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    2019 NFL Draft RotoExperts Live Blog

    2019 NFL Draft RotoExperts Live Blog
    Davis Mattek April 25, 2019 3:48PM EDT

    2019 NFL Draft Running Live Blog!

    For the first time ever, we are doing a running live blog of the NFL Draft! For the next three days, I will be providing you with updates on the 2019 NFL Draft as it unfolds and updating each skill position pick with fantasy football-centric analysis. When the draft gets underway at 8 Eastern, I will be updating throughout the night and the next two days.

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    2019 NFL Draft Live Blog 

    The second round is about to get underway! Below this update, you can find the live blog from the first round and the continued updates from the second and third rounds of the 2019 NFL Draft.

    5:53 PM: Excited to get things underway in a few minutes. Most of those “in the know” expect Byron Murphy to be the selection here to the Arizona Cardinals, though I think a WR is definitely in play.

    6:16 PM: Byron Murphy, as was rumored overnight, does indeed go to the Cardinals at pick 33. This portends a Patrick Peterson trade as has also been rumored on the internet. I’m a pretty big fan of Murphy’s game but I like Greedy Williams more so this is a little strange.

    6:23 PM: Rock Ya-Sin and Jawaan Taylor head off the board in back-to-back picks. Ya-Sin seems like a reach in particular, as many big boards did not have him as even a top-5 cornerback in the class. Taylor fell down the draft due to some concerns about his knee but some scouts had him as the best offensive tackle in the class. That has to be seen as a value selection as a value selection for the Jaguars.

    6:28 PM: The offensive skill position players are starting to go! Deebo Samuel is selected by the 49ers with pick 36. Samuel is an interesting player, one that I liked coming out of South Carolina but I can’t say that I’m crazy about this pick. Samuel projects as a slot-only style player in the NFL and SF already has several of those guys. JJ Arcega-Whiteside or A.J Brown would have been my pick here.

    6:47 PM: Two of my favorite offensive lineman in the class go off the board to the Panthers and Bills. The Panthers desperately needed to add a starting quality tackle in this draft and they took Greg Little. Little was a projected first-round pick in many mock drafts (and big boards) and seems like he will be ready to start for the Panthers this year. Cody Ford is maybe my favorite interior lineman prospect of the whole draft and I am a little surprised to see him drop this far. The Bills keep having an excellent draft.

    6:54 PM: John Elway is dumb like a fox. He somehow convinced the whole world that he was going to take Drew Lock while trading down and finding himself now with a shiny new tight end (Noah Fant) and a possible franchise left tackle in Dalton Risner. Risner was a late riser due to the Senior Bowl but is a legitimately good pass blocker and was coveted by many NFL teams.

    6:57 PM: OR MAYBE NOT. Drew Lock is now the quarterback of the Denver Broncos. Do I think this is a good pick? Not particularly. Lock wasn’t even my favorite of the remaining quarterbacks and seems unlikely to really be a franchise-changing sort of guy. His stats against tougher SEC competition (or while trailing) is legitimately startling. Will Grier and Gardner Minshew both were better analytic prospects and fit the modern NFL better.

    7:05 PM: Green Bay skips out on wide receivers again! It does seem a little bizarre to me that A.J Brown, D.K Metcalf, Hakeem Butler and the rest of the wide receivers are still on the board as we head to the 50’s.

    7:10 PM: The Patriots…. traded… up? Unfortunately for our purposes, it was not for a wide receiver or tight end but for Joejuan Williams, a cornerback from Vanderbilt. Generally, if the Patriots are trading up for a defensive player, I am going to assume they see something.

    7:13 PM: Sashi Brown died for the Browns to get first-round value Greedy Williams in the second round.

    7:24 PM: The New Orleans Saints traded up for what feels like the 18th straight draft to take center Erik Mccoy from Texas A&M. Mccoy seems to be a highly touted center but trading up for a center (a position where you can generally find starters throughout the draft) doesn’t seem like the most +EV move.

    7:30 PM: Ben Banogu is taken by the Indianapolis Colts and I love this pick. Banogu had the best SPARQ-score of any EDGE player in the draft and was mostly docked for age and some “tape” concerns. This is the sort of stuff that really intelligent GM’s like Ballard do. Production and athleticism makes for a great second round pick.

