The FNTSY Sports Network/RotoExperts Countdown of the Top 100 Fantasy Football Players of 2018 Continues!
Each weekday on the FNTSY Sports Network and RotoExperts.com prior to Super Bowl Sunday, we will reveal 10 selections from our Top 100 Fantasy Football Players of 2018. To make our final determinations and rankings, we began with a comprehensive mathematical formula generated by our Chief Technical Officer and Full Time Statistician Arturo Galletti with input from Scott Engel. We took into account full season production with a minor boost for difference-making performances in Weeks 13 through 16, when Fantasy owners needed to clinch postseason berths and participated in their playoffs. DFS and Best Ball usage and results were also factored in, but there was a primary emphasis on seasonal Fantasy Football. These rankings are based on much more than just seasonal totals. They weighed projected production against actual results by position. We did some math to estimate the average QB, WR, TE, RB and Flex scores for each week for rostered players using consensus rankings, typical roster construction and actual scores. We worked out each player versus the average value of the top projected players for each week. Then the team of Engel, Jim Day Davis Mattek and Gregg Sussman made some subjective tweaks. In the fifth installment of the Top 100 Reveal on the Fantasy Football Frenzy, Corey Parson and Day discussed the ranking formula and Players 70 to 61, which are also featured below in capsules recapping their 2018 Fantasy Football seasons.
Points: 299.4 (18.7 PPG), QB9
ADP: 49.4 (QB4)
3,448 yards, 35:7 TD:INT, 376 rushing yards, 2 fumbles, 376 rushing yards
New Seahawks offensive coordinator Brian Schottenheimer was fiercely committed to the run this season, leading to Russell Wilson’s fewest pass attempts and yards since 2013. The trade-off was lethal efficiency, with 8.2 percent of Wilson’s pass attempts resulting in touchdowns—he actually set a career-high in touchdown passes with 35. Despite his efficiency—and due in part to Wilson getting sacked a career-high 51 times—Wilson was unable to live up to his ADP. He simply did not have the volume to be able to do so. He did have his biggest game on the most Fantasy stage, scoring 28.5 points in Week 16. Wilson rarely sunk your team—he had just two single-digit games (not counting Week 17)—but also rarely did enough to win your game for you.
Points: 135.1 (8.4 PPG), WR51
ADP: 89.4 (WR37)
40 receptions (56 targets), 566 yards, 6 touchdowns
Cooper Kupp wasn’t on the field much, but when he was, he was mostly dominant. In his eight games, he scored 16.8 or more points six times. One of the times he didn’t was in Week 10, when he tore his ACL. Another was in Week Six, when he injured his knee in the second quarter and missed the rest of the game and the two thereafter. The other time he didn’t top 16.8, he still scored 12.3 points. While his Fantasy owners certainly missed him late in the season, he was a huge benefit early on.
Points: 188.7 (11.8 PPG), WR24
ADP: 324.7 (WR104)
76 receptions (105 targets), 816 yards, 5 touchdowns
Adam Humphries had a career year in 2018, posting highs in yardage, touchdowns, receptions and targets, all while playing basically a split season between Jameis Winston and Ryan Fitzpatrick. He got off to a slow start, scoring double digit points (and even then, just 11.2) only once in his first six games. But over his final 10, he scored in single digits only three times, making him a popular Flex play and occasional low-end WR2. He’s always served as a dependable safety valve for Winston.
Points: 217.1 (PPG:13.6), WR18
ADP: 43.6 (WR18)
81 receptions (150 targets), 976 yards, 4 touchdowns, 1 fumble, 1 rushing touchdown
While Jarvis Landry was drafted as WR18, he got there in a way that was surely disappointing for Fantasy owners. Last year, he led the NFL in receptions with 112. This season, he caught a career-low 81. After being an at least steady WR2 week in and week out over the past three seasons, he was much more volatile in 2018. He scored less than 12 points eight times, including four single-digit performances. However, he also topped 16 points six times. This unpredictability came with the territory of having a young quarterback at the helm, and Mayfield’s projected growth should run parallel to Landry’s bounce-back to more steady production in 2019.
Points: 152 (9.5 PPG), RB30
ADP: 13.6 (RB10)
615 yards, 2 touchdowns, 2 fumbles, 40 receptions (49 targets), 305 yards, 2 touchdowns
Dalvin Cook was coming off an injury-shortened rookie season, but when he went down with a torn ACL in October, he was leading the league in rushing. That made him a hot commodity in 2018 drafts, and all the more disappointing when he missed five of six games from Week Three to Week Eight (scoring just two points in the one game he was active, Week Four) with a hamstring injury. But when he was on the field, he was incredibly productive, scoring double digits in nine of his 11 games, including six straight to close the season. If he can stay on the field, he’ll continue to be a top back; that’s just a big “if.”
