Popular Features

  • Dynasty Fantasy Football Rookie Draft Rankings
    April 30, 2019
    2019 NFL Dynasty Fantasy Football Rookie Draft Rankings

    Davis Mattek’s 2019 NFL Dynasty Fantasy Football Rookie Draft Rankings With the 2019 NFL Draft wrapped up and in the books, it is time to get to Dynasty Fantasy Football Rookie Draft Rankings. Most dynasty leagues that I am in are ready to begin their rookie drafts for the 2019 NFL Draft class. The draft brought…

  • Superflex Dynasty Fantasy Football Rookie Draft
    May 8, 2019
    Industry Superflex Dynasty Fantasy Football Rookie Draft

    Fantasy Insiders Industry Superflex Dynasty Fantasy Football Rookie Draft It is Superflex Dynasty Fantasy Football Rookie Draft season! While I compiled my top 40 rankings of rookies for dynasty fantasy football purposes, we have yet to address Superflex dynasty leagues in the NFL365 package. I participate in the Fantasy Insiders SuperFlex Best Ball Dynasty league with…

  • Zero Wide Receiver Fantasy Football Strategy
    May 14, 2019
    Zero Wide Receiver Fantasy Football Targets

    Ten Zero Wide Receiver Fantasy Football Targets By this point, most RotoExperts readers are probably familiar with the concept of Zero RB drafting. Last week, I put together a list of ten Zero RB fantasy football candidates to help you in your fantasy football leagues. However, a less discussed strategy is the Zero wide receiver fantasy football…

  • Dynasty Fantasy Football Rankings premium
    April 30, 2019
    Post-Draft 2019 NFL Dynasty Fantasy Football Rankings Update

    Post-Draft 2019 NFL Dynasty Fantasy Football Rankings Update Now that the 2019 NFL draft is in the books, dynasty fantasy football leagues are on to a new phase. These Dynasty Fantasy Football Rankings have been done post-draft to help evaluate what rookie picks are currently worth in your leagues and how they might compare to veterans…

  • DFB Invitational Dynasty Fantasy Football League
    May 10, 2019
    The #DFBInvitational Industry Dynasty Fantasy Football League

    The Mega-Industry SuperStar #DFBInvitational Industry Dynasty Fantasy Football League Of all the industry leagues that I have ever played in, the DFB Invitational dynasty fantasy football league (organized by Scott Barrett from Pro Football Focus) is maybe the most prestigious fantasy football league that I have ever played in. The league is a 12-team PPR…

  • 2019 NFL Futures Betting Market Check
    May 24, 2019
    2019 NFL Futures Betting Market Check

    2019 NFL Futures Betting Market Check NFL Futures Betting is one of the more beatable markets when it comes to betting on the NFL. The bets normally have lower limits and are generally softer than a line on an actual NFL game where the limits are higher and open to more scrutiny. These NFL Futures betting…

  • 2019 Play DRAFT Best Ball Championship
    May 23, 2019
    The $3.5 Million DRAFT Best Ball Championship

    The DRAFT Best Ball Championship Has Returned DRAFT ran the Best Ball Championship last year, and it was a smashing success (yours truly had a good time also, making the championship round of the tournament). Now it’s back and better than before, with an insane $3.5 million prize pool, and a cool million to first! The…

  • 2019 Fantasy Football Busts
    May 23, 2019
    2019 Fantasy Football Busts

    2019 Fantasy Football Busts We are beginning our coverage of 2019 fantasy football #DraftSZN in earnest here at RotoExperts. In a corresponding to piece to my first look at fantasy football sleepers for 2019, it is almost more important to look at fantasy football busts in 2019 fantasy football. Most of us will be doing…

  • First Look: Fantasy Football Sleepers
    May 22, 2019
    First Look: Fantasy Football Sleepers

    Fantasy Football Sleepers: First Edition “Fantasy Football Sleepers” is almost a dead term. Those who are really #hardcore about fantasy football know that sleepers don’t really exist. The Kansas City Chiefs fifth-string running back undrafted free agent isn’t even a fantasy football sleeper because someone, somewhere has written an article about how he is the…

  • DRAFT Best Ball Leagues premium
    May 21, 2019
    The ULTIMATE Guide To DRAFT Best Ball Leagues

