Popular Features

  • Dynasty Fantasy Football Rookie Draft Rankings
    April 30, 2019
    2019 NFL Dynasty Fantasy Football Rookie Draft Rankings

    Davis Mattek’s 2019 NFL Dynasty Fantasy Football Rookie Draft Rankings With the 2019 NFL Draft wrapped up and in the books, it is time to get to Dynasty Fantasy Football Rookie Draft Rankings. Most dynasty leagues that I am in are ready to begin their rookie drafts for the 2019 NFL Draft class. The draft brought…

  • Superflex Dynasty Fantasy Football Rookie Draft
    May 8, 2019
    Industry Superflex Dynasty Fantasy Football Rookie Draft

    Fantasy Insiders Industry Superflex Dynasty Fantasy Football Rookie Draft It is Superflex Dynasty Fantasy Football Rookie Draft season! While I compiled my top 40 rankings of rookies for dynasty fantasy football purposes, we have yet to address Superflex dynasty leagues in the NFL365 package. I participate in the Fantasy Insiders SuperFlex Best Ball Dynasty league with…

  • Zero Wide Receiver Fantasy Football Strategy
    May 14, 2019
    Zero Wide Receiver Fantasy Football Targets

    Ten Zero Wide Receiver Fantasy Football Targets By this point, most RotoExperts readers are probably familiar with the concept of Zero RB drafting. Last week, I put together a list of ten Zero RB fantasy football candidates to help you in your fantasy football leagues. However, a less discussed strategy is the Zero wide receiver fantasy football…

  • Dynasty Fantasy Football Rankings premium
    April 30, 2019
    Post-Draft 2019 NFL Dynasty Fantasy Football Rankings Update

    Post-Draft 2019 NFL Dynasty Fantasy Football Rankings Update Now that the 2019 NFL draft is in the books, dynasty fantasy football leagues are on to a new phase. These Dynasty Fantasy Football Rankings have been done post-draft to help evaluate what rookie picks are currently worth in your leagues and how they might compare to veterans…

  • DFB Invitational Dynasty Fantasy Football League
    May 10, 2019
    The #DFBInvitational Industry Dynasty Fantasy Football League

    The Mega-Industry SuperStar #DFBInvitational Industry Dynasty Fantasy Football League Of all the industry leagues that I have ever played in, the DFB Invitational dynasty fantasy football league (organized by Scott Barrett from Pro Football Focus) is maybe the most prestigious fantasy football league that I have ever played in. The league is a 12-team PPR…

  • 2019 NFL Futures Betting Market Check
    May 24, 2019
    2019 NFL Futures Betting Market Check

    2019 NFL Futures Betting Market Check NFL Futures Betting is one of the more beatable markets when it comes to betting on the NFL. The bets normally have lower limits and are generally softer than a line on an actual NFL game where the limits are higher and open to more scrutiny. These NFL Futures betting…

  • 2019 Play DRAFT Best Ball Championship
    May 23, 2019
    The $3.5 Million DRAFT Best Ball Championship

    The DRAFT Best Ball Championship Has Returned DRAFT ran the Best Ball Championship last year, and it was a smashing success (yours truly had a good time also, making the championship round of the tournament). Now it’s back and better than before, with an insane $3.5 million prize pool, and a cool million to first! The…

  • 2019 Fantasy Football Busts
    May 23, 2019
    2019 Fantasy Football Busts

    2019 Fantasy Football Busts We are beginning our coverage of 2019 fantasy football #DraftSZN in earnest here at RotoExperts. In a corresponding to piece to my first look at fantasy football sleepers for 2019, it is almost more important to look at fantasy football busts in 2019 fantasy football. Most of us will be doing…

  • First Look: Fantasy Football Sleepers
    May 22, 2019
    First Look: Fantasy Football Sleepers

    Fantasy Football Sleepers: First Edition “Fantasy Football Sleepers” is almost a dead term. Those who are really #hardcore about fantasy football know that sleepers don’t really exist. The Kansas City Chiefs fifth-string running back undrafted free agent isn’t even a fantasy football sleeper because someone, somewhere has written an article about how he is the…

  • DRAFT Best Ball Leagues premium
    May 21, 2019
    The ULTIMATE Guide To DRAFT Best Ball Leagues

    The RotoExperts ULTIMATE Guide To DRAFT Best Ball Leagues Introduction To PlayDRAFT Best Ball Leagues There is almost no better experience in fantasy football than playing in DRAFT Best Ball Leagues. A large part of why we launched the NFL365 package was that everyone involved with the SportsGrid fantasy football product genuinely loves to play…

