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  • Fantasy Football Impact: Todd Gurley Signs With Atlanta Falcons
    March 20, 2020
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Fantasy Football Impact: Todd Gurley Signs With Atlanta Falcons

Fantasy Football Impact: Todd Gurley Signs With Atlanta Falcons
Davis Mattek March 20, 2020 1:23PM EDT

Fantasy Football Impact: Todd Gurley Signs With Atlanta Falcons

With the news that Todd Gurley was released from the Los Angeles Rams for salary cap (and let us be honest, performance) reasons, Twitter immediately lit up with the speculation of where Gurley might go. Even if Gurley was at his worst last season, averaging 3.8 yards per carry and catching only 31 passes in 15 games, the internet always loves to speculate on where former stars might play.

In fact, there is probably a good reason to believe that part of why the Atlanta Falcons wanted to sign Todd Gurley is that 1) he attended the University of Georga and is a massive fan favorite and he would be good for selling tickets and 2) they are so used to dusty running backs (Michael Turner, Devonta Freeman, Steven Jackson) that it is part of their proud tradition. The second part of that is a joke, the first not so much.

Projecting Todd Gurley In The Falcons Backfield

Despite the Falcons featuring a timeshare for most of the last five years ever since the era of Michael Turner and Steven Jackson ended, it has usually been a productive situation for all running backs involved. Devonta Freeman posted an RB1 overall season and over multiple seasons Tevin Coleman finished RB17, RB22, and RB18 as a Falcon with Matt Ryan at the helm. The Falcons offense is skilled, pass-heavy and features above-average QB play, all of which benefit running backs way more than running back talent.

You probably heard me and other analysts say that Todd Gurley is “washed”. Well, he definitely is past his athletic prime due to his degenerative knee condition but the most important factors for RB performance in fantasy are not RB skill but rather contextually based. Therefore, even in projecting Gurley with reduced yards per carry and yards per target, his current projected role in this offense leaves him as the RB18 in PPR leagues right now. 

Now, Atlanta had visits with more running backs than anyone else at the NFL scouting combine in Indianapolis so I would not at all be surprised if JK Dobbins or AJ Dillon found themselves also in the Falcons backfield and Ito Smith was cut as a result. If the Falcons do draft a rookie in the top 100 or so picks of the NFL draft, we would be very interested in adding that player to our fantasy teams as a lot of the outcomes for Gurley are bad performance and/or injury risk that a younger player would not have.

Popular Features

  • 2020 Dynasty Fantasy Football Rankings
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  • 2020 NFL Draft Prospect Profile: Justin Jefferson, LSU
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  • NFL RB Prospect Machine Learning
    March 23, 2020
    The 2020 Machine Learning NFL RB Prospect Model

    What Can Machine Learning Tell Us About NFL RB Prospects? Last week, I released some machine learning model results that attempted to predict WR success. This week, I wanted to do the same for NFL RB Prospects. Evaluating an RB prospect before the NFL draft requires careful examination as draft capital is a huge part…

  • Three Quarterbacks To Target In ALL Superflex Fantasy Football Formats
    March 13, 2020
    Three Quarterbacks To Target In ALL Superflex Fantasy Football Formats

    Three Quarterbacks To Target In ALL Superflex Fantasy Football Formats The lifeblood of Superflex fantasy football leagues are cheap(er) secondary quarterbacks that are essentially an afterthought in “standard” leagues. We have talked often on the SportsGrid Fantasy Football podcast and in articles here on RX about how fun we believe Superflex fantasy football dynasty leagues…

  • 2020 NFL Draft Prospect Profile: Michael Pittman Jr.
    March 11, 2020
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    2020 NFL Draft Prospect Profile: Michael Pittman Jr. In a star-studded wide receiver class, Michael Pittman Jr. is not even amongst the 10 most recognizable names despite attending the University Of Southern California. Generally, USC wide receivers are held in high regard when they come out of school. JuJu Smith-Schuster, Marquise Lee, Nelson Agholor, and…

  • Is Will Fuller Still A Fantasy Football Buy At Increased Cost?
    April 1, 2020
    Is Will Fuller Still A Fantasy Football Buy At Increased Cost?

    Is Will Fuller Still A Fantasy Football Buy At Increased Cost? With the news that DeAndre Hopkins was traded to the Arizona Cardinals, Will Fuller’s dynasty fantasy football value got a nice little boost. The Texans also do not have a first-round pick and actually do not select all the way until the 57th pick.…

  • 2019 NFL Draft Prospect Profiles: David Montgomery, Iowa State
    April 3, 2020
    David Montgomery: Mediocre Talent, Solid Seasonal Target

    David Montgomery: Mediocre Talent, Solid Seasonal Target On Feb. 25, Bears General Manager (GM) Ryan Pace told reporters that the team believes David Montgomery (CHI) can be the team’s featured back and carry a heavier load, “if the team opts to run more in 2020.” Bears GM Ryan Pace believes David Montgomery can be the…

  • Fantasy Football Impact: Todd Gurley Signs With Atlanta Falcons
    March 20, 2020
    Fantasy Football Impact: Todd Gurley Signs With Atlanta Falcons

    Fantasy Football Impact: Todd Gurley Signs With Atlanta Falcons With the news that Todd Gurley was released from the Los Angeles Rams for salary cap (and let us be honest, performance) reasons, Twitter immediately lit up with the speculation of where Gurley might go. Even if Gurley was at his worst last season, averaging 3.8…

  • Kenyan Drake Fantasy Football
    March 26, 2020
    Kenyan Drake, ADP And Markets In Motion

    Kenyan Drake, ADP And Markets In Motion The trade of David Johnson (HOU) to the Texans left Kenyan Drake (HOU), whom the team placed a transition tag on, as the clear lead man in the Cardinals backfield. In eight game with the Cardinals last year, Drake averaged 80.4 yards rushing yards per game on 5.2…

  • Fantasy Football Impact: Stefon Diggs Traded To Buffalo Bills
    March 17, 2020
    Fantasy Football Impact: Stefon Diggs Traded To Buffalo Bills

    Fantasy Football Impact: Stefon Diggs Traded To Buffalo Bills The fireworks have been fast and furious as the NFL has begun its’ free agency/legal tampering period. The Minnesota Vikings traded wide receiver Stefon Diggs and a 2021 seventh-round pick to the Buffalo Bills for the 22nd pick in this year’s draft, along with a fifth- and…