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2019 NFL Draft Prospect Profile: Alex Barnes, Kansas State

2019 NFL Draft Prospect Profile: Alex Barnes, Kansas State
Anthony Amico March 4, 2019 11:13AM EDT

Alex Barnes 2019 NFL Draft Prospect Profile Scouting Report

If you had never heard of Kansas State running back Alex Barnes, he likely caught your eye at the NFL Combine this weekend.

Weighing in at 226 pounds, Barnes put together a very impressive set of workouts. His 4.59 40-yard dash time was good enough to register a speed score over 100, and he registered 89th percentile or better in both the vertical and broad jumps while at a featured-back weight. Most impressive was his agility score (3-cone + short shuttle) of 11.05 seconds.

The 2019 WR Prospect Model 1

Alex Barnes Athletic Comps

Just 19 RB prospects since 2000 have registered an agility score better than 11.1 at 220 or more pounds:

YearPlayerSchoolWt3ConeShuttleAgilityDraftedBest PPR
2001LaDainian TomlinsonTCU2216.844.2111.055483.3
2012Doug MartinBoise State2236.794.1610.9531313.6
2002DeShaun FosterUCLA2226.824.1610.9834177.1
2013Le'Veon BellMichigan State2306.754.2410.9948370.5
2010Ben TateAuburn2206.914.1211.0358149.1
2010Montario HardestyTennessee2256.874.1411.015952.8
2013Christine MichaelTexas A&M2206.694.0210.7162139
2018Royce FreemanOregon2296.94.1611.0671103.3
2011Stevan RidleyLSU2256.784.2110.9973209.4
2015David JohnsonNorthern Iowa2246.824.2711.0986411.8
2011Alex GreenHawaii2256.914.1511.069676.9
2011Delone CarterSyracuse2226.924.0710.9911956.5
2014Tyler GaffneyStanford2206.784.1810.962040
2011Anthony AllenGeorgia Tech2286.794.0610.8522515.3
2005Noah HerronNorthwestern2246.953.9710.9224483.1
2009Rashad JenningsLiberty2316.864.211.06250174.5
2000Morgan KaneWake Forest2216.814.1610.970
2010Joique BellWayne State (MI)2206.844.1711.01220.7
2015Malcolm BrownTexas2246.864.1511.0144.9

Overall, the list includes 11 top 100 picks, six backs to post at least one season of 200 PPR points, and another four to post at least 130. This is a list that includes studs such as LaDainian Tomlinson, Le’Veon Bell, and David Johnson, along with plenty of other fantasy-viable RBs.

These NFL Draft comparisons aren’t without merit. Barnes posted the third-highest yards per scrimmage play of any RB in the 2019 class. It appears to be very likely that he will be fantasy relevant at some point in his NFL career.

Alex Barnes Highlights

Barnes’ athleticism shows on the field if you check out the highlight cutups.

Barnes was the lead rusher on a team that was 64 percent run. Defenses likely knew that Barnes was coming, but still could not stop him in his final season. Additionally, Barnes caught 20 passes, about 12 percent of the Kansas State total. You can see in a couple of the highlights that he has a well-developed route tree out of the backfield. This is not an RB who can only be used in the screen game which is probably one of the most important aspects of projecting running backs to the NFL.

Alex Barnes Final Verdict

There is a lot to like with Barnes. Despite his relatively unknown status, he was a Power Five RB that dominated his college offense. Barnes accounted for 37.5 percent of Kansas State’s scrimmage yards, and 38.7 percent of the TDs. This was a 5-7 football team that averaged less than seven yards per pass attempt, and yet Barnes still found ways to produce at a high level.

The only real question remaining is what his final draft capital will look like. NFL Draft Scout currently has him ranked 35th at the position, relegating him to undrafted status. That gives him just a 16 percent chance of success in my model. However, history tells us that Barnes has a better than average chance at being a top 100 draft selection, which would make him a top 10 RB in the class. That would increase his chances to succeed significantly.

Barnes is a 99th percentile SPARQ athlete with the production to match. That should allow him to maximize any opportunities he gets at the next level. A Day 2 landing spot on a productive offense would likely make him a fantasy contributor right away. Barnes is also unlikely to cost you a first-round rookie draft pick, making him an excellent value no regardless of the landing spot. Alex Barnes is one of the most attractive sleepers in the 2019 class.

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