Popular Features

  • Dynasty Fantasy Football Rookie Rankings
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  • DYNASTY FANTASY FOOTBALL ROOKIE RANKINGS
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    Final Pre-Draft Dynasty Fantasy Football Rookie Rankings: Running Backs

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  • 2019 First Round NFL Mock Draft 2.0: Post-Combine
    April 4, 2019
    2019 First Round NFL Mock Draft 2.0: Post-Combine

    Davis Mattek 2019 NFL Mock Draft 2.0 The 2019 NFL Draft is over 20 days away and the anticipation is killing most of us. While the NFL Draft is one of the most unpredictable events in all of the sporting world, NFL Mock Drafts are one of the most enjoyable parts of the entire process. I…

  • First Round Rookie Mock Draft
    February 18, 2019
    First Round Dynasty Rookie Mock Draft

    With the Combine only a couple of weeks away, now seems like a good time to start evaluating not just who to target in dynasty rookie drafts, but where those targets may go in your league. I got together with Davis Mattek (@DavisMattek) to do a first round rookie mock draft. Our objective in this…

  • Dynasty Fantasy Football Rankings premium
    April 11, 2019
    Pre-Draft Dynasty Fantasy Football Rankings Update

    Pre-Draft Dynasty Fantasy Football Rankings Update Dynasty fantasy football rankings are bound to get shaken up in two weeks when the 2019 NFL Draft happens but there is plenty of league business to handle now. I actually just finished up the startup draft for the #DFBInvitational myself and will be looking to improve my roster…

  • Dynasty Fantasy Football Rookie Rankings
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    All 2019 NFL Draft Prospect Profiles

    All 2019 NFL Draft Prospect Profiles I have done prospect profiles for over 30 NFL draft prospects in the 2019 NFL Draft, as well as rankings for the 2019 dynasty fantasy football rookie class. This is a list of all the prospect profiles done before the 2019 NFL Draft. These prospect profiles should account for…

  • 2019 NFL Week One Betting Lines Analysis
    April 22, 2019
    2019 NFL Week One Betting Lines Analysis

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  • 2019 NFL Season Win Totals
    April 18, 2019
    2019 NFL Season Win Totals

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  • Sportradar Partnership Announcement 1
    April 18, 2019
    Sportradar Partnership Announcement

    SPORTRADAR AND SPORTSGRID ANNOUNCE EXCLUSIVE PARTNERSHIP TO LAUNCH THE FIRST FREE, 24-HOUR SPORTS BETTING NETWORK NEW YORK, NY – APRIL 18, 2019 – Sportradar, the global leader in analyzing and leveraging the power of sports data, and SportsGrid, the leader in original programming for both daily fantasy and sports betting, today announced an exclusive partnership to launch the first…

  • 2019 NFL Futures
    April 17, 2019
    The 2019 NFL Futures Betting Market: Is There Any Value?

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Sell High on Brewers Christian Yelich, Deal for Rays Tommy Pham

Sell High on Brewers Christian Yelich, Deal for Rays Tommy Pham
Austin Webster August 1, 2018 11:56AM EDT

Your latest Sell High and Buy Low Fantasy Candidates

The MLB trade deadline has come and gone. Now it is time to consider who are good targets in Fantasy baseball trades, whether it be buying low or selling high on them. There has been insane production from some players over the past few weeks that is unsustainable, making them worthy trade candidates. Also, I mention players that seem primed to break out of their slumps and see positive regression the remainder of the season.

Christian Yelich Owned July

The hottest hitter in baseball right now is Christian Yelich. In his last 25 games, he owns a .396 batting average with four home runs and three stolen bases. That upside should have Fantasy owners watering from the mouth. Do not get me wrong, I think Yelich will continue to put up good numbers, but his recent success is unsustainable, as he is not known for his great power. In his four-year career he has yet to hit over 21 home runs, and his 27.6 percent home run to fly ball rate is 10 percent higher than his career average. What he has done recently is more than likely a big flash in the pan, as his last four home runs have come via a 50 percent home run to fly ball rate in those last 25 games. He is also benefiting from the highest BABIP in baseball, and could see some regression to his batting average. I am not sold that Yelich can keep up this elite production, and if other Fantasy owners want to believe so, go get a great return on your investment.

