Popular Features

  • 2019 First Round NFL Mock Draft: Pre-Combine
    February 28, 2019
    2019 First Round NFL Mock Draft: Pre-Combine

    Pre-Combine NFL Mock Draft The 2019 NFL Draft is over 50 days away but the speculation on how the first round will go is in full swing. I have been waiting my whole football career to be in the position to do a first-round NFL Mock Draft and with so much intrigue, especially amongst the top…

  • Dynasty Fantasy Football Rookie Rankings premium
    March 1, 2019
    2019 NFL Draft: Pre-Combine Dynasty Fantasy Football Rookie Rankings

    Pre-Combine Dynasty Fantasy Football Rookie Rankings Earlier this week, Anthony Amico published his pre-combine rookie WR rankings. Now that the NFL combine is upon us, here are my Dynasty Fantasy Football Rookie Rankings. I have done them by position: Quarterback, Wide Receiver, Running Back and Tight End. These positional rankings are going to change for…

  • First Round Rookie Mock Draft
    February 18, 2019
    First Round Dynasty Rookie Mock Draft

    With the Combine only a couple of weeks away, now seems like a good time to start evaluating not just who to target in dynasty rookie drafts, but where those targets may go in your league. I got together with Davis Mattek (@DavisMattek) to do a first round rookie mock draft. Our objective in this…

  • The 2019 Post-Combine RB Success Model 2
    March 2, 2019
    The 2019 Post-Combine RB Success Model

    Which 2019 RB Prospects Have the Best Odds to Succeed? I’ve been doing a lot of modeling on the wide receiver side of things so far, but very little with running backs. There are some new modeling techniques I’ve been eager to try, with one of them being a logistic regression to find success probability…

  • 2019 NFL Draft Prospect Profile: Josh Jacobs, Alabama
    March 15, 2019
    2019 NFL Draft Prospect Profile: Josh Jacobs, Alabama

    Josh Jacobs 2019 NFL Draft Prospect Profile Scouting Report Josh Jacobs is not an easy prospect to evaluate. For most NFL scouts and self-styled NFL Draft analysts on the internet, he is either the best running back in the 2019 NFL draft class or at least in the conversation. I have a distinct feeling that…

  • 2019 NFL Draft Prospect Profile: Trayveon Williams, Texas A&M
    March 25, 2019
    2019 NFL Draft Prospect Profile: Trayveon Williams, Texas A&M

    Trayveon Williams 2019 NFL Draft Prospect Profile Scouting Report As has been discussed to death by this point, this is not the most spectacular running back class. Josh Jacobs has an underwhelming athletic profile, scouts do not seem to be as high on Darrell Henderson as #DraftTwitter analysts are, David Montgomery is solid but not…

  • Dynasty Fantasy Football premium
    March 25, 2019
    March Dynasty Fantasy Football Rankings Update

    Davis Mattek Dynasty Fantasy Football Rankings: March Update Now that the dynasty fantasy football window is crystallizing after free agency and before the NFL Draft, I combed through my dynasty fantasy football rankings and made some significant edits. 2019 Fantasy Football Rankings powered by FantasyProsECR ™ – Expert Consensus Rankings To read the rest of…

  • NFL Draft: The 2019 NFL Post-Combine Wide Receiver Success Model
    March 25, 2019
    The 2019 Post-Combine WR Success Model

    Which 2019 WR Prospects Have the Best Odds to Succeed? A couple of weeks ago, I released my post-combine RB success model, which gave the chance of success for the RB prospect group using logistic regression. It only makes sense to do the same thing with the WR position. Again, our goal is to find the…

  • Best Ball Fantasy Football: Players I've Invested In Early
    March 22, 2019
    Best Ball Fantasy Football: Players I’ve Invested In Early

    Best Ball Fantasy Football Portfolio: Players To Stock Up On Early I have already begun the process of drafting Best Ball Fantasy Football teams for 2019 (using our quite useful Best Ball fantasy football tools) and cannot wait to do more. A big part of our idea to launch the NFL365 package was to aid…

  • 2019 NFL Draft Prospect Profile: Miles Sanders, Penn State
    March 21, 2019
    2019 NFL Draft Prospect Profile: Miles Sanders, Penn State

    Miles Sanders 2019 NFL Draft Prospect Profile Scouting Report Miles Sanders is an interesting case study in how to evaluate prospects. Our general analysis weights breakout age and production as a true freshman as something that is fairly important. When evaluating wide receivers, this task becomes a little easier because no football team ever has…

The Stars Aren’t Coming Out At The FedEx St. Jude Classic

The Stars Aren’t Coming Out At The FedEx St. Jude Classic
Matt Rumack June 4, 2018 7:52PM EDT

