Popular Features

  • Dynasty Fantasy Football Sell Candidates
    January 27, 2020
    Three Dynasty Fantasy Football Players We Would Rather Sell Than Hold

    Three Dynasty Fantasy Football Players We Would Rather Sell Than Hold Last week, we took a look at three players that the RotoExperts crew is higher on than market consensus in dynasty fantasy football but in zero-sum markets, if we think that some players are undervalued then that means others have to be overvalued. As I…

  • 2020 Dynasty Fantasy Football Rankings premium
    February 3, 2020
    2020 Dynasty Fantasy Football Rankings

    2020 Dynasty Fantasy Football Rankings The 2019-20 football season is finally past us. The Kansas City Chiefs won the Super Bowl, Damien Williams proved that Kareem Hunt never mattered and…now we are on to winning dynasty fantasy football titles in 2020. With a sensational rookie class including a stud quarterback and multiple star wide receivers,…

  • Don't Draft Lamar Jackson: Draft The NEXT Lamar Jackson
    February 20, 2020
    Don’t Draft Lamar Jackson: Draft The NEXT Lamar Jackson

    Don’t Draft Lamar Jackson: Draft The NEXT Lamar Jackson Owning Lamar Jackson in 2019 was a great experience; he was the main player we told you last year to draft to win your league! Owning Patrick Mahomes in 2018 was an equally joyous experience. Finding breakout quarterback seasons in the later round of your redraft…

  • What Smart Fantasy Football Players Should Do With Leonard Fournette
    February 13, 2020
    What Smart Fantasy Football Players Should Do With Leonard Fournette

    What Smart Fantasy Football Players Should Do With Leonard Fournette I would not be surprised if you clicked this article and expected for the advice to be simple on Leonard Fournette: FADE. If that is the mindset you have with Fournette, I get it. As I was thinking about fantasy football in 2020, I realized,…

  • 2020 NFL Draft Prospect Profile: CeeDee Lamb, Oklahoma
    February 5, 2020
    CeeDee Lamb Tops the Initial 2020 Wide Receiver Prospect Model

    Which 2020 Wide Receiver Prospects Have the Best Odds for Success? Last year at RotoExperts, I released the model that I use to evaluate wide receiver prospects. I’ll be doing the same thing again this year, with updates every so often as we lead up to the Draft. The objective of all of my prospect…

  • 2020 NFL Draft Scouting Prospect Profile: D'Andre Swift, Georgia
    February 4, 2020
    2020 NFL Draft Scouting Prospect Profile: D’Andre Swift, Georgia

    2020 NFL Draft Scouting Prospect Profile: D’Andre Swift, Georgia When D’Andre Swift started his final season at Georgia, the dynasty fantasy football community expected him to be great. He was ranked as the consensus top overall player in “developmental” leagues (which are dynasty leagues in which you can already draft college players. Georgia’s running backs…

  • 2020 NFL Draft Prospect Profile: Clyde Edwards-Helaire, LSU
    January 31, 2020
    2020 NFL Draft Prospect Profile: Clyde Edwards-Helaire, LSU

    2020 NFL Draft Prospect Profile: Clyde Edwards-Helaire, LSU Clyde Edwards-Helaire is not going to get very much pub. Right or wrong, he wasn’t the engine that made LSU’s national championship offense run. That was Joe Burrow with Justin Jefferson, Ja’Marr Chase and Terrace Marshall Jr. Helaire is not in the same tier of running back…

  • Three Candidates To Be The Next Great Fantasy Football Wide Receivers
    February 21, 2020
    Three Candidates To Be The Next Great Fantasy Football Wide Receivers

    Three Candidates To Be The Next Great Fantasy Football Wide Receivers We are in a rather transitionary time in fantasy football compared to the stasis that has existed for the last 10 years or so. Some of the biggest names at the quarterback position are retiring or entering their post-peak years. There is hardly any…

  • FANTASY FOOTBALL HIT RATES
    January 30, 2020
    2019 Fantasy Football Hit Rates: Did ZeroRB Die?

    2019 Fantasy Football Hit Rates: Did ZeroRB Die? 2019 felt like a unique fantasy football season…but was it? People almost always feel that way but the real way to test this is to look at fantasy football hit rates from the year to see how “wild” things actually got. Comparing the accuracy of the fantasy football…

  • 2020 NFL Fantasy Football Free Agents
    January 28, 2020
    The Ten Biggest Fantasy Football Free Agents And Range Of Outcomes

    The Ten Biggest Fantasy Football Free Agents And Range Of Outcomes While we are still waiting for the rubble of the 2019-20 NFL season to settle, savvy fantasy football players have already started to draft their 2020 fantasy teams and to think about their dynasty fantasy football teams and how they plan on re-working them…

Dynasty Fantasy Football Buy Low Options

Dynasty Fantasy Football Buy Low Options
Davis Mattek June 17, 2019 1:42PM EST

Dynasty Fantasy Football Buy Low Options

While we tend to think of dynasty fantasy football in terms of goals, i.e “I want to win this league this year” or “I want to accumulate better future assets and tank this season”, there is a better way to approach the activity. By turning players (or future draft picks) that are likely to depreciate into players or draft picks that are going to appreciate, you can extend your competition window in any dynasty or devy league. The players in this column are not guys you have to trade the farm for but rather players that I expect both competing and rebuilding fantasy football teams can trade for and expect to have a better stock in 2019.

