The new RotoExperts Trading Guide: Buy Low, Sell High Guys and Who You are Stuck with
When I first started playing Fantasy Sports, there were two parts of the process that I instantly fell in love with. The first was the draft. To me, that is like Christmas morning for adults, as we finally were allowed to unwrap our “gifts”. The second part I enjoyed is trading. I loved the art of the negotiation, talking other league members. and trying to cut a deal. Nowadays, however, trading has become more of a rarity, as it seems no one wants to make a deal in my leagues.
Why is it much more difficult to make a trade? Well, I’m part of the problem. What I mean is not me personally, but the job I do. Everyone is afraid that after they make a deal, people like me who write columns and have radio shows will tell them what a bad job they did after the fact. This leads me to wonder why you didn’t ask for trade advice before you made the deal, but I digress. No one is interested in making a fair deal anymore. If they don’t think they are the clear winner, a deal just isn’t happening.
In the Fantasy world there is nothing more frustrating to me then when someone makes me an insulting offer. I never expect a trade proposal to be the best offer that person has to make, but don’t make it a garbage one either. Offer something competitive and we will get a dialogue going. Insult me and it’s the delete button, and I continue with what I was doing. Look at my team. If I have three stud running backs, but I’m questionable at tight end, then offering me a RB and asking for a TE probably isn’t going to happen. You’re just wasting my time and yours.
This happened recently in my home league. This is a 12-team league in which we start 3RB, 4WR, 1TE, flex, and a superflex. Someone dropped George Kittle before Jimmy Garoppolo went down for the season with a torn ACL. I picked up Kittle. I didn’t need a TE (I have Travis Kelce in that league), but I like the player and believe he could be a flex play for me at times. This is a SuperFlex league and my backup (third) quarterback was Jameis Winston. Well, I wasn’t going to be able to start a QB in the SF this week because Cam Newton was on bye and Winston wasn’t going to play in his first game back from suspension (at least I didn’t think he was).
The Evan Engram owner, a smart owner, knowing what he’s doing, offered me Mitch Trubisky for Kittle. Tight end is a horror show this year and he wanted Kittle to replace Engram and he knew I needed a QB. We made the deal. I’ll be honest, I didn’t think much of the deal, figured Trubisky would start for me this week and then I would look to trade him to another team that needed a QB for some depth at WR or RB. Although I did like the matchup Trubisky had this week, he had only thrown two TD passes in the first two games. There was no reason to believe Sunday would be all that different. No one said anything about this deal during the week. Well, as you can imagine, that owner heard about how one particular owner felt last night. Needless to say, he wasn’t happy about it. Yet another reason trades are so hard to make. There was nothing wrong with the original deal and it wasn’t like Kittle had a terrible day yesterday (6-125-1), but all anyone will remember are those six touchdown passes that Trubisky seems to still be throwing. That’s just the way trades work sometimes, and in the end, the other owner may actually win this deal anyway as I may never start Trubisky again.
In this column we will take a quick look at three players who are buy lows, three that are sell highs, three that you’d like to deal but can’t get equal value for, and three you should hold.
- Geronimo Allison, Green Bay Packers: Randall Cobb is already down with a hamstring injury which leaves only Davante Adams and Allison as reliable pass-catchers for Aaron Rodgers. There is also the theory that as the season moves along, A-Rod will get more and more comfortable with Allison, which should lead to more targets coming his way. Do monitor his recovery from a concussion, though.
- David Johnson, Arizona Cardinals: You may have an owner in your league that is upset that Johnson has yet to rush for more than 75 yards in a game or that he only has two touchdowns this season. Johnson will get better and now that the Cardinals have made the change at QB to Josh Rosen, I would expect more short passes out of the backfield to Johnson. It doesn’t matter how Johnson gains his yardage, as he long as he gets it.
- Michael Crabtree, Baltimore Ravens: This is not your typical Ravens offense. They can throw the ball down the field. Right now, John Brown is the beneficiary of this deep passing game, but defenses will adjust and play a safety over the top. Crabtree should be the beneficiary of less defensive attention and Flacco may be forced to look his way more often.
- Mike Davis, Seattle Seahawks: How many Fantasy owners were upset that not only was Chris Carson a surprise inactive Sunday, but that it was Davis and not first-round draft pick Rashaad Penny who took over the starting role. Davis had a big game and maybe someone in your league will believe more is coming, but Carson will get the starting job back or at least split the role. Davis will be a hot free agent add this week, so if you have a high waiver priority, make him a preferred add and then flip him to a team that needs RB help.
- Giovani Bernard, Cincinnati Bengals: First, let me say that I have Bernard in several leagues and he’s been a godsend for me. Joe Mixon could be back this week or next which could once again limit Bernard to third-down pass catching duties with a few carries sprinkled in.
- Nick Chubb, Cleveland Browns: Yes, Chubb had a great game Sunday with TD runs of 63 and 41 yards, but he only had one additional carry. Sure, maybe he gets more work, but it’s unlikely he takes over the starting job. If someone wants to pay a price assuming he does, accept the gift.
No Value – Don’t Expect Anything in Return in a Deal
- Larry Fitzgerald, Arizona Cardinals: I was surprised Fitzgerald came back this season after threatening to retire. Why should he play for a non-playoff team that he knew would eventually go to a rookie QB? Fitzgerald finally looks like Father Time has caught up with him. No one is likely to give you anything for him. To the bench he goes.
- Chris Hogan, New England Patriots: The value for Hogan has been going down almost each week this season and now with Josh Gordon in the fold and Julian Edelman back from suspension, good luck getting any trade interest for his services.
- Kenyan Drake, Miami Dolphins: Drake only has 33 rushing attempts all season, eight combined the last two weeks. The Dolphins just don’t trust him and have moved on to Frank Gore. You can try and move him, but it’s not like your fellow owners don’t know the deal.
- Jordan Howard, Chicago Bears: Yeah, it was disappointing to see that the Bears scored 48 points Sunday and Howard had a whole two Fantasy points. It will cost me a win also this week. Life will get better and if Mitch Trubisky can continue to be a threat at QB, running lanes will open up for Howard.
- Rob Gronkowski, New England Patriots: Statistics tell us that Gronk is being double covered on about two-thirds of his routes over the past few weeks. That should stop now that Gordon and Edelman are back, although you may have to eat it this week if Gronk can’t go Thursday night because he re-aggravated his ankle injury versus Miami on Sunday.
- Dalvin Cook, Minnesota Vikings: As a Fantasy owner you knew going into the season that Cook may get off to a slow start. Cook was coming off of a torn ACL and coach Mike Zimmer had stated that Cook would split the role in the early part of the season with Latavius Murray. Throw in the hamstring injury and you have a recipe for a slow start, but with that passing game, life will get better for Cook and his Fantasy owners.