A DFS Look Ahead to This Week’s FedEx St. Jude Classic

Course: TPC Southwind (Memphis, Tennessee)

Yardage: 7,244 – Par 70

Purse : $6.6 M

Field: 152 players

*Past FedEx St. Jude Classic Champions

2013 Harris English
2014 Ben Crane
2015 Fabien Gomez
2016 Daniel Berger
2017 Daniel Berger

DailyRoto
It seems like every other week a young up-and-coming player walks away with the win. Early in the season it was Patrick Cantlay, Austin Cook, and Jon Rahm, lately it’s been Satoshi Kodaira, Andrew Landry, Aaron Wise, and now Bryson DeChambeau with his second career win. DeChambeau went 15 under par after 72 holes, finding himself in a playoff with Byeong Hun-An and Kyle Stanley. After Stanley was eliminated on the first playoff hole, DeChambeau rolled in a 12-foot putt for birdie to knock off the second-year Korean Tour pro and win his second tournament. After a slow start to DeChambeau’s rookie season, the 24-year-old has broken out since then with two victories in a 10 and a half month period with a total of six Top 10 finishes this season. Headlined by Rahm, the 2016-17 class has three main stars in Rahm, Cantlay, and DeChambeau. The three have combined for five wins already in a year and a half on Tour, and add to the ever-growing competition on the PGA Tour.

The Tour moves from Ohio to Memphis, Tennessee for the FedEx St. Jude Classic for the final tune-up before the 2018 U.S Open. The 2018 edition of this tournament marks the final year that this tournament will be sporting a full field. In 2019 the FedEx St. Jude will become one of the WGC (World Golf Championship) Events, replacing the WGC Bridgestone Invitational, moving from it’s usual June slot to Augustof next year.

Unlike last week and next week, this is a very watered-down field as most of the stars chose the Memorial as their final warm-up for the second major of the year. Dustin Johnson, Phil Mickelson, Henrik Stenson, and Brooks Koepka will headline the players teeing it up at TPC Southwind. The only other Top 50 ranked golfers playing this week are Daniel Berger, Kiradech Aphibarnrat, Tony Finau, Peter Uihlein, and Charl Schwartzel.  Beyond the Top 50 guys, we’ll also be watching last week’s runner-up, Byeong Hun-An, Adam Scott, Billy Horschel, Keegan Bradley, Steve Stricker, Charles Howell III, and Luke List. The 19-year old Chilean phenom Joaquin Niemann will be teeing it up after leading the Memorial for three rounds last week, and finishing in sixth place. This week’s mid lower-tier will be inhabited by names like Lucas Glover, Russell Knox, Ryan Palmer, J.B. Holmes, Kevin Tway, Kevin Chappell, Ollie Schniederjans, Chez Reavie, Brandt Snedeker, Shane Lowry, Grayson Murray, Keith Mitchell, Austin Cook, James Hahn, and Danny Lee.

TPC Southwind, a Par 70 track that measures 7,244 yards, has been the site of the FedEx St. Jude since 1989. In recent years, there hasn’t been a particular style of player to repeatedly win this tournament, so recent form may be more important than searching for a guy to perfectly fit the course, but as always there are some basic things you want your DFS players to do well.. We’ve seen short-hitters like Ben Crane, who averages 279 yards a drive, win in 2014, and bombers like Dustin Johnson who averages just under 310 yards per drive. win in 2012. So clearly there is no reason to have any distance-bias when rostering players.

TPC Southwind challenges all parts of a player’s game, with water hazards on ten different holes, players will have to be precise with their ball striking. Players who gain strokes off the tee will have an advantage on the more wayward drivers of the ball. Striking it well off-the-tee is necessary for keeping the ball dry, as well as attacking the greens from the proper angles. The greens at TPC Southwind are some of the smaller surfaces on Tour and are very difficult to hit, so players who rank highly in approach strokes gained: approach and Greens in Regulation (GIR) percentage will need to showcase that ability this week. As a Par 70 course there are only two par 5s and 12 par 4s, so Par 5 scoring is devalued and Par 4 scoring gets the nod with two-thirds of the holes playing as a Par 4.  In recent years, winning scores are  somewhere in the 10 to 14 under range. With only eight par 5 opportunities all week, at least some of the birdies must be made on the 4s, so finding someone who has a high percentage of birdies on Par 4s (Par 4 birdie or better percentage) will lead to success at TPC Southwind.