    7:34 PM: Irv Smith Jr. is the third tight end taken (and goes before several of the extremely popular wide receivers) to the Minnesota Vikings. Smith Jr. is not one of my favorite tight end prospects ever; he seems more like an H-Back or fullback in terms of size than an NFL tight end. The Vikings have a massive hole for targets after Diggs/Thielen/Rudolph and Mike Zimmer loves to run heavy sets so the playing time should be there for Smith Jr. even if the targets don’t come immediately.

    7:38 PM: When I mocked A.J Brown to the Titans, I did not expect that the pick would come in the second round. Brown has an extremely projectable profile. Young breakout age, above-average dominator rating, elite physical profile. He was a better prospect than D.K Metcalf and was my #2 wide receiver prospect in the class. Tennessee got a steal with this pick.

    7:43 PM: I cannot claim to like the pick of Drew Sample to the Cincinnati Bengals. Sample was a mediocre tight end prospect and there were players on the board who could make the Bengals a much better team in 2019. C.J Uzomah and Tyler Eifert is a fairly good tight end rotation already. This is a pick that the organization will come to regret in a few years.

    7:45 PM: Miles Sanders has been drafted with the 53rd overall pick to the Philadelphia Eagles. While I like Sanders as a player (I had him as my #4 running back in the class), this is not a great landing spot for fantasy. Corey Clement, Wendall Smallwood and Jordan Howard are already on the roster and the Eagles should likely segment the work out between at least three of these guys. It’s hard to project Sanders for more than 30% of the work in this backfield.

    7:57 PM: Well, the Chiefs were always going to take a wide receiver but not many people expected it to be speedster Mecole Hardman from Georgia. Parris Campbell, D.K Metcalf or even Emanuel Hall would have been the selection to make if the Chiefs were wanting to add a successful-style prospect. The Chiefs need a replacement for Tyreek Hill but this chief, ain’t it.

    8:01 PM: The Eagles take JJ Arcega-Whiteside, my #3 wide receiver in the class. JJAW, as he is known, turned 14% of his targets into touchdowns his final season at Stanford and is an analytic marvel. Arcega-Whiteside won’t interfere with the routes of Zach Ertz, Alshon or Nelson Agholor as he can play strict boundary wide receiver and he will immediately be the teams best red zone weapon.

    8:11 PM: The Colts desperately needed to add more playmakers on offense and Parris Campbell is a great fit for them. Campbell might be a bit of a developmental project because he was not asked to be a complete wide receiver at Ohio State but the thing that the Colts value (athleticism) is here with Campbell in abundance. He was one of the fastest wide receivers at the combine and should open up space for T.Y Hilton and the rest of the offense.

    8:24 PM: Things are getting fun! Josh Rosen has been traded to the Miami Dolphins. This is a sharp move by the Dolphins to pick up a potential franchise-changing quarterback who has been massively devalued. Even if it is only a 10% chance of changing the direction of the franchise, this is a trade you have to make. On the converse, the Cardinals get Andy Isabella from UMass. Isabella had one of the best combinations of speed, breakout age and dominator rating at UMass. Isabella is going to be Kyler Murray’s best friend on jet sweeps, screens and shallow crossing routes. This is a mutually beneficial trade.

    8:31 PM: D.K Metcalf is off the board to the Seahawks with the 64th pick in the 2019 NFL Draft. I am pretty on board with this. The Seahawks are wide receiver-needy, they don’t have great outside options at the moment and I’ve always wanted to see Russ with a wide receiver who can really “go up and get it”. The agility and production concerns are very real with Metcalf and you have to acknowledge real bust potential with a player with this profile but I err on the side of valuing the upside here.

    8:40 PM: The Steelers are going to force us to move Diontae Johnson from Toledo into our top 10 wide receiver rankings. With Antonio Brown’s departure, there is a massive hole in the Steelers passing game. Johnson is a speedster from Toledo who was not overly productive (49 receptions, 761 yards as a senior) but fits the mold of a middle-round target for the Steelers. He is athletic enough to pass all the thresholds and I have learned to trust the Steelers with WR eval.

    8:47 PM: What a journey Jalen Hurd has had to get to the San Francisco 49ers. Hurd was a stud running back at Tennessee (getting more carries than future NFL star Alvin Kamara) and then transferred to Baylor because he decided that he wanted to play wide receiver. If I was running an NFL team, I would want a player like Jalen Hurd on my team. He picked up short yardage in tough spots for Baylor while learning a new position and catching 69 passes for 946 yards and catching 4 touchdowns. This is a smart move for the 49ers.

