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    Week 10 Lineup Ranks: Get Smarter!

    RotoExperts Staff November 5, 2014 10:50AM EDT
    Quarterbacks (1-8)Quarterbacks (9-16)Quarterbacks (17-24)
    Peyton ManningJoe FlaccoKyle Orton
    Aaron RodgersCam NewtonAlex Smith
    Ben RoethlisbergerRussell WilsonJosh McCown
    Jay CutlerTony RomoDerek Carr
    Drew BreesMatt RyanEli Manning
    Matthew StaffordRyan TannehillBrian Hoyer
    Carson PalmerAndy DaltonMark Sanchez
    Colin KaepernickBlake BortlesMichael Vick

    1. Peyton Manning: He has completed 48 passes the week following a showdown with Tom Brady over the last two years, eight of which resulted in six points.
    2. Aaron Rodgers: His last two games against the Bears (excluding 2013, a season in which he was injured in one game and just returning from a 1.5 month absence in the other) he has completed 83.3 percent of his passes for 593 yards, seven touchdowns, and zero interceptions.
    3. Ben Roethlisberger: Since Week 3, he has fired 21 touchdowns while throwing just one interception. During that span, the Jets have intercepted just one pass and allowed 19 touchdown tosses.
    4. Jay Cutler: He has entered Lambeau Field as a Bear three times in his career, totaling 571 passing yards while completing 48 percent of his passes for two touchdowns and 10 interceptions.
    5. Drew Brees: He has averaged 331.2 passing yards (13.9 yards per completion) in his last five home games on extended rest. His 18 touchdowns and zero interceptions over that span aren’t too bad either.
    6. Matthew Stafford: Just twice have the Dolphins allowed a quarterback to record multiple pass touchdowns in a game this season, and those two QBs combined for an underwhelming 450 passing yards.
    7. Carson Palmer: Has thrown multiple touchdown passes in all five games this year and seven of his last eight November contests.
    8. Colin Kaepernick: He has not had a 40-yard completion or a 10-yard rush in three of his last four games.
    9. Joe Flacco: It may not be a huge sample size, but in four games against non-divisional opponents this season, he is completing 66 percent of his passes for 282 yards per game (13.9 yards per completion) with 10 touchdowns and three interceptions.
    10. Cam Newton: Was on pace to obliterate his career-best completion percentage through two weeks, but has completed just 54 percent since then. His passing yardage total has increased just twice all season long.
    11. Russell Wilson: What wins Fantasy matchups weeks and what wins the Seahawks matchups are two very different things. Despite his completion percentage rising by 5.6 percent, Wilson is averaging 6.7 percent fewer yards per pass attempt in wins than losses. They’ve also won back-to-back games with Wilson accounting for one score after losing a game to the Rams in which he reached paydirt three times.
    12. Tony Romo: He is a good bet to play this weekend in London, but are the Jags as good a matchup as they sound? Well, they have given up a league-high 38 pass plays of at least 20 yards, but they also rank third in total sacks and are the second most run on defense in football. The deep ball hasn’t exactly been Romo’s forte this season (fewer 20-plus yards completions than the embattled Kirk Cousins and the “dink-and-dunk” Tom Brady) and he is averaging a mere 27.2 pass attempts in regulation victories this season.
    13. Matt Ryan: He killed the Buccaneers on Thursday Night Football earlier this season, so he must be a lock to dominate this week, right? Well, over the last five seasons, Ryan has as many games with more touchdown passes than interceptions in Tampa Bay as you do (interestingly enough, he’s accounted for 10 passing scores and 0 interceptions at home against the Bucs over that stretch).
    14. Ryan Tannehill: He has managed at least 240 passing yards, multiple passing touchdowns, and 45 rushing yards (including a single run of at least 20 yards) in three of his last four games.
    15. Andy Dalton: Gun shy? He is completing just 51 percent of his passes following a multi-interception game since the beginning of last season.
    16. Blake Bortles: His passing yardage and touchdown-to-interception ratio have improved in back-to-back weeks, not a bad trajectory considering that only two defenses have allowed more passing yards and a higher completion percentage against than the Cowboys.
    17. Kyle Orton: The Chiefs are looking for a sweep of the AFC East (currently 3-0, outscoring the opponent by an average of 20 points) and have been limiting quarterbacks along the way to just 5.96 yards per pass attempt.
    18. Alex Smith: He has nine touchdowns and zero interception to go along with a 74.8 completion rate in Kansas City’s five victories this season.
    19. Josh McCown: Completed 67.9 percent of his passes in home games prior to being injured. Vincent Jackson (8 catches on 16 targets for 87 yards) and Mike Evans (9 catches on 14 targets for 86 yards) were essentially the exact same player in those two contests.
    20. Derek Carr: Well, at least there is volume here: his 95 pass attempts over the last two weeks ranks second to none.
    21. Eli Manning: His pass attempt total was greater than his completion percentage last week against a Colts defense that was licking their wounds from Ben Roethlisberger lighting them up for 522 yards and six touchdowns.
    22. Brian Hoyer: It hasn’t always been pretty, but he is averaging 10.13 yards per pass attempt and has yet to through an interception this season in three divisional games.
    23. Mark Sanchez: Nick Foles had completed a pass of at least 50 yards in eight of his last 16 regular season games.In Sanchez’s 2011 breakout campaign (can we even call it that?) the deep ball (passes thrown at least 20 yards down the field) was not in his repertoire. He tallied fewer yards on such passes than Tim Tebow (yea, that Tim Tebow) and completed a lower percentage of his bombs than Tavaris Jackson and Rex Grossman.
    24. Michael Vick: His value last week was enhanced a bit from a 75 percent completion rate. The starting quarterback’s completion percentage against the Steelers at home has dropped with each passing week this season.