Key Stats:

Strokes gained: off-the-tee

Strokes gained: approach

GIR Percentage

Par 4 scoring

Par 4 birdie or better percentage

Byeong Hun An Featured Image: (AP Photo/Dave Thompson)

Popular Features

  • 2019 First Round NFL Mock Draft: Pre-Combine
    February 28, 2019
    2019 First Round NFL Mock Draft: Pre-Combine

    Pre-Combine NFL Mock Draft The 2019 NFL Draft is over 50 days away but the speculation on how the first round will go is in full swing. I have been waiting my whole football career to be in the position to do a first-round NFL Mock Draft and with so much intrigue, especially amongst the top…

  • Dynasty Fantasy Football Rookie Rankings premium
    March 1, 2019
    2019 NFL Draft: Pre-Combine Dynasty Fantasy Football Rookie Rankings

    Pre-Combine Dynasty Fantasy Football Rookie Rankings Earlier this week, Anthony Amico published his pre-combine rookie WR rankings. Now that the NFL combine is upon us, here are my Dynasty Fantasy Football Rookie Rankings. I have done them by position: Quarterback, Wide Receiver, Running Back and Tight End. These positional rankings are going to change for…

  • First Round Rookie Mock Draft
    February 18, 2019
    First Round Dynasty Rookie Mock Draft

    With the Combine only a couple of weeks away, now seems like a good time to start evaluating not just who to target in dynasty rookie drafts, but where those targets may go in your league. I got together with Davis Mattek (@DavisMattek) to do a first round rookie mock draft. Our objective in this…

  • The 2019 Post-Combine RB Success Model 2
    March 2, 2019
    The 2019 Post-Combine RB Success Model

    Which 2019 RB Prospects Have the Best Odds to Succeed? I’ve been doing a lot of modeling on the wide receiver side of things so far, but very little with running backs. There are some new modeling techniques I’ve been eager to try, with one of them being a logistic regression to find success probability…

  • 2019 NFL Draft Prospect Profile: Josh Jacobs, Alabama
    March 15, 2019
    2019 NFL Draft Prospect Profile: Josh Jacobs, Alabama

    Josh Jacobs 2019 NFL Draft Prospect Profile Scouting Report Josh Jacobs is not an easy prospect to evaluate. For most NFL scouts and self-styled NFL Draft analysts on the internet, he is either the best running back in the 2019 NFL draft class or at least in the conversation. I have a distinct feeling that…

  • 2019 NFL Draft Prospect Profile: Trayveon Williams, Texas A&M
    March 25, 2019
    2019 NFL Draft Prospect Profile: Trayveon Williams, Texas A&M

    Trayveon Williams 2019 NFL Draft Prospect Profile Scouting Report As has been discussed to death by this point, this is not the most spectacular running back class. Josh Jacobs has an underwhelming athletic profile, scouts do not seem to be as high on Darrell Henderson as #DraftTwitter analysts are, David Montgomery is solid but not…

  • Dynasty Fantasy Football premium
    March 25, 2019
    March Dynasty Fantasy Football Rankings Update

    Davis Mattek Dynasty Fantasy Football Rankings: March Update Now that the dynasty fantasy football window is crystallizing after free agency and before the NFL Draft, I combed through my dynasty fantasy football rankings and made some significant edits. 2019 Fantasy Football Rankings powered by FantasyProsECR ™ – Expert Consensus Rankings To read the rest of…

  • NFL Draft: The 2019 NFL Post-Combine Wide Receiver Success Model
    March 25, 2019
    The 2019 Post-Combine WR Success Model

    Which 2019 WR Prospects Have the Best Odds to Succeed? A couple of weeks ago, I released my post-combine RB success model, which gave the chance of success for the RB prospect group using logistic regression. It only makes sense to do the same thing with the WR position. Again, our goal is to find the…

  • Best Ball Fantasy Football: Players I've Invested In Early
    March 22, 2019
    Best Ball Fantasy Football: Players I’ve Invested In Early

    Best Ball Fantasy Football Portfolio: Players To Stock Up On Early I have already begun the process of drafting Best Ball Fantasy Football teams for 2019 (using our quite useful Best Ball fantasy football tools) and cannot wait to do more. A big part of our idea to launch the NFL365 package was to aid…

  • 2019 NFL Draft Prospect Profile: Miles Sanders, Penn State
    March 21, 2019
    2019 NFL Draft Prospect Profile: Miles Sanders, Penn State

    Miles Sanders 2019 NFL Draft Prospect Profile Scouting Report Miles Sanders is an interesting case study in how to evaluate prospects. Our general analysis weights breakout age and production as a true freshman as something that is fairly important. When evaluating wide receivers, this task becomes a little easier because no football team ever has…