Popular Features

  • Final Countdown: The Best Fantasy Football Sleepers In 2019
    August 22, 2019
    Final Countdown: The Best Fantasy Football Sleepers In 2019

    Final Countdown: The Best Fantasy Football Sleepers In 2019 The final countdown for the start of the 2019 NFL season has begun. We are less than two weeks from the kick-off of the season and more importantly, we are heading into the biggest fantasy football draft weekend of the year. Over the next 10 days, there…

  • Davis Mattek analyzes all of the NFL week three preseason action and comes away with 32 actionable fantasy football takeaways for fantasy football players.
    August 26, 2019
    32 Things To Learn For Fantasy Football From Week Three Preseason NFL

    32 Things To Learn For Fantasy Football From Week Three Preseason NFL All of the “serious” preseason football has been played; we aren’t going to see anymore starting players on the field after week three preseason games. The to-the-decimal projections here on RotoExperts have continued to be updated to the meaningful playing time shifts from preseason…

  • FANTASY FOOTBALL WAIVER WIRE premium
    September 9, 2019
    Week 2 Fantasy Football Waiver Wire: John Ross, Raheem Mostert And More

    Week 2 Fantasy Football Waiver Wire: John Ross, Raheem Mostert And More (Most) of Week One is in the books! Things went rather well for RotoExperts subscribers as Malcolm Brown, Sammy Watkins and Lamar Jackson had amazing days to set themselves up for success for the rest of the year. Of course, fantasy football is never…

  • FANTASY FOOTBALL WAIVER WIRE
    August 29, 2019
    My Guys: Top Fantasy Football Targets For Every Draft And Format

    My Guys: Top Fantasy Football Targets For Every Draft And Format Fantasy football draft season has come and is now rapidly running away from us. Labor Day weekend is when a vast majority of the fantasy football drafts take place in the United States but I have already been through the wringer of more than…

  • Buffalo Bills and the Josh Allen Dilemma
    August 20, 2019
    Buffalo Bills and the Josh Allen Dilemma

    Buffalo Bills and the Josh Allen Dilemma: A Fan’s Plea For A High Variance Offense I’ve been meaning to write this article for a while, and it’s difficult to tell where to start. I think the best place is my feelings about Josh Allen when he was first drafted.  I was upset. I thought it…