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Matchups to Exploit: Give Derrick Henry One More Try

Matchups to Exploit: Give Derrick Henry One More Try
Austin Webster October 6, 2018 4:03AM EST

Week Five Individual Fantasy Matchups to Consider

Week Five is here, and favorable matchups are glaring on the schedule. An area that has led to dividends in Fantasy this year has been slot wide receivers. Also, there are running backs that look ready to break out against defenses that are ranked towards the bottom of league against RBs.

 WRs vs CBs

Tyler Boyd vs Miami

Boyd has broken out this year for the Bengals in his third season. In the past three games, he has gone over 90 yards and scored in two of the three games. He is in line for another big game with Dolphins slot corner Bobby McCain out. McCain has been having a good season in coverage, and Boyd should benefit from his absence. Also, there will be targets up for grabs with Tyler Eifert, Giovani Bernard, and John Ross all out. Boyd is on his way to another juicy stat line in Week Five.

Mohamed Sanu vs Cameron Sutton

Sanu will face off against a Steelers defense that is allowing the second most Fantasy points to wide receivers. He draws Cameron Sutton in the slot, who is one of the worst cornerbacks in the league. He is allowing 2.47 yards per snap, which is the fifth-most among corners on the field for more than 20 percent of the snaps. Sanu should be able to take advantage of that matchup and the game is likely to be a shootout. The implied point total is 58, so there is plenty of work to go around and Sanu will make the most of it. In games with totals over 50 the past two seasons, Sanu has scored double digit Fantasy points in six of those seven contests.

Doug Baldwin vs Nickell Robey-Coleman

It has been a frustrating year for Baldwin due to injuries, but this is the week for him to get it going. The Seahawks will struggle to get anything moving on the ground against the Rams, and will likely to be working from behind. That will lead to more pass attempts for them, and Baldwin could see over 10 targets. Baldwin will be lining up primarily in the slot like he normally does versus the Rams. Adam Thielen was able to rack up 83 yards in the slot against the Rams last week. Baldwin should have a breakout week and is a good value on DraftKings at $5,000.

Emmanuel Sanders vs Buster Skrine 

It is evident to attack the Jets in the slot. Their outside corner, Morris Claiborne, has been good in coverage, but slot corner Buster Skrine has been struggling this year. He has been allowing a lot of yards when he is on the field, and slot wide receivers have benefited against the Jets. Both Dede Westbrook and Jarvis Landry went for over 100 yards, and Golden Tate had 79 yards and a touchdown. Sanders has been quiet in the passing game the last two weeks, but this is the matchup for him to turn it on.

Will Fuller vs Chidobe Awuzie

Something that will work in Fuller’s favor this week is how good corner Byron Jones has been for the Cowboys this year. He has been one of the best cornerbacks in the NFL this season, and DeAndre Hopkins is likely to see more of him than Fuller. Jones’ play has made Chidobe Awuzie the punching bag of the Cowboys’ defense. He has been targeted the eighth-most times, and is allowing the third-most yards of all corners. When healthy this year, Fuller has been seeing a lot of targets and against Awuzie that should remain the case. Fuller has big upside every week and has the ability to hit over 100 yards this time.

RBs vs LBs

Aaron Jones vs DET

Whenever Jones has been given an opportunity with the Packers he has delivered. In his 98 carries through two years, he has averaged a healthy 5.7 yards a carry, and faces off against a Lions’ defense allowing an NFL high 157 rushing yards per game. Jones could see around 15 carries, especially with how banged up the Packers receiving corps is. I would not be surprised if Jones rushes for around 80 yards and finds the end zone against an extremely susceptible run defense.

T.J. Yeldon vs K.C.

The Chiefs have not been able to do much when it comes to stopping running backs. They are allowing the second-most Fantasy points to the position, and giving up the most yards receiving to backs. Yeldon has been active in the receiving game the last two weeks with over 40 yards in both. Adding more to Yeldon’s appeal is how bad the Chiefs have been in tackling. They are allowing runners to break off big runs due to missed tackle after missed tackle. Runners are gaining an NFL high of 5.7 yards per carry against them. Yeldon should be able to get it done whether it is in the receiving game or the running game. With no Leonard Fournette, Yeldon should see over 15 touches against a Bottom Five defense.

Derrick Henry vs BUF

Henry is having a season to forget so far in 2018. If there was ever a week to turn it around, it is this one against the Bills. The Titans should be leading in the game, meaning more Henry than Dion Lewis in this game. Marcus Mariota still has the concern over the nerve damage in his elbow, so this game seems like one where they run Henry over and over again in the second half. He could hit over 20 rushes which is rare these days, and always has the ability to score if they get in the red zone.

Mark Ingram vs WAS

Ingram is back, and he should be hungry to contribute right away in a favorable matchup against the Redskins. Pro Football Focus has Washington graded as the worst run defense in football, and Ingram was one of the best runners in 2017. He had a huge game against Washington last year with 155 yards on just 14 touches and a touchdown. The Saints’ elite offense offers a lot of scoring opportunities and Ingram always is a good bet to find the end zone as well. He had 12 rushing touchdowns last year, and I could see him scoring right away in his first game back.

Chris Thompson vs NO

When the Redskins are down in games, expect a lot of Chris Thompson. That could be the case against the Saints this week as Washington is 6.5 point underdogs, and the Saints are a tough out, especially at home. The one game where the Redskins were trailing was in Week Two to the Colts, and Thompson had 13 receptions. The Saints run defense has been good this year too, which could take Adrian Peterson out of the game plan and lead to more Thompson. He could see around seven catches in a comeback effort.

 

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