    8:54 PM: Alarm bells have to ring for Todd Gurley and his knee. The Los Angeles Rams take Darrell Henderson, the best running back in the class, in the 3rd round of the 2019 NFL Draft. Either Henderson becomes the best handcuff running back in the league or Todd Gurley’s knee is actually messed up.

    9:13 PM: Some exciting running backs for fantasy football purposes. The Chicago Bears trade up for David Montgomery from Iowa State and the Bills take Devin Singletary. Both of these RB’s have the same problem: they aren’t fast, at all. Both clocked under 4.65 40 yard dash times and both consistently got caught from behind in college. I suspect that Montgomery is walking into a real bellcow situation and he will be used similar to how Jordan Howard was last year. Singletary will face heavy competition from T.J Yeldon, Lesean McCoy, and even Frank Gore. I don’t expect Singletary to have much of a rookie impact.

    9:18 PM: Washington takes Terry McLaurin, a very ‘meh’ wide receiver prospect. His long term career upside doesn’t excite me near as much as new Green Bay tight end JACE STERNBERGER does. Sternberger was my #3 tight end in the class and is a very smooth pass catcher that I can see getting on the field right away for Green Bay if he doesn’t end up in Aaron Rodgers’ doghouse.

    9:45 PM: Damien Harris heads off the board to the New England Patriots. It is hard to see a real fit for Harris in New England as he is not a special teamer and they already have Burkhead/Michel/White. Harris was good enough in pass protection that I could envision him taking over the James White role in a few years though he doesn’t project to hit that role right away.

    10:06 PM: We have an offensive player drafted! SPARQ stud Miles Boykin is off to the Baltimore Ravens. With the Ravens very thin wide receiver grouping, multiple draft picks was going to be a necessity. Boykin’s massive frame and game-changing speed should provide a nice complement to Marquise Brown’s straight-line game. I comped Boykin to Chris Conley before the draft and I think he should fill that role nicely for the Ravens.

    10:16 PM: The Bills take Dawson Knox who literally did not score a touchdown in college. Bizarre, if you ask me.

    10:23 PM: My boy Will Grier is headed to the Carolina Panthers to be Cam Newton’s primary backup. I was higher on Grier than consenus and think he can stick around the league as a fringe starter/good backup style QB for the next 10 years, as the NFL continues to transition towards spread/Air Raid offenses.

    First Round Live Blog

    6:43 PM: We are 20 minutes away from Kyler Murray being selected #1 overall to the Arizona Cardinals. The only suspense is how long it takes them to submit their draft card.

    6:56 PM: Kyler Murray showed up, ready to be drafted by the Cardinals in one of the most flex suits in the history of the NFL Draft.

    7:14 PM: The Arizona Cardinals are officially on the clock and not showing a ton of urgency to run their card down the aisle.

    7:24 PM: Kyler Murray is now an Arizona Cardinal. Our initial projection has him for approximately 340 rushing yards, 2.5 rushing touchdowns, 3,600 passing yards, and 25 touchdowns and right by Carson Wentz and Russel Wilson in fantasy points per game. Obviously, there is significant upside for Murray if the Cardinals are able to play the high-octane sort of offense than Kliff Kingsbury coached at Texas Tech.

    7:32 PM: Nick Bosa has now been drafted to the San Francisco 49ers. My three mock drafts had these picks going that way and no one is particularly surprised to see things shake out this way. The 49ers get the best EDGE rusher in the class (though not the most athletic) and they could use it. They had only 37 sacks last season and were the third-worst pass defense by expected points in 2018. Bosa is the best defensive player in the 2019 NFL Draft.

    7:36 PM: Adam Schefter tweets that the Jets are trying to trade out of the third pick. No surprise, as most reports suggest that they want an offensive lineman.

    7:40 PM: Quinnen Williams off the board at #3. Things are shaping up nicely for those who bet the overs on defensive players and the unders on offensive players. Williams made scouts drool for the entirety of his final season at Alabama. He really only played one season at Bama and was an absolutely destructive force in that season. While no one is Aaron Donald, that is the sort of production that the Jets will be hoping to get from him. Given that the Jets did not find a trading partner to trade down, I think this was the right pick for them to make.

    7:49 PM: AAANNNNDDD NOW IT IS WEIRD. The Oakland Raiders go very far off the board and take Clelin Ferrel. Not Brian Burns, not Josh Allen, but Clelin Ferrel. He was not higher than EDGE #3 on most boards and he didn’t make it it the first round in mock drafts for most of the industry leaders. Does that mean it is a bad pick? No, it doesn’t mean that it is bad but it certainly is inducing some risk. To give you an idea of how weird this is, Ferrel was not even invited to the green room of the NFL Draft.