Points: 282.6 (PPG: 17.7), QB13
ADP: 58.8 (QB5)
3,395 yards, 24:13 TD:INT, 488 yards, 4 touchdowns
In Week Eight, Cam Newton was added to the injury report for the first time with a shoulder injury. Including that Week Eight game, Newton had the fourth-highest PPG among quarterbacks at 24.1. He had scored at least 23 points in all but two games. From Weeks Nine to 12, that slipped down to 20.7. But starting in Week 13, his shoulder completely gave out on him, starting with a 15.3-point game against Tampa Bay and ending with him getting shut down after a miserable Week 15 game against the Saints. ESPN factors in his missed games into his PPG, but ignoring them, Newtown would have posted 20.2 PPG, and that includes that single-digit Week 15 game.
Points:149.4 (9.3 PPG), WR44
ADP: 21.6 (WR8)
46 receptions (77 targets), 694 yards, 6 touchdowns, 1 fumble
Since 2013, A.J. Green has developed a pattern. That season, he played in all 16 games. In 2014, he missed three. In 2015, he played all 16, followed by just 10 in 2016. In 2017, he played all 16 again, and this year he fell short of that mark once again, this time playing in just nine games, a career low. But while he was on the field, he was mostly the usual A.J. Green. From Weeks One through Eight, he was scoring exactly as he was drafted, WR8, averaging 18.5 PPG. He had scored less than 15.5 once. However, he missed the Bengals’ next three games with a toe injury before attempting a comeback in Week 13 and tearing ligaments in the toe, ending his season. His expected recovery time following surgery to repair the damage is three to four months, so he should hopefully be ready to continue his pattern and play all 16 games in 2019.
Points: 331.7 (20.7 PPG), QB4
ADP: 37.4 (QB2)
4,165 yards passing, 26:9 TD:INT, 3 fumbles, 551 yards rushing, 5 touchdowns
Expectations were sky-high for Deshaun Watson coming into this season after he looked transcendent over six and-a -half games as a rookie before tearing his ACL. He didn’t quite meet those expectations, though that meant finishing as QB4 instead of QB2, as he was being drafted. He had a frustratingly up-and-down season, much of which can be blamed on his offensive line. He was sacked a league-high 62 times and often played through injuries that were sometimes so bad he couldn’t fly in fear it would collapse a lung. He had some very bad lows, such as his 5.3-point game against the Cowboys in Week Five, but saved his best for those who stuck it out. He had his best performance of the season in most teams’ Fantasy Super Bowl, Week 16, hanging 36.5 points on the Eagles. The most encouraging stat for next season? He threw just one more interception over 16 games this season than he threw in his seven last year.
Points: 312.6 (19.5 PPG), QB6
ADP: 24 (QB1)
4,442 yards, 25:2 TD:INT, 3 fumbles, 269 rushing yards, 2 touchdowns
It was a weird season for Aaron Rodgers. Unless he won you a Fantasy Super Bowl with his 42.9-point performance against the Jets in Week 16, it probably didn’t feel like he was the sixth-highest scoring QB. Part of that is likely due to him costing a pretty penny in the draft, as he was usually the top-selected quarterback. But he also had plenty of pedestrian weeks, failing to top 20 points nine times. He threw for over 400 yards as many times as he threw for under 200 (three). It was the first time that Rodgers threw for less than 30 touchdowns in a full season since his first as a starter in 2008. His displeasure with Mike McCarthy was a big storyline this season and eventually got his longtime head coach fired..
Points: 171.4 (10.7 PPG), RB24
ADP: 115.4 (RB42)
728 yards, 8 touchdowns, 1 fumble, 26 receptions (35 targets), 206 yards, 1 touchdown
After missing the first two games of the season due to a suspension, Aaron Jones had another force to contend with: head coach Mike McCarthy, who was for some reason reluctant to give Jones a bigger role in the offense. Finally in Week Eight, he started to be more heavily featured and he became a hot commodity on the waiver wire. From Week Eight to Week 14, he was the fifth-highest scoring running back. But in Week 15, he sprained his MCL and the Packers placed him on IR. It ended a real breakout season too early.