Popular Features

  • Dynasty Fantasy Football Rookie Draft Rankings
    April 30, 2019
    2019 NFL Dynasty Fantasy Football Rookie Draft Rankings

    Davis Mattek’s 2019 NFL Dynasty Fantasy Football Rookie Draft Rankings With the 2019 NFL Draft wrapped up and in the books, it is time to get to Dynasty Fantasy Football Rookie Draft Rankings. Most dynasty leagues that I am in are ready to begin their rookie drafts for the 2019 NFL Draft class. The draft brought…

  • Superflex Dynasty Fantasy Football Rookie Draft
    May 8, 2019
    Industry Superflex Dynasty Fantasy Football Rookie Draft

    Fantasy Insiders Industry Superflex Dynasty Fantasy Football Rookie Draft It is Superflex Dynasty Fantasy Football Rookie Draft season! While I compiled my top 40 rankings of rookies for dynasty fantasy football purposes, we have yet to address Superflex dynasty leagues in the NFL365 package. I participate in the Fantasy Insiders SuperFlex Best Ball Dynasty league with…

  • Zero Wide Receiver Fantasy Football Strategy
    May 14, 2019
    Zero Wide Receiver Fantasy Football Targets

    Ten Zero Wide Receiver Fantasy Football Targets By this point, most RotoExperts readers are probably familiar with the concept of Zero RB drafting. Last week, I put together a list of ten Zero RB fantasy football candidates to help you in your fantasy football leagues. However, a less discussed strategy is the Zero wide receiver fantasy football…

  • Dynasty Fantasy Football Rankings premium
    April 30, 2019
    Post-Draft 2019 NFL Dynasty Fantasy Football Rankings Update

    Post-Draft 2019 NFL Dynasty Fantasy Football Rankings Update Now that the 2019 NFL draft is in the books, dynasty fantasy football leagues are on to a new phase. These Dynasty Fantasy Football Rankings have been done post-draft to help evaluate what rookie picks are currently worth in your leagues and how they might compare to veterans…

  • DFB Invitational Dynasty Fantasy Football League
    May 10, 2019
    The #DFBInvitational Industry Dynasty Fantasy Football League

    The Mega-Industry SuperStar #DFBInvitational Industry Dynasty Fantasy Football League Of all the industry leagues that I have ever played in, the DFB Invitational dynasty fantasy football league (organized by Scott Barrett from Pro Football Focus) is maybe the most prestigious fantasy football league that I have ever played in. The league is a 12-team PPR…

  • 2019 NFL Futures Betting Market Check
    May 24, 2019
    2019 NFL Futures Betting Market Check

    2019 NFL Futures Betting Market Check NFL Futures Betting is one of the more beatable markets when it comes to betting on the NFL. The bets normally have lower limits and are generally softer than a line on an actual NFL game where the limits are higher and open to more scrutiny. These NFL Futures betting…

  • 2019 Play DRAFT Best Ball Championship
    May 23, 2019
    The $3.5 Million DRAFT Best Ball Championship

    The DRAFT Best Ball Championship Has Returned DRAFT ran the Best Ball Championship last year, and it was a smashing success (yours truly had a good time also, making the championship round of the tournament). Now it’s back and better than before, with an insane $3.5 million prize pool, and a cool million to first! The…

  • 2019 Fantasy Football Busts
    May 23, 2019
    2019 Fantasy Football Busts

    2019 Fantasy Football Busts We are beginning our coverage of 2019 fantasy football #DraftSZN in earnest here at RotoExperts. In a corresponding to piece to my first look at fantasy football sleepers for 2019, it is almost more important to look at fantasy football busts in 2019 fantasy football. Most of us will be doing…

  • First Look: Fantasy Football Sleepers
    May 22, 2019
    First Look: Fantasy Football Sleepers

    Fantasy Football Sleepers: First Edition “Fantasy Football Sleepers” is almost a dead term. Those who are really #hardcore about fantasy football know that sleepers don’t really exist. The Kansas City Chiefs fifth-string running back undrafted free agent isn’t even a fantasy football sleeper because someone, somewhere has written an article about how he is the…

  • DRAFT Best Ball Leagues premium
    May 21, 2019
    The ULTIMATE Guide To DRAFT Best Ball Leagues

    The RotoExperts ULTIMATE Guide To DRAFT Best Ball Leagues Introduction To PlayDRAFT Best Ball Leagues There is almost no better experience in fantasy football than playing in DRAFT Best Ball Leagues. A large part of why we launched the NFL365 package was that everyone involved with the SportsGrid fantasy football product genuinely loves to play…

Kyler Murray Is The #1 Overall Pick And Other Final NFL Draft Observations

Kyler Murray Is The #1 Overall Pick And Other Final NFL Draft Observations
Davis Mattek April 25, 2019 12:38PM EDT

Kyler Murray Is The #1 Overall Pick And Other 2019 NFL Draft Observations

As we are now less than 12 hours away from the start of the 2019 NFL Draft, I have decided to collect some of my scattered observations based on reading mock drafts, Schefter/Rapsheet updates and perusing the betting markets on the Fanduel Sportsbook and others. The day of the first round of the 2019 NFL Draft is of course filled with smokescreens, rumors that never come to fruition and inevitably, some team throwing away 18 months of evaluation to take the strongest armed quarterback they can find. Let’s dig in!

