Popular Features

  • Final Countdown: The Best Fantasy Football Sleepers In 2019
    August 22, 2019
    Final Countdown: The Best Fantasy Football Sleepers In 2019

    Final Countdown: The Best Fantasy Football Sleepers In 2019 The final countdown for the start of the 2019 NFL season has begun. We are less than two weeks from the kick-off of the season and more importantly, we are heading into the biggest fantasy football draft weekend of the year. Over the next 10 days, there…

  • Davis Mattek analyzes all of the NFL week three preseason action and comes away with 32 actionable fantasy football takeaways for fantasy football players.
    August 26, 2019
    32 Things To Learn For Fantasy Football From Week Three Preseason NFL

    32 Things To Learn For Fantasy Football From Week Three Preseason NFL All of the “serious” preseason football has been played; we aren’t going to see anymore starting players on the field after week three preseason games. The to-the-decimal projections here on RotoExperts have continued to be updated to the meaningful playing time shifts from preseason…

  • FANTASY FOOTBALL WAIVER WIRE premium
    September 9, 2019
    Week 2 Fantasy Football Waiver Wire: John Ross, Raheem Mostert And More

    Week 2 Fantasy Football Waiver Wire: John Ross, Raheem Mostert And More (Most) of Week One is in the books! Things went rather well for RotoExperts subscribers as Malcolm Brown, Sammy Watkins and Lamar Jackson had amazing days to set themselves up for success for the rest of the year. Of course, fantasy football is never…

  • FANTASY FOOTBALL WAIVER WIRE
    August 29, 2019
    My Guys: Top Fantasy Football Targets For Every Draft And Format

    My Guys: Top Fantasy Football Targets For Every Draft And Format Fantasy football draft season has come and is now rapidly running away from us. Labor Day weekend is when a vast majority of the fantasy football drafts take place in the United States but I have already been through the wringer of more than…

  • Buffalo Bills and the Josh Allen Dilemma
    August 20, 2019
    Buffalo Bills and the Josh Allen Dilemma

    Buffalo Bills and the Josh Allen Dilemma: A Fan’s Plea For A High Variance Offense I’ve been meaning to write this article for a while, and it’s difficult to tell where to start. I think the best place is my feelings about Josh Allen when he was first drafted.  I was upset. I thought it…

  • Ten Bold Fantasy Football Predictions For The 2019 Fantasy Football Season
    August 30, 2019
    Ten Bold Fantasy Football Predictions For The 2019 Fantasy Football Season

    Ten Bold Fantasy Football Predictions For The 2019 Fantasy Football Season Bold predictions are exactly what they sound like: bold. By having defined ideas about how the fantasy football season might go, you can actually make better fantasy teams. If you draft every team with the same vision in your projections as to how the…

  • How To Approach Josh Gordon In Fantasy Football
    August 20, 2019
    How To Approach Josh Gordon In Fantasy Football

    How To Approach Josh Gordon In Fantasy Football It actually happened! After taking an aggressive stance on Josh Gordon in the DRAFT Best Ball championship and in other league formats, Gordon has been reinstated by the league and returned to the New England Patriots organization. Of course, this is not the first time that Josh…

  • 32 Things To Learn For Fantasy Football From Week Two Preseason NFL
    August 19, 2019
    32 Things To Learn For Fantasy Football From Week Two Preseason NFL

    32 Things To Learn For Fantasy Football From Week Two Preseason NFL Preseason continues to matters for those who are serious about winning their fantasy football leagues. Not every team flashed their true colors in week two preseason action but there was plenty to take away from a fantasy football context. The to-the-decimal projections here…

  • Fantasy Football Auction Strategy In Action: The RotoWire Pentathlon Experts League
    August 28, 2019
    Fantasy Football Auction Strategy In Action: The Pentathlon Experts League

    Fantasy Football Auction Strategy In Action: The Pentathlon Experts League Fantasy football auctions are pretty drastically different than a standard snake draft. Obviously, instead of drafting players in sequential order, fantasy football managers are given a fake budget (usually $200 “dollars”) in which to complete their starting roster and bench spots. There are many different…

  • Final Countdown: The Biggest Fantasy Football BUSTS Of 2019
    August 23, 2019
    Final Countdown: The Biggest Fantasy Football BUSTS Of 2019

    Final Countdown: The Biggest Fantasy Football BUSTS Of 2019 You have waded through all the articles and research. You read The Perfect Draft for your draft selection, you printed out your customizable cheat sheet using the best projections and rankings in the fantasy football industry and you are ready to absolutely crush your league using the ULTIMATE…

Five Fantasy Football Sleeper Top-12 QB Possibilities

Five Fantasy Football Sleeper Top-12 QB Possibilities
Davis Mattek June 21, 2019 3:17PM EDT

Five Fantasy Football Sleeper Top-12 QB Possibilities

The idea of Late Round Quarterback drafting has always been that you should target players with enough upside to become actual fantasy starters. Fantasy Football Sleeper conversation generally centers around running backs and wide receivers because most fantasy football owners prefer to stream quarterbacks and tight ends. However, the advantage of finding 2018’s Patrick Mahomes or 2017’s Carson Wentz is fairly large. You still want to be winning the quarterback position on a weekly basis, you just don’t want to pay a premium at that position. In this article, we attempt to identify five quarterbacks who are legit fantasy football sleeper candidates. They are being drafted outside the top 15 at their position but have a path to finish inside the top 10.