Expect Jordan Spieth to Respond Under Pressure at BMW Championship

Expect Jordan Spieth to Respond Under Pressure at BMW Championship
Matt Rumack September 5, 2018 12:38PM EDT

Your In-Depth Preview and Top DFS Picks for the 2018 BMW Championship

DailyRoto
Course: Aronimink Golf Club

Yardage: 7,237 – Par 70

Purse : $ 8.75 million

Field: Top 70 players in FedEx Cup points to date

Recent BMW Championship Winners

2013 Zach Johnson
2014 Billy Horschel
2015 Jason Day
2016 Dustin Johnson
2017 Marc Leishman

Rickie Fowler, Rory McIlroy, Jordan Spieth, Justin Thomas, and Jon Rahm all had their time as the PGA Tour’s “IT” kid. Each of the previously mentioned burst onto the scene in their early 20s as golf pundits dubbed them the closest thing we’ve seen to early Tiger Wood. Bryson DeChambeau’s latest win at the Dell Technologies made it two wins in two weeks for him, and at FedEx Cup Playoff events, no less. With the hype train in full force, it’s DeChambeau’s turn to be the Tour’s “IT” kid. The sophomore Tour player’s amazing talent has been on display for a few years now. In 2015, DeChambeau already put himself alongside the greats by becoming the fifth player in history to win the NCAA Division I Championship and the U.S Amateur in the same year. The other four players were Jack Nicklaus, Phil Mickelson, Tiger Woods, and Ryan Moore. DeChambeau’s win at the Dell has put him inside the world’s Top 10 for the first time in his career, as he sits in seventh. With the Ryder Cup selections set to be made today, DeChambeau is now a shoo-in to play for the United States in France next month.

We’re now halfway through the FedEx Cup playoffs with just 70 of the PGA’s best players from this year still alive. With last week’s field of 100 being trimmed down to 70 we lost a handful of solid golfers. Matt Kuchar, Jimmy Walker, Charley Hoffman, Kevin Chappell, and Branden Grace all saw their seasons come to an end on Labor Day in Boston. With some big names already off the board, this week will undoubtedly deliver a large amount of starpower hit the rail at week’s end. Only 30 of the 70 will make it to the Tour Championship at East Lake, which means that 40 of the players in this week’s field won’t make it to the final stage of the FedEx Cup playoffs. Louie Oosthuizen (69th), Henrik Stenson (60th), Zach Johnson (59th), Alex Noren (50th), Adam Scott (48th), Xander Schauffele (41st), Kevin Kisner (39th) and Rafa Cabrera-Bello (38th) all must have big weeks to keep their Tour Championship hopes alive. There were also four players that moved from outside the Top 30 to inside the week’s conclusion. Hideki Matsuyama moved up 30 spots from 58th to 28th, Emiliano Grillo moved up from 48th to 29th, Gary Woodland moved from 37th to 30th, and Jordan Spieth moved from 33rd to 27th.

There is no cut this week. With just 70 golfers in the field, everyone will be playing four rounds of golf barring a withdrawal. Also for you DFS golf players, remember that after this week there will be a week off in between the BMW and the Tour Championship.

The BMW Championship will be held at Aronimink Golf Club in Newtown Square, Pennsylvania. While this isn’t the first time this course will host a Tour event, the last time it hosted a PGA event was the AT&T National in 2011 and that was pre-renovation. Aronimink has undergone a $4 million renovation to gear up for hosting today’s Tour players. A total of 176 brand new bunkers were constructed, and the fairways were widened, the greens have been enlarged, and there are 18 new tee boxes. Gil Hanse (in charge of the renovation) said that the larger fairways and greens will add a strategy element. Players need to think out their shots off-the-tee at Aronimink because an improper angle could easily mean bogey. So find players who are strong in strokes gained: off-the-tee, and strong in strokes gained: approach.

The larger greens will allow for more tricky pin locations, so you’ll need players whose approach game is working on all cylinders lately. The course plays out to 7,237 yards and is a Par 70, so you’ll need Par 4 scorers to have success this week, only two Par 5s and 12 par 4s. With the course being new to all of the golfers, I like players who are good putters (strokes gained: putting) and good scramblers. New green complexes, and new humps and bumps around the golf course means that golfers will get unexpected hops here and there. Good green reading/putting and scrambling are good combatants to a new course with some unfamiliar bounces.

