Popular Features

  • Dynasty Fantasy Football Rookie Draft Rankings
    April 30, 2019
    2019 NFL Dynasty Fantasy Football Rookie Draft Rankings

    Davis Mattek’s 2019 NFL Dynasty Fantasy Football Rookie Draft Rankings With the 2019 NFL Draft wrapped up and in the books, it is time to get to Dynasty Fantasy Football Rookie Draft Rankings. Most dynasty leagues that I am in are ready to begin their rookie drafts for the 2019 NFL Draft class. The draft brought…

  • Five Legitimate Fantasy Football Sleepers At Tight End
    May 28, 2019
    Three Impending Fantasy Football Breakout Seasons

    These Three Fantasy Football Breakout Players Are Ready To Shine It is no secret that every year in fantasy football, players emerge who were just barely on the periphery of fantasy football relevance during fantasy football draft season. Last year at this time, you did not know who Phillip Lindsay was, James White was just…

  • Superflex Dynasty Fantasy Football Rookie Draft
    May 8, 2019
    Industry Superflex Dynasty Fantasy Football Rookie Draft

    Fantasy Insiders Industry Superflex Dynasty Fantasy Football Rookie Draft It is Superflex Dynasty Fantasy Football Rookie Draft season! While I compiled my top 40 rankings of rookies for dynasty fantasy football purposes, we have yet to address Superflex dynasty leagues in the NFL365 package. I participate in the Fantasy Insiders SuperFlex Best Ball Dynasty league with…

  • Zero Wide Receiver Fantasy Football Strategy
    May 14, 2019
    Zero Wide Receiver Fantasy Football Targets

    Ten Zero Wide Receiver Fantasy Football Targets By this point, most RotoExperts readers are probably familiar with the concept of Zero RB drafting. Last week, I put together a list of ten Zero RB fantasy football candidates to help you in your fantasy football leagues. However, a less discussed strategy is the Zero wide receiver fantasy football…

  • Five Legitimate Fantasy Football Sleepers At Running Back
    May 30, 2019
    Five Legitimate Fantasy Football Sleepers At Running Back

    Five Running Back Fantasy Football Sleepers Finding late round running back fantasy football sleepers is the surest way to attain a league-winning roster. Phillip Lindsay and James Conner were legitimate league-winners at the running back position last year and they barely had ADP’s. Unlike most of our recent content, including the ULTIMATE Guide To Winning…

  • FANTASY FOOTBALL ADP VALUES
    June 12, 2019
    Best Projected Fantasy Football ADP Values Versus DRAFT Best Ball ADP

    Best Projected Fantasy Football ADP Values Versus DRAFT Best Ball ADP Winning fantasy football drafts is about beating Average Draft Position. If you are able to beat ADP with your player evaluations, your rosters will be stronger than your league-mates. For this article, I used our Best Ball ADP vs Projections tool to pull some…

  • Best Ball Fantasy Football Portfolio
    June 11, 2019
    Best Ball Fantasy Football Portfolio Check

    Best Ball Fantasy Football Portfolio Analysis If you are drafting a ship load of Best Ball fantasy football leagues on DRAFT and other sites, doing an analysis of your Best Ball Fantasy Football Portfolio is incredibly important. It’s very possible that you are over or underexposed to a few players relative to what you are…

  • 10 Bold Fantasy Football Predictions: June Edition
    June 10, 2019
    10 Bold Fantasy Football Predictions: June Edition

    10 Bold Fantasy Football Predictions: June Edition Much of what we do here at RotoExperts is math-based and centered around probability. What is the range of outcomes for Josh Jacobs career? How likely is Patrick Mahomes to repeat his 2018 MVP season? How much risk is involved in projection Dede Westbrook for a 20% market…

  • June Dynasty Fantasy Football Rankings Update premium
    June 7, 2019
    June Dynasty Fantasy Football Rankings Update

    June Dynasty Fantasy Football Rankings Update Now that we have passed the 100-day mark until the start of the 2019 NFL season, it is time to take another look at dynasty fantasy football rankings. Reports have started to trickle out of organized team activities and we have a better idea of where the health of…

  • The Contingency Plan: Oakland Raiders 3
    June 7, 2019
    The Contingency Plan: Oakland Raiders

    What Fantasy Football Questions Exist For The 2019 Oakland Raiders? Welcome to The Contingency Plan! 32 pieces focusing on the ranges of outcomes for every team in the NFL. The RotoExperts projections are a tremendous starting spot for your 2019 fantasy research, but like most projections, will only be considered one of the many possible outcomes that exist…

The Contingency Plan: Oakland Raiders

The Contingency Plan: Oakland Raiders
Anthony Amico June 7, 2019 11:26AM EDT

What Fantasy Football Questions Exist For The 2019 Oakland Raiders?

