Popular Features

  • 2019 First Round NFL Mock Draft: Pre-Combine
    February 28, 2019
    2019 First Round NFL Mock Draft: Pre-Combine

    Pre-Combine NFL Mock Draft The 2019 NFL Draft is over 50 days away but the speculation on how the first round will go is in full swing. I have been waiting my whole football career to be in the position to do a first-round NFL Mock Draft and with so much intrigue, especially amongst the top…

  • First Round Rookie Mock Draft
    February 18, 2019
    First Round Dynasty Rookie Mock Draft

    With the Combine only a couple of weeks away, now seems like a good time to start evaluating not just who to target in dynasty rookie drafts, but where those targets may go in your league. I got together with Davis Mattek (@DavisMattek) to do a first round rookie mock draft. Our objective in this…

  • Dynasty Fantasy Football Rookie Rankings premium
    March 1, 2019
    2019 NFL Draft: Pre-Combine Dynasty Fantasy Football Rookie Rankings

    Pre-Combine Dynasty Fantasy Football Rookie Rankings Earlier this week, Anthony Amico published his pre-combine rookie WR rankings. Now that the NFL combine is upon us, here are my Dynasty Fantasy Football Rookie Rankings. I have done them by position: Quarterback, Wide Receiver, Running Back and Tight End. These positional rankings are going to change for…

  • The 2019 Post-Combine RB Success Model 2
    March 2, 2019
    The 2019 Post-Combine RB Success Model

    Which 2019 RB Prospects Have the Best Odds to Succeed? I’ve been doing a lot of modeling on the wide receiver side of things so far, but very little with running backs. There are some new modeling techniques I’ve been eager to try, with one of them being a logistic regression to find success probability…

  • 2019 NFL Draft Prospect Profile: Josh Jacobs, Alabama
    March 15, 2019
    2019 NFL Draft Prospect Profile: Josh Jacobs, Alabama

    Josh Jacobs 2019 NFL Draft Prospect Profile Scouting Report Josh Jacobs is not an easy prospect to evaluate. For most NFL scouts and self-styled NFL Draft analysts on the internet, he is either the best running back in the 2019 NFL draft class or at least in the conversation. I have a distinct feeling that…

  • You Are Probably Too Low On Damien Williams For Fantasy Football
    March 19, 2019
    You Are Probably Too Low On Damien Williams For Fantasy Football

    Damien Williams: First Round Fantasy Football Pick Damien Williams is being ranked and drafted erroneously. As of this moment, his Expert Consensus Ranking on Fantasy Pros (which combines rankings from across the industry) plants him as the 43rd overall player. At the running back position, he is being ranked behind Derrick Henry, Kerryon Johnson, Phillip…

  • 2019 NFL Draft Prospect Profile: Deebo Samuel, South Carolina
    March 19, 2019
    2019 NFL Draft Prospect Profile: Deebo Samuel, South Carolina

    Deebo Samuel 2019 NFL Draft Prospect Profile Scouting Report Deebo Samuel has had a wild ride as a prospect. In 2017 lists and at the start of the 2018 season, he was perhaps regarded as one of the best wide receiver prospects in the entire class. Samuel was pretty consistently hampered by injury while at…

  • Fantasy Football Free Agency: Tyrell Williams & Oakland Raiders 2
    March 19, 2019
    Fantasy Football Free Agency: Tyrell Williams & Oakland Raiders

    Fantasy Football Free Agency: Tyrell Williams Signs With The Oakland Raiders The wide receiver market was not nearly as good in free agency as it was via trade, making Tyrell Williams one of the best options out there for teams to sign. The Raiders made what appeared to be a sizable commitment for him – four years and…

  • 2019 NFL Draft Prospect Profiles: David Montgomery, Iowa State
    March 18, 2019
    2019 NFL Draft Prospect Profiles: David Montgomery, Iowa State

