Prop Betting For The 2019 NFL Draft
Every sporting event is made better by wagering on it, especially if there is some edge in a newer market. The Fanduel Sportsbook (and several others) have begun to post possible wagers for the 2019 NFL Draft. There are odds posted on where Kyler Murray will be drafted, the first player taken at each of the skill positions and more. These markets are some of my favorites to post bets on as they are likely not priced super efficiently.
Second QB Taken In The 2019 NFL Draft: Drew Lock, +400
I would likely bet this line up to +200. As every day passes, it seems that NFL teams are less and less interested in Dwayne Haskins. As Mike Freeman noted on Bleacher Report, he is tumbling down most draft boards because NFL teams are not as interested in him as they are with Lock and Daniel Jones. Drew Lock from Missouri has now reached the consensus QB2 for most NFL teams though there is probably a chance that Daniel Jones (+700) gets drafted to the Giants before any team has a chance to jump at Lock.
First RB Taken In The 2019 NFL Draft: Miles Sanders, +1400
Josh Jacobs was the only running back invited to the green room for the first round of the 2019 NFL Draft which tells us that he probably is going to be the first running back selected. However, I am an eternal optimist and think that it is possible that these teams look at Jacobs lack of production and poor Pro Day performance and leave him for the second or third round. Miles Sanders, on the other hand, was very productive his final year at Penn State and was one of the best performers at the Combine. This is not a strong wager stance from me as Jacobs is such an overwhelming favorite.
Second RB Taken In The 2019 NFL Draft: Darrell Henderson, +2700
I would be a fraud if Henderson was not my selection here. Henderson is my RB1 for this class after he averaged over nine yards per carry in college and performed admirably at the combine. Henderson has deeper odds than Bryce Love who is not even in my top 1o of running backs, Justice Hill (who is more a scat back than a pure runner) and Damien Harris who might not go until the fifth round. Henderson as the second RB to go is a better bet than Sanders to be the first RB to be selected.
First WR Taken In The 2019 NFL Draft: Marquise ‘Hollywood’ Brown, +700
Where there is smoke, there is fire. Despite weighing in at 166 pounds and suffering a Lisfranc injury that kept him from performing at the combine, Brown has been climbing the draft boards of people who are plugged in. At this point, I would be more surprised than not if Brown wasn’t a first-round draft choice. His competition is D.K Metcalf, A.J Brown and N’Keal Harry. Brown is not the #1 wide receiver on my board but I understand why he would be for many teams. This bet at +700 is the best of all available bets on the Fanduel Draft board.
First TE Taken In The 2019 NFL Draft: Noah Fant, +240
Seeing as how I have already made this bet with Matt Freedman from The Action Network, I should probably be willing to also bet that Fant goes over Hockenson for +240. Hockenson and Fant are two of the best tight end prospects that we have ever seen in the modern NFL era and it wouldn’t be surprising to me if Hock did, in fact, go first. However, Fant is at worst, a comparable prospect to Hockenson and it could be argued that he is better. Getting the extra juice makes Noah Fant the right bet here.
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