Popular Features

  • 2019 First Round NFL Mock Draft: Pre-Combine
    February 28, 2019
    2019 First Round NFL Mock Draft: Pre-Combine

    Pre-Combine NFL Mock Draft The 2019 NFL Draft is over 50 days away but the speculation on how the first round will go is in full swing. I have been waiting my whole football career to be in the position to do a first-round NFL Mock Draft and with so much intrigue, especially amongst the top…

  • First Round Rookie Mock Draft
    February 18, 2019
    First Round Dynasty Rookie Mock Draft

    With the Combine only a couple of weeks away, now seems like a good time to start evaluating not just who to target in dynasty rookie drafts, but where those targets may go in your league. I got together with Davis Mattek (@DavisMattek) to do a first round rookie mock draft. Our objective in this…

  • Dynasty Fantasy Football Rookie Rankings premium
    March 1, 2019
    2019 NFL Draft: Pre-Combine Dynasty Fantasy Football Rookie Rankings

    Pre-Combine Dynasty Fantasy Football Rookie Rankings Earlier this week, Anthony Amico published his pre-combine rookie WR rankings. Now that the NFL combine is upon us, here are my Dynasty Fantasy Football Rookie Rankings. I have done them by position: Quarterback, Wide Receiver, Running Back and Tight End. These positional rankings are going to change for…

  • The 2019 Post-Combine RB Success Model 2
    March 2, 2019
    The 2019 Post-Combine RB Success Model

    Which 2019 RB Prospects Have the Best Odds to Succeed? I’ve been doing a lot of modeling on the wide receiver side of things so far, but very little with running backs. There are some new modeling techniques I’ve been eager to try, with one of them being a logistic regression to find success probability…

  • 2019 NFL Draft Prospect Profile: Josh Jacobs, Alabama
    March 15, 2019
    2019 NFL Draft Prospect Profile: Josh Jacobs, Alabama

    Josh Jacobs 2019 NFL Draft Prospect Profile Scouting Report Josh Jacobs is not an easy prospect to evaluate. For most NFL scouts and self-styled NFL Draft analysts on the internet, he is either the best running back in the 2019 NFL draft class or at least in the conversation. I have a distinct feeling that…

  • You Are Probably Too Low On Damien Williams For Fantasy Football
    March 19, 2019
    You Are Probably Too Low On Damien Williams For Fantasy Football

    Damien Williams: First Round Fantasy Football Pick Damien Williams is being ranked and drafted erroneously. As of this moment, his Expert Consensus Ranking on Fantasy Pros (which combines rankings from across the industry) plants him as the 43rd overall player. At the running back position, he is being ranked behind Derrick Henry, Kerryon Johnson, Phillip…

  • 2019 NFL Draft Prospect Profile: Deebo Samuel, South Carolina
    March 19, 2019
    2019 NFL Draft Prospect Profile: Deebo Samuel, South Carolina

    Deebo Samuel 2019 NFL Draft Prospect Profile Scouting Report Deebo Samuel has had a wild ride as a prospect. In 2017 lists and at the start of the 2018 season, he was perhaps regarded as one of the best wide receiver prospects in the entire class. Samuel was pretty consistently hampered by injury while at…

  • Fantasy Football Free Agency: Tyrell Williams & Oakland Raiders 2
    March 19, 2019
    Fantasy Football Free Agency: Tyrell Williams & Oakland Raiders

    Fantasy Football Free Agency: Tyrell Williams Signs With The Oakland Raiders The wide receiver market was not nearly as good in free agency as it was via trade, making Tyrell Williams one of the best options out there for teams to sign. The Raiders made what appeared to be a sizable commitment for him – four years and…

  • 2019 NFL Draft Prospect Profiles: David Montgomery, Iowa State
    March 18, 2019
    2019 NFL Draft Prospect Profiles: David Montgomery, Iowa State

    David Montgomery 2019 NFL Draft Prospect Profile Scouting Report More so than any other running back (other than the undraftable Elijah Holyfield), David Montgomery did himself no favors at the NFL Combine. Before the combine, it was assumed that either Montgomery or Josh Jacobs would be the top running back selected in the NFL Draft.…

  • 2019 NFL Draft Prospect Profile: Marquise Brown, Oklahoma
    March 18, 2019
    2019 NFL Draft Prospect Profile: Marquise Brown, Oklahoma

    2019 NFL Draft Prospect Profile Scouting Report: Marquise Brown Marquise Brown, the ‘Hollywood’ cousin of new Oakland Raiders wide receiver Antonio Brown, put on a dazzling show his final season at Oklahoma. Playing with Heisman Trophy winner Kyler Murray, he played his way into the first round of the NFL Draft conversation. Unfortunately, he was…