    David Montgomery 2019 NFL Draft Prospect Profile Scouting Report More so than any other running back (other than the undraftable Elijah Holyfield), David Montgomery did himself no favors at the NFL Combine. Before the combine, it was assumed that either Montgomery or Josh Jacobs would be the top running back selected in the NFL Draft.…

  • 2019 NFL Draft Prospect Profile: Marquise Brown, Oklahoma
    March 18, 2019
    2019 NFL Draft Prospect Profile: Marquise Brown, Oklahoma

    2019 NFL Draft Prospect Profile Scouting Report: Marquise Brown Marquise Brown, the ‘Hollywood’ cousin of new Oakland Raiders wide receiver Antonio Brown, put on a dazzling show his final season at Oklahoma. Playing with Heisman Trophy winner Kyler Murray, he played his way into the first round of the NFL Draft conversation. Unfortunately, he was…

Buy Low On Cardinals David Johnson | Sell High On Cowboys Amari Cooper

Buy Low On Cardinals David Johnson | Sell High On Cowboys Amari Cooper
George Kurtz November 1, 2018 12:00AM EDT

The Best Buy Low and Sell High Targets for Week Nine

The NFL trade passed Tuesday at 4pm EST. Normally this would not be a big deal as this deadline is unlike the MBL, NHL, or NBA deadlines, where there could be multiple deals. That seems to be slowly changing in the NFL as teams are realizing the benefit to dumping players they weren’t planning on keeping long-term anyway for draft picks. Why do I bring this up? Le’Veon Bell has stated that he doesn’t want the Steelers to trade him. Well, he assured that by not reporting before the deadline. The Steelers couldn’t trade him unless he signed his franchise tender. If he does report this week, he will be a headache for those Fantasy owners that have him and/or James Conner on their rosters. This week  may be the last days for those owners to make up their mind about trading one or the other. Conner has been spectacular. You can make an argument that he’s the league’s MVP, at least in the non-Todd Gurley/Pat Mahomes group. What will the Steelers do when Bell returns, and they deem him ready to play? Even if you have both players on your roster, this will still be a tough decision each week. Bell is still the better NFL running back, but he has never put up the Fantasy numbers that Conner has. If you own one or both and can get a fair offer, it would be awfully tempting to move on and alleviate that headache each week.

In this column we will take a quick look at three players who are buy lows, three that are sell highs, three that you’d like to deal but can’t get equal value for, and three you should hold.

Buy Low

  1. Rob Gronkowski, New England Patriots: Yeah, he doesn’t look good. Gronk had another pedestrian game Monday, but it wasn’t all his fault. Tom Brady missed him for what would’ve been an easy TD and several other passes from Brady were off the mark. A Gronk owner may be willing to sell him for cents on the dollar. Gronk isn’t a sure thing by any means. The ankle and back injuries look legit, but if you can get him for a song, he’s still worth the risk.
  2. J. Moore, Carolina Panthers: I’m just looking at upside here. Moore is the type of explosive receiver the Panthers need. Devin Funchess and Greg Olsen run like they are trapped in a tar pit. Someone has to make defenses afraid and that person is Moore. Cam Newton is performing well under OC Norv Turner. Newton is more accurate than he ever has been. Now if he can just make those defenses fear the deep ball.
  3. David Johnson, Arizona Cardinals: I admit, still not thrilled that Johnson only touched the ball 20 times Sunday. That needs to be about 25 percent higher, but he did have his second-best yardage total of the season and new OC Bryon Leftwich has to know that if he wants to keep his job long-term, he must use his best weapon. If a Johnson owner has had enough and is willing to sell at below market value, I’m willing to buy in.

