Popular Features

  • Ranking the NFL Offenses for Fantasy Purposes
    February 24, 2020
    Initial 2020 Dynasty Fantasy Football Rankings: Two Players You Are Way Too Low On

    2020 Dynasty Fantasy Football Rankings The Super Bowl was three weeks ago, meaning there hasn’t been NFL football played in almost a month. The thing about dynasty fantasy football, however, is that it never sleeps. Never. This especially applies to dynasty fantasy football, which is a complete 12-month project embarked upon every year. Right now…

  • 2020 Dynasty Fantasy Football Rankings premium
    February 3, 2020
    2020 Dynasty Fantasy Football Rankings

    2020 Dynasty Fantasy Football Rankings The 2019-20 football season is finally past us. The Kansas City Chiefs won the Super Bowl, Damien Williams proved that Kareem Hunt never mattered and…now we are on to winning dynasty fantasy football titles in 2020. With a sensational rookie class including a stud quarterback and multiple star wide receivers,…

  • Don't Draft Lamar Jackson: Draft The NEXT Lamar Jackson
    February 20, 2020
    Don’t Draft Lamar Jackson: Draft The NEXT Lamar Jackson

    Don’t Draft Lamar Jackson: Draft The NEXT Lamar Jackson Owning Lamar Jackson in 2019 was a great experience; he was the main player we told you last year to draft to win your league! Owning Patrick Mahomes in 2018 was an equally joyous experience. Finding breakout quarterback seasons in the later round of your redraft…

  • What Smart Fantasy Football Players Should Do With Leonard Fournette
    February 13, 2020
    What Smart Fantasy Football Players Should Do With Leonard Fournette

    What Smart Fantasy Football Players Should Do With Leonard Fournette I would not be surprised if you clicked this article and expected for the advice to be simple on Leonard Fournette: FADE. If that is the mindset you have with Fournette, I get it. As I was thinking about fantasy football in 2020, I realized,…

  • Three Candidates To Be The Next Great Fantasy Football Wide Receivers
    February 21, 2020
    Three Candidates To Be The Next Great Fantasy Football Wide Receivers

    Three Candidates To Be The Next Great Fantasy Football Wide Receivers We are in a rather transitionary time in fantasy football compared to the stasis that has existed for the last 10 years or so. Some of the biggest names at the quarterback position are retiring or entering their post-peak years. There is hardly any…

  • 2020 NFL Draft Prospect Profile: CeeDee Lamb, Oklahoma
    February 5, 2020
    CeeDee Lamb Tops the Initial 2020 Wide Receiver Prospect Model

    Which 2020 Wide Receiver Prospects Have the Best Odds for Success? Last year at RotoExperts, I released the model that I use to evaluate wide receiver prospects. I’ll be doing the same thing again this year, with updates every so often as we lead up to the Draft. The objective of all of my prospect…

  • 2020 NFL Draft Scouting Prospect Profile: D'Andre Swift, Georgia
    February 4, 2020
    2020 NFL Draft Scouting Prospect Profile: D’Andre Swift, Georgia

    2020 NFL Draft Scouting Prospect Profile: D’Andre Swift, Georgia When D’Andre Swift started his final season at Georgia, the dynasty fantasy football community expected him to be great. He was ranked as the consensus top overall player in “developmental” leagues (which are dynasty leagues in which you can already draft college players. Georgia’s running backs…

  • 2020 NFL Draft Prospect Profile: Clyde Edwards-Helaire, LSU
    January 31, 2020
    2020 NFL Draft Prospect Profile: Clyde Edwards-Helaire, LSU

    2020 NFL Draft Prospect Profile: Clyde Edwards-Helaire, LSU Clyde Edwards-Helaire is not going to get very much pub. Right or wrong, he wasn’t the engine that made LSU’s national championship offense run. That was Joe Burrow with Justin Jefferson, Ja’Marr Chase and Terrace Marshall Jr. Helaire is not in the same tier of running back…

  • FANTASY FOOTBALL HIT RATES
    January 30, 2020
    2019 Fantasy Football Hit Rates: Did ZeroRB Die?

