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Play Off Defensive Deficiencies When Betting College Football

Daniel Dobish September 23, 2017 9:14AM EDT
This column appears courtesy of MyBookie.ag

It’s another busy college football slate on Saturday, and there is a rare Sunday game this week as part of a reschedule. Sometimes the best way to be successful when wagering on college football is to limit your betting to a handful of conferences. Know the ins and outs of all of those teams, familiarize yourself with the trends and the history of certain rivalries, big or small. Also, be sure to watch totals for teams with defensive deficiencies when betting college football, as you can really take advantage of curious total lines.

  1. Louisiana-Monroe at Louisiana-Lafayette (over 60)

    betting college football

    The Florida Gators will be in the driver’s seat with a win against Kentucky. AP Photo/Mark Wallheiser

They don’t call it Sun Belt, Fun Belt for nothing. This battle of the Bayou State has the potential to be one of the most exciting games of the weekend, so it’s curious why Vegas has set the line so low for this rivalry game.

Louisiana-Lafayette has been getting killed on the defensive side of the ball, allowing 53.0 PPG through three outings. That includes 48 points allowed to FCS Southeast Louisiana in their opener, while Tulsa hung 66 on the Ragin’ Cajuns in the second game of the season. Monroe has played just two games after having their game at Florida State canceled due to Hurricane Irma. That’s probably a blessing, or their defensive numbers would be worse. As it stands, the Warhawks have given up 32.5 PPG through two games. Defense isn’t exactly a hallmark for either program this season. Take advantage.

  1. Florida (-2) at Kentucky

The Gators stroll into Lexington with a lot of confidence following a walk-off victory against rival Tennessee last weekend. The Florida-Kentucky battle on Saturday at Commonwealth Stadium might be the most important in years, as the winner will be in the driver’s seat.

Florida is usually in the driver’s seat when it comes to Kentucky. The Gators have dominated, especially against the number, going 9-1 ATS in the past 10 meetings. That includes a 5-0 ATS mark in their past five visits to the Bluegrass State. The Wildcats have managed an impressive 7-1 ATS mark over their past eight conference tilts, including a road win at South Carolina last weekend. However, Big Blue has failed to cover 21 of their past 30 following an ATS win in the previous week, and they’re 0-4 ATS in their past four showings in front of the home folks.

  1. Connecticut (-4 1/2) vs. East Carolina

The AAC battle between East Carolina and Connecticut will take place Sunday, rather than the originally scheduled Nov. 4. The change was made due to Hurricane Irma, and the fact UConn needed Nov. 4 to face South Florida in a makeup game. So it’s a rare Sunday battle on the college gridiron, but the change won’t make a difference for the Pirates.

East Carolina has been horrible so far, going 0-3 SU/ATS. They’re coming off a 64-17 loss against Virginia Tech, and they have lost each of their three games by 20 or more points. The Huskies were pounded 38-18 in Virginia last Saturday, but suddenly that’s not looking as embarrassing after the Cavaliers emasculated a decent Boise State team on the road Friday night. The Huskies should roll at Rentschler Field in the league opener for both sides.

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