    FLEX (1-15)FLEX (16-30)FLEX (31-45)FLEX (46-60)
    DeMarco Murray (RB - 1)Alshon Jeffery (WR - 9)Steven Jackson (RB - 14)Odell Beckham Jr. (WR - 28)
    Marshawn Lynch (RB - 2)Jeremy Maclin (WR - 10)Marques Colston (WR - 18)Brandin Cooks (WR - 29)
    Demaryius Thomas (WR - 1)Justin Forsett (RB - 8)Golden Tate (WR - 19)Martavis Bryant (WR - 30)
    LeSean McCoy (RB - 3)Kelvin Benjamin (WR - 11)Larry Fitzgerald (WR - 20)Chris Ivory (RB - 19)
    Matt Forte (RB - 4)Mark Ingram (RB - 9)Bobby Rainey (RB - 15)Michael Crabtree (WR - 31)
    Antonio Brown (WR - 2)A.J. Green (WR - 12)Rueben Randle (WR - 21)Andre Holmes (WR - 32)
    Brandon Marshall (WR - 3)Jeremy Hill (RB - 10)Joique Bell (RB - 16)Justin Hunter (WR - 33)
    Jordy Nelson (WR - 4)Sammy Watkins (WR - 13)Percy Harvin (WR - 22)Dwayne Bowe (WR - 34)
    Julio Jones (WR - 5)Mike Evans (WR - 14)Mike Wallace (WR - 23)Bishop Sankey (RB - 20)
    Le'Veon Bell (RB - 5)Ronnie Hillman (RB - 11)Eric Decker (WR - 24)Andrew Hawkins (WR - 35)
    Jamaal Charles (RB - 6)Emmanuel Sanders (WR - 15)Anquan Boldin (WR - 25)Mohamed Sanu (WR - 36)
    Andre Ellington (RB - 7)Denard Robinson (RB - 12)Roddy White (WR - 26)Lamar Miller (RB - 21)
    Calvin Johnson (WR - 6)Eddie Lacy (RB - 13)Frank Gore (RB - 17)Torrey Smith (WR - 37)
    Randall Cobb (WR - 7)Allen Robinson (WR - 16)Terrance West (RB - 18)Terrance Williams (WR - 38)
    Dez Bryant (WR - 8)Steve Smith Sr. (WR - 17)Vincent Jackson (WR - 27)Darren McFadden (RB - 22)