    The RotoExperts ULTIMATE Guide To DRAFT Best Ball Leagues Introduction To PlayDRAFT Best Ball Leagues There is almost no better experience in fantasy football than playing in DRAFT Best Ball Leagues. A large part of why we launched the NFL365 package was that everyone involved with the SportsGrid fantasy football product genuinely loves to play…

Fantasy Football Week 16: Avoiding An Entire Team

RotoExperts Staff December 16, 2014 11:01AM EDT
BUY

Shaun Hill – At this point in the season, you can look at all the advanced metrics you want to, but you need a player for one week. That’s it. We aren’t talking about players that are trending upward or have their best football in front of them. We are looking for players that can bail you out in a pinch and Hill has that opportunity for owners in deep or two quarterback leagues. In these types of leagues, the Cam Newton confusion is brutal, the uncertainty in Arizona is maddening, and the Ryan Fitzpatrick injury may have left you searching the waiver wire for any available signal caller: Hill is your man. His 11.2 aDOT against the Cardinals is encouraging from an upside perspective and the long week of rest is worth buying into, as the Giants (they’ve allowed the third-most pass plays of 20 yards and grade out as a below average cover secondary) come to town. St. Louis trusted Hill with a season-high 39 pass attempts against a stingy Arizona defense in Week 14 and we could well see a similar game-plan, as New York has limited running backs to 155 rushing yards over the last three weeks and zero touchdowns over the last five. Expecting Hill to win a Fantasy championship for you might be a bit aggressive, but if you’re stuck between a rock and a hard place, he has the Week 16 potential to not lose you your chance at 2014 glory.

Nate Washington – Jacksonville battles week in and week out, but their lack of talent is worth targeting from a Fantasy perspective and I’m sure that’s not breaking news. The Jags rank as the fifth-worst coverage secondary, a fatal flaw when you consider their inability to consistently pressure the quarterback. They’ve allowed opponents to complete 65 percent of their passes this season with 17 percent of those completions going for at least 20 yards, a major plus for a receiver in Washington whose aDOT is identical to that of DeSean Jackson this season. The revolving door at quarterback is less than ideal, but with at least six targets in three of his last four games and the Kendall Wright/Justin Hunter injuries, Nasty Nate figures to get his share of looks in a strong spot. After all, this is a pass-first league and they have no one else to really pass to. You’re not benching a standard starter here, but if you’re suffering through injuries and/or a struggling pass game, he should be considered a risk/reward option that you can add.

Allen Hurns – Investing heavily in the Jaguars is dangerous, but if you need to take a high-risk/high-reward option for the final week of your Fantasy season, you could do much worse than this rookie. The Titans have allowed a receiver to eclipse 100 yards or score in five of the six games since their bye week, and if there is going to be a Jaguar to extend that streak, why can’t it be their best healthy deep threat (his aDOT is 24.7 percent higher than any other receiver)? He has been targeted more over the last three weeks than Fantasy staples Dez Bryant, Josh Gordon, and Jeremy Maclin, and while the quality of targets obviously isn’t very high, the potential for a reasonable performance is there (Blake Bortles’ aDOT has spiked 11 percent over the last three weeks from the previous 12). The Titans have allowed deep threats in DeAndre Hopkins, Odell Beckham Jr., and Eric Decker to total 468 receiving yards over the last three weeks, giving a receiver like Hurns a very real chance to produce a sneaky stat line on Thursday night.

SELL

The Chargers have been a difficult team to figure out this season and I am not tying my Fantasy fate to them in Week 16. Photo: FFSwami http://www.ffswami.com/

The Chargers have been a difficult team to figure out this season and I am not tying my Fantasy fate to them in Week 16. Photo: FFSwami

All Chargers – I swear, the city of San Diego has never done anything to me. In fact, I’ve never even been there. But for what feels like the 16th time in 16 weeks, I’m not trusting any of the Chargers with producing for my Fantasy squad. Much of that has to do with an offensive line that grades out as the sixth worst in pass-blocking and the very worst in run-blocking, as it is simply hard to inspire confidence when the opponent is consistently in the backfield less than three seconds after the snap. The Saturday time slot gives them one less day of preparation (not a major change in value there, but every little bit matters when we are talking the Fantasy Super Bowl) for an opponent who has a different story line in the Fantasy community than they do in “real life”. Yes, the Niners are a team in turmoil that wants to trade their coach and give up on their one time “franchise” quarterback, but they’ve maintained their standing as a strong Fantasy defense amid all of the chaos. They own above average pass rush and coverage grades to go along with their elite run defense, a physical brand of football that Chargers owners cannot be looking forward to. San Francisco has given up one or fewer passing touchdowns nine times this season, and in a game that pits two of the Top 10 teams in terms of average time of possession, this game has the potential to be one of limited opportunities. The confusion at running back in San Diego makes feeling good about any of them a near impossibility, and with a low projected possession count to go along with the 49ers fourth-best completion percentage against, I’m struggling to find a single Chargers player that I want in my lineup this weekend. If I had to pick one player, it would be Antonio Gates (61 or fewer receiving yards in 10 of his last 11 games), but even the veteran scares me (subtract the dominant Jimmy Graham and San Francisco hasn’t allowed much Fantasy production to the tight end).

