Popular Features

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  • Zero Wide Receiver Fantasy Football Strategy
    May 14, 2019
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  • Five Legitimate Fantasy Football Sleepers At Running Back
    May 30, 2019
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  • Final Countdown: The Biggest Fantasy Football BUSTS Of 2019
    August 23, 2019
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  • Final Countdown: The Best Fantasy Football Sleepers In 2019
    August 22, 2019
    Final Countdown: The Best Fantasy Football Sleepers In 2019

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  • The ULTIMATE Guide To Win Your Fantasy Football League In 2019 premium
    August 21, 2019
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  • How To Approach Josh Gordon In Fantasy Football
    August 20, 2019
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  • Buffalo Bills and the Josh Allen Dilemma
    August 20, 2019
    Buffalo Bills and the Josh Allen Dilemma

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First Look: Fantasy Football Sleepers

First Look: Fantasy Football Sleepers
Davis Mattek May 22, 2019 11:27AM EDT

Fantasy Football Sleepers: First Edition

“Fantasy Football Sleepers” is almost a dead term. Those who are really #hardcore about fantasy football know that sleepers don’t really exist. The Kansas City Chiefs fifth-string running back undrafted free agent isn’t even a fantasy football sleeper because someone, somewhere has written an article about how he is the next big thing. Do I personally think it is a dead term? I don’t. What fantasy football players tend to ignore is boring situations that can lead to QB1/RB2/WR2/TE1 potential or team situations where a starting player is viewed as entrenched but is pretty clearly on the downslope of their career. Using our ADP vs Projections tool, I’ve highlighted four players who are legit fantasy football sleepers at this point in time.

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Fantasy Football Sleepers

Cam Newton, Carolina Panthers

Cam Newton, a fantasy football sleeper? Before you accuse me of lazy analysis, this is the exact point that I am making. Players with Cam Newton’s ceiling being taken later in drafts are how you win leagues. The entire thesis of the Late Round Quarterback strategy is to aim for QB’s in your draft who has the ceiling to become weekly starters. In Newton’s career, he has only finished outside the top 12 in QB scoring twice: 2014 and 2016, both years where he missed games with injuries. Newton has been a top 5 fantasy quarterback five times and the top overall quarterback once. The reason that he is going in the 11th round of fantasy drafts at the moment is injury concern. The price he costs in drafts is now so long that if he is just hurt, you just cut him and move on! There is almost no risk in taking Cam as your top quarterback and he is one of maybe five quarterbacks in the NFL who offers legit league-winning upside at the position.

DeaSean Hamilton, Denver Broncos

If you have been reading RotoExperts throughout the course of this summer, you know that Hamilton is one of my favorites. Emmanuel Sanders still has a long way back to recover from his Achilles injury but the overall Denver passing game forecasts to be better than last season. There is some upside with Drew Lock and Joe Flacco can at least be as decent as Case Keenum was last season. Flacco and Keenum’s adjusted yards per attempt in 2018 were only .32 different with a slight edge to Flacco. The team added Noah Fant at tight end and Courtland Sutton should theoretically be ready to handle starting boundary wide receiver duties. When Sanders went down with an injury last season, it was Hamilton who lead the team in targets in his absence. Hamilton caught 66.7% of his targets last year and really looked like a prototypical NFL slot wide receiver (the role that Sanders is projected to play). Even with our projection of Sanders playing for the Broncos in 2019, Hamilton is a value at his ADP with massive target upside if Sanders is not able to make his way back effectively.

Rex Burkhead, New England Patriots

Every year, the cheapest Patriots running back in fantasy football drafts ends up becoming a value. In 2018, James White was drafted after Michel and Burkhead and had his career high in touches. In 2017, Dion Lewis had 212 touches while Mike Gillislee had 105 and Burkhead had 94 in 10 games. While the Patriots drafting Damien Harris with the 87th overall pick seems to have spooked fantasy football drafters from selecting Burkhead, I’m not sure. In Burkhead’s time with New England, he’s averaged 9.1 touches per game, 5.1 yards per touch and scored nine touchdowns in 18 regular season games. Burkhead also had more touches in the Super Bowl than James White. I’m fairly certain the Patriots will do with Damien Harris what they did with James White. Keep him on the roster, integrate him slowly and let the more experienced players handle the bulk of the important work. Last season, Rex Burkhead ended up being a horrible value as he was over-drafted and then injured. This year, the blowback from fantasy football drafters makes him a legitimate fantasy football sleeper.

