The Week 13 Fantasy Football Stock Report
Marcus Mariota has always shown flashes of QB1 potential, but he’s struggled with consistency and injuries. He’s in a low-volume pass attack (only one game with more than 32 pass attempts this year) and his weaponry isn’t exactly full of name brands. Mariota also has a low floor, as we’ve had some absolute duds this year from him in Fantasy. Despite all of that, what we saw from Mariota on Monday night was impressive. He had an extremely efficient day, completing 22 of 23 passes for 303 yards and two scores. He hit Corey Davis for a 48-yard touchdown, making good use of his physically imposing second year target. Mariota is on the rise and has a great chance at continued success against the Jets on Sunday, but keep in mind that the Titans’ offense has been up and down all season.
Matt Breida rushed for a second straight 100-yard game and his 17 touches were second only to his Week 11 performance that included 17 rushes and three receptions. That type of usage should continue because no other 49er running back offers his upside as a runner or receiver. The Seahawks are up next and they have been gashed for over 100 yards five times this season, in addition to giving up a rushing score in four straight. Consider Breida a locked-in RB2 for the remainder of the year. If he could regularly see 20 touches a game, there’s a chance he can finish the season as an RB1.
With the Bengals not making the playoffs and Andy Dalton out for the year, it doesn’t make much sense to bring back an injured A.J. Green. That could mean even more targets for 2018 breakout Tyler Boyd. The third-year receiver has already surpassed his receiving yardage total from his first two seasons and is just 159 yards shy of a 1,000-yard effort. He’s seen 19 targets combined in the last two weeks and gets an exploitable Broncos secondary this weekend. Regardless of Green’s status, Boyd is at least WR3 player but with him sidelined, he’s a must-start WR2.
David Njoku managed five catches for 63 yards and a score against the Bengals last week, his first trip to the end zone since Week Seven. Now the Browns take on a Texans defense that has been roasted by tight ends in three straight games. Njoku hasn’t seen as many targets since the regime change in Cleveland, but his ceiling remains high. He definitely has shown a strong rapport with Baker Mayfield and his weekly upside has cemented his TE1 status.
Carson Wentz has struggled in the last couple weeks, managing only one score and throwing three interceptions against the Giants and Saints. There are reports that he is not all the way back from his ACL tear and that the lingering injury is throwing his mechanics off. Still, he’s talented enough and surrounded by enough offensive firepower to provide you with QB1 performances down the stretch. You might be gun shy about starting him after two straight subpar performances, but the Washington defense might cure those ailments. They have been torched repeatedly this season, including making Dak Prescott look like a franchise quarterback again last week. He’s no longer a guaranteed start, but remains an attractive option.
James White saw extensive work as a runner against the Jets while his receiving chops didn’t seem to be needed. That was most likely a product of the game flow, so not too much to be concerned about there. What is a concern is Rex Burkhead’s return. The veteran throws a potential wrench into the values of White and Sony Michel. While he may syphon touches from both, White remains a dangerous receiving threat and Michel has been impressive as an inside runner. Burkhead is a very good receiving back in his own right and it just makes the Patriots backfield more unpredictable. White owners need to hope that Burkhead is sparsely used, particularly in the passing game.
Jarvis Landry has always lived off of volume. After double-digit targets in seven of his first eight games, Landry’s volume has dried up. He’s seen just 17 targets in his last three games, managing no more than 50 yards in each contest. In fact, he posted two 100-yard games in September, but he’s managed more than 50 yards just twice since Baker Mayfield took over. Even in PPR formats, he’s nothing more than a WR3 option until further notice. The Browns seem to be going with a more balanced attack instead of funneling targets to one player, and the results support that decision.
The entire Packers’ offense—with the exception of the surging Aaron Jones—has a down arrow. That goes double for Jimmy Graham, who is attempting to play through a broken thumb. He was on the field for limited snaps on Sunday night, managing to avoid a zero with three catches late in the fourth. With the Packers’ playoff hopes all but gone, it does not make much sense to have Graham play through the injury. Despite being a red zone monster, he has just two scores this year and just one game with more than 50 yards or four receptions in his last five. The only reason to trot him out there in your Fantasy lineup is an underwhelming TE landscape.