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Bryson DeChambeau One of the Best PGA Championship DFS Values

Bryson DeChambeau One of the Best PGA Championship DFS Values
Matt Rumack August 8, 2018 9:56AM EST

Your Best DFS Picks for the PGA Championship

DailyRoto
Course: Bellerive Country Club (Town and Country, Missouri)

Yardage: 7,329 – Par 70

Purse : $10.5 M

Field: 156 Players

*recent PGA Champions

2013 Jason Dufner
2014 Rory McIlroy
2015 Jason Day
2016 Jimmy Walker
2017 Justin Thomas

Key Stats:

Strokes Gained: Off-the-tee

Strokes Gained: Approach

Sand Save Percentage

Birdie or Better Percentage

Approach Proximity 150-175 yards

*DraftKings Pricing

Justin Thomas ($9,700): Thomas the reigning PGA Champion, is coming off of a dominant win at the WGC Bridgestone Invitational last week, and currently ranks Number Two in the World Golf rankings. How that all equates to him being the sixth-priced golfer this week, I’ll never know. Even the major-less Rickie Fowler is priced above Thomas, despite being known to stumble on major Sundays and not having any wins this season. Last week Thomas was being thoroughly disrespected by DraftKings with an ultra-low price due to a short stretch of mediocre golf from him. He’s only $900 more this week which is still an incredible bargain. In fact, at $9700, if you really wanted, you could find a way to afford both Thomas and Dustin Johnson. Generally, it’s impossible to be able to afford the two best players in the field (world), but Thomas’ generous price tag makes that possible this week.

Justin Rose ($9,400):  Justin Rose is coming off a week when he withdrew due to injury, and while, yes, that is very worrisome, you can also benefit because of that news. While it’s possible there could be something to this injury, my gut says if he was really in any danger of doing any further damage to himself, he would not be in the field this week. Of the four majors the PGA is probably of the lowest priority to Rose. With the FedEx Cup playoffs coming up and more importantly the Ryder Cup, Rose surely doesn’t want to put himself in any danger of missing out on the famed matchplay event. DailyRoto’s value optimization tool sees Rose as his usual self. With his injury-aided price, he’s the third best value this week overall.

Jason Day ($9,000): Jason Day was in the group of players that surrounded but couldn’t touch Justin Thomas last weekend. Day played great three days of great golf, but stumbled into the clubhouse on Sunday, finishing with a three-over 73 and a T10 finish. Bellerive Country Club looks like it will suit his game perfectly. DailyRoto has Day ranked as the fourth best value play this week. Day is a great player off-the-tee already, and his distance and high ball flight should make it easier for him to hold the greens from the rough when he misses fairways. Day’s biggest weakness is his iron/approach game, but he appears to be trending in the right direction there, he finished fifth in SG: approach last week at the Bridgestone. He’ll also have the biggest advantage when he misses the green, as Day is the best sand player in the field, ranking second overall on Tour in sand saves.

Bryson DeChambeau ($7,900): The 24-year-old “scientist” has been extremely consistent this year, racking up seven Top 10 finishes and a win already. DeChambeau’s game has little to no weaknesses in it, and he’s only improving as time goes along. He ranks 17th in strokes gained: Off-the-Tee, 18th in strokes gained: approach, and 10th on Tour in birdie or better percentage. DeChambeau’s game started off extremely rocky last week, as he shot a 75 on Thursday when the average score was 68. However, DeChambeau’s game got tighter as the week went on, finishing with scores of 69, 68, and 67, even with conditions getting more and more difficult. The winner Justin Thomas shot 69 on Sunday, so while DeChambeau’s overall finish (T30th) wasn’t that impressive, he actually outscored Thomas during the weekend by one, showing his game is in the right place right now.

Luke List ($7,100): Luke List has quieted down since a hot start to his season, but he’s still been respectable from week to week and Bellerive should suit him well. Off-the-tee List gains more shots than everybody in the world except for Dustin Johnson and Jon Rahm. That’s not too shabby company. List is also a Top 50 bunker player, and ranks Top 30 in birdies on Tour. List’s game is in fine form right now with no missed cuts since mid-June. He could be a darkhorse contender this week.

Thorbjorn Oleson ($6,700) I may not have picked the perfect six players in my article last week, but hopefully you followed my advice on taking Thorbjorn Oleson. Oleson played decently for three days entering the fourth and final day 10 shots off the lead. WIth no pressure on him, Oleson went out and fired at flagsticks, made a few putts here and there, and by the end of the day, he found himself in a tie for third with Dustin Johnson after shooting a Sunday best 64. So how does DraftKings price him a week after an out of nowhere T3 finish? He’s $800 lower. What? How? I’m in shock. After being $7,500 last week in a short, but ultra-talented field, you can get Oleson for $6,700 this week. I won’t bother trying to make sense of it. The 28-year-old Dane is playing the best golf of his career right now, and you can get him for next to nothing. Keep using Thorbjorn.
The Valspar Championship DraftKings Picks

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