    1. DeMarco Murray: He is averaging 4.08 yards per carry against the NFC West and 5.67 against the rest of the NFL.
    2. Marshawn Lynch: He may not get much love for his explosive nature, but Beast Mode has quietly recorded a 25 yard rush OR a ten-plus yard reception AND a ten-plus yard rush in all eight games this season (did so just six times all of last season).
    3. Demaryius Thomas: What exactly is the downside here? He’s tallied at least 17.2 PPR points in six of the last seven weeks, averaging 22.7 PPR points over that stretch.
    4. LeSean McCoy: He has touched the ball at least 24 times in four straight contests, but he has not scored once. He had four 24-plus touch games with zero TDs all of last season. Trust the volume and the skill, the Fantasy production will follow.
    5. Matt Forte: Since the beginning of last season, he is averaging 169 total yards and 1.33 touchdowns against the Packers, including a 28.9 PPR point performance following Chicago’s 2013 bye.
    6. Antonio Brown: Running out of things to say about this guy. He has notched 114 catches for 1,690 yards and 13 touchdowns over his last 16 games.
    7. Brandon Marshall: He is averaging just 4.15 receiving yards per target over his last two games, only 52.2 percent of his total from a year ago. The target count over that stretch has remained constant … be patient.
    8. Jordy Nelson: Who does Rodgers trust when he needs a big play? Well, 60 percent of Nelson’s receptions this year have come when the Packers trail, a high rate when you consider that Green Bay owns a 5-3 record.
    9. Julio Jones: Fun fact: while it is accepted that Matty Ice and this passing game struggles on the road, two-thirds of Jones’ touchdowns have come away from Atlanta over the past 2.5 seasons. Another fun fact? His real first name is Quintorres.
    10. Le’Veon Bell: Did you know that he has run more pass routes than Mike Wallace this season? Or that he has caught more balls despite running 66 fewer routes than Jeremy Maclin? Yes, I think you can overlook a Week 9 performance with 10 carries and just 20 yards.
    11. Jamaal Charles: He has scored a touchdown and recorded multiple catches in 16 of his last 21 games, including three straight.
    12. Andre Ellington: For the first time since Week 2, he averaged more than 3.68 yards per carry last Sunday against a Dallas defense that ranks ahead of this week’s opponent (St. Louis) is all rushing metrics.
    13. Calvin Johnson: Each team’s top wide receiver facing the Dolphins has been targeted at least nine times and an average of 11.3 times in games over the last month.
    14. Randall Cobb: Five consecutive divisional wins with a touchdown when Aaron Rodgers is under center.
    15. Dez Bryant: Has scored a touchdown or been targeted 10 times in eight straight and 14 of his last 15.
    16. Alshon Jeffery: Nine different pass-catchers over their last three games have recorded at least one reception of 20-plus yards against the Packers and Jeffery has a 20-plus yard catch in 11 of his last 13 games.
    17. Jeremy Maclin: Remember when he was an emerging star in 2012? He had seven touchdowns and zero receptions of at least 50 yards that year … he already has eight and four this season! The loss of Nick Foles is going to hurt him long-term, but it may not this week, as the Panthers rank below league average in pass rush and grade out as the third worst secondary in pass coverage.
    18. Justin Forsett: Lorenzo Taliferro lost a costly fumble and Bernard Pierce recorded one look (targets-plus-carries) while Forsett led the team in receiving yards and was second in receptions/targets. There aren’t 10 backs in the league with as high a projected touch percentage as Forsett from this point forward, not a bad outlook when you consider that the Titans have allowed four versatile running backs to combine for six touchdowns this season.
    19. Kelvin Benjamin: The rookie has scored in all four of his road games, a nice trend considering that the Eagles have not only allowed the opposing WR1 to lead his team in receiving yards, but also average seven catches for 95 yards and one touchdown in their last three home games.
    20. Mark Ingram: We think of home field advantage as a big-plus for the Saints’ aerial attack, but it’s worth noting that their lead back is averaging 6.4 yards per carry in New Orleans since the beginning of last season. He is also averaging 117 yards and has scored seven touchdowns in games that he has recorded at least 14 touches over that span.
    21. A.J. Green: Remember when another elite pass-catcher was coming back slowly from an injury, one that is his quarterback’s unquestioned top option? Rob Gronkowski saw a low snap count in the beginning, but was targeted in the red zone until he felt comfortable expanding his workload. Well, Green found paydirt in his first game back while playing in roughly 55 percent of the snaps he normally does.