Sammy Watkins – With the explosion of rookie receivers this season, there has been plenty of debate about the best of the class. Watkins was the first one drafted and I’m willing to listen to the argument that he is in fact going to have the best career (assuming he gets stable quarterback play at some point), but that isn’t going to win you a Fantasy title in 2014. Don’t get me wrong, I see the upside, but in a one game season? No thanks. How ineffective is the Bills’ passing game? A talent like Watkins, who really doesn’t have much competition for targets, has the same number of catches as Stedman Bailey, 96 fewer receiving yards than Charles Johnson (in one more game), and as many touchdowns as you since Halloween. The weirdest part? His level of involvement has had little impact on the final result for Buffalo (he is averaging 45 percent fewer targets over their last three wins than in their last three losses). Furthermore, this weekend’s matchup with the Raiders isn’t as favorable as you’d guess. Oakland has given up some production through the air this season, but much of it has been via the running back dump off (6.8 percent more standard Fantasy points per reception to running backs than to wide receivers) than to play-making receivers. The Raiders have kept opposing WR’s out of the end zone in half of their games this season, and given their league average pass rush against a Bills’ offensive line that ranks below average in protecting Kyle Orton (5.4 yards per pass attempt and a QB Rating that drops more than 16 points when under pressure), this isn’t a great spot. Fred Jackson led the Bills in Week 14 receptions and Bryce Brown set the Week 15 pace in receiving yards, a trend that could continue and make Watkins a disappointing Fantasy option when all of the chips are on the table.

WEEK 16 NFL Picks

Tennessee @ Jacksonville

Philadelphia @ Washington

San Diego @ San Francisco

Green Bay @ Tampa Bay

Minnesota @ Miami

Baltimore @ Houston

Detroit @ Chicago

Cleveland @ Carolina

Atlanta @ New Orleans

Kansas City @ Pittsburgh

New England @ New York (Jets)

New York (Giants) @ St. Louis

Buffalo @ Oakland

Indianapolis @ Dallas

Seattle @ Arizona

Denver @ Cincinnati

Why am I’m picking these teams to win?

WEEK 16 MAILBAG

@TheRealSeanK: If Murray doesn’t go this week who’s a better option, Dunbar or Randle?

@yarraag: Who should I pick up as Murray handcuff now he’s picked up this injury? Randle?

Answer: How poor is the timing of this injury? Murray owners have played with fire since drafting him and are likely still playing because of the Cowboys back: but when you need him the most, he may be inactive. Hopefully you have a high waiver priority and can make a move, as this Dallas offensive line is good enough to lend Fantasy value to his potential replacement, but which do you pick, Randle or Dunbar? Mike Clay of Pro Football Focus tweeted out this stat and, in my opinion it says all you need to know about this situation:

“Cowboys have called pass on 39 percent of Randle’s snaps and 72 percent of Dunbar’s this season. So, their roles are fairly clear.”

Dunbar’s role is there, but it is far less stable, and therefore Randle is the right play here. Even in a PPR league, I prefer Randle, as Dallas will want to stick to their guns and provide Tony Romo with the threat of play-action. The ceiling for Randle is nowhere near that of Murray, but it is far from unreasonable to consider him a Top 20-ish running back this week.