Key Stats

Strokes Gained: Off-the-Tee

Strokes Gained: Approach

Par 4 Scoring

Strokes Gained : Putting

Scrambling

BMW Championship DraftKings Selections

Brooks Koepka ($10,500): I’m aware that three quarters of Koepka’s wins are at majors, but that stigma can only hold up for so long. Koepka proved at Bellerive that he can bomb it around with his driver no matter how the hole sets up. Koepka will shorten this medium-lengthed course dramatically while also finding the proper spots on the fairway to attack from. Koepka ranks seventh in par 4 scoring, sixth in strokes gained: off-the tee, and fifth in scrambling. The strength of the field in the next two events may give Koepka major championship vibes, so don’t be surprised if the three-time major champion goes all Bryson DeChambeau on everybody and wins the final two events of the year.

Jordan Spieth ($9,400): At $9,400 this is the cheapest we’ve seen Spieth all year. While it’s been a down year for him, he’s starting to show some positive signs. Over his last three events Spieth has finished 12th, 25th, and 12th. Despite the relative struggles, Spieth is one of the best Par 4 players this year with a 3.97 scoring average (fourth). That’s extremely useful on a course where two-thirds of the holes are Par 4s. Spieth’s Par 4 statistics and recent form are nice, but here’s the real reason you should take him: His clutch factor. Spieth currently sits at 27th in the FedEx Cup Standings just inside of the Top 30 Tour Championship bubble. If he doesn’t come out and play well, he’ll be heading home early before the Ryder Cup. Think about some of the amazing things this young man has done when his back was up against the wall. Outside of Tiger Woods, Spieth may be the most clutch golfer we’ve seen in the last 20 years. He has to play well this week and will be well worth the $9,400 pricetag.

Tommy Fleetwood ($8,600): I went with Fleetwood last week, and it appeared he was going to be an incredible value after starting the first two rounds at eight-under. Then the weekend came and Tommy stumbled, shooting one-over for the weekend. He still finished a respectable 24th, despite an incredibly disappointing weekend. Fleetwood’s ceiling is roughly as high as a 10K type of player, he just hasn’t been converting his hot starts into Top 10s recently. Despite the quasi-lull in his game, I like Fleetwood again this week. He’s controlled style of play should work well at Aronimink, and if it wasn’t for a poor weekend in Boston, he’d most likely cost $1,000 more. Fleetwood comes in as the 13th best value play this week according to DailyRoto’s value optimizer.

Emiliano Grillo ($7,400): Grillo was part of a ton of winning lineups last week after finishing seventh. You can still roster the Argentinian for a very reasonable price, and I have no reason to believe he won’t impress again. Grillo ranks inside the Top 30 in all five of my key categories this week including 11th on Tour in strokes gained: putting. Grillo has finished inside the Top 10 in seven tournaments this year. That’s more on par with players in the mid 8K range than the 7K range. Grillo continues to be underpriced by $500-$1000 due to his age (25) and relative lack of name power.

Zach Johnson ($7,100): Zach Johnson won this tournament in 2013 when it was held at Conway Farms. While this isn’t the same course, Aronimink like Conway Farms is not set up for  bombers to overpower it. Zach is one of the shortest hitters on Tour, so a course where long-hitters advantage is neutralized is always a positive for him. Johnson is another one of the best Par 4 players on Tour (7th), and he ranks inside the Top 40 in strokes gained: approach, and scrambling. Johnson comes in as the fourth best value play of the week. Two mediocre/poor weeks at the Northern Trust and Dell Technologies have resulted in him having a deflated price tag this week. Before the playoffs began Johnson was coming off of six straight Top 20 finishes. He’ll need a Top 10 finish if he wants any chance of teeing it up at East Lake.

Pat Perez ($6,800): Pat Perez had a rough week on the golf course, but it all ended well for him. Perez withdrew after the third round to be with his wife who was in labor. After giving birth to a baby girl, Perez is ready to return to the links as a father. With the weight of his wife’s labor off his shoulders I think Perez will be swinging free and easy. He’s another player who needs a big week in order to advance, so with nothing to lose, Perez will be swinging for the fences chasing birdies and Tour Championship dreams.