Any Arizona Cardinals Wide Receiver Not Named Larry Fitzgerald

Those who have played a lot of dynasty fantasy football and really gotten into the math of projecting ranges of outcomes for players know that predicting which rookies will become studs is not an easy task. The 2019 Arizona Cardinals present a plethora of buying opportunities because the market is so uncertain of who will take advantage of Kyler Murray and Kliff Kingsbury. Andy Isabellla, Christian Kirk, Hakeem Butler, KeeSean Johnson, Trent Sherfield, Ricky Seals-Jone and Caleb Wilson are all prime buy candidates in dynasty. Isabella and Kirk have higher price tags then the rest of this bunch but if Arizona’s offense does what many smart, math-based analysts expect them to do for fantasy, the tags will be even higher in 2020. These are moves that both a competing and rebuilding team can make without issue.

Blake Jarwin

Jason Witten signed with Dallas for the 2019 season after spending the 2018 season in the Monday Night Football booth. That signing has gotten the dynasty fantasy football community off Jarwin’s scent but he is still pretty clearly the tight end of the future in Dallas. Rico Gather is not happening, Geoff Swaim is now in Jacksonville, and his only real future competition is Dalton Schultz. The team seems to value Jarwin higher than Schultz as Schultz was used as a blocker almost twice as often as Jarwin despite Jarwin playing more snaps. I expect Jarwin to lead the Cowboys tight ends in fantasy points in 2019 yet Jarwin is almost a last-round pick in dynasty startups at the moment. It is easy to think of Jarwin as a raw player or strictly developmental but he was actually fifth on the team in targets in 2018! In general, buying tight ends who have shown a little bit of aptitude with playing time who are being treated like non-assets is a +EV move in dynasty leagues.

Access premium NFL coverage 365 days a year with the RotoExperts. Season Long Draft Kits. Fantasy Football Projections. Best Ball Coverage. Dynasty Rankings. NFL Draft Coverage. Expert Chat. Betting and much more. Save 10% when you use the promo AMICO at checkout. Learn More HERE.

Ronald Jones

There have been a lot of running backs like Ronald Jones in the past. Highly drafted, highly touted by the fantasy football community but an inability to catch passes and pass block kept them off the field and it just never happened for them. However, there have also been plenty of running backs like Jones who didn’t play as rookies and carved out meaningful playing time after that because the running back position can be fairly random in terms of the distribution of playing time. Jones has drawn praise this offseason from head coach Bruce Arians and GM Jason Licht this offseason and while that doesn’t mean much, I would definitely prefer that to downright negative quotes. Tampa Bay didn’t draft or sign another running back as competition for Jones which is the most positive sign an embattled RB like Jones can get. Given that Jones’ upside is 55% of the backfield touches on an explosive, vertical passing offense, paying 110 cents on the dollar for Jones is pretty passable.

Damien Harris

Buy the cheapest New England Patriots running back and take your money. We have seen this story play out 20 times before with more names than you can keep straight. LeGarrette Blount, Stevan Ridley, James White, Shane Vereen, Rex Burkhead, Mike Gillislee were all at one point, the cheapest running back on the Patriots roster in fantasy and also fantasy football relevant. Harris has a few things already going well for him: Sony Michel has not been able to practice due to an ongoing knee condition, Harris has been playing with the first team in minicamp, and he was a top-100 draft pick which historically has a high hit rate. Of all the running backs going after the second-round of dynasty rookie, Harris is by far the best buy and even if your draft is already done, he is another running back who would be worth trading 110 cents on the dollar for.

Corey Davis

Corey Davis is a former top-five pick in the NFL draft who is entering his third season in the NFL at only 24 years old. Tennessee has basically been a frigid offensive environment for the two years that Davis has been a Titan, yet has posted 177 targets through two seasons. 112 targets, 891 yards and four touchdowns on a team that threw for only 3,255 yards and 15 non-trick play touchdowns is actually quite solid. We have the Titans projected for a better volume output than 2018 and the addition of A.J Brown and Adam Humphries should actually make the Titans more efficient on offense per play. The chance to buy a former high pick at WR whose team has not soured on him with actual production rarely happens yet the market is not treating Davis like more than a back-end WR2. Buying in dynasty fantasy football is often a matter of taking advantage of inefficient market sentiment and Davis meets this criterion. Young, productive and an offense that projects to be better is a winning combination. If you simply bought every wide receiver that fit this archetype over several years, you would come out way ahead.