2019 NFL Draft Prospect Profile: Lil’Jordan Humphrey

2019 NFL Draft Prospect Profile: Lil’Jordan Humphrey
Davis Mattek February 23, 2019 11:39AM EDT

Lil’Jordan Humphrey 2019 NFL Draft Scouting Prospect Profile

Lil’Jordan Humphrey has the most fun name in the 2019 NFL Draft but he isn’t just a fun name. Humphrey has real a real bonafide projectable talent to play in the NFL and has the prototypical size that NFL teams and scouts will always value even as the game shifts into more teams using shifty slot wide receivers and dynamic moving formations. From the University of Texas’ Sports website “Lil’Jordan Humphrey’s name is somewhat of a contradiction. At 6-foot-4-inches, 222 pounds, he is not what most would call “little,” but as a compromise for his older brother — who wanted him to be named ‘Michael’ for Michael Jordan — his mother went with “Lil’Jordan.”

Humphrey was a stud athlete in high school (a positive indicator for players like Stefon Diggs who did not have unreal college production but was viewed as a real prospect) where he was first team All-State in Texas as both a wide receiver and a running back. As a Freshmen at Texas University, however, Lil’Jordan Humphrey barely played. He was a special-teams only player for his Freshmen season, catching two passes and returning one kick.

In his sophomore season, Humphrey began to play a real role in the Texas offense and ended up starting six of their games. Unfortunately, Lil’Jordan Humphrey’s 37 receptions, 431 yards and one touchdown accounted for only 9% of the Texas passing offense in 2017. However, Humphrey actually played his second season at Texas at only 19 so his average year doesn’t kill his breakout age.

Lil’Jordan Humphrey’s final season at Texas is what has made him an NFL prospect. In his final season at the University of Texas with Sam Ehlinger as his quarterback, Humphrey posted an 86-1,186-9 receiving line in 14 games. Those numbers equaled 32% of the Texas passing offense for a team that won 10 games in a very competitive Big 12 and included a win over CFB playoff semi-finalist, Oklahoma. Humphrey dominated in what was Texas’ biggest game of the season with nine receptions, 133 yards, and a touchdown.

From an analytical and statistical perspective, one of the most remarkable things about Lil’Jordan Humphrey is that he had his great final season at the age of 20 and will play his first NFL season at the age of 21. Research done by Blair Andrews from Rotoviz has found that 21-year-old rookie WRs have gone on to have at least one WR2 season more than 40 percent of the time. Obviously, age is only one variable when it comes to projecting players like Lil’Jordan Humphrey to the NFL but starting his profile with a final season 32% Dominator Rating (total % of a teams’ passing offense) and a rookie year at age 21 is a good starting spot.

Humphrey does very much look the part in his University of Texas film. He actually primarily played out of the slot, which you would not expect from a player of size. Something that I generally look for when watching wide receiver prospects is how often plays are specifically schemed for the given player and Texas did use Lil’Jordan Humphrey as an outlet for screen passes. Given how big he is and the lack of super-explosive plays, he may not test that well at the 2019 NFL Draft combine which concern me. Brad Kelly from The Draft Network noted that one of Humphrey’s best traits was as a ball-carrier but if his short-area agility scores are bad at the combine, it would seem unlikely that an NFL team would choose to use him that way.

Lil’Jordan Humphrey Final Verdict

More than any of the other prospects I have written about in this offseason, I see a wide range of outcomes for Lil’Jordan Humphrey depending on how he tests at the combine and if one NFL team falls in love with him. D.J Chark was not a very productive player at LSU but had a great combine and the Jacksonville Jaguars fell in love with his game and took him in the second round. It has been reported that he has received a third to sixth round draft grade which feels reasonable to me. A landing spot that makes sense for big-bodied slot wide receiver game would be the New York Jets. The Jets used Quincy Enunwa in a hybrid WR/TE role for the last few seasons and I think Humphrey would excel playing that same position. The Oakland Raiders are another team desperate for talent at the wide receiver position that could make use of Lil’Jordan Humphrey’s skills. If he ends up going in the second or third round of the NFL Draft to a desirable location, I can see Lil’Jordan Humphrey being a late first round dynasty fantasy football selection though as of now, he projects for the mid-second.

