Popular Features

  • ADP Duel: Redskins Derrius Guice vs. Seahawks Rashaad Penny
    January 22, 2019
    2019 Running Back Dynasty Fantasy Football Value Rankings

    DYNASTY FANTASY FOOTBALL

  • Early Value RBs to Consider for 2019 Fantasy Football
    January 31, 2019
    Early Value RBs to Consider for 2019 Fantasy Football

    ENGEL’S ANGLES

  • First Round Rookie Mock Draft
    February 18, 2019
    First Round Dynasty Rookie Mock Draft

    With the Combine only a couple of weeks away, now seems like a good time to start evaluating not just who to target in dynasty rookie drafts, but where those targets may go in your league. I got together with Davis Mattek (@DavisMattek) to do a first round rookie mock draft. Our objective in this…

  • Pre-Combine 2019 NFL Draft Top Five Running Back Rankings
    January 24, 2019
    Pre-Combine 2019 NFL Draft Top Five RB Rankings

    2019 NFL DRAFT

  • The King's Fantasy Football Playoff Rankings and Outlooks premium
    February 18, 2019
    Davis Mattek February Dynasty Fantasy Football Rankings

    RotoExperts’ Davis Mattek Gives Pre-Combine Dynasty Fantasy Football Rankings As part of the all-inclusive NFL365 package on Roto Experts, myself and Anthony Amico will be bringing you consistently updated dynasty fantasy football rankings. This first released version does not yet encapsulate rookies or the bearings of free agency but is a good masthead for how to…

  • NFL Draft Prospect Profile: JJ Arcega-Whiteside, Stanford
    February 20, 2019
    NFL Draft Prospect Profile: JJ Arcega-Whiteside, Stanford University

    JJ Arcega-Whiteside Prospect Profile Wide receivers who accumulate a majority of their production in their final season of college are generally to be questioned. The evaluation of wide receiver prospects is full of riddles and Arcega-Whiteside has several of them. Through three college seasons, JJ Arcega-Whiteside had 72 receptions, including a true freshmen season where…

  • Stats to Know - Running Back Prospects
    February 20, 2019
    NFL Draft Stats to Know – Running Back Prospects

    What NFL Draft Statistics Matter Most for Running Back Prospects? In the first article in this series, I went through some key statistics for wide receiver prospects. The series continues here, as I dive into the running back position. I’ve done a bunch of regression-tree analysis on draft prospects. Using statistical software, we can see…

  • 2019 NFL Draft Prospect Profile: Andy Isabella, UMass
    February 19, 2019
    2019 NFL Draft Prospect Profile: Andy Isabella, UMass

    Andy Isabella NFL Draft Profile If I would have been told that I would have been jumping to write the prospect profile for a 5-10, 190 lb slot wide receiver four years ago, I wouldn’t have believed it. When analytics was really hitting the fantasy football community, one of the first things we learned was…

  • Time to Give Browns Baker Mayfield, Bears Mitchell Trubisky Proper Fantasy Respect
    February 18, 2019
    Introducing: The DailyRoto Fantasy Football Rankings and Projection Algorithm

    The DailyRoto-powered NFL365 Fantasy Football Tools We’re excited to launch the RotoExperts NFL365 Premium Package with the Daily Roto-powered Fantasy Football Rankings and Projection Algorithm. As part of the package, you have access to year-round rankings and projections, which will provide you with an edge at any point during the season – whether fantasy draft…

  • Stats to Know - Wide Receiver Prospects
    February 18, 2019
    Stats to Know – Wide Receiver Prospects

    What Statistics Matter Most for Wide Receiver Prospects? Now that the Super Bowl is over, all eyes will be turning to what is, in my opinion, the greatest sporting event of the year: the NFL Draft. Lives will be made, careers will be started, and fanbases will either be excited or fearful for their team’s…

Jordan Spieth Looks to Rebound for DFS Golfers at Travelers Championship

Jordan Spieth Looks to Rebound for DFS Golfers at Travelers Championship
Dom Cintorino June 20, 2018 6:46AM EST

Identifying top tournament and cash game plays for the Travelers Championship

DailyRoto
What a week at Shinnecock Hills. We expected this course to be difficult, but never thought the winning score would be over par. The 17.5% owned, Brooks Koepka’s 68 on Sunday was just enough to come out on top. Going back-to-back at any major is a huge accomplishment, but doing it at the U.S Open is a whole different story. With the leaderboard so cluttered at the top heading into Sunday with four players tied for the lead, a close finish was a lock. The course played so tough on Saturday and it was tough to figure out how it was going to play in the final round.