Popular Features

  • Dynasty Fantasy Football Sell Candidates
    January 27, 2020
    Three Dynasty Fantasy Football Players We Would Rather Sell Than Hold

    Three Dynasty Fantasy Football Players We Would Rather Sell Than Hold Last week, we took a look at three players that the RotoExperts crew is higher on than market consensus in dynasty fantasy football but in zero-sum markets, if we think that some players are undervalued then that means others have to be overvalued. As I…

  • 2020 Dynasty Fantasy Football Rankings premium
    February 3, 2020
    2020 Dynasty Fantasy Football Rankings

    2020 Dynasty Fantasy Football Rankings The 2019-20 football season is finally past us. The Kansas City Chiefs won the Super Bowl, Damien Williams proved that Kareem Hunt never mattered and…now we are on to winning dynasty fantasy football titles in 2020. With a sensational rookie class including a stud quarterback and multiple star wide receivers,…

  • Don't Draft Lamar Jackson: Draft The NEXT Lamar Jackson
    February 20, 2020
    Don’t Draft Lamar Jackson: Draft The NEXT Lamar Jackson

    Don’t Draft Lamar Jackson: Draft The NEXT Lamar Jackson Owning Lamar Jackson in 2019 was a great experience; he was the main player we told you last year to draft to win your league! Owning Patrick Mahomes in 2018 was an equally joyous experience. Finding breakout quarterback seasons in the later round of your redraft…

  • What Smart Fantasy Football Players Should Do With Leonard Fournette
    February 13, 2020
    What Smart Fantasy Football Players Should Do With Leonard Fournette

    What Smart Fantasy Football Players Should Do With Leonard Fournette I would not be surprised if you clicked this article and expected for the advice to be simple on Leonard Fournette: FADE. If that is the mindset you have with Fournette, I get it. As I was thinking about fantasy football in 2020, I realized,…

  • 2020 NFL Draft Prospect Profile: CeeDee Lamb, Oklahoma
    February 5, 2020
    CeeDee Lamb Tops the Initial 2020 Wide Receiver Prospect Model

    Which 2020 Wide Receiver Prospects Have the Best Odds for Success? Last year at RotoExperts, I released the model that I use to evaluate wide receiver prospects. I’ll be doing the same thing again this year, with updates every so often as we lead up to the Draft. The objective of all of my prospect…

  • 2020 NFL Draft Scouting Prospect Profile: D'Andre Swift, Georgia
    February 4, 2020
    2020 NFL Draft Scouting Prospect Profile: D’Andre Swift, Georgia

    2020 NFL Draft Scouting Prospect Profile: D’Andre Swift, Georgia When D’Andre Swift started his final season at Georgia, the dynasty fantasy football community expected him to be great. He was ranked as the consensus top overall player in “developmental” leagues (which are dynasty leagues in which you can already draft college players. Georgia’s running backs…

  • 2020 NFL Draft Prospect Profile: Clyde Edwards-Helaire, LSU
    January 31, 2020
    2020 NFL Draft Prospect Profile: Clyde Edwards-Helaire, LSU

    2020 NFL Draft Prospect Profile: Clyde Edwards-Helaire, LSU Clyde Edwards-Helaire is not going to get very much pub. Right or wrong, he wasn’t the engine that made LSU’s national championship offense run. That was Joe Burrow with Justin Jefferson, Ja’Marr Chase and Terrace Marshall Jr. Helaire is not in the same tier of running back…

  • Three Candidates To Be The Next Great Fantasy Football Wide Receivers
    February 21, 2020
    Three Candidates To Be The Next Great Fantasy Football Wide Receivers

    Three Candidates To Be The Next Great Fantasy Football Wide Receivers We are in a rather transitionary time in fantasy football compared to the stasis that has existed for the last 10 years or so. Some of the biggest names at the quarterback position are retiring or entering their post-peak years. There is hardly any…

  • FANTASY FOOTBALL HIT RATES
    January 30, 2020
    2019 Fantasy Football Hit Rates: Did ZeroRB Die?

    2019 Fantasy Football Hit Rates: Did ZeroRB Die? 2019 felt like a unique fantasy football season…but was it? People almost always feel that way but the real way to test this is to look at fantasy football hit rates from the year to see how “wild” things actually got. Comparing the accuracy of the fantasy football…

  • 2020 NFL Fantasy Football Free Agents
    January 28, 2020
    The Ten Biggest Fantasy Football Free Agents And Range Of Outcomes

    The Ten Biggest Fantasy Football Free Agents And Range Of Outcomes While we are still waiting for the rubble of the 2019-20 NFL season to settle, savvy fantasy football players have already started to draft their 2020 fantasy teams and to think about their dynasty fantasy football teams and how they plan on re-working them…