFL Draft. Noah Fant is now listed at +600. Given that I still believe in Fant as a player and think he is a realistic selection for the Packers at #12, Noah Fant at +600 feels like a wager I have to make.

Who Will Be Drafted #3 Overall In The 2019 NFL Draft Betting

If you really felt like gambling, you could use the fact that the Jets have reportedly been looking to trade back from this pick to take a shot on Drew Lock (+1600) or think that Quinnen Williams is better than Joey Bosa and take Bosa for +1200. However, a pick that actually makes some sense here is Josh Allen at +195. He is regarded as the second-best EDGE in this class and the Jets have long shown an affinity for EDGE rushers in the top of the draft, whereas Quinnen Williams has been more frequently mocked to the Raiders at #4.

Which Team Will Draft Dwayne Haskins?

The team that I have selecting Dwayne Haskins in each of my last two NFL Mock Drafts on RotoExperts is the team that is the favorite in the betting markets: The Washington Redskins. At +280, I think there is real value in making this bet. Washington is in QB purgatory with Case Keenum as their only healthy QB and Alex Smith maybe unable to ever play again. If Haskins is there at #15, they are going to take him. The question is if one of the teams ahead of them gets QB-hungry. The New York Giants have more or less settled on their guy in Daniel Jones. The other team I would consider is the Cincinnati Bengals at +370 but I would limit myself to only one of these wagers.

How Many Tight Ends Drafted In 1st Round Of The 2019 NFL Draft Betting

It is not fun to lay that much juice when it comes to prop betting but to think that this wager does not offer value is pretty crazy. There has to be some threat that even Noah Fant falls out of the first round entirely. For the OVER 2.5 to hit at +325, one of Jace Sternberger or Irv Smith Jr. would have to be drafted in the first round over a stud wide receiver or elite defensive player. I am betting the UNDER 2.5 at -550.

2019 NFL Draft Position – Josh Jacobs – 25.5

The over/under of this specific draft prop is asking you one thing: Do the Oakland Raiders take Josh Jacobs at 24? Despite not thinking that Jacobs is a first round talent and not having him go in the first round in my most recent mock, I am going to take the UNDER 25.5 for +145 here. Getting plus money to wager on an NFL team doing something unintelligent with a running back feels like an overall strong move especially considering that Jacobs was one of only 23 players invited to the green room for the NFL Draft in Nashville.

2019 NFL Draft Position – D.K Metcalf – 18.5

Before even looking at what this line was, I was ready to take the under. Metcalf might be a highly regarded prospect by the NFL, he might even be the #1 wide receiver on a few teams’ boards but he seems exceedingly unlikely to go under 18.5. The fact that the line for WR,s being drafted in the first round is 2.5, that there are two tight ends projected to go in the first round and that Metcalf has injury/production/agility red flags all scream OVER 18.5 at -220.

First Offensive Lineman Drafted

This draft prop is tailor-made for Andre Dillard at +300 on Fanduel. While Jawaan Taylor and Jonah Williams have gotten a little bit more pub, many mock drafts have Andre Dillard as the lineman expected to be drafted the highest. If the New York Jets do in fact stay put at the third overall pick, it is definitely possible that they pull the trigger and take Dillard over Josh Allen. Even if you wagered Allen at this spot for +195, you can feel free to make this selection for Dillard at +300.

First Safety Drafted

The Seattle Seahawks adding a second pick in the first-round have made this an intriguing bet for me. They will need to add another defensive back to fill in the gaps left by Earl Thomas and there is a safety lurking at deeper odds who fits the Seahawks mold. Juan Thornhill at +1100 is almost a 3Sigma athlete and has the highest SPARQ score of any defensive back in this draft class which is exactly what Seattle values. It is not impossible that he goes off the board at 21.

First Cornerback Drafted

When I clicked on the pulldown tab on the Fanduel Sportsbook to see these odds, I was almost shocked to see that Greedy Williams was +120. Williams is regarded as by far the best cornerback in this class and could go off the board at #8 to the Detriot Lions. Getting him at plus money feels like a luxury and I might even parlay him with Kyler Murray to go first overall.

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