Is Ryan Zimmerman Ready to Produce?

Zimmerman was one of the best hitters in baseball last season, but has been derailed by injuries so far in 2018. His 91.8 mph exit velocity was the 11th highest in MLB. In 2018, it has actually increased to 94.2 mph. I think that Zimmerman has the ability to get close to what he was doing last season now that he is healthy, and his numbers point to positive regression. His BABIP is currently the lowest it has ever been throughout his 14-year career and should improve. The power numbers can certainly go up as well. He made a conscious effort last year to hit more home runs and is hitting the ball too hard to not see an increase in his .188 Isolated Power. That would be a big drop-off from his .269 Isolated Power. I would target Zimmerman in a trade before he starts to turn it on with good health.

Kole Calhoun’s Power Surge

 Another player that is scorching hot at the plate recently is Kole Calhoun. In his 22 games played in July, Calhoun has hit nine home runs to go with a .301 batting average. It is very hard to imagine Calhoun can keep this success up, especially with how bad he has been against left-handed pitchers. He is hitting .132 against them and has yet to hit a home run vs. LHPs. So for Calhoun to keep up his recent success, he will have to be insanely good against right handed pitchers, and he does not seem up to the task. The full season numbers are not pretty for him, possibly making it tough to sell high on him, but his numbers over the past month could entice a Fantasy owner. Calhoun can be a very streaky hitter and should be traded before he falls into another slump.

Ronald Acuna’s Overwhelming Talent

 Acuna burst onto the scene when he was called up by the Braves, but had a slow month in July. In the month, his strikeout rate has jumped to 30.6 percent and batting average is an unappealing .234. He is a player with immense talent that can post big Fantasy numbers with his above-average power and speed. I believe Acuna will settle in the remainder of the season and post big numbers to help lead the Braves to a potential playoff berth. Go and take a chance on the young star that has huge upside.

Tommy Pham’s Fresh Start

After being traded to the Rays, Fantasy owners might have a worse outlook on Pham. On top of that, he has been really struggling at the plate after a hot start to the season. In his first 25 games, Pham held a .341 batting average but has now dropped to .248. Overall, his numbers across the board are down a sizeable margin from 2017. The good news for Pham is that he should be due for positive regression. He has the ninth highest hard-hit rate of 47.5 percent, but a .065 drop in his BABIP from last year looks to be part of the cause in his disappointing numbers. The trade to the Rays gives him a fresh start to get back to his success from last year. I expect Pham to turn it around and his numbers to trend back closer to what he did last season.

Luis Severino’s Rough Stretch

It has not been pretty for Severino in his last four starts. He has let up an average of eight hits and has an ERA of 8.95 in the four starts. However, Severino has been too good of a pitcher this season to not bounce back from his rough stretch. The last two starts where he gave up six runs in each of the games, he held just a 47.6 percent strand rate. He will definitely be able to improve on that. Pitching coach Larry Rothschild told Newsday, “A lot of it has to do with the fastball command, I think that’s been the No. 1 thing”. A big part of Severino’s pitching is the difficulty to decipher between the fastball and slider coming out of his hand, so if he is not locating the fastball well he is going to struggle. Even the best pitchers can go through stretches where the command is off, and I am not worried about it continuing to be an issue. He has been one of the best pitchers in baseball this year, and his recent struggles gives him an opportunity to buy low on him.

Can Tyler Anderson Keep Up His Success?