    7:57 PM: I got this pick correct in my mock draft but I did not get the order correct. I assumed that Tampa Bay would not want to select Devin White from LSU as high as #5. While White won the Butkus Award and lead the SEC in tackles in 2018, inside linebacker is just not as important as of a position in 2019. If White was an elite cover linebacker, this pick would make more sense but Josh Allen or Brian Burns (or even Ed Oliver) would have been my selection here. This is not taking away from the player that Devin White is, it’s just the nature of how we evaluate NFL teams now.

    8:02 PM: DAVE GETTLEMAN DOES IT AGAIN. This one of the worst picks in the history of the NFL Draft. Daniel Jones can’t spit into Josh Allen’s shadow and Josh Allen was an overrated prospect himself. Jones could not top seven yards per adjusted attempt at Duke in the ACC and will step into an offense with weapons not suited to help him out. I’ll be honest, this pick just makes me happy as someone who wants to see the Giants fail.

    8:10 PM: The Jacksonville Jaguars get the second-best EDGE rusher in the 2019 NFL Draft at the seventh overall pick. I am quite certain that the Jags front office did not think that Allen was going to be here. Most of the buzz we heard for the last few weeks was that the team wanted to bring T.J Hockenson in but with Clelin Ferrel off the board (and Josh Allen), they would not have had to think twice about taking Allen here.

    8:14 PM: T.J Hockenson goes off the board at #8 overall. T.J Hockenson is just the fourth tight end chosen in the top 10 of the NFL draft. Interestingly enough, the last team to do it was the Detroit Lions when they took Eric Ebron at #8 overall. Despite liking Noah Fant a little bit more for just receiving purposes, this is a fantastic pick. Hockenson is one of the best blockers I have ever seen, absolutely deadly in the intermediate areas of the passing game and has the potential to be a Kelce-esque influence for the Detriot Lions offense.

    8:20 PM: The Bills make what, I think, is the best pick of the draft. Getting Ed Oliver at #9 when he could very well end up being the best defensive player in this entire draft is just a steal. I actually projected the Bills to have to trade up to #5 to make this pick but they save a second-round pick and stayed put to get the extremely athletic Ed Oliver. Watching Ed Oliver is like watching a Tazmanian Devil play nose tackle, all energy and arms chasing after ball carriers.

    8:28 PM: We have a trade!

    8:29 PM: Devin Bush from Michigan is the target for the Pittsburgh Steelers after they traded up to #10 from the Denver Broncos. I like what the Broncos did here with Ed Oliver and Josh Allen off the board, there was no reason for them to make a pick here. Devin Bush was long rumored as the primary target in this draft for Pittsburgh, so they get their guy but you have to wonder what they paid to get him. Taking a linebacker at #10 and trading extra picks to get there honestly does not feel super sharp to me.

    8:34 PM: This isn’t the most exciting pick, but the Bengals take Jonah Williams at #11. Williams played left tackle in college, can play anywhere on the offensive line and it is a legit need for Cincy. If Zac Taylor’s new “McVay style” offense is going to work, Andy Dalton is going to have a clean pocket. I mocked offensive tackles to the Bengals in all three of my mock drafts and think Williams is an ideal selection for the direction they want their team to be headed in.

    8:40 PM: I would say that this is a very weird pick for Green Bay. The Packers have selected Rashan Gary from Michigan after Gary had one of the best combines of any player at any position. If I was calling the shots for the Packers, I would have traded out of this pick or taken Noah Fant from Iowa and I *love* athleticism. There seem to be enough production and character concerns for Gary that taking him at #12 was a legit risk.

    8:47 PM: Christian Wilkins, a very big defensive tackle, is taken by the Miami Dolphins at #13. From a theory perspective, I find this pretty interesting. In general, the Dolphins are not going to be winning games in the next two years. How valuable is Wilkins when he is done with his rookie contract? I’m really not sure. I like Wilkins the player (very sturdy, strong nose tackle) but I think in Miami’s circumstances, I would have preferred to take Brian Burns.

    8:52 PM: Meh. The Atlanta Falcons make what I assume is a reasonable pick here with Chris Lindstrom at offensive guard. His brother is also a guard at Boston College, his dad was a guard in the NFL but in general, I can’t help but think this is another team that is making a weird selection. Cody Ford could even be moved to guard and I think he is one of the most impressive lineman prospects I’ve ever seen.

