Popular Features

  • Dynasty Fantasy Football Sell Candidates
    January 27, 2020
    Three Dynasty Fantasy Football Players We Would Rather Sell Than Hold

    Three Dynasty Fantasy Football Players We Would Rather Sell Than Hold Last week, we took a look at three players that the RotoExperts crew is higher on than market consensus in dynasty fantasy football but in zero-sum markets, if we think that some players are undervalued then that means others have to be overvalued. As I…

  • 2020 Dynasty Fantasy Football Rankings premium
    February 3, 2020
    2020 Dynasty Fantasy Football Rankings

    2020 Dynasty Fantasy Football Rankings The 2019-20 football season is finally past us. The Kansas City Chiefs won the Super Bowl, Damien Williams proved that Kareem Hunt never mattered and…now we are on to winning dynasty fantasy football titles in 2020. With a sensational rookie class including a stud quarterback and multiple star wide receivers,…

  • Don't Draft Lamar Jackson: Draft The NEXT Lamar Jackson
    February 20, 2020
    Don’t Draft Lamar Jackson: Draft The NEXT Lamar Jackson

    Don’t Draft Lamar Jackson: Draft The NEXT Lamar Jackson Owning Lamar Jackson in 2019 was a great experience; he was the main player we told you last year to draft to win your league! Owning Patrick Mahomes in 2018 was an equally joyous experience. Finding breakout quarterback seasons in the later round of your redraft…

  • Ranking the NFL Offenses for Fantasy Purposes
    February 24, 2020
    Initial 2020 Dynasty Fantasy Football Rankings: Two Players You Are Way Too Low On

    2020 Dynasty Fantasy Football Rankings The Super Bowl was three weeks ago, meaning there hasn’t been NFL football played in almost a month. The thing about dynasty fantasy football, however, is that it never sleeps. Never. This especially applies to dynasty fantasy football, which is a complete 12-month project embarked upon every year. Right now…

  • What Smart Fantasy Football Players Should Do With Leonard Fournette
    February 13, 2020
    What Smart Fantasy Football Players Should Do With Leonard Fournette

    What Smart Fantasy Football Players Should Do With Leonard Fournette I would not be surprised if you clicked this article and expected for the advice to be simple on Leonard Fournette: FADE. If that is the mindset you have with Fournette, I get it. As I was thinking about fantasy football in 2020, I realized,…

  • 2020 NFL Draft Prospect Profile: CeeDee Lamb, Oklahoma
    February 5, 2020
    CeeDee Lamb Tops the Initial 2020 Wide Receiver Prospect Model

    Which 2020 Wide Receiver Prospects Have the Best Odds for Success? Last year at RotoExperts, I released the model that I use to evaluate wide receiver prospects. I’ll be doing the same thing again this year, with updates every so often as we lead up to the Draft. The objective of all of my prospect…

  • 2020 NFL Draft Scouting Prospect Profile: D'Andre Swift, Georgia
    February 4, 2020
    2020 NFL Draft Scouting Prospect Profile: D’Andre Swift, Georgia

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  • 2020 NFL Draft Prospect Profile: Clyde Edwards-Helaire, LSU
    January 31, 2020
    2020 NFL Draft Prospect Profile: Clyde Edwards-Helaire, LSU

    2020 NFL Draft Prospect Profile: Clyde Edwards-Helaire, LSU Clyde Edwards-Helaire is not going to get very much pub. Right or wrong, he wasn’t the engine that made LSU’s national championship offense run. That was Joe Burrow with Justin Jefferson, Ja’Marr Chase and Terrace Marshall Jr. Helaire is not in the same tier of running back…

  • Three Candidates To Be The Next Great Fantasy Football Wide Receivers
    February 21, 2020
    Three Candidates To Be The Next Great Fantasy Football Wide Receivers

    Three Candidates To Be The Next Great Fantasy Football Wide Receivers We are in a rather transitionary time in fantasy football compared to the stasis that has existed for the last 10 years or so. Some of the biggest names at the quarterback position are retiring or entering their post-peak years. There is hardly any…

  • FANTASY FOOTBALL HIT RATES
    January 30, 2020
    2019 Fantasy Football Hit Rates: Did ZeroRB Die?

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Time to Trade Cowboys’ Dez Bryant and Packers’ Jordy Nelson

Chris Mitchell October 27, 2017 12:15AM EST
The Fantasy season is getting more and more intriguing and less and less certain with more and more data. Injuries are impacting touches and targets as well as players contributions while more practice time and games are turning young players into experienced ones. Veterans are starting to confirm whether they are “booms” or “busts,” while youngsters are starting to prove they are Fantasy-relevant.

Surprises on the Bullseyes

dez bryant

Dez Bryant has gotten plenty of targets but he has not produced for Fantasy owners who drafted him as a WR1. AP Photo/Marcio Jose Sanchez

We are seven weeks into the Fantasy football season and nobody is surprised that Antonio Brown is leading the league in targets – and by a lot (84) – but there are plenty of surprises to be found among the receivers quarterbacks are looking to this season. Minnesota Vikings wide receiver Adam Thielen (65) is tied for fourth-most in targets with DeAndre Hopkins and Larry Fitzgerald. Pierre Garcon is seventh (63) and Devin Funchess (52) is 15th.