This week we move onto the Travelers Championship, where Jordan Spieth looks to defend his title. Last year, this was one of the more memorable tournaments with Spieth’s walk-off like hole out from the bunker to beat Daniel Berger. The Travelers brings a very strong field this year with 12 of the Top 25 players in the world. TPC River Highlands is another Par 70 that is much shorter than what we witnessed last week as it is just over 6,800 yards.

Key Statistics

  • SG: Tee-to-green
  • Ball Striking
  • Par 4 Birdie or Better

McIlroy, Spieth Look to Bounce Back After Missed Cuts at U.S. Open

 Above $10k this week is Justin Thomas ($11,500 on DraftKings), Brooks Koepka ($11,300), Rory McIlroy ($10,900), Jordan Spieth ($10,600), and Patrick Reed ($10,000). DailyRoto gives Thomas the best odds of winning this week at 6.43%.. Thomas does rate out very well in the key stats listed above, currently second in SG: Tee-to-green, 24th in Ball Striking, and fifth in Par 4 Birdie or Better. Rostering Thomas still leaves you with a lot of wiggle room with your salary cap with an average of $7,700 for your last five spots. Though he has shown some inconsistency at TPC River Highlands with a two missed cuts and a T3, Thomas is a solid play in this upper tier. However, he does project to be the highest owned player from the $10k+ range.

The back-to-back U.S. Open Champ falls just $200 below Thomas at the top of the board. Koepka can be completely faded in this spot as he just grinded out a very tough 72 holes at Shinnecock. Do not be surprised if Koepka withdraws from this tournament. Remember, each field for the next week is released on Friday. After a big win, it is typical of players to drop out of the field the next week. Reed is also another player up in this range that can be faded. Though he does not cost you too much at just $10,000, he is another player who was getting after it for all 72 holes at Shinnecock and was right in the mix on Sunday. Reed has been playing very well and making lots of cuts, but a U.S. Open can take a lot out of a golfer.

This leaves us with McIlroy and Spieth, both separated by just $300. McIlroy comes in on DailyRoto with the second best odds to win (5.62%), and Spieth is given the third best odds to win (5.53%). These two both missed the cut last week at Shinnecock Hills and will be looking to get back on track at the Travelers Championship. The missed cut will be fresh in everyone’s mind, limiting their exposure. For tournament purposes, both McIlroy and Spieth make for sneaky good plays as they will be easily overlooked in this upper tier. However, Spieth does have a higher floor coming off a win at TPC River Highlands last season.

Cash Game Locks in Casey and Cantlay

 Does Paul Casey ($9,600) ever let our DK lineups down? Aside from the RBC Heritage in April, Casey has not missed a cut this season. It seems so easy to just lock him into our lineups no matter what the price is and just let him do his thing. DailyRoto has Casey as the top value on the board when filtering strictly by course history. He has made the cut at the Travelers in each of the last three years, two of which resulted in Top Five finishes (T5, T17, 2nd). DailyRoto also gives him the fifth best odds to win, which is better than both Koepka, and Reed. At $9,600, just make it easy on yourself and staple Casey into your cash game lineups. He is a discount off the top tier, has the course history, and comes with a higher floor than just about anyone on tour.

Guess who is underpriced and rates out great again on DailyRoto? Yup, Patrick Cantlay ($8,400). Though he has only made one cut in three tries at the Travelers, his game was not near where it is right now. Cantlay’s last appearance at TPC River Highlands was his missed cut in 2014 when he didn’t even have his PGA Tour card. The 2018 version of Cantlay has proven to be fairly reliable. DailyRoto gives him almost a 4% chance to win, which is higher than everyone priced below $9,600. Cantlay did pick up his first win on tour in the swing season, but Brendan Steele ($7,600) also has a nice track record at TPC River Highlands. Steele has made the cut in each of his last five appearances at the Travelers with each finish being T25 or better. He also rates out very well in the key stats, as he is 24th is SG: Tee-to-green, 16th in Ball Striking, and 14th in Par 4 Birdie or Better. Steele has been very reliable all season with his only missed cut being at The Masters. Expect him to be a very popular cash game play this week at just $7,600 on DraftKings.

