The FNTSY Sports Network/RotoExperts Countdown of the Top 100 Fantasy Football Players of 2018 Continues!
Each weekday on the FNTSY Sports Network and RotoExperts.com prior to Super Bowl Sunday, we will reveal 10 selections from our Top 100 Fantasy Football Players of 2018. To make our final determinations and rankings, we began with a comprehensive mathematical formula generated by our Chief Technical Officer and Full Time Statistician Arturo Galletti with input from Scott Engel. We took into account full season production with a minor boost for difference-making performances in Weeks 13 through 16, when Fantasy owners needed to clinch postseason berths and participated in their playoffs. DFS and Best Ball usage and results were also factored in, but there was a primary emphasis on seasonal Fantasy Football. These rankings are based on much more than just seasonal totals. They weighed projected production against actual results by position. We did some math to estimate the average QB, WR, TE, RB and Flex scores for each week for rostered players using consensus rankings, typical roster construction and actual scores. We worked out each player versus the average value of the top projected players for each week. Then the team of Engel, Jim Day Davis Mattek and Gregg Sussman made some subjective tweaks. In the fourth installment of the Top 100 Reveal on the Fantasy Football Frenzy, Corey Parson, Day and Chris Ventra discussed the ranking formula and Players 70 to 61, which are also featured below in capsules recapping their 2018 Fantasy Football seasons.
Points: 263 (16.4 PPG), QB 15
ADP: 186.6 (QB23)
3,223 yards, 24:12 TD:INT, 421 rushing yards, 3 touchdowns, 3 fumbles
New head coach Matt Nagy definitely helped Mitchell Trubisky take a step forward in his sophomore season, but he still has plenty of work to do. He was able to feast on some struggling secondaries, like his huge 43.5-point game against the Buccaneers in Week Four. That was a start to a hot four-week streak for Trubisky. From Week Four to Eight, which included a bye for the Bears, Trubisky scored the third-most Fantasy points among QBs, despite the two QBs above him having played one more game. But besides a huge 36-point performance in Week 10, Trubisky struggled later in the year, averaging 11.4 points per game over his other nine starts. He also missed two games due to injury. He has the weapons and a smart head coach, it’s just on Trubisky to take a bigger step next season to become more consistent.
Points: 89.8 (8.2 PPG), RB55
718 yards, 2 touchdowns
After being installed as the Ravens’ starting running back when Lamar Jackson was named starting quarterback in Week 11, Gus Edwards was a hot commodity, and for good reason. Over the rest of the season, he averaged 11.7 points, good for RB18 over that span. While that doesn’t seem like much, picking up a steady, startable running back that late in the season was a godsend for most owners. He burst onto the scene in his first game as a starter, scoring a season-high 19.5 points. He cracked double-digits three other times, including 16.4 points in Week 15. Alex Collins’ late-season surge in 2017 had him earmarked as a popular RB2 sleeper in 2018 Fantasy drafts; it’s safe to say the same will probably happen for Gus Edwards in 2019 drafts.
Points: 115.8 (7.2 PPG), WR63
ADP: 54.6 (WR23)
35 receptions (62 targets), 508 yards, 5 touchdowns
Marvin Jones had a huge 2017 in his second season in Detroit, finishing as WR11 with nine touchdowns and a career-high 1,101 yards. There were hopes he could replicate that performance in 2018, but injuries and a wholly-disappointing Lions squad kept him well short of that mark. In his nine games, he had just 35 receptions for 508 yards. While he was drafted as a WR2 in most leagues, he failed to even hit that mark a lot of the time, scoring single-digit points six times. He did have a huge 30.7-point game in Week Eight, but otherwise had a quiet season. It also didn’t help that Kenny Golladay emerged as a legitimate threat this season.
Points: 157 (9.8 PPG), WR36
ADP: 135.6 (WR50)
55 receptions (82 targets), 788 yards, 2 touchdowns, 3 fumbles
One by-product of Christian McCaffrey setting the running back receptions record is the Panthers’ actual wide receivers, like D.J. Moore, did not see much thrown their way. However, it wasn’t exactly like they deserved to see more opportunity; no Panthers wide receiver has really established himself as a real threat since rookie year Kelvin Benjamin and Steve Smith. The rookie Moore didn’t break that mold, never establishing any consistency in his first pro season. He showed flashes, including two 17-point games and a streak of four straight games with double-digit points that was kicked off with a season-high 28.7 points.
