Your Best DFS Golf Picks for the Fort Worth Invitational
Course: Colonial Country Club (Fort Worth, Texas)
Yardage: 7,209 – Par 70
Purse : $7.1 M
Field: 121 players
*Past Fort Worth Invitational Champions
Rickie Fowler ($10,400 on DraftKings): Fowler provides just as much upside as Spieth and Rahm for around $1,000 less. Some may consider this a down season for Rickie since he’s still looking for his first official win this season (he won the Hero World Challenge, an unofficial PGA event), but Fowler has two runner-ups and a T-4 this season. DailyRoto’s value optimization has him as the fifth best overall value this week, so the advanced metrics agree that Fowler is one the best plays.
Brooks Koepka ($9,200): Koepka is still a discount after being sidelined for over three months with a wrist injury. He’s proven the wrist is just fine after shooting 63 on Sunday at the PLAYERS and finishing the tournament T11. Yes, you risk Koepka still having a bit of rust, but this is his fourth event since his injury. Had he not been shelved for the last few months he’d easily be $500-$1000 more. He’ll be on a quest to defend his U.S Open title next month.
Chesson Hadley ($8,300): Hadley has been on a roll, logging five straight Top 20 finishes in his last five starts. Hadley has shown there’s no course that doesn’t work for his game. He ranks 17th on Tour in Par 4 scoring, 11th in approach proximity from 175-200 yards, and fourth in strokes gained: approach. He’ll be going for his sixth straight Top 20 and second straight Top 10 finish this week.
Adam Hadwin ($7,600): Hadwin had a streak of five straight Top 25 finishes snapped at the PLAYERS two weeks ago. Hadwin has a solid history at Colonial, making the cut in his last three starts, including a fifth place finish in 2015. DailyRoto’s win probability tool has him at a 1.87% chance to win (15th highest odds) and over a 17% chance at cracking the Top 10. The only other player with similar odds in the 7K range is Pat Perez, who Hadwin has been outplaying pretty much all year long.
Nick Watney ($7,300): Watney is starting to look more like the 2011-12 version of himself when he cracked the Top 10 in the world rankings. He’s made the cut in 11 straight starts, including 8 Top 40 finishes and a runner-up in the Wells Fargo Championship. He’s well above average in all of my key statistics this week ranking 40th in Par 4 scoring, 36th in strokes gained: off-the-tee, and fifth in approach proximity 175-200 yards. Watney is a safe sleeper pick in GPPs with some decent upside.
6 of the last 7 winners of the fort worth invitational (aka the colonial) have ranked 44th or better in Strokes Gained Approach for the year of their win…
*exception was Spieth who was only 87th in App in 2016–but is top ten this year
— Geoff (@thefantasygrind) May 21, 2018
Kevin Streelman ($7,100): Streelman is one of the best par 4 players on Tour, ranking 13th in Tour in Par 4 scoring. He’s 22nd in strokes gained: off-the-tee, and 44th in strokes gained: approach. He’s been on a bit of a downswing after missing two straight cuts, but overall Streelman is known for his consistency, and should be able to bounce back at Colonial. If Streelman can match his T-18 finish here last year, he’ll be well worth the $7,100 price tag.
Par 4 scoring
Strokes Gained: Off-the-Tee
Strokes gained: Approach
Approach Proximity 175-200 yards
Brooks Koepka Featured Image: (AP Photo/Ng Han Guan)
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