WEEK 16 DRAFTKINGS LINEUP

QB – Matt Ryan

RB – Matt Asiata

RB – Jonathan Stewart

WR – Julio Jones

WR – Rueben Randle

WR – Jordy Nelson

TE – Dwayne Allen

FLEX – Eddie Lacy

D/ST – Denver Broncos

Popular Features

  • Dynasty Fantasy Football Rookie Draft Rankings
    April 30, 2019
    2019 NFL Dynasty Fantasy Football Rookie Draft Rankings

    Davis Mattek’s 2019 NFL Dynasty Fantasy Football Rookie Draft Rankings With the 2019 NFL Draft wrapped up and in the books, it is time to get to Dynasty Fantasy Football Rookie Draft Rankings. Most dynasty leagues that I am in are ready to begin their rookie drafts for the 2019 NFL Draft class. The draft brought…

  • Superflex Dynasty Fantasy Football Rookie Draft
    May 8, 2019
    Industry Superflex Dynasty Fantasy Football Rookie Draft

    Fantasy Insiders Industry Superflex Dynasty Fantasy Football Rookie Draft It is Superflex Dynasty Fantasy Football Rookie Draft season! While I compiled my top 40 rankings of rookies for dynasty fantasy football purposes, we have yet to address Superflex dynasty leagues in the NFL365 package. I participate in the Fantasy Insiders SuperFlex Best Ball Dynasty league with…

  • Zero Wide Receiver Fantasy Football Strategy
    May 14, 2019
    Zero Wide Receiver Fantasy Football Targets

    Ten Zero Wide Receiver Fantasy Football Targets By this point, most RotoExperts readers are probably familiar with the concept of Zero RB drafting. Last week, I put together a list of ten Zero RB fantasy football candidates to help you in your fantasy football leagues. However, a less discussed strategy is the Zero wide receiver fantasy football…

  • Dynasty Fantasy Football Rankings premium
    April 30, 2019
    Post-Draft 2019 NFL Dynasty Fantasy Football Rankings Update

    Post-Draft 2019 NFL Dynasty Fantasy Football Rankings Update Now that the 2019 NFL draft is in the books, dynasty fantasy football leagues are on to a new phase. These Dynasty Fantasy Football Rankings have been done post-draft to help evaluate what rookie picks are currently worth in your leagues and how they might compare to veterans…

  • DFB Invitational Dynasty Fantasy Football League
    May 10, 2019
    The #DFBInvitational Industry Dynasty Fantasy Football League

    The Mega-Industry SuperStar #DFBInvitational Industry Dynasty Fantasy Football League Of all the industry leagues that I have ever played in, the DFB Invitational dynasty fantasy football league (organized by Scott Barrett from Pro Football Focus) is maybe the most prestigious fantasy football league that I have ever played in. The league is a 12-team PPR…

  • 2019 NFL Futures Betting Market Check
    May 24, 2019
    2019 NFL Futures Betting Market Check

    2019 NFL Futures Betting Market Check NFL Futures Betting is one of the more beatable markets when it comes to betting on the NFL. The bets normally have lower limits and are generally softer than a line on an actual NFL game where the limits are higher and open to more scrutiny. These NFL Futures betting…

  • 2019 Play DRAFT Best Ball Championship
    May 23, 2019
    The $3.5 Million DRAFT Best Ball Championship

    The DRAFT Best Ball Championship Has Returned DRAFT ran the Best Ball Championship last year, and it was a smashing success (yours truly had a good time also, making the championship round of the tournament). Now it’s back and better than before, with an insane $3.5 million prize pool, and a cool million to first! The…

  • 2019 Fantasy Football Busts
    May 23, 2019
    2019 Fantasy Football Busts

    2019 Fantasy Football Busts We are beginning our coverage of 2019 fantasy football #DraftSZN in earnest here at RotoExperts. In a corresponding to piece to my first look at fantasy football sleepers for 2019, it is almost more important to look at fantasy football busts in 2019 fantasy football. Most of us will be doing…

  • First Look: Fantasy Football Sleepers
    May 22, 2019
    First Look: Fantasy Football Sleepers

    Fantasy Football Sleepers: First Edition “Fantasy Football Sleepers” is almost a dead term. Those who are really #hardcore about fantasy football know that sleepers don’t really exist. The Kansas City Chiefs fifth-string running back undrafted free agent isn’t even a fantasy football sleeper because someone, somewhere has written an article about how he is the…

  • DRAFT Best Ball Leagues premium
    May 21, 2019
    The ULTIMATE Guide To DRAFT Best Ball Leagues

    The RotoExperts ULTIMATE Guide To DRAFT Best Ball Leagues Introduction To PlayDRAFT Best Ball Leagues There is almost no better experience in fantasy football than playing in DRAFT Best Ball Leagues. A large part of why we launched the NFL365 package was that everyone involved with the SportsGrid fantasy football product genuinely loves to play…