A pitcher that looks due for regression is Tyler Anderson. He is already in a tough situation at Coors Field, and analytics show he is pitching worse than his ERA might show. He holds a career low BABIP of .258, down from his career average of .292. He is also producing less ground balls this year, but benefiting from a lower home run to fly ball rate allowed. His ground ball rate is down 5.5% from his career average, and his 13 percent home run to fly ball rate is down 19.5 percent from last year. I expect Anderson to struggle to keep the home run to fly ball rate down with him generating less ground balls. He has been dominant in July with a 2.16 ERA, and is a prominent sell-high option before regression hits.

Popular Features

  • Dynasty Fantasy Football Rookie Rankings
    March 28, 2019
    2019 NFL Draft: Post-Combine Dynasty Fantasy Football Rookie Rankings

    Davis Mattek’s 2019 NFL Draft Post-Combine Dynasty Fantasy Football Rookie Rankings Right before the NFL Scouting Combine, I posted my Pre-Combine dynasty fantasy football rookie rankings with the caveat that things would certainly change. There are a few very significant changes from those rankings as I tend to value athleticism more than the average dynasty fantasy football…

  • DYNASTY FANTASY FOOTBALL ROOKIE RANKINGS
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    Final Pre-Draft Dynasty Fantasy Football Rookie Rankings: Running Backs

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  • 2019 First Round NFL Mock Draft 2.0: Post-Combine
    April 4, 2019
    2019 First Round NFL Mock Draft 2.0: Post-Combine

    Davis Mattek 2019 NFL Mock Draft 2.0 The 2019 NFL Draft is over 20 days away and the anticipation is killing most of us. While the NFL Draft is one of the most unpredictable events in all of the sporting world, NFL Mock Drafts are one of the most enjoyable parts of the entire process. I…

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    February 18, 2019
    First Round Dynasty Rookie Mock Draft

    With the Combine only a couple of weeks away, now seems like a good time to start evaluating not just who to target in dynasty rookie drafts, but where those targets may go in your league. I got together with Davis Mattek (@DavisMattek) to do a first round rookie mock draft. Our objective in this…

  • Dynasty Fantasy Football Rankings premium
    April 11, 2019
    Pre-Draft Dynasty Fantasy Football Rankings Update

    Pre-Draft Dynasty Fantasy Football Rankings Update Dynasty fantasy football rankings are bound to get shaken up in two weeks when the 2019 NFL Draft happens but there is plenty of league business to handle now. I actually just finished up the startup draft for the #DFBInvitational myself and will be looking to improve my roster…

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    April 22, 2019
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    2019 NFL Week One Betting Lines Analysis From Our Simulation Model Using a similar methodology to our look at 2019 NFL win total bets, the sports statistician at Sportsgrid has run a model looking at the Week One Betting lines from the Fanduel Sportsbook.  This same methodology was able to finish in the top 10 of…

  • 2019 NFL Season Win Totals
    April 18, 2019
    2019 NFL Season Win Totals

    2019 NFL Season Win Totals Betting Analysis SportsGrid’s own full-time sports statistician used the 2019 NFL schedule released on April 17th to run several simulations of the 2019 NFL season and correspond to the Fanduel Sportsbook 2019 NFL Season Win Totals. We’ve already looked at some futures bets for the 2019 season but now that we have the…

  • Sportradar Partnership Announcement 1
    April 18, 2019
    Sportradar Partnership Announcement

    SPORTRADAR AND SPORTSGRID ANNOUNCE EXCLUSIVE PARTNERSHIP TO LAUNCH THE FIRST FREE, 24-HOUR SPORTS BETTING NETWORK NEW YORK, NY – APRIL 18, 2019 – Sportradar, the global leader in analyzing and leveraging the power of sports data, and SportsGrid, the leader in original programming for both daily fantasy and sports betting, today announced an exclusive partnership to launch the first…

  • 2019 NFL Futures
    April 17, 2019
    The 2019 NFL Futures Betting Market: Is There Any Value?

    An Early Look At The 2019 NFL Futures Betting Market Hitting a futures bet is one of the absolute best feelings in sports. The cost associated is one that some people don’t necessarily realize though. While the prices might seem good eight months out, you’re paying a tax by keeping your money locked up in…