    22. Jeremy Hill: Why start Bernard if you’re the Bengals in this one? Hill looked great last week against a statistically better run defense in Jacksonville and gets a Browns defense that has given up 333 total yards to starting running backs over the last three weeks. That total isn’t overwhelming, but it has come against Denard Robinson, Darren McFadden, and Bobby Rainey.
    23. Sammy Watkins: His aDOT (average depth of target) over the last four games is 18 percent greater than the first four games. The big play upside is nice, but a bit dangerous against a defense that is allowing fewer than 2.5 pass plays per game of at least 20 yards.
    24. Mike Evans: Very quietly is averaging more targets per game than Randall Cobb. Despite having his bye, no receiver has a higher aDOT and more touchdowns since Week 4. He has opened his season (and career) with seven straight games of at least four receptions … matching the career best of one Calvin Johnson when it comes to beginning a campaign.
    25. Ronnie Hillman: Four straight games with at least 115 total yards or multiple touchdowns, twice as many as Montee Ball (groin) has in his career.
    26. Emmanuel Sanders: At least 100 yards receiving in five different games this season, the same number of games that the Packers have had a receiver reach triple-digits.
    27. Denard Robinson: Not one running back in football has at least as many rushing touchdowns and rushing yards over the last three weeks. The opponents’ starting running back has totaled 44 touches for 219 yards and two scores against the Cowboys over the last two weeks.
    28. Eddie Lacy: Subtract a game against the Dolphins in which Aaron Rodgers, James Starks, and John Kuhn combined for 19 carries, and Lacy is averaging 5.8 yards per carry and nearly five catches over his last three. The volume of carries may not be what it once was, but there are signs of life that should be taken seriously as the weather begins to turn.
    29. Allen Robinson: Emmanuel Sanders and Jeremy Maclin are the only two more heavily targeted receivers with equal or fewer dropped passes this season.
    30. Steve Smith Sr.: Has scored three touchdowns in his four home games this season, hauling in a pass of at least 49 yards on three separate occasions.
    31. Steven Jackson: He recorded a season-high 18 carries in Week 8 despite facing an elite run defense. Over the past two seasons, the veteran has scored nine of his 10 rushing touchdowns in the second half of the season.
    32. Marques Colston: Oddly enough, his snap percentage is trending upward in home games and downward in road games. He has also burned San Francisco for at least 13 PPR points in each of the last two meeting in New Orleans.
    33. Golden Tate: Andre Holmes and Randall Cobb are the only WR2 to score against Miami this season. They boast an average size of 6’2” 201 pounds, not all that different than Tate’s 5’10” 195 pound frame.
    34. Larry Fitzgerald: At least one 20 yard reception in five of his last six games and a 20 yard reception or a touchdown in seven straight home games. The Rams have allowed nearly 14 percent of completed passes go for at least 20 yards, including four different pass catches over the last two weeks against two of the least threatening down-the-field offenses in Kansas City and San Francisco (a total of two 40-plus yard pass plays this season).
    35. Bobby Rainey: The Buccaneers may not want him to win the job, but they can’t deny their most productive back. With Doug Martin battling an ankle injury and Charles Sims still waiting in the wings, Rainey’s versatile skill set has thrived with volume (6.1 yards per touch in games with double digit touches).
    36. Rueben Randle: There are four receivers averaging more targets per game and a higher aDOT since Week 3 than Randle, maybe you’ve heard of them: Jeremy Maclin, Julio Jones, Vincent Jackson, and Emmanuel Sanders.
    37. Joique Bell: Detroit running backs have totaled 255 yards on 47 carries the last two seasons following the bye.
    38. Percy Harvin: He has been looked at (targets in the passing game plus rushing attempts) 27 times in his two games as a member of the Jets (26 in his final month in Seattle). Harvin is averaging a shade under 20 PPR points following a 100 yard receiving effort.
    39. Mike Wallace: Inner DeSean Jackson? His aDOT over the last two weeks is 23.6, a trend that has resulted in him catching just five of 15 balls thrown his direction by a quarterback who is playing well. He also has failed to score in back-to-back games and has yet to top the 81 receiving yards he had on opening day.
    40. Eric Decker: He battled a hamstring injury early in the season, but since regaining health in Week 4, only Dez Bryant, Demaryius Thomas, and Antonio Brown have more targets and more touchdowns.
    41. It may not be spectacular production, but Boldin has been reliable. Photo: Daniel Hartwig https://www.flickr.com/people/dwhartwig/