Welcome to The Contingency Plan! 32 pieces focusing on the ranges of outcomes for every team in the NFL. The RotoExperts projections are a tremendous starting spot for your 2019 fantasy research, but like most projections, will only be considered one of the many possible outcomes that exist for each player/team. When compiling rankings, it is best to consider as many possible outcomes as possible, as well as the payoff and probability of those outcomes. The Oakland Raiders are next up on our list.

The Contingency Plan looks to find those outcomes you may not be considering for 2019 fantasy football plan. By using a series of “what if” questions, the goal is to help you look a little deeper into each team and, hopefully, uncover some league winners. Some of these questions will exist for most teams, while others will be unique to the specific squad at hand. Today, we cover the Oakland Raiders.

Access premium NFL coverage 365 days a year with the RotoExperts. Season Long Draft Kits. Fantasy Football Projections. Best Ball Coverage. Dynasty Rankings. NFL Draft Coverage. Expert Chat. Betting and much more. Save 10% when you use the promo AMICO at checkout. Learn More HERE.

What If Josh Jacobs Isn’t A Bell Cow?

Since being the 24th pick in the NFL Draft, expectations have been high for Jacobs in his rookie season. He has a third-round fantasy football ADP, and is the presumed workhorse for a team that lacks other viable options to the naked eye. However, if we look at how late first round RB selections have performed, the results are not terribly encouraging.

The Contingency Plan: Oakland Raiders

I would put these 24 players into three distinct categories

  1. Immediate success stories
  2. Successful, but not as rookies
  3. Never successful

If you look at the players, not a ton of them would fall into the first category, I would say the top six. A 25% chance of success doesn’t seem to be what people are buying with Jacobs given the cost. There could be some conflation here with early first-round picks.

The Contingency Plan: Oakland Raiders 2

The results here are far better, and the workloads for early picks appear to be much more defined. Not all first round picks are created equal, and we probably shouldn’t be treating Jacobs like we did some other notable first-round RBs the past few seasons.

Furthermore, Jacobs was not a workhorse at Alabama. He had less than 300 TOTAL offensive touches in three years of college, and no more than 140 in any single year. It actually seems quite reasonable to assume Jacobs won’t be a workhorse rather than assuming he will.

So who benefits the most if Jacobs is not a bell cow? Jalen Richard was tied with the team lead last year at 68 receptions, though he only received 55 carries behind Marshawn Lynch and Doug Martin. Martin is still on the roster, but was only re-signed after Isaiah Crowell tore his Achilles. It would be difficult to argue that he gets more meaningful touches than Richard given the value of a reception versus that of a rush attempt.

Jacobs was rated as only slightly above average as a pass-blocker versus the rest of the 2019 RB class, and we know that where rookie backs typically struggle to play is on third down and in passing situations. This seems like a role Richard is ripe to play for at least the start of the year.

Richard was a top 36 RB last season, and could be that kind of producer throughout the year. He is currently the RB65 on DRAFT. If the rookie isn’t a workhorse, Richard is likely going to grossly outproduce his draft position without an injury to Jacobs.

What If Darren Waller Is Good?

One of the more interesting subplots in Raider lore (of which there are a lot) is the potential of Waller.

Waller was a collegiate WR turned TE who spent the first three years of his career with the Ravens before joining Gruden and the Oakland Raiders last year, and the team seems determined to make him their starter in the wake of losing Jared Cook in free agency.

So what if he actually holds down the job?

Waller’s Mockdraftable page is enough to get anyone excited.

The Contingency Plan: Oakland Raiders 1

Waller has also been a leader of #TeamPreseason for most of his career. He had eight catches for 60 yards and a TD as a rookie, and eight catches for 84 yards in 2016. He has at least some production to his name.

The Raiders don’t have a ton of established options behind star wideout Antonio Brown. Tyrell Williams is likely the second option after signing a decent free-agent contract, but after that it is a bunch of underwhelming veterans and rookies. If Waller is good, he could very well hit 60+ targets. Given his comparables, he could turn those targets into quality production.

Waller represents an opportunity for a top 15 TE performance, and he is being selected outside of the top 200 picks. If you miss out on the early stud TEs, he seems like an excellent choice.

