Pat Mayo (@ThePME) takes a look at the Fantasy Baseball values of Prince Fielder, Justin Morneau and Mark Trumbo now that they’ve playing with new teams…
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Prince Fielder (TEX) ADP: 19 – Squabble about the downgraded lineup protection all you want, it won’t do you any good – since it’s not a real thing. So, fear not for Prince Fielder’s production in Texas, because 2014 should trump his 2013, no problem. Prince is moving to a far friendlier hitter’s park, which is tremendous news for the player with the fifth most home runs of anyone this decade. Power is scarce, and Prince has plenty of it. And, he’s selling at a discount after having a “down” season. A down season being relative to his usual numbers, of course.
Justin Morneau (COL) ADP: 217 – Justin Morneau finally found his power stroke in July and August, smacking 13 of his 17 HRs over a six-week period. Then he went to Pittsburgh and it appears like someone forgot to pay the bills. No long flies in 25 games on the banks of the three rivers. That’s OK however, because he’s in Colorado now, and if there ever was going to be a return to his 30 homer days, it’s at Coors. Don’t rely on him as your starting first baseman………. too risky, but as your corner infielder or utility player, he’s a great gamble that’s selling very cheaply.
Mark Trumbo (ARZ) ADP: 70 – I shan’t be named president of the Mark Trumbo fan club anytime soon, but I do understand his value, which should remain relatively unaffected – maybe it even gets a slight boost – in Arizona. Chase Field’s better for bats than Anaheim. He’ll post elite power totals, capable counting stats, more speed than he should and even sports multi-position eligibility. All good news. But that average… The Horror. It dipped to .234 last season, and what’s crazier, his OBP was below 300 for the second time in three years. YIKES. Trumbo’s a better head-to-head format player, because you can throw categories away in those leagues. In Roto, though, you’ll have to pair him with a Joe Mauer type to salvage your average. Remember that.
David Freese (ANA) ADP: 275 – It says Freese played 138 games last season, which is technically true, he appeared in 138 games, but after starting the year on the DL, he just never got right. I’m willing to give Freese a mulligan, and believe he could be a classic “chance of scenery” guy. But there are warning signs against that. He’ll turn 31 in April, has a proclivity for the disabled list and a move to Anaheim doesn’t boost his Park Factors one bit. That said, he’s currently going undrafted in standard leagues and a return to his .297/20 HR/70 R/79 RBI 2012 isn’t unfathomable.
Jhonny Peralta (STL) ADP: 201 – I recognize Peralta’s PED suspension may have a detrimental affect on his power numbers, but honestly, it doesn’t really bother me. All a see is a multi-positional talent, switching to a better home ballpark, in a better lineup to help fuel his counting numbers. The steroids have made him undervalued right now. His flexibility makes Peralta a must have in NL-Only leagues where covering for injuries can prove bothersome in-season. In standard formats he’ll be more valuable playing in your SS slot opposed to 3B.
Kelly Johnson (NYY) ADP: 340 – You’ll be able to play Johnson at basically ever position outside catcher and it looks like he has a firm grasp on the Yankees starting 3B job. Couple that opportunity with the short right field fence in the Bronx and KJ could push his power total back over 20 HRs for the first time since 2011. Beware though, with the increased at-bats, Johnson’s average could become an anchor. He only has one season batting over .235 since 2009. He posted a .284 mark with Arizona in 2010, with an assist from a lofty .339 BABIP.
Logan Morrison (SEA) ADP: 364 – LoMo will benefit now extracted from his awful situation in Miami, but he certainly doesn’t mean he’s going to flourish. He’s been dinged up the past few seasons, and is one of the many to earn the label “Post Hype Sleeper”. If he can remain on the field, he should challenge 20ish HRs.
Corey Hart (SEA) ADP: 226 – Hart’s injuries made him a DL All-Star all last season, and a move to Safeco isn’t going to make a comeback any easier, but he is a perpetually underrated power bat. A return to 25+ wouldn’t be the craziest thing that could happen this season.
Mike Morse (SF) ADP: 314 – Morse is another mutli-eligibility option who’s a much more attractive choixe in NL-Only leagues. We know he can bop at the dish; he just needs to remember that again. After posting three consecutive seasons with an ISO no lower than .229, Morse has watched it drop for the second straight season in 2013, down to .167. Maybe his power truly has been zapped, but it won’t cost you all that much to find out for yourself. If he starts strong, like last season, he could be a deep sleeper.