      It may not be spectacular production, but Boldin has been reliable. Photo: Daniel Hartwig

      Anquan Boldin: He has led his team in receiving yards or targets in five straight games.

    42. Roddy White: Not only did his first career DNP come against the Buccaneers, he has managed just 135 receiving yards against this franchise over the last 2.5 seasons.
    43. Frank Gore: He has struggled of late (118 total yards in the last three weeks after back-to-back triple digit rushing efforts), but how much of that is the opponent? In games not against the Rams or Top 5 run defenses (in terms of yard per carry), the veteran is averaging 5.0 yards per carry.
    44. Terrance West: The Browns rank in the top half of the league in run-blocking while the Bengals rank as a Bottom 5 defense in all metrics when it comes to defending the run. West has 100 rushing yards or a touchdown in all four games this season when he has been trusted with at least 10 touches.
    45. Vincent Jackson: The inaccuracy of Buccaneer quarterbacks is destroying the veteran receiver’s typically consistent Fantasy production. He has caught 50 percent of fewer of the balls thrown his way six times this season, resulting in him having 22 fewer catches than Julian Edelman despite the same number of targets.
    46. Odell Beckham Jr.: 2. That is the number of offensive plays (out of 145) the Giants have run over the last two weeks with ODB on the sideline.
    47. Brandin Cooks: Owns the lowest aDOT of any player with at least 33 catches this season, a valuable role to possess against the defense that has allowed the fewest 20-yard pass plays and ranks third in yards allowed per pass attempt.
    48. Martavis Bryant: I’m selling high on him … but maybe after this week. No defense in the league allows quarterbacks to record a higher rating than the Jets and, if you haven’t noticed, a red hot Ben Roethlisberger has helped Bryant have strong value.
    49. Chris Ivory: He was on the field for a season-low 24.3 percent of the offensive snaps last week, but he should still be considered the short-yardage option in a very limited Jets’ offense. It’s possible the volume of attempts varies from week-to-week, but the goal line duty is what I’m targeting in Week 10 as only the Saints have allowed more rushing touchdowns on fewer carries.
    50. Michael Crabtree: Despite his size, Crabtree continues to be used more as a short-yardage receiver, as his aDOT (8.3) once again reflects the Niners lack of trust down the field. That normally wouldn’t be an issue, but he plays alongside a receiver who is better at that in Anquan Boldin.
    51. Andre Holmes: He is averaging 69 yards per game and has scored three of his four touchdowns at home this season (69 yards is his best road game this year).
    52. Justin Hunter: Impossible to love him in any one game, but he is the Titans’ clear deep threat (his aDOT is 29.3 percent higher than any teammate) and the Ravens have given up the fourth most pass plays over 20 yards.
    53. Dwayne Bowe: It blows my mind that no Chiefs WR has scored this season, but Bowe has the best chance, as he has caught at least five balls in three straight games, his longest streak since Weeks 2-5 in 2012.
    54. Bishop Sankey: With 56.6 percent of his touches this season coming in his last three games, there is volume potential here, but even a heavy workload may not be enough to put him in anything but a desperate lineup, as the Ravens have allowed 166 yards over the last two weeks on 59 carries (2.8 yards per carry). The rookie is talented, but Le’Veon Bell and Giovani Bernard were shut down over those last two weeks, two players that are in another stratosphere in terms of ability at this point.
    55. Andrew Hawkins: A risky play as he battles a few nagging injuries, plays on Thursday night, and has seen only one increase in target total all season long.
    56. Mohamed Sanu: For the fourth consecutive week, his snap percentage dropped. His Fantasy owners have been bailed out, however, as he has caught a pass of at least 30 yards in five straight. That is a dangerous way to live with A.J. Green back and Andy Dalton ranking as the 21st most accurate deep ball thrower this season.
    57. Lamar Miller: Five touchdowns in his last five games after scoring three times in his first 32 games.
    58. Torrey Smith: He has found the endzone in three straight games in which he has recorded a target, but the downside is still steep, as he has as many games with 10 or fewer yards as he does games with more than 55 yards.
    59. Terrance Williams: He has totaled just seven catches in his last four games that were not played on extended rest.
    60. Darren McFadden: He has touched the ball 123 times this season but has just two plays of more than 17 yards (for reference, Blake Bortles has two carries of over 20 yards this season).