Read All The RotoExperts NFL Draft Player Profiles Here!

2019 NFL Draft Observations

  • Over the last 24 hours, we have heard every iteration of “don’t be so sure that Kyler Murray is going to Arizona” under the sun. I will say this: the betting markets do not reflect that at all and neither does the reality of the situation. Murray actually has moved to being an even BIGGER favorite at some sportsbooks to be the #1 overall pick. The Fanduel Sportsbook has Kyler at -400 to be the first pick selected and I am going to be laying the juice and making that bet myself.
  • There seems to be some value in Rock Ya-Sin being the first cornerback drafted at +500. There have been numerous reports that the Steelers have visited with the young cornerback and plan to make him their selection at #20. We can debate the intelligence of that selection but at +500 at the FD Sportsbook and others, I plan on making that wager personally.
  • It seems as if the New York Jets and Detriot Lions are really trying to trade back, which makes sense. If the Jets want an offensive lineman (which they should), many of their targets might be available in the 15th-20th pick range. Jawaan Taylor, Jonah Williams, and even Garrett Bradbury could all be there. New York could get an extra pick or two and get a player to aid Sam Darnold’s development. The Lions target is a little less clear. I mocked Greedy Williams to them at eight which feels like a bit of an overpay. If they could find a could trade down, Byron Murphy or perhaps even Williams himself could be available in the 20’s.
  • What on Earth is Dan Snyder doing? Reports out of Washington are that Snyder has completely taken over the first round drafting process for Washington, implying that he wants to get his team a quarterback. This is interesting for quite a few reasons. The first is that Jay Gruden is pretty obviously headed out the door and might not care much if his team loses multiple first round picks (especially if you are the conspiracy-minded type, thinking he could give his brother Jon a few extra picks on his way out).  Another amazing factor about this is that Snyder could theoretically be looking to leapfrog the Giants to take Daniel Jones which would be cutting off his nose to spite his face. Most of us agree that Daniel Jones is not a top-tier prospect, yet it seems that half of the NFC East can’t stop coveting him.

  • Our boy D.K Metcalf might be out of the first round entirely. Daniel Jeremiah, Peter Schrager and Charles Davis all do not have Metcalf going in the first round in their most recent mock drafts. He is definitely one of the riskiest prospects of the entire draft and there are much safer defensive prospects on the board where he is projected to go. His line at the Fanduel Sportsbook is 18.5 and I took the OVER on that number and feel quite good about it.
  • Another rumor that we’ve heard over the last 24 hours is that the Bengals are no longer interested in taking a quarterback. Maybe Daniel Jones is their guy and they don’t want to trade up, maybe they are out on Haskins and maybe they have no interest in Drew Lock. If the Bengals are out of the QB market in round one, the UNDER on 3.5 quarterbacks gone in the first round might come down the Packers taking Aaron Rodgers’ eventual successor or it won’t hit.
  • 2018’s most accurate mock drafter, Evan Silva, has one only ONE wide receiver going in the first round of the 2019 NFL Draft. While I selfishly hope that will not be the case for the RotoExperts live blog tonight, it is entirely possible. This is a deep wide receiver class which means that most teams will themselves that they can get a guy they like in the second or even third round.
  • I need it to be OFFICIALLY on the record that Daniel Jones is going to be a Jake Locker, Johnny Manziel, Zach Mettenberger level BUST. There is some great corresponding evidence from Alex Kirshner on SB Nation.
  • Josh Jacobs is still expected to be drafted in the first round (to maybe even the Baltimore Ravens?) despite not doing much of anything at Alabama. I think that we are probably five years away from teams staying away from these types of “film only” prospects but the fact that Jacobs was even invited to the first round of the draft is evidence that the edges still exist.
  • For dynasty fantasy football purposes, the first round does not seem like it is going to be terribly exciting. Both of the Iowa tight ends are expected to go but outside of Josh Jacobs and maybe Marquise Brown, we might be starving for action. Day Two of the draft, however, should see all of our favorite prospects go to places where we can start telling stories about their future stardom.
  • The biggest story of the 2019 NFL Draft might end up being a player from the 2018 NFL Draft. If Josh Rosen does indeed get traded from the Arizona Cardinals and goes on to star for the Giants, Dolphins or Washington, how could not that be considered at least a semi-failure by the Cardinals? Regardless of how effective Kyler Murray ends up being, they still cost themselves a first-round pick for a year of very bad play from Rosen.
  • Rich Eisen from NFL.com reported that a league source told him the most likely Top 10 of the draft isQuinnen Williams, AZBosa, SF

    Oliver NYJ

    Kyler Murray, OAK

    Devin White, TB

    Haskins, NYG

    Hockenson, JAX

    Josh Allen, DET

    Christian Wilkins, ATL

    Devin Bush, DEN

  • If Wilkins, Bush and White all go in the first ten picks of the draft, I would be legitimately surprised. Hockenson to Jacksonville is a pretty popular pick and there have been murmurs that the Raiders really want Kyler Murray but seeing him go at #4 would be a shock to the system.
  • Finally, make sure to follow along tonight on my live blog for the 2019 NFL Draft at: www.rotoexperts.com/draftlive

Access premium NFL coverage 365 days a year with the RotoExperts. Season Long Draft Kits. Fantasy Football Projections. Best Ball Coverage. Dynasty Rankings. NFL Draft Coverage. Expert Chat. Betting and much more. Save 10% when you use the promo AMICO at checkout. Learn More HERE.