Josh Allen, Buffalo Bills

Your first rule of thumb when looking at quarterbacks who can become more than streamers is: do they run? If the answer to that question is yes, then they are infinitely more likely to be better than a streaming starter. In Rich Hribar’s famous post, he detailed how running quarterbacks are the #KonamiCode of fantasy football. In most fantasy leagues, passing touchdowns are worth four points and rushing touchdowns are worth six. Rushing yards are four times more valuable than passing yards. Therefore, quarterbacks who add those points are easily more valuable. Josh Allen had an extremely up and down rookie season but ran for 631 yards and eight touchdowns while adding 2,074 passing yards and 10 passing touchdowns in 10 starts. Adding on another year of experience and projecting a small amount of improvement as a passer, the upside tale for Allen is easy to project. Even with 500 rushing yards and five rushing touchdowns and league average passing numbers, he could come close to top 10 quarterback territory with one of the highest weekly ceilings of any QB.

Jameis Winston, Tampa Bay Buccaneers

The upside case for Winston has been posted time and time again on this website, both by myself and others. Despite how you feel about him as a #real #NFL #quarterback, Winston averages 7.6 adjusted yards per attempt for his whole career and had three games with at least 300 passing yards and two touchdowns in nine starts last year. The last time a Bruce Arians offense finished worse than 10th in the NFL in passing yards was 2013 and his teams have been inside the top 10 in the NFL in total yards on four occasions. The Buccaneers are going to pass early, often and effectively. Winston offers a small bit of rushing mobility with nine rushing touchdowns in his career and that is enough to get him to a spot where he might realistically end up a top-five fantasy QB.

Lamar Jackson, Baltimore Ravens

Despite only throwing six touchdown passes in 2018, Lamar Jackson is one of the quarterbacks who offers the most fantasy football sleeper potential of anyone on this list. Jackson set the record for most QB rushing attempts in NFL history in only seven starts last season. Baltimore had more 50+ rush attempts game with Lamar at the helm than any offense has had in the last five NFL seasons. Jackson averaged 4.7 yards per attempt on 147 carries; there is no reason to think he won’t see a similar number of rushing attempts per game. The rushing sets the floor for Jackson but there is some passing upside as well. The Ravens have revamped their passing offense by drafting Marquise Brown and Miles Boykin and letting Michael Crabtree and John Brown walk in free agency. Getting younger and faster should theoretically suit Jackson’s accuracy challenges well. I understand the hesitance of fantasy drafters wanting to invest in someone as inaccurate as Jackson but the standard rules of fantasy football favor quarterback rushers to such an insane degree that he could have a bad passing season but run for 800 yards and six touchdowns and be a firm QB1.

Dak Prescott, Dallas Cowboys

Dak is being drafted as the QB20 per FantasyPros ADP but has never finished outside the top 12 in fantasy scoring in his three year NFL career. After Dallas traded for Amari Cooper in week seven of the NFL season, Dak had seven multi-touchdown games and averaged over eight adjusted yards per attempt in five of those games. In Scott Linehan’s archaic 1998 offense, Prescott still averaged over four rush attempts per game and over 19 rushing yards per game. In a neat statistical oddity, Prescott has also scored six rushing touchdowns every year of his career. Kellen Moore’s new and improved Dallas passing offense should push the ball down the field a little more per reports from camp. Prescott will also have security blanket Jason Witten back, a full offseason with Amari Cooper, Michael Gallup playing full time over Allen Hurns and less short throws with Cole Beasley out in Buffalo. I am extremely bullish on Prescott’s fantasy ceiling in 2019 and have found that he is my most drafted quarterback this year.

Marcus Mariota, Tennessee Titans

We have all been there with Marcus Mariota before. We have tilted his “sore elbow”, the nagging injuries, splitting games with Blaine Gabbert, and seemingly losing top-end speed every year of his career. The fact remains that he is likely a better quarterback now than in his 2016 top 12 fantasy season, but he has not been able to realize that equity. In an injury-ridden 2018, he still averaged 5.6 yards per carry on 64 attempts in 14 games. Mariota ran for 29 touchdowns in college and still has the skillset. The larger question mark is if he can make good on the Titans investment in passing the ball. The team signed Adam Humphries to be a solid slot guy, drafted A.J Brown in the second round and will be getting Delanie Walker back from a long-term injury. The Titans play a fairly stagnant brand of football but the tools are there for a fun offense. Dion Lewis, Corey Davis, A.J Brown, and Jonnu Smith are fast, plus athletes who could be unleashed in a healthy Mariota season. In the morass of the very backend of quarterbacks (Derek Carr, Sam Darnold, the Miami tandem), I like to take shots on Mariota in best ball leagues because he offers a slight bit more ceiling.