    Tight Ends (1-4)Tight Ends (5-8)Tight Ends (9-12)Tight Ends (13-16)
    Jimmy GrahamDelanie WalkerLarry DonnellScott Chandler
    Martellus BennettVernon DavisZach ErtzCharles Clay
    Greg OlsenJason WittenMychal RiveraHeath Miller
    Julius ThomasOwen DanielsTravis KelceEric Ebron

    1. Jimmy Graham: His snap count rose for a third consecutive week. He managed to finish Week 9 as the third highest scoring tight end despite playing well below his normal snap percentage and opposing a defense that ranks above average in limiting tight end Fantasy production.
    2. Martellus Bennett: His PPR Fantasy production has increased when having extended rest in all three instances since last season (he recorded 22.4 points in his last game with plus rest).
    3. Greg Olsen: He is averaging 6.5 catches for 78 yards in the six games in which the Panthers have scored at least 17 points: the Eagles have allowed at least 17 points in seven of eight games this season.
    4. Julius Thomas: Is he Vernon Davis? That’s not a bad thing, but he seems to be assuming a touchdown dependant niche (22.7 percent of his catches over the last 1.5 seasons), a role that comes with far greater downside than a player considered elite should have.
    5. Delanie Walker: No Titan has led the team in receiving yardage more often than Walker this season, a positive trend when you consider that the leader in receiving yards has averaged 106.2 yards and scored three times in the last five games against the Ravens.
    6. Vernon Davis: Rob Gronkowski totaled 25.5 PPR points last week. Another way to phrase that: “Rob Gronkowski totaled 1.8 more PPR points last week than Vernon Davis has since Week 3”.
    7. Jason Witten: At least five targets and a 20-yard reception in four of his last five.
    8. Owen Daniels: Returned to the field in Week 9 and ran the second most routes of the season, a role that resulted in his second consecutive six-catch performance.
    9. Larry Donnell: Averaging 16.9 PPR points in games in which he is targeted at least three times.
    10. Zach Ertz: Only the elite Jimmy Graham has been able to hurt this Panthers defense from the TE position. Ertz isn’t Graham and he hasn’t had more than 48 yards since Week 2.
    11. Mychal Rivera: As mentioned, it is quantity not quality in Oakland these days. Rivera is tied with Gronkowski for the TE lead in targets over the last two weeks (19) and ranks behind only Gronk in receptions (15) and touchdowns (2).
    12. Travis Kelce: Well defined role fits offense well: his 5.8 aDOT indicates that he is not running far down field, but Alex Smith (lowest aDOT among qualified quarterbacks) doesn’t need a gunner.
    13. Scott Chandler: It hasn’t been exciting, but he averaged 9.4 PPR points per game in October.
    14. Charles Clay: He was a targets play last year (six-plus targets in 13 games last season) and had eight on Sunday while running more routes than he did in any October game.
    15. Heath Miller: Remember his 7-112-1 stat line against the Colts or his 10-85-1 against the Bucs? Try to forget it. He has just 18 catches for 204 yards and 0 touchdowns in the other seven games this season.
    16. Eric Ebron: Only six tight ends have more catches and a higher aDOT than the Lions rookie.

    Seattlevs NYG
    Arizonavs STL
    Denver@ OAK
    Cincinnativs CLE
    Pittsburgh@ NYJ
    Baltimorevs TEN
    Dallas@ JAX
    Detriotvs MIA
    Buffalovs KC
    Kansas City@ BUF

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