    2019 Fantasy Football Hit Rates: Did ZeroRB Die? 2019 felt like a unique fantasy football season…but was it? People almost always feel that way but the real way to test this is to look at fantasy football hit rates from the year to see how “wild” things actually got. Comparing the accuracy of the fantasy football…

  • 2020 NFL Draft Prospect Profile: Justin Jefferson, LSU
    February 17, 2020
    2020 NFL Draft Prospect Profile: Justin Jefferson, LSU

    2020 NFL Draft Prospect Profile: Justin Jefferson, LSU If you say to me that you know who and what Justin Jefferson is, then I know that you are a liar. Perhaps one of the hardest things to account for in prospects is when their context drastically changes in the middle of their careers. There is…

Latest Super Bowl Odds and Futures For The NFL Playoffs

Latest Super Bowl Odds and Futures For The NFL Playoffs
Davis Mattek January 8, 2019 11:56AM EST

Super Bowl Odds and Futures Update After

With only eight teams remaining in the NFL Playoffs, the Super Bowl Futures odds look a little different. Four teams were eliminated during Wild Card Weekend and to my estimation, a serious contender in the NFC was sent packing due to a blocked field goal. The four quarterbacks in the AFC are Patrick Mahomes, Andrew Luck, Tom Brady and Philip Rivers. With the Rams, Saints and those four quarterbacks, this is a stacked field! This is how the odds shake out after the last weekend of action.

Super Bowl Odds After Wild Card Weekend

Saints +250
Chiefs +400
Rams +400
Patriots +550
Chargers +900
Colts +1200
Eagles +1400
Cowboys +1800

Is There Value Outside The Top Four?

It seems as if there actually is. The Top Four seeds (Saints, Chiefs, Rams, Patriots) are deemed more than twice as likely to win the Super Bowl as their opponents in the upcoming games. Years of watching football tells us that most NFL games are rarely outside 60/40 propositions and one injury to a lineman or a quarterback for KC, New England, New Orleans or Los Angeles could shift the paradigm dramatically. Finally, the Eagles are actually bigger underdogs to New Orleans than Dallas is to Los Angeles, yet the Cowboys have worse odds for winning the Super Bowl than Philadelphia does. I cannot believe I am writing this in 2018, but if there was a team I would bet on in the NFC at the moment at their current odds, it would be the Dallas Cowboys.

Kansas City Chiefs To Win AFC At +130

The Chiefs are five-point favorites at home over the Indianapolis Colts this weekend. Despite being 0-4 against the Colts in the playoffs in the past, this game should be a breeze. The Chiefs have the best offense in football and the Colts have a middling-to-good defense while bringing in an above-average offense. Assuming the game goes chalk, and I am certainly assuming it will, the Chiefs will either welcome the Los Angeles Chargers or New England Patriots into Arrowhead. The Chiefs lost to both of those teams in miraculous circumstances in the regular season; the Patriots posted their highest score of the year and the Chargers had one of the most unlikely comebacks in NFL regular season history. The Chiefs should be favored by at least three points, if not more, against each team at home at Arrowhead and therefore buying them at +130 to win the conference is getting a discount on next week’s championship game.

NFC Championship Odds

As mentioned above, the Los Angeles Rams’ and New Orleans Saints’ lines are just too efficient for there to be a clear bet right now. If you personally feel like one team is definitively better than the other, than this is probably your last time to get either team at any sort of a discount in the betting markets. The Rams finished second in Football Outsiders team DVOA and the Saints finished fourth. Yards Per Play is one of my favorite offensive metrics because so much information is baked into it; the Rams actually gained .4 more yards per play than the Saints, which does seem interesting in a potential NFC Championship game. At these current odds, there is not an efficient NFC Championship bet unless you can find a sportsbook that offers the NFC over the AFC in the Super Bowl at close to even money.