Popular Features

  • Dynasty Fantasy Football Rookie Draft Rankings
    April 30, 2019
    2019 NFL Dynasty Fantasy Football Rookie Draft Rankings

    Davis Mattek’s 2019 NFL Dynasty Fantasy Football Rookie Draft Rankings With the 2019 NFL Draft wrapped up and in the books, it is time to get to Dynasty Fantasy Football Rookie Draft Rankings. Most dynasty leagues that I am in are ready to begin their rookie drafts for the 2019 NFL Draft class. The draft brought…

  • Superflex Dynasty Fantasy Football Rookie Draft
    May 8, 2019
    Industry Superflex Dynasty Fantasy Football Rookie Draft

    Fantasy Insiders Industry Superflex Dynasty Fantasy Football Rookie Draft It is Superflex Dynasty Fantasy Football Rookie Draft season! While I compiled my top 40 rankings of rookies for dynasty fantasy football purposes, we have yet to address Superflex dynasty leagues in the NFL365 package. I participate in the Fantasy Insiders SuperFlex Best Ball Dynasty league with…

  • Zero Wide Receiver Fantasy Football Strategy
    May 14, 2019
    Zero Wide Receiver Fantasy Football Targets

    Ten Zero Wide Receiver Fantasy Football Targets By this point, most RotoExperts readers are probably familiar with the concept of Zero RB drafting. Last week, I put together a list of ten Zero RB fantasy football candidates to help you in your fantasy football leagues. However, a less discussed strategy is the Zero wide receiver fantasy football…

  • Dynasty Fantasy Football Rankings premium
    April 30, 2019
    Post-Draft 2019 NFL Dynasty Fantasy Football Rankings Update

    Post-Draft 2019 NFL Dynasty Fantasy Football Rankings Update Now that the 2019 NFL draft is in the books, dynasty fantasy football leagues are on to a new phase. These Dynasty Fantasy Football Rankings have been done post-draft to help evaluate what rookie picks are currently worth in your leagues and how they might compare to veterans…

  • DFB Invitational Dynasty Fantasy Football League
    May 10, 2019
    The #DFBInvitational Industry Dynasty Fantasy Football League

    The Mega-Industry SuperStar #DFBInvitational Industry Dynasty Fantasy Football League Of all the industry leagues that I have ever played in, the DFB Invitational dynasty fantasy football league (organized by Scott Barrett from Pro Football Focus) is maybe the most prestigious fantasy football league that I have ever played in. The league is a 12-team PPR…

  • 2019 NFL Futures Betting Market Check
    May 24, 2019
    2019 NFL Futures Betting Market Check

    2019 NFL Futures Betting Market Check NFL Futures Betting is one of the more beatable markets when it comes to betting on the NFL. The bets normally have lower limits and are generally softer than a line on an actual NFL game where the limits are higher and open to more scrutiny. These NFL Futures betting…

  • 2019 Play DRAFT Best Ball Championship
    May 23, 2019
    The $3.5 Million DRAFT Best Ball Championship

    The DRAFT Best Ball Championship Has Returned DRAFT ran the Best Ball Championship last year, and it was a smashing success (yours truly had a good time also, making the championship round of the tournament). Now it’s back and better than before, with an insane $3.5 million prize pool, and a cool million to first! The…

  • 2019 Fantasy Football Busts
    May 23, 2019
    2019 Fantasy Football Busts

    2019 Fantasy Football Busts We are beginning our coverage of 2019 fantasy football #DraftSZN in earnest here at RotoExperts. In a corresponding to piece to my first look at fantasy football sleepers for 2019, it is almost more important to look at fantasy football busts in 2019 fantasy football. Most of us will be doing…

  • First Look: Fantasy Football Sleepers
    May 22, 2019
    First Look: Fantasy Football Sleepers

    Fantasy Football Sleepers: First Edition “Fantasy Football Sleepers” is almost a dead term. Those who are really #hardcore about fantasy football know that sleepers don’t really exist. The Kansas City Chiefs fifth-string running back undrafted free agent isn’t even a fantasy football sleeper because someone, somewhere has written an article about how he is the…

  • DRAFT Best Ball Leagues premium
    May 21, 2019
    The ULTIMATE Guide To DRAFT Best Ball Leagues

    The RotoExperts ULTIMATE Guide To DRAFT Best Ball Leagues Introduction To PlayDRAFT Best Ball Leagues There is almost no better experience in fantasy football than playing in DRAFT Best Ball Leagues. A large part of why we launched the NFL365 package was that everyone involved with the SportsGrid fantasy football product genuinely loves to play…