Contingency Plan Archives

Indianapolis Colts
Jacksonville Jaguars
Houston Texans
Tennessee Titans

Popular Features

  • Dynasty Fantasy Football Rookie Draft Rankings
    April 30, 2019
    2019 NFL Dynasty Fantasy Football Rookie Draft Rankings

    Davis Mattek’s 2019 NFL Dynasty Fantasy Football Rookie Draft Rankings With the 2019 NFL Draft wrapped up and in the books, it is time to get to Dynasty Fantasy Football Rookie Draft Rankings. Most dynasty leagues that I am in are ready to begin their rookie drafts for the 2019 NFL Draft class. The draft brought…

  • Five Legitimate Fantasy Football Sleepers At Tight End
    May 28, 2019
    Three Impending Fantasy Football Breakout Seasons

    These Three Fantasy Football Breakout Players Are Ready To Shine It is no secret that every year in fantasy football, players emerge who were just barely on the periphery of fantasy football relevance during fantasy football draft season. Last year at this time, you did not know who Phillip Lindsay was, James White was just…

  • Superflex Dynasty Fantasy Football Rookie Draft
    May 8, 2019
    Industry Superflex Dynasty Fantasy Football Rookie Draft

    Fantasy Insiders Industry Superflex Dynasty Fantasy Football Rookie Draft It is Superflex Dynasty Fantasy Football Rookie Draft season! While I compiled my top 40 rankings of rookies for dynasty fantasy football purposes, we have yet to address Superflex dynasty leagues in the NFL365 package. I participate in the Fantasy Insiders SuperFlex Best Ball Dynasty league with…

  • Zero Wide Receiver Fantasy Football Strategy
    May 14, 2019
    Zero Wide Receiver Fantasy Football Targets

    Ten Zero Wide Receiver Fantasy Football Targets By this point, most RotoExperts readers are probably familiar with the concept of Zero RB drafting. Last week, I put together a list of ten Zero RB fantasy football candidates to help you in your fantasy football leagues. However, a less discussed strategy is the Zero wide receiver fantasy football…

  • Five Legitimate Fantasy Football Sleepers At Running Back
    May 30, 2019
    Five Legitimate Fantasy Football Sleepers At Running Back

    Five Running Back Fantasy Football Sleepers Finding late round running back fantasy football sleepers is the surest way to attain a league-winning roster. Phillip Lindsay and James Conner were legitimate league-winners at the running back position last year and they barely had ADP’s. Unlike most of our recent content, including the ULTIMATE Guide To Winning…

  • FANTASY FOOTBALL ADP VALUES
    June 12, 2019
    Best Projected Fantasy Football ADP Values Versus DRAFT Best Ball ADP

    Best Projected Fantasy Football ADP Values Versus DRAFT Best Ball ADP Winning fantasy football drafts is about beating Average Draft Position. If you are able to beat ADP with your player evaluations, your rosters will be stronger than your league-mates. For this article, I used our Best Ball ADP vs Projections tool to pull some…

  • Best Ball Fantasy Football Portfolio
    June 11, 2019
    Best Ball Fantasy Football Portfolio Check

    Best Ball Fantasy Football Portfolio Analysis If you are drafting a ship load of Best Ball fantasy football leagues on DRAFT and other sites, doing an analysis of your Best Ball Fantasy Football Portfolio is incredibly important. It’s very possible that you are over or underexposed to a few players relative to what you are…

  • 10 Bold Fantasy Football Predictions: June Edition
    June 10, 2019
    10 Bold Fantasy Football Predictions: June Edition

    10 Bold Fantasy Football Predictions: June Edition Much of what we do here at RotoExperts is math-based and centered around probability. What is the range of outcomes for Josh Jacobs career? How likely is Patrick Mahomes to repeat his 2018 MVP season? How much risk is involved in projection Dede Westbrook for a 20% market…

  • June Dynasty Fantasy Football Rankings Update premium
    June 7, 2019
    June Dynasty Fantasy Football Rankings Update

    June Dynasty Fantasy Football Rankings Update Now that we have passed the 100-day mark until the start of the 2019 NFL season, it is time to take another look at dynasty fantasy football rankings. Reports have started to trickle out of organized team activities and we have a better idea of where the health of…

  • The Contingency Plan: Oakland Raiders 3
    June 7, 2019
    The Contingency Plan: Oakland Raiders

    What Fantasy Football Questions Exist For The 2019 Oakland Raiders? Welcome to The Contingency Plan! 32 pieces focusing on the ranges of outcomes for every team in the NFL. The RotoExperts projections are a tremendous starting spot for your 2019 fantasy research, but like most projections, will only be considered one of the many possible outcomes that exist…