Popular Features

  • 2019 First Round NFL Mock Draft: Pre-Combine
    February 28, 2019
    2019 First Round NFL Mock Draft: Pre-Combine

    Pre-Combine NFL Mock Draft The 2019 NFL Draft is over 50 days away but the speculation on how the first round will go is in full swing. I have been waiting my whole football career to be in the position to do a first-round NFL Mock Draft and with so much intrigue, especially amongst the top…

  • First Round Rookie Mock Draft
    February 18, 2019
    First Round Dynasty Rookie Mock Draft

    With the Combine only a couple of weeks away, now seems like a good time to start evaluating not just who to target in dynasty rookie drafts, but where those targets may go in your league. I got together with Davis Mattek (@DavisMattek) to do a first round rookie mock draft. Our objective in this…

  • Dynasty Fantasy Football Rookie Rankings premium
    March 1, 2019
    2019 NFL Draft: Pre-Combine Dynasty Fantasy Football Rookie Rankings

    Pre-Combine Dynasty Fantasy Football Rookie Rankings Earlier this week, Anthony Amico published his pre-combine rookie WR rankings. Now that the NFL combine is upon us, here are my Dynasty Fantasy Football Rookie Rankings. I have done them by position: Quarterback, Wide Receiver, Running Back and Tight End. These positional rankings are going to change for…

  • The 2019 Post-Combine RB Success Model 2
    March 2, 2019
    The 2019 Post-Combine RB Success Model

    Which 2019 RB Prospects Have the Best Odds to Succeed? I’ve been doing a lot of modeling on the wide receiver side of things so far, but very little with running backs. There are some new modeling techniques I’ve been eager to try, with one of them being a logistic regression to find success probability…

  • 2019 NFL Draft Prospect Profile: Josh Jacobs, Alabama
    March 15, 2019
    2019 NFL Draft Prospect Profile: Josh Jacobs, Alabama

    Josh Jacobs 2019 NFL Draft Prospect Profile Scouting Report Josh Jacobs is not an easy prospect to evaluate. For most NFL scouts and self-styled NFL Draft analysts on the internet, he is either the best running back in the 2019 NFL draft class or at least in the conversation. I have a distinct feeling that…

  • You Are Probably Too Low On Damien Williams For Fantasy Football
    March 19, 2019
    You Are Probably Too Low On Damien Williams For Fantasy Football

    Damien Williams: First Round Fantasy Football Pick Damien Williams is being ranked and drafted erroneously. As of this moment, his Expert Consensus Ranking on Fantasy Pros (which combines rankings from across the industry) plants him as the 43rd overall player. At the running back position, he is being ranked behind Derrick Henry, Kerryon Johnson, Phillip…

  • 2019 NFL Draft Prospect Profile: Deebo Samuel, South Carolina
    March 19, 2019
    2019 NFL Draft Prospect Profile: Deebo Samuel, South Carolina

    Deebo Samuel 2019 NFL Draft Prospect Profile Scouting Report Deebo Samuel has had a wild ride as a prospect. In 2017 lists and at the start of the 2018 season, he was perhaps regarded as one of the best wide receiver prospects in the entire class. Samuel was pretty consistently hampered by injury while at…

  • Fantasy Football Free Agency: Tyrell Williams & Oakland Raiders 2
    March 19, 2019
    Fantasy Football Free Agency: Tyrell Williams & Oakland Raiders

    Fantasy Football Free Agency: Tyrell Williams Signs With The Oakland Raiders The wide receiver market was not nearly as good in free agency as it was via trade, making Tyrell Williams one of the best options out there for teams to sign. The Raiders made what appeared to be a sizable commitment for him – four years and…

  • 2019 NFL Draft Prospect Profiles: David Montgomery, Iowa State
    March 18, 2019
    2019 NFL Draft Prospect Profiles: David Montgomery, Iowa State

    David Montgomery 2019 NFL Draft Prospect Profile Scouting Report More so than any other running back (other than the undraftable Elijah Holyfield), David Montgomery did himself no favors at the NFL Combine. Before the combine, it was assumed that either Montgomery or Josh Jacobs would be the top running back selected in the NFL Draft.…

  • 2019 NFL Draft Prospect Profile: Marquise Brown, Oklahoma
    March 18, 2019
    2019 NFL Draft Prospect Profile: Marquise Brown, Oklahoma

    2019 NFL Draft Prospect Profile Scouting Report: Marquise Brown Marquise Brown, the ‘Hollywood’ cousin of new Oakland Raiders wide receiver Antonio Brown, put on a dazzling show his final season at Oklahoma. Playing with Heisman Trophy winner Kyler Murray, he played his way into the first round of the NFL Draft conversation. Unfortunately, he was…