 

 

 

Popular Features

  • Dynasty Fantasy Football Rookie Draft Rankings
    April 30, 2019
    2019 NFL Dynasty Fantasy Football Rookie Draft Rankings

    Davis Mattek’s 2019 NFL Dynasty Fantasy Football Rookie Draft Rankings With the 2019 NFL Draft wrapped up and in the books, it is time to get to Dynasty Fantasy Football Rookie Draft Rankings. Most dynasty leagues that I am in are ready to begin their rookie drafts for the 2019 NFL Draft class. The draft brought…

  • Superflex Dynasty Fantasy Football Rookie Draft
    May 8, 2019
    Industry Superflex Dynasty Fantasy Football Rookie Draft

    Fantasy Insiders Industry Superflex Dynasty Fantasy Football Rookie Draft It is Superflex Dynasty Fantasy Football Rookie Draft season! While I compiled my top 40 rankings of rookies for dynasty fantasy football purposes, we have yet to address Superflex dynasty leagues in the NFL365 package. I participate in the Fantasy Insiders SuperFlex Best Ball Dynasty league with…

  • Zero Wide Receiver Fantasy Football Strategy
    May 14, 2019
    Zero Wide Receiver Fantasy Football Targets

    Ten Zero Wide Receiver Fantasy Football Targets By this point, most RotoExperts readers are probably familiar with the concept of Zero RB drafting. Last week, I put together a list of ten Zero RB fantasy football candidates to help you in your fantasy football leagues. However, a less discussed strategy is the Zero wide receiver fantasy football…

  • Dynasty Fantasy Football Rankings premium
    April 30, 2019
    Post-Draft 2019 NFL Dynasty Fantasy Football Rankings Update

    Post-Draft 2019 NFL Dynasty Fantasy Football Rankings Update Now that the 2019 NFL draft is in the books, dynasty fantasy football leagues are on to a new phase. These Dynasty Fantasy Football Rankings have been done post-draft to help evaluate what rookie picks are currently worth in your leagues and how they might compare to veterans…

  • DFB Invitational Dynasty Fantasy Football League
    May 10, 2019
    The #DFBInvitational Industry Dynasty Fantasy Football League

    The Mega-Industry SuperStar #DFBInvitational Industry Dynasty Fantasy Football League Of all the industry leagues that I have ever played in, the DFB Invitational dynasty fantasy football league (organized by Scott Barrett from Pro Football Focus) is maybe the most prestigious fantasy football league that I have ever played in. The league is a 12-team PPR…

  • 2019 NFL Futures Betting Market Check
    May 24, 2019
    2019 NFL Futures Betting Market Check

    2019 NFL Futures Betting Market Check NFL Futures Betting is one of the more beatable markets when it comes to betting on the NFL. The bets normally have lower limits and are generally softer than a line on an actual NFL game where the limits are higher and open to more scrutiny. These NFL Futures betting…

  • 2019 Play DRAFT Best Ball Championship
    May 23, 2019
    The $3.5 Million DRAFT Best Ball Championship

    The DRAFT Best Ball Championship Has Returned DRAFT ran the Best Ball Championship last year, and it was a smashing success (yours truly had a good time also, making the championship round of the tournament). Now it’s back and better than before, with an insane $3.5 million prize pool, and a cool million to first! The…

  • 2019 Fantasy Football Busts
    May 23, 2019
    2019 Fantasy Football Busts

    2019 Fantasy Football Busts We are beginning our coverage of 2019 fantasy football #DraftSZN in earnest here at RotoExperts. In a corresponding to piece to my first look at fantasy football sleepers for 2019, it is almost more important to look at fantasy football busts in 2019 fantasy football. Most of us will be doing…

  • First Look: Fantasy Football Sleepers
    May 22, 2019
    First Look: Fantasy Football Sleepers

    Fantasy Football Sleepers: First Edition “Fantasy Football Sleepers” is almost a dead term. Those who are really #hardcore about fantasy football know that sleepers don’t really exist. The Kansas City Chiefs fifth-string running back undrafted free agent isn’t even a fantasy football sleeper because someone, somewhere has written an article about how he is the…

  • DRAFT Best Ball Leagues premium
    May 21, 2019
    The ULTIMATE Guide To DRAFT Best Ball Leagues

    The RotoExperts ULTIMATE Guide To DRAFT Best Ball Leagues Introduction To PlayDRAFT Best Ball Leagues There is almost no better experience in fantasy football than playing in DRAFT Best Ball Leagues. A large part of why we launched the NFL365 package was that everyone involved with the SportsGrid fantasy football product genuinely loves to play…