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Pump The Brakes on Vikings Latavius Murray, Grab Browns Nick Chubb Off Waivers

Pump The Brakes on Vikings Latavius Murray, Grab Browns Nick Chubb Off Waivers
Scott Engel Managing Director October 15, 2018 5:27PM EST

The King looks ahead to Week Seven also offers some waiver and roster tips.

-The Broncos have slipped so much that they are only favored by three over the Cardinals. There may be a QB switch coming soon, which could also lead to a change in production from the Denver pass-catchers. This should be a good week for Phillip Lindsay against Arizona’s 25th-ranked run defense, which looked even worse against Minnesota. Denver is ranked 28th and recently has looked like it should rank 33rd. Expect another productive outing from David Johnson in Week 7.

-There are no Chargers WRs you can feel good about right now, as Keenan Allen has fallen out of WR1 territory and anyone else is not startable. Don’t waste a waiver add on the erratic Tyrell Williams. Allen has not scored since Week One and has only topped 70 yards once during that span. Trade him if you can to someone who still believes that his name comes with elite production. Heck, if I could deal Allen for Robert Woods I would do it.

-The over/under for Chicago/New England next week is 49.5, so I will take the over after the Bears let Brock Osweiler enjoy a career day. There are no “set it and forget it” defenses any more. The Jaguars and Bears both had -1 points in ESPN standard scoring in Week Six. Last year’s Super Bowl was a signal that we have entered an era where defense no longer wins championships. Focus on sacks and turnover potential when choosing your weekly defenses over points allowed. Target the 49ers and Bills whenever you can as you make your choices. Buffalo allows the most average Fantasy points to opposing defenses (12.4) and Niners have allowed 9.0, which is fifth, but should continue to climb with their offensive issues.

-Carlos Hyde has 12 PPR points in his last two games and seems like he has hit some sort of invisible wall. He has a checkered injury history, and Nick Chubb may push his way into the lineup through missed time or declining performance soon. Chubb is only 22.3 percent owned and you should grab and stash him now before opportunity arises.

-Before his 155-yard outburst against the Cardinals on Sunday, Latavius Murray had not rushed for more than 42 yards in a game this season. The Week Six outing certainly seems like an anomaly. Don’t go all-all-out on the waiver wire to be reactionary and acquire Murray from free agency this week. Even if Dalvin Cook misses more time Murray has done nothing to indicate he can build on the momentum of his Sunday performance or that he can be anywhere near dependable.

-The Ravens fourth-ranked pass defense does present a more formidable challenge for the Saints this week, as they will also be playing away from home. But don’t assume you will have to worry about your top New Orleans options. This will be the first potent offense the Ravens have faced at home, and while they did limit Pittsburgh to 14 points this year, they also allowed 34 to the Bengals.

-Before you put in a waiver claim for Cole Beasley and regain your faith in Dak Prescott, keep in mind that the Cowboys head back out on the road, where they are winless this season. They also face Washington’s fifth-ranked pass defense. Dallas has scored 37 points in three road games this season. Despite the 40-point outburst against the Jaguars, it’s not time to re-instill any  faith in the Cowboys passing game. They have yet to show any potency on the road.

-The Monday Giants-Falcons game has an implied total of 54.5, so naturally we expect another high-scoring affair involving Atlanta. The Giants run defense is ranked 25th, but the Falcons run game was not able to get going in a shootout with the Buccaneers, and ranks 26th in the league. Devonta Freeman will be out again, and Tevin Coleman did not rush for 40 yards against the Saints and Bucs. He also lost goal-line touches to Ito Smith. Start Atlanta RBs if you must because of bye concerns, but they may not make ideal lineup choices otherwise.

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