Popular Features

  • Ranking the NFL Offenses for Fantasy Purposes
    February 24, 2020
    Initial 2020 Dynasty Fantasy Football Rankings: Two Players You Are Way Too Low On

    2020 Dynasty Fantasy Football Rankings The Super Bowl was three weeks ago, meaning there hasn’t been NFL football played in almost a month. The thing about dynasty fantasy football, however, is that it never sleeps. Never. This especially applies to dynasty fantasy football, which is a complete 12-month project embarked upon every year. Right now…

  • 2020 Dynasty Fantasy Football Rankings premium
    February 3, 2020
    2020 Dynasty Fantasy Football Rankings

    2020 Dynasty Fantasy Football Rankings The 2019-20 football season is finally past us. The Kansas City Chiefs won the Super Bowl, Damien Williams proved that Kareem Hunt never mattered and…now we are on to winning dynasty fantasy football titles in 2020. With a sensational rookie class including a stud quarterback and multiple star wide receivers,…

  • Don't Draft Lamar Jackson: Draft The NEXT Lamar Jackson
    February 20, 2020
    Don’t Draft Lamar Jackson: Draft The NEXT Lamar Jackson

    Don’t Draft Lamar Jackson: Draft The NEXT Lamar Jackson Owning Lamar Jackson in 2019 was a great experience; he was the main player we told you last year to draft to win your league! Owning Patrick Mahomes in 2018 was an equally joyous experience. Finding breakout quarterback seasons in the later round of your redraft…

  • What Smart Fantasy Football Players Should Do With Leonard Fournette
    February 13, 2020
    What Smart Fantasy Football Players Should Do With Leonard Fournette

    What Smart Fantasy Football Players Should Do With Leonard Fournette I would not be surprised if you clicked this article and expected for the advice to be simple on Leonard Fournette: FADE. If that is the mindset you have with Fournette, I get it. As I was thinking about fantasy football in 2020, I realized,…

  • Three Candidates To Be The Next Great Fantasy Football Wide Receivers
    February 21, 2020
    Three Candidates To Be The Next Great Fantasy Football Wide Receivers

    Three Candidates To Be The Next Great Fantasy Football Wide Receivers We are in a rather transitionary time in fantasy football compared to the stasis that has existed for the last 10 years or so. Some of the biggest names at the quarterback position are retiring or entering their post-peak years. There is hardly any…

  • 2020 NFL Draft Prospect Profile: CeeDee Lamb, Oklahoma
    February 5, 2020
    CeeDee Lamb Tops the Initial 2020 Wide Receiver Prospect Model

    Which 2020 Wide Receiver Prospects Have the Best Odds for Success? Last year at RotoExperts, I released the model that I use to evaluate wide receiver prospects. I’ll be doing the same thing again this year, with updates every so often as we lead up to the Draft. The objective of all of my prospect…

  • 2020 NFL Draft Scouting Prospect Profile: D'Andre Swift, Georgia
    February 4, 2020
    2020 NFL Draft Scouting Prospect Profile: D’Andre Swift, Georgia

    2020 NFL Draft Scouting Prospect Profile: D’Andre Swift, Georgia When D’Andre Swift started his final season at Georgia, the dynasty fantasy football community expected him to be great. He was ranked as the consensus top overall player in “developmental” leagues (which are dynasty leagues in which you can already draft college players. Georgia’s running backs…

  • 2020 NFL Draft Prospect Profile: Clyde Edwards-Helaire, LSU
    January 31, 2020
    2020 NFL Draft Prospect Profile: Clyde Edwards-Helaire, LSU

    2020 NFL Draft Prospect Profile: Clyde Edwards-Helaire, LSU Clyde Edwards-Helaire is not going to get very much pub. Right or wrong, he wasn’t the engine that made LSU’s national championship offense run. That was Joe Burrow with Justin Jefferson, Ja’Marr Chase and Terrace Marshall Jr. Helaire is not in the same tier of running back…

  • FANTASY FOOTBALL HIT RATES
    January 30, 2020
    2019 Fantasy Football Hit Rates: Did ZeroRB Die?

    2019 Fantasy Football Hit Rates: Did ZeroRB Die? 2019 felt like a unique fantasy football season…but was it? People almost always feel that way but the real way to test this is to look at fantasy football hit rates from the year to see how “wild” things actually got. Comparing the accuracy of the fantasy football…

  • 2020 NFL Draft Prospect Profile: Justin Jefferson, LSU
    February 17, 2020
    2020 NFL Draft Prospect Profile: Justin Jefferson, LSU

    2020 NFL Draft Prospect Profile: Justin Jefferson, LSU If you say to me that you know who and what Justin Jefferson is, then I know that you are a liar. Perhaps one of the hardest things to account for in prospects is when their context drastically changes in the middle of their careers. There is…