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Popular Features

  • Final Countdown: The Best Fantasy Football Sleepers In 2019
    August 22, 2019
    Final Countdown: The Best Fantasy Football Sleepers In 2019

    Final Countdown: The Best Fantasy Football Sleepers In 2019 The final countdown for the start of the 2019 NFL season has begun. We are less than two weeks from the kick-off of the season and more importantly, we are heading into the biggest fantasy football draft weekend of the year. Over the next 10 days, there…

  • Davis Mattek analyzes all of the NFL week three preseason action and comes away with 32 actionable fantasy football takeaways for fantasy football players.
    August 26, 2019
    32 Things To Learn For Fantasy Football From Week Three Preseason NFL

    32 Things To Learn For Fantasy Football From Week Three Preseason NFL All of the “serious” preseason football has been played; we aren’t going to see anymore starting players on the field after week three preseason games. The to-the-decimal projections here on RotoExperts have continued to be updated to the meaningful playing time shifts from preseason…

  • FANTASY FOOTBALL WAIVER WIRE premium
    September 9, 2019
    Week 2 Fantasy Football Waiver Wire: John Ross, Raheem Mostert And More

    Week 2 Fantasy Football Waiver Wire: John Ross, Raheem Mostert And More (Most) of Week One is in the books! Things went rather well for RotoExperts subscribers as Malcolm Brown, Sammy Watkins and Lamar Jackson had amazing days to set themselves up for success for the rest of the year. Of course, fantasy football is never…

  • FANTASY FOOTBALL WAIVER WIRE
    August 29, 2019
    My Guys: Top Fantasy Football Targets For Every Draft And Format

    My Guys: Top Fantasy Football Targets For Every Draft And Format Fantasy football draft season has come and is now rapidly running away from us. Labor Day weekend is when a vast majority of the fantasy football drafts take place in the United States but I have already been through the wringer of more than…

  • Buffalo Bills and the Josh Allen Dilemma
    August 20, 2019
    Buffalo Bills and the Josh Allen Dilemma

    Buffalo Bills and the Josh Allen Dilemma: A Fan’s Plea For A High Variance Offense I’ve been meaning to write this article for a while, and it’s difficult to tell where to start. I think the best place is my feelings about Josh Allen when he was first drafted.  I was upset. I thought it…

  • Ten Bold Fantasy Football Predictions For The 2019 Fantasy Football Season
    August 30, 2019
    Ten Bold Fantasy Football Predictions For The 2019 Fantasy Football Season

    Ten Bold Fantasy Football Predictions For The 2019 Fantasy Football Season Bold predictions are exactly what they sound like: bold. By having defined ideas about how the fantasy football season might go, you can actually make better fantasy teams. If you draft every team with the same vision in your projections as to how the…

  • How To Approach Josh Gordon In Fantasy Football
    August 20, 2019
    How To Approach Josh Gordon In Fantasy Football

    How To Approach Josh Gordon In Fantasy Football It actually happened! After taking an aggressive stance on Josh Gordon in the DRAFT Best Ball championship and in other league formats, Gordon has been reinstated by the league and returned to the New England Patriots organization. Of course, this is not the first time that Josh…

  • 32 Things To Learn For Fantasy Football From Week Two Preseason NFL
    August 19, 2019
    32 Things To Learn For Fantasy Football From Week Two Preseason NFL

    32 Things To Learn For Fantasy Football From Week Two Preseason NFL Preseason continues to matters for those who are serious about winning their fantasy football leagues. Not every team flashed their true colors in week two preseason action but there was plenty to take away from a fantasy football context. The to-the-decimal projections here…

  • Fantasy Football Auction Strategy In Action: The RotoWire Pentathlon Experts League
    August 28, 2019
    Fantasy Football Auction Strategy In Action: The Pentathlon Experts League

    Fantasy Football Auction Strategy In Action: The Pentathlon Experts League Fantasy football auctions are pretty drastically different than a standard snake draft. Obviously, instead of drafting players in sequential order, fantasy football managers are given a fake budget (usually $200 “dollars”) in which to complete their starting roster and bench spots. There are many different…

  • Final Countdown: The Biggest Fantasy Football BUSTS Of 2019
    August 23, 2019
    Final Countdown: The Biggest Fantasy Football BUSTS Of 2019

    Final Countdown: The Biggest Fantasy Football BUSTS Of 2019 You have waded through all the articles and research. You read The Perfect Draft for your draft selection, you printed out your customizable cheat sheet using the best projections and rankings in the fantasy football industry and you are ready to absolutely crush your league using the ULTIMATE…