    9:01 PM: Washington gets their guy! They get my #2 QB in the class at pick 15, after their division rival made an LOL-bad pick at six. Dwayne Haskins was extremely talented and accurate at Ohio State, making consistently good decisions and looking like an NFL-ready quarterback. Washington had to take a quarterback due to what happened to Alex Smith and they got a bargain. I am sure when the Washington brass started thinking about this draft, they assumed there was no chance they would find Haskins at 15.

    9:07 PM: Brian Burns! One of my favorite EDGE rushers of the class, I didn’t imagine him lasting this long and didn’t see him this late in many mock drafts. Carolina should have been in the market for an offensive guard or tackle (Cody Ford would have been nice here) but given the problems they have had rushing the passer in the last two seasons, I think this pick makes a decent amount of sense.

    9:13 PM: GETTLEMAN STRIKES BACK! Dexter Lawrence is not a top-3o prospect in this draft, he might not even be a top-10 defensive lineman in this draft. Drafting a run-stopper at the seventeenth pick, I’m sorry, it is just bad. Lawrence will be a rotational player with injury issues who will have a hard time influencing the passing game. Not much to feel optimistic about as a Giants fan.

    9:17 PM: The Vikings answer a pressing need by drafting Garrett Bradbury from NC State. Bradbury destroyed the combine and will fit into an offense that desperately needed an athletic interior lineman. He is not the biggest center that the NFL has ever seen but I think as teams move to more spread formations, Bradbury is actually sort of the new prototype. Excellent pick here by Minnesota in my opinion.

    9:26 PM: Noah Fant goes to the Denver Broncos with the 20th pick in the 2019 NFL Draft. Noah Fant! While I don’t feel great about the quarterback situation, I do feel great about Fant as a player and I think a pass-catching trio of Courtland Sutton, DeSean Hamilton and Noah Fant moving forward is super positive for Denver. If they come out of this draft with a QB they believe in, the arrow is pointing up for the Denver passing offense.

    9:39 PM: The Packers traded up for a safety? Not a move that I expected at all. Savage seems to be a favorite of #DraftTwitter but safeties have the lowest value now of any time in almost all of NFL history.

    9:44 PM: Andre Dillard is the trade target for the Philadelphia Eagles after they move up three spots to the 22nd overall pick. Dillard put in more pass protection reps than any other offensive lineman in the country and is absolutely stone cold ready to protect Carson Wentz’s blindside. 6’5, 315 pounds, Dillard has future All-Pro left tackle written all over him.

    9:53 PM: We are now in the weird portion of the draft as Tytus Howard, an FCS right tackle, is off the board before Cody Ford. Would I have made this pick as the Texans who need OL help right now? I would not have. Ford can help protect DeShaun Watson know, I know this. Howard could, but I do not think it is as certain as Ford.

    9:59 PM: Well, friends, it finally happened. We have our first running back selected in the 2019 NFL Draft. Josh Jacobs is an inspiring story, a triumphant person but this is just not a good selection. Jacobs timed slow at Alabama’s Pro Day, barely played behind Damien Harris until his final season at Alabama and is still a first-round running back. For fantasy purposes, he is going to have a great opportunity and should be close to an RB1 if the Raiders offense plays to projection but this is a disaster pick for the Raiders organization.

    10:06 PM: Our first wide receiver is off the board to the Baltimore Ravens! Marquise ‘Hollywood’ Brown is the first wide receiver taken in the 2019 NFL Draft. Brown is one of the fastest, most agile wide receivers I have ever watched in college football. His use on bubble screens, jet sweeps and nine routes makes him a very unique weapon and the Ravens will be better to have him.

    10:20 PM: In back to back picks, we get Montez Sweat (in a trade up) to the Washington Redskins. Sweat had a few character concerns and a potential heart condition but tested like a stud EDGE. Then, Sweat’s college teammate Jonathan Abram was drafted to the Oakland Raiders. Abram is a very Gruden-style player as a run-stopping safety but not a great fit for the modern game.

    10:59 PM: The Patriots have done it! They took a wide reciever in the first round and it is my #1 wide receiver prospect, N’Keal Harry. Harry has some slight burst concerns but was a legit dominant player in college, has great long speed and size and is an all-around B+/A level prospect. His fantasy ceiling in a Gronk-less Patriots offense is WR2 level, though he will project like a WR4 as a rookie.

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