It might be too early to tell how Chris Stroud ($7,200) is going to fare coming off injury. He makes his return this week at a course he is very familiar with. So if we are willing to gamble on Stroud coming back from an injury, TPC River Highlands is the perfect place to target him at.  Stroud has played in the event nine times since 2008 and has never missed a cut. That’s right, 9/9 cuts made with four finishes inside the Top 20. When filtering DailyRoto’s PGA Projection model by course history only, Stroud’s $7,200 price tag is the fourth best value on the board. Before withdrawing at Fort Worth, Stroud had made two straight cuts before his injury. He doesn’t expect to be too highly owned as DailyRoto has him projected at just 1.62%.

The Valspar Championship DraftKings Picks

Popular Features

  • ADP Duel: Redskins Derrius Guice vs. Seahawks Rashaad Penny
    January 22, 2019
    2019 Running Back Dynasty Fantasy Football Value Rankings

    DYNASTY FANTASY FOOTBALL

  • Early Value RBs to Consider for 2019 Fantasy Football
    January 31, 2019
    Early Value RBs to Consider for 2019 Fantasy Football

    ENGEL’S ANGLES

  • First Round Rookie Mock Draft
    February 18, 2019
    First Round Dynasty Rookie Mock Draft

    With the Combine only a couple of weeks away, now seems like a good time to start evaluating not just who to target in dynasty rookie drafts, but where those targets may go in your league. I got together with Davis Mattek (@DavisMattek) to do a first round rookie mock draft. Our objective in this…

  • Pre-Combine 2019 NFL Draft Top Five Running Back Rankings
    January 24, 2019
    Pre-Combine 2019 NFL Draft Top Five RB Rankings

    2019 NFL DRAFT

  • The King's Fantasy Football Playoff Rankings and Outlooks premium
    February 18, 2019
    Davis Mattek February Dynasty Fantasy Football Rankings

    RotoExperts’ Davis Mattek Gives Pre-Combine Dynasty Fantasy Football Rankings As part of the all-inclusive NFL365 package on Roto Experts, myself and Anthony Amico will be bringing you consistently updated dynasty fantasy football rankings. This first released version does not yet encapsulate rookies or the bearings of free agency but is a good masthead for how to…

  • NFL Draft Prospect Profile: JJ Arcega-Whiteside, Stanford
    February 20, 2019
    NFL Draft Prospect Profile: JJ Arcega-Whiteside, Stanford University

    JJ Arcega-Whiteside Prospect Profile Wide receivers who accumulate a majority of their production in their final season of college are generally to be questioned. The evaluation of wide receiver prospects is full of riddles and Arcega-Whiteside has several of them. Through three college seasons, JJ Arcega-Whiteside had 72 receptions, including a true freshmen season where…

  • Stats to Know - Running Back Prospects
    February 20, 2019
    NFL Draft Stats to Know – Running Back Prospects

    What NFL Draft Statistics Matter Most for Running Back Prospects? In the first article in this series, I went through some key statistics for wide receiver prospects. The series continues here, as I dive into the running back position. I’ve done a bunch of regression-tree analysis on draft prospects. Using statistical software, we can see…

  • 2019 NFL Draft Prospect Profile: Andy Isabella, UMass
    February 19, 2019
    2019 NFL Draft Prospect Profile: Andy Isabella, UMass

    Andy Isabella NFL Draft Profile If I would have been told that I would have been jumping to write the prospect profile for a 5-10, 190 lb slot wide receiver four years ago, I wouldn’t have believed it. When analytics was really hitting the fantasy football community, one of the first things we learned was…

  • Time to Give Browns Baker Mayfield, Bears Mitchell Trubisky Proper Fantasy Respect
    February 18, 2019
    Introducing: The DailyRoto Fantasy Football Rankings and Projection Algorithm

    The DailyRoto-powered NFL365 Fantasy Football Tools We’re excited to launch the RotoExperts NFL365 Premium Package with the Daily Roto-powered Fantasy Football Rankings and Projection Algorithm. As part of the package, you have access to year-round rankings and projections, which will provide you with an edge at any point during the season – whether fantasy draft…

  • Stats to Know - Wide Receiver Prospects
    February 18, 2019
    Stats to Know – Wide Receiver Prospects

    What Statistics Matter Most for Wide Receiver Prospects? Now that the Super Bowl is over, all eyes will be turning to what is, in my opinion, the greatest sporting event of the year: the NFL Draft. Lives will be made, careers will be started, and fanbases will either be excited or fearful for their team’s…