The FNTSY Sports Network/RotoExperts Countdown of the Top 100 Fantasy Football Players of 2018 Continues!
Each weekday on the FNTSY Sports Network and RotoExperts.com prior to Super Bowl Sunday, we will reveal 10 selections from our Top 100 Fantasy Football Players of 2018. To make our final determinations and rankings, we began with a comprehensive mathematical formula generated by our Chief Technical Officer and Full Time Statistician Arturo Galletti with input from Scott Engel. We took into account full season production with a minor boost for difference-making performances in Weeks 13 through 16, when Fantasy owners needed to clinch postseason berths and participated in their playoffs. DFS and Best Ball usage and results were also factored in, but there was a primary emphasis on seasonal Fantasy Football. These rankings are based on much more than just seasonal totals. They weighed projected production against actual results by position. We did some math to estimate the average QB, WR, TE, RB and Flex scores for each week for rostered players using consensus rankings, typical roster construction and actual scores. We worked out each player versus the average value of the top projected players for each week. Then the team of Engel, Jim Day Davis Mattek and Gregg Sussman made some subjective tweaks. In the sixth installment of the Top 100 Reveal on the Fantasy Football Frenzy, Corey Parson, Chris Ventra and Day discussed the ranking formula and Players 60 to 51, which are also featured below in capsules recapping their 2018 Fantasy Football seasons.
- Damien Williams, RB, Kansas City Chiefs
Points: 98.6 (6.2 PPG), RB48
256 yards, 4 touchdowns, 1 fumble, 23 receptions (24 targets), 160 receiving yards, 2 touchdowns
Damien Williams, also known as “not Spencer Ware,” was the semi-surprise fill-in for the Chiefs when Kareem Hunt was suspended and subsequently cut. Ware was the more popular pickup, considering his 921 rushing yards in 2016 with the Chiefs. But after Williams put up a dud in his first game without Hunt on the roster, he exploded for 19 points in Week 14, earning a Week 15 start. And those that went with him were rewarded with a 30.3-point performance in Week 15 and 25 points in Week 16, the Fantasy Super Bowl for most. He was the third-highest scoring running back for Weeks 14 through 16, most leagues’ playoffs, earning him a two-year extension with the Chiefs in the process.
- Drew Brees, QB, New Orleans Saints
Points: 305 (19.1 PPG), QB8
ADP: 60.8 (QB6)
3,992 yards, 32:5 TD:INT, 22 rushing yards, 4 touchdowns
For the first time since arriving in New Orleans, Drew Brees did not throw for 4,000 yards, coming in just eight yards short. It was an up-and-down Fantasy season for Brees, while the on-field product was dominant. The Saints’ defense and rushing game were so good that the Saints sometimes didn’t need Brees to do much other than game manage, which resulted in four single-digit scoring performances. The next QB with that many single-digit performances was Eli Manning, QB17. Brees balanced out those games by putting up 30 or more points another four times. Overall, he scored at least 20 points seven times. The problem for Fantasy owners? None of those came after Week 12, including a 5.9-point Week 15.
- Kenny Golladay, WR, Detroit Lions
Points: 207.1 (12.9 PPG), WR21
ADP: 145.8 (WR53)
70 receptions (120 targets), 1,063 yards, 5 touchdowns
Kenny Golladay was a popular rookie breakout candidate at wide receiver last season. That never really came to fruition, with Marvin Jones and Golden Tate still finishing as co-WR1s, so owners understandably were lower on Golladay coming into 2018. He asserted himself in Weeks One to Three, however, averaging 18.9 points over that span, 12th-most among wide receivers. He hit a rough patch after their bye, however, scoring single-digits in three straight games before bouncing back with 19.8- and 25.3-point performances in Weeks 10 and 11 following Jones’ injury and Tate’s trade. Outside of a 21.6-point game in Week 15 he was otherwise quiet over the rest of the season. The first task for the new Lions’ offensive coordinator will surely be getting the explosive wideout even more involved in the offense.
- Derrick Henry, RB, Tennessee Titans
Points: 201.4 (12.6 PPG), RB16
ADP: 35.8 (RB18)
1,059 yards, 12 touchdowns, 1 fumble, 15 receptions (18 targets), 99 yards
The common thinking heading into 2018 was that new head coach Mike Vrabel and offensive coordinator (and now Packers head coach) Matt LaFleur were going to find a good balance between Derrick Henry and Dion Lewis, pushing up Henry’s ADP. After six weeks of single-digit performances, he was dropped in most leagues, and understandably so, as he was averaging just 40 yards per game with no touchdowns. He finally found the end zone in Week Seven and had a two-score game in Week 10, but was otherwise still quiet. And then Week 14 happened: 238 yards and four scores against Jacksonville for 47.8 points, followed by a 30.2 pointer in Week 15. His totals for the season were massively inflated by those two games; he scored just 30 points over the first six weeks.