Points: 157.5 (9.8 PPG), QB29
ADP: 250.3 (QB33)
1,201 yards, 6:3 TD:INT, 12 fumbles, 695 rushing yards, 5 touchdowns
Lamar Jackson stepped into the starting role in Week 11 after Joe Flacco suffered a hip injury, and while he didn’t throw the ball much at all, he was still electric as a runner. From that point through the end of the season, he was the seventh-highest scoring quarterback, averaging a more-than-robust 18.6 PPG. There are understandably questions about just how sustainable his production is, given he was rarely utilized as a passing threat (though he did show he was capable) and also fumbled the ball an astonishing 12 times. But for purely Fantasy purposes, he was a late-season boon, scoring less than 16 points just once.
Points: 310.3 (19.4 PPG), QB7
ADP: 111.6 (QB15)
4,688 yards, 32:12 TD:INT, 5 fumbles, 108 rushing yards, 2 touchdowns
Let’s jump right to the end of Jared Goff’s 2018 to contextualize his spot as the 18th-highest scorer. After the Rams’ Week 12 bye, Goff crumbled and potentially cost a good number of Fantasy owners a shot at the Fantasy Super Bowl: Week 13, 8.1 points; Week 14, -0.3; Week 15, 10.7. It was a crushing disappointing trend at the end of what had been a mostly strong season for Goff in his second year under Sean McVay. He improved almost completely across the board, throwing for nearly 900 more yards and he raised his completion percentage by over two points. Prior to the Rams’ bye he was rolling, scoring less than 16.5 points just twice (and in back-to-back matchups on the road against the Seahawks and Broncos). While he bounced back in Week 16 with 17.2 points, the end of his season will surely leave a sour taste in some owners’ mouths heading into 2019.
Points: 208.1 (13 PPG), QB21
ADP: 264.3 (QB34)
2,074 yards, 10:12 TD:INT, 631 rushing yards, 8 touchdowns, 2 fumbles
There may have been no larger disparity between on-field and Fantasy production than Josh Allen. He displayed all the things that made many people wonder why he was being talked about as a top quarterback prospect, completing just 52.8 percent of his passes and throwing more interceptions than touchdowns. However, after returning from an injury in Week 12, Allen did damage another way: with his legs. He had at least 99 rushing yards in each game from Week 12 to 14, finishing as the top-scoring quarterback over those three weeks. In two of those three weeks he scored at least 26 points, which he did two other times during the season. He came back down after that stretch, including a Week 16 dud of just 11.7 points when a lot of Fantasy owners used him over Philip Rivers.
Points: 195.8 (12.2 PPG), QB22
ADP: 166.6 (QB21)
2,992 yards, 19:14 TD:INT, 3 fumbles, 281 rushing yards, 1 touchdown
Jameis Winston spent the first three weeks of the season on suspension, and during those three weeks Ryan Fitzpatrick was looking convincingly FitzMagic enough that he did not get his starting job back right away. But after struggling at times, he was benched in favor of Fitzpatrick again in Weeks Eight and Nine before finishing the season as a starter and playing well enough for the Buccaneers to pick up his 2019 option. He was much smarter with the ball after getting the starting job back in Week 11, throwing 13 touchdowns to just four interceptions and no more than one in a game. Reining in his gunslinging ways limited his scoring a little bit, but he still produced over 20 points three times during that span. Winston has always been a frustrating commodity at quarterback, both on the field and in Fantasy; new head coach Bruce Arians has a lot of work to do.
Points: 139.4 (8.7 PPG), RB34
ADP: 66.2 (RB26)
641 yards, 3 touchdowns, 32 receptions (39 targets), 213 yards, 1 touchdown
Before going down with an injury in Week 11, Kerryon Johnson was a perfectly dependable RB2 with RB1 upside. Through those first 11 weeks, he was RB14, scoring in single-digits just twice and averaging 13.9 PPG. After the Lions’ Week Six bye he really started to heat up, scoring less than 15.1 points just once and producing as RB9 over that span. He was especially impressive in the Lions’ matchup against the dominant Bears’ defense, scoring a season-high 24.9 points thanks to a rushing and receiving touchdown. While a knee injury kept him out for the final six games of the season, he said he thought he would have been healthy enough to play if the Lions had made the playoffs (they weren’t particularly close).
Points: 120.4 (7.5 PPG), RB40
ADP: 8.4 (RB7)
439 yards, 5 touchdowns, 22 receptions (26 targets), 185 yards, 1 touchdown
Leonard Fournette’s sophomore season was a huge disappointment for those that drafted him as their top back, due to injuries that held him to just eight games. And in those eight games, his averages were down compared to last year’s, most notably 54.9 yards per game this season as opposed to 80 per game in 2017. He did have a big run when he was healthy from Week 10 through Week 12, scoring no lower than 22.1 points over those three weeks and producing the fifth-most points among running backs in that span. But outside of those three weeks, he scored in double digits just one more time, 16.1 points in Week 16. He seems to have the makings of a constant injury risk going forward.