Touches and targets are the best indicators of potential production and Garcon is a cheap trade target as the number one wide receiver on one of football’s worst teams. Funchess is likely to be slightly more expensive, but he is still a high target/low-cost opportunity. On the flip side of that coin, Jordy Nelson has only been targeted 42 times (fewer than Los Angeles Rams rookie WR3 Cooper Kupp and San Francisco 49ers WR Marquis Goodwin) for only 303 receiving yards, and now he has a replacement level quarterback who looked lost last week. It’s hard not to sell Nelson, who could drop all the way to flex consideration or possibly be benched in shallower leagues if things are to become as bleak as they looked in Week 7. Dez Bryant ranks 38th in receiving yards but eighth in targets and touchdowns. If you can take advantage of the name and the scores, it would be a good idea to move on from Bryant.

NOTEWORTHY

Josh Doctson, WR Washington Redskins – Doctson is noteworthy more for the comments made by head coach Jay Gruden off the field than anything he has done on it in 2017. Terrell Pryor Sr. has been a free agent bust after showing he had the chops to be a top target in 2016 for the “troubled” Cleveland Browns. Gruden made it clear that he wants Doctson to be a focus of the vertical passing game going forward, and with a Top 10 quarterback like Kirk Cousins throwing to him, it makes him a must-claim free agent; but color me skeptical. It appears that there are going to be opportunities for Doctson, but look for a trend to hang your hat on after Week 8 before you insert him into your lineup.

O.J. Howard, TE Tampa Bay Buccaneers – There is a lot of ability to dream on with Howard, but he has had two good games and is the second-best option at his own position on his own team to Cameron Brate. If you’re in a deep two-tight end league, then Howard is a viable play. But “Don’t Be Fantasy Fooled” by Howard, who can catch and has found the red zone on three occasions, because he has only been targeted 18 times.

Kenny Stills, WR Miami Dolphins – Stills scored in three games with Matt Moore at quarterback in 2016 and now he has scored in back to back games this season. The Week 8 downside is that the Ravens allow the second-fewest points to wide receivers (22.2). The evidence is more than a fluke and it is more than bordering on a trend. Moore to Stills is somewhat of a thing. He is a discounted option who could be a steal in DFS tournaments.

Brett Hundley, QB Green Bay Packers – Hundley threw three interceptions after replacing the injured Aaron Rodgers in the first game he appeared in, and completed fewer than 50 percent of his passes (12 of 25 for 87 yards) in the first game he started. The Packers are loaded with potential in the passing game, but rather than Hundley benefiting from it, it is looking more like the receivers will all suffer due to him. Aaron Jones owners, be glad you held tight because the load could be heavy, and the Fantasy points could be high if Week 7 is any indication.

Jordan Reed, TE Washington Redskins – Reed had 64 receiving yards and eight receptions on ten targets with two touchdowns; by far, his best game of the season. Sell now, if anyone will take him.

TRENDING

Mark Ingram, RB New Orleans Saints – Since Adrian Peterson left town, Ingram has had back to back 100-plus yard rushing games and three touchdowns. His last two games have been his best rushing the ball, but he has had at least four receptions and 70 yards from scrimmage in all but one game. Ingram has always been a true dual-threat and for at least two weeks, he has looked like a Fantasy stud on the rise. He is a safe trade target because of his pass catching ability, and he has significant upside to be a Top 10 running back going forward because of this increase in opportunities in the running attack.

Aaron Jones, RB Green Bay Packers – Jones has had at least 13 rushing attempts in four straight weeks, and he has three rushing touchdowns and two 100-plus yard games rushing the rock. With Brett Hundley under center and the Packers intention to use Jones as at least a committee member, and possibly their number one rusher, it is looking more and more like Jones is going to receive the opportunities he needs to be a legitimate RB2. He out-carried Ty Montgomery 30-14 in Weeks 6 and 7. I am skeptical about buying in with such a small sample size, but a trend is building for Jones in the Bay.

Jarvis Landry, WR Miami Dolphins – Entering the 2017 draft season, there were concerns about drafting Landry because of his lack of touchdowns and the expected emergence of DeVante Parker. Well, Landry is second in the NFL in targets, and he has a touchdown in three consecutive games. Landry doesn’t have the highest ceiling, but his targets and receptions make him as safe a play as you are going to find, and consistency is worth a lot come playoff time. He is a target, not a sell high.

Chris Thompson, RB Washington Redskins – Thompson has only had one game of 40 rushing yards or more (77 yards on three rushing attempts in Week 2 against the Los Angeles Rams), only one game of nine carries or more and only two rushing touchdowns, yet he has scored 15 Fantasy points or more in five of six games. When you combine 23 receptions and three receiving touchdowns with even a small rushing contribution, then you have yourself a Top 15 Fantasy running back. It’s difficult to trust him week in and week out, but Thompson makes plays and contributes Fantasy numbers. He has more 100-yard receiving games (2) than Brandin Cooks, Dez Bryant, Mike Evans, DeAndre Hopkins, and Julio Jones. He leads running backs in receiving yards (366) and has more than Jarvis Landry, that guy Dez Bryant again, Amari Cooper, Alshon Jeffery, and Jordy Nelson. I have been the biggest critic of scat backs that live and die in the passing game, Tarik Cohen being the symbol of my disdain, but Thompson is the Washington player to own going forward.