Sell High

  1. Amari Cooper, Dallas Cowboys: I’m a Cowboys fan and there are plenty of them out there. If you own Cooper and there is a Cowboys fan in your league or anyone who is on the Cooper bandwagon, I’d see what you can get for him. Football fans can be delusional. Yes, Cooper has a lot of talent, but he’s going to a new team, will have to learn a new offense, get some chemistry with Dak Prescott, and the Cowboys will have to change their offensive philosophy. Does anyone else think this is quite a bit to ask Cooper to do before he plays his first game in a Cowboys suniform? There is a reason teams have multiple mini-camps and a long training camp. You can’t just learn and perform in an offense in 10-14 days. I leave you with this on Cooper. When was the last time a WR was traded mid-season and had a productive run for his new team?
  2. Tyreek Hill, Kansas City Chiefs: Hill suffered a groin injury Sunday. Groins can be tricky, and Hill could miss time or be at less than full strength for a little while. Hill is not your prototypical WR. He’s not someone who is going to run crisp routes and make a plethora of catches. Hill is a threat to take the ball to the house every time he has the ball in his hands, but if his groin limits his explosiveness, then his Fantasy owners may be in for a hard fall.
  3. Marlon Mack, Indianapolis Colts: I know what you’re thinking, I’m nuts for putting Mack on this list. Listen, I like Mack, have him in a league or two, but he’s always on the injured list, and after two great weeks against two terrible teams, if I can get someone to give me a Top 10 RB or Top 20 overall player for his services, I’m pulling the trigger on a more reliable player.

No Value

  1. Allen Robinson, Chicago Bears: Robinson missed the game Sunday with a groin injury. He had 10 receptions in Week Two. In the other weeks combined he has had only 15 receptions. It’s just not working with Robinson in Chicago. Not yet anyway. Perhaps he’s not over the knee injury from last season or maybe that chemistry with Mitchell Trubisky isn’t there yet. Either way, unless you can find someone who wants to pay for the name value, you’re stuck.
  2. Doug Baldwin, Seattle Seahawks: Baldwin seems to be over the knee injuries that plagued him during the pre-season and the early parts of this season, but the numbers still aren’t there. The ‘Hawks are also running the ball more than they have in the past. Russell Wilson only threw the ball 17 times in the victory over the Lions on Sunday. Baldwin just may not have many opportunities to succeed.
  3. Javorius Allen, Baltimore Ravens: Allen was barely usable in PPR leagues before Ty Montgomery was acquired. He has no value now. Montgomery is a better player than Allen and will take over that role as soon as he is acclimated in the offense, as soon as Week 10

Hold

  1. Lamar Miller, Houston Texans: Who has given the smelling salts to Miller? He has rushed for at least 100 yards in each of the last two games. The Texans offense looks like it’s about to take off again with Deshaun Watson back at full strength. I thought about putting Miller on the sell-high part of this list also and would certainly move him if you can get full price, but I’m no longer just giving him away. It’s amazing how fast judgments can change in the NFL.
  2. DeSean Jackson, Tampa Bay Buccaneers: D-Jax may want out of Tampa Bay but Fantasy owners should hope he stays. Ryan Fitzpatrick has been named the starting QB once again in Tampa and earlier this season we saw how much he loves throwing to D-Jax. The Bucs still have no defense and a limited ground game. D-Jax will have chances each week to catch the deep ball.
  3. Kenny Golladay, Detroit Lions: I’m not sure what is going on with Golladay the last two weeks. He has only been targeted three times by Matthew Stafford during that span and Sunday we saw the re-emergence of Marvin Jones back into the passing game. I’m holding onto Golladay, but not starting him. The trade of Golden Tate to the Philadelphia, even though he was the slot receiver, can only help.

Popular Features

  • 2019 First Round NFL Mock Draft: Pre-Combine
    February 28, 2019
    2019 First Round NFL Mock Draft: Pre-Combine

    Pre-Combine NFL Mock Draft The 2019 NFL Draft is over 50 days away but the speculation on how the first round will go is in full swing. I have been waiting my whole football career to be in the position to do a first-round NFL Mock Draft and with so much intrigue, especially amongst the top…

  • First Round Rookie Mock Draft
    February 18, 2019
    First Round Dynasty Rookie Mock Draft

    With the Combine only a couple of weeks away, now seems like a good time to start evaluating not just who to target in dynasty rookie drafts, but where those targets may go in your league. I got together with Davis Mattek (@DavisMattek) to do a first round rookie mock draft. Our objective in this…