- Alshon Jeffery, WR, Philadelphia Eagles
Points: 185.3 (11.6 PPG), WR26
ADP: 76.8 (WR30)
65 receptions (92 targets), 843 yards, 8 touchdowns
After missing the first three games of the season with an injury, Alshon Jeffery was feast-or-famine, scoring in single-digits six times and scoring 20 or more points four times, plus a 17-point performance for good measure. He started hot, with three of those four 20-point outings coming in his first four games back, but then immediately followed that with five straight single-digit games. Jeffrey has never been able to replicate his 2013 and 2014 seasons, the only two years he posted over 1,000 yards receiving. He has not established a consistent rapport with either Philadelphia quarterback since arriving there for the 2017 season. He did post a career-high 70.7 percent catch percentage, an astounding number for a receiver who makes his living on many 50/50 balls.
- Chris Carson, RB, Seattle Seahawks
Points: 201.4 (12.6 PPG), RB15
ADP: 83.8 (RB32)
1,151 yards, 9 touchdowns, 2 fumbles, 20 receptions (24 targets), 163 yards
It took a little bit—and had some stops and starts due to injury—but by the end of the season, Chris Carson was able to establish himself at the top of the Seahawk RB food chain, a very lucrative role considering Seattle’s commitment to the run. The first half of the season was rough for Carson: he scored 20.4 points twice, but he missed one game and scored single-digits in all but one of the other games. After a four-point Week Nine and missing Week 10 with an injury, Carson started turning it on, culminating in a well-timed pair of 20-plus point games in Weeks 15 and 16.
- Marlon Mack, RB, Indianapolis Colts
Points: 178.1 (11.1 PPG), RB21
ADP: 95.2 (RB36)
908 yards, 9 touchdowns, 2 fumbles, 1 receiving touchdown
Marlon Mack missed four of the first five games of the season due to injury. When he came back full-time in Week Six and on, Mack made up for lost time, scoring the 10th-most points by a running back over the rest of the season, averaging 15.8 PPG over that span. He mixed in three single-point efforts, but balanced them out with a 31-point game, a 28-point outing and a 25.9-point performance. He wasn’t very consistent, but he could be a very valuable back in 2019.
- Emmanuel Sanders, WR, Denver Broncos
Points: 198.2 (12.4 PPG), WR23
ADP: 78.6 (WR31)
71 receptions (98 targets), 868 yards, 4 touchdowns, 1 rushing touchdown, 1 passing touchdown
By the time he went on the injured reserve in Week 14, Emmanuel Sanders owned a 25 percent target share in the Broncos’ offense. New quarterback Case Keenum leaned on his slot receiver, even before Demaryius Thomas was traded to the Texans, which made Sanders a high-volume WR2 for Fantasy owners when he was healthy. He in scored single digits twice, with the last being the game he left injured in Week 13. In the 12 games he did play, he averaged 16.5 points, including four games over 20 points.
- Andrew Luck, QB, Indianapolis Colts
Points: 327.9 (20.5 PPG), QB5
ADP: 85.6 (QB9)
4,693 passing yards, 39:15 TD:INT, 1 fumble, 148 rushing yards
There was a lot of cautious optimism surrounding Andrew Luck this season in his return from the semi-mysterious shoulder injury that kept him out all of last season. It looked to be false optimism after the first three weeks, when he followed up a solid Week One performance with two duds. But in Week Four, he unloaded for 35.7 points against the Texans to kick off a streak of scoring over 20 points that lasted until Week 12. He mixed in a couple of disappointing starts late, including a poorly-timed 9.7-point performance in Week 15, but it was overall a resounding comeback season. Unlike past seasons, Luck was successful thanks to his offensive line. He was sacked a league-low 18 times this season.
- Tarik Cohen, RB, Chicago Bears
Points: 233.9 (14.6 PPG), RB11
ADP: 91.4 (RB34)
444 yards, 3 touchdowns, 3 fumbles, 71 receptions (91 targets), 725 yards, 5 touchdowns
Head coach Matt Nagy came into this season touting his “weapon” Tarik Cohen and talking about how he couldn’t wait to utilize him. Well, it took him until Week Four to unleash him, but a 30.4-point game certainly announced his abilities. After that performance, he had just three single-digit games, a tolerable number considering how volatile pass-catching backs tend to be. Those single-digit games are often hard to predict, however, and Cohen surely burned owners with his 2.9-point dud in Week 16 against the weak 49ers. However, he scored 12 or more points nine times overall, which was great value for a later-round flyer.