Ricky Seals-Jones, Arizona Cardinals

Despite seeing only 70 targets in 2018, Ricky Seals-Jones finished with 704 Air Yards. That was only a hair less than sixth-round pick David Njoku, more than Austin Hooper, Kyle Rudolph, Mark Andrews, O.J Howard and Ben Watson. Yes, the Arizona Cardinals did sign old man Charles Clay to the roster but the two basically play different positions. Clay is a strict in-line tight end at this point of his career. Seals-Jones played 536 snaps last season and blocked on only 149 of them. Compare that to Clay who played 504 snaps and had more blocking snaps than routes ran (251 routes ran to 263 blocking snaps). In the Kilff Kingsbury Air Raid, the team won’t have much of a use for a blocking tight end. RSJ will have more routes run, more targets and more opportunities than many other late-rounds tight ends simply because of the offense that he plays in. Even if he ends up fifth on the Cardinals in targets, that could equate to the eight or ninth most targets at the tight end position. I am making Ricky Seals-Jones a priority fantasy football sleeper late in drafts.

Popular Features

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    April 30, 2019
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  • Five Legitimate Fantasy Football Sleepers At Tight End
    May 28, 2019
    Three Impending Fantasy Football Breakout Seasons

    These Three Fantasy Football Breakout Players Are Ready To Shine It is no secret that every year in fantasy football, players emerge who were just barely on the periphery of fantasy football relevance during fantasy football draft season. Last year at this time, you did not know who Phillip Lindsay was, James White was just…

  • Superflex Dynasty Fantasy Football Rookie Draft
    May 8, 2019
    Industry Superflex Dynasty Fantasy Football Rookie Draft

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  • Zero Wide Receiver Fantasy Football Strategy
    May 14, 2019
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  • Five Legitimate Fantasy Football Sleepers At Running Back
    May 30, 2019
    Five Legitimate Fantasy Football Sleepers At Running Back

    Five Running Back Fantasy Football Sleepers Finding late round running back fantasy football sleepers is the surest way to attain a league-winning roster. Phillip Lindsay and James Conner were legitimate league-winners at the running back position last year and they barely had ADP’s. Unlike most of our recent content, including the ULTIMATE Guide To Winning…

  • Final Countdown: The Biggest Fantasy Football BUSTS Of 2019
    August 23, 2019
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  • Final Countdown: The Best Fantasy Football Sleepers In 2019
    August 22, 2019
    Final Countdown: The Best Fantasy Football Sleepers In 2019

    Final Countdown: The Best Fantasy Football Sleepers In 2019 The final countdown for the start of the 2019 NFL season has begun. We are less than two weeks from the kick-off of the season and more importantly, we are heading into the biggest fantasy football draft weekend of the year. Over the next 10 days, there…

  • The ULTIMATE Guide To Win Your Fantasy Football League In 2019 premium
    August 21, 2019
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    The ULTIMATE Guide To Win Your Fantasy Football League In 2019 The time has finally come: REAL fantasy football draft season is upon us. Most of the fantasy football leagues across the world are set to be drafted over the next two weeks, with Labor Day weekend often considered Fantasy Football Draft Weekend. As such,…

  • How To Approach Josh Gordon In Fantasy Football
    August 20, 2019
    How To Approach Josh Gordon In Fantasy Football

    How To Approach Josh Gordon In Fantasy Football It actually happened! After taking an aggressive stance on Josh Gordon in the DRAFT Best Ball championship and in other league formats, Gordon has been reinstated by the league and returned to the New England Patriots organization. Of course, this is not the first time that Josh…

  • Buffalo Bills and the Josh Allen Dilemma
    August 20, 2019
    Buffalo Bills and the Josh Allen Dilemma

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