  • Dynasty Fantasy Football Rookie Rankings premium
    March 1, 2019
    2019 NFL Draft: Pre-Combine Dynasty Fantasy Football Rookie Rankings

    Pre-Combine Dynasty Fantasy Football Rookie Rankings Earlier this week, Anthony Amico published his pre-combine rookie WR rankings. Now that the NFL combine is upon us, here are my Dynasty Fantasy Football Rookie Rankings. I have done them by position: Quarterback, Wide Receiver, Running Back and Tight End. These positional rankings are going to change for…

  • The 2019 Post-Combine RB Success Model 2
    March 2, 2019
    The 2019 Post-Combine RB Success Model

    Which 2019 RB Prospects Have the Best Odds to Succeed? I’ve been doing a lot of modeling on the wide receiver side of things so far, but very little with running backs. There are some new modeling techniques I’ve been eager to try, with one of them being a logistic regression to find success probability…

  • 2019 NFL Draft Prospect Profile: Josh Jacobs, Alabama
    March 15, 2019
    2019 NFL Draft Prospect Profile: Josh Jacobs, Alabama

    Josh Jacobs 2019 NFL Draft Prospect Profile Scouting Report Josh Jacobs is not an easy prospect to evaluate. For most NFL scouts and self-styled NFL Draft analysts on the internet, he is either the best running back in the 2019 NFL draft class or at least in the conversation. I have a distinct feeling that…

  • You Are Probably Too Low On Damien Williams For Fantasy Football
    March 19, 2019
    You Are Probably Too Low On Damien Williams For Fantasy Football

    Damien Williams: First Round Fantasy Football Pick Damien Williams is being ranked and drafted erroneously. As of this moment, his Expert Consensus Ranking on Fantasy Pros (which combines rankings from across the industry) plants him as the 43rd overall player. At the running back position, he is being ranked behind Derrick Henry, Kerryon Johnson, Phillip…

  • 2019 NFL Draft Prospect Profile: Deebo Samuel, South Carolina
    March 19, 2019
    2019 NFL Draft Prospect Profile: Deebo Samuel, South Carolina

    Deebo Samuel 2019 NFL Draft Prospect Profile Scouting Report Deebo Samuel has had a wild ride as a prospect. In 2017 lists and at the start of the 2018 season, he was perhaps regarded as one of the best wide receiver prospects in the entire class. Samuel was pretty consistently hampered by injury while at…

  • Fantasy Football Free Agency: Tyrell Williams & Oakland Raiders 2
    March 19, 2019
    Fantasy Football Free Agency: Tyrell Williams & Oakland Raiders

    Fantasy Football Free Agency: Tyrell Williams Signs With The Oakland Raiders The wide receiver market was not nearly as good in free agency as it was via trade, making Tyrell Williams one of the best options out there for teams to sign. The Raiders made what appeared to be a sizable commitment for him – four years and…

  • 2019 NFL Draft Prospect Profiles: David Montgomery, Iowa State
    March 18, 2019
    2019 NFL Draft Prospect Profiles: David Montgomery, Iowa State

    David Montgomery 2019 NFL Draft Prospect Profile Scouting Report More so than any other running back (other than the undraftable Elijah Holyfield), David Montgomery did himself no favors at the NFL Combine. Before the combine, it was assumed that either Montgomery or Josh Jacobs would be the top running back selected in the NFL Draft.…

  • 2019 NFL Draft Prospect Profile: Marquise Brown, Oklahoma
    March 18, 2019
    2019 NFL Draft Prospect Profile: Marquise Brown, Oklahoma

    2019 NFL Draft Prospect Profile Scouting Report: Marquise Brown Marquise Brown, the ‘Hollywood’ cousin of new Oakland Raiders wide receiver Antonio Brown, put on a dazzling show his final season at Oklahoma. Playing with Heisman Trophy winner Kyler Murray, he played his way into the first round of the NFL Draft conversation. Unfortunately, he was…