Popular Features

  • Dynasty Fantasy Football Sell Candidates
    January 27, 2020
    Three Dynasty Fantasy Football Players We Would Rather Sell Than Hold

    Three Dynasty Fantasy Football Players We Would Rather Sell Than Hold Last week, we took a look at three players that the RotoExperts crew is higher on than market consensus in dynasty fantasy football but in zero-sum markets, if we think that some players are undervalued then that means others have to be overvalued. As I…

  • 2020 Dynasty Fantasy Football Rankings premium
    February 3, 2020
    2020 Dynasty Fantasy Football Rankings

    2020 Dynasty Fantasy Football Rankings The 2019-20 football season is finally past us. The Kansas City Chiefs won the Super Bowl, Damien Williams proved that Kareem Hunt never mattered and…now we are on to winning dynasty fantasy football titles in 2020. With a sensational rookie class including a stud quarterback and multiple star wide receivers,…

  • Don't Draft Lamar Jackson: Draft The NEXT Lamar Jackson
    February 20, 2020
    Don’t Draft Lamar Jackson: Draft The NEXT Lamar Jackson

    Don’t Draft Lamar Jackson: Draft The NEXT Lamar Jackson Owning Lamar Jackson in 2019 was a great experience; he was the main player we told you last year to draft to win your league! Owning Patrick Mahomes in 2018 was an equally joyous experience. Finding breakout quarterback seasons in the later round of your redraft…

  • Ranking the NFL Offenses for Fantasy Purposes
    February 24, 2020
    Initial 2020 Dynasty Fantasy Football Rankings: Two Players You Are Way Too Low On

    2020 Dynasty Fantasy Football Rankings The Super Bowl was three weeks ago, meaning there hasn’t been NFL football played in almost a month. The thing about dynasty fantasy football, however, is that it never sleeps. Never. This especially applies to dynasty fantasy football, which is a complete 12-month project embarked upon every year. Right now…

  • What Smart Fantasy Football Players Should Do With Leonard Fournette
    February 13, 2020
    What Smart Fantasy Football Players Should Do With Leonard Fournette

    What Smart Fantasy Football Players Should Do With Leonard Fournette I would not be surprised if you clicked this article and expected for the advice to be simple on Leonard Fournette: FADE. If that is the mindset you have with Fournette, I get it. As I was thinking about fantasy football in 2020, I realized,…

  • 2020 NFL Draft Prospect Profile: CeeDee Lamb, Oklahoma
    February 5, 2020
    CeeDee Lamb Tops the Initial 2020 Wide Receiver Prospect Model

    Which 2020 Wide Receiver Prospects Have the Best Odds for Success? Last year at RotoExperts, I released the model that I use to evaluate wide receiver prospects. I’ll be doing the same thing again this year, with updates every so often as we lead up to the Draft. The objective of all of my prospect…

  • 2020 NFL Draft Scouting Prospect Profile: D'Andre Swift, Georgia
    February 4, 2020
    2020 NFL Draft Scouting Prospect Profile: D’Andre Swift, Georgia

    2020 NFL Draft Scouting Prospect Profile: D’Andre Swift, Georgia When D’Andre Swift started his final season at Georgia, the dynasty fantasy football community expected him to be great. He was ranked as the consensus top overall player in “developmental” leagues (which are dynasty leagues in which you can already draft college players. Georgia’s running backs…

  • 2020 NFL Draft Prospect Profile: Clyde Edwards-Helaire, LSU
    January 31, 2020
    2020 NFL Draft Prospect Profile: Clyde Edwards-Helaire, LSU

    2020 NFL Draft Prospect Profile: Clyde Edwards-Helaire, LSU Clyde Edwards-Helaire is not going to get very much pub. Right or wrong, he wasn’t the engine that made LSU’s national championship offense run. That was Joe Burrow with Justin Jefferson, Ja’Marr Chase and Terrace Marshall Jr. Helaire is not in the same tier of running back…

  • Three Candidates To Be The Next Great Fantasy Football Wide Receivers
    February 21, 2020
    Three Candidates To Be The Next Great Fantasy Football Wide Receivers

    Three Candidates To Be The Next Great Fantasy Football Wide Receivers We are in a rather transitionary time in fantasy football compared to the stasis that has existed for the last 10 years or so. Some of the biggest names at the quarterback position are retiring or entering their post-peak years. There is hardly any…

  • FANTASY FOOTBALL HIT RATES
    January 30, 2020
    2019 Fantasy Football Hit Rates: Did ZeroRB Die?

    2019 Fantasy Football Hit Rates: Did ZeroRB Die? 2019 felt like a unique fantasy football season…but was it? People almost always feel that way but the real way to test this is to look at fantasy football hit rates from the year to see how “wild” things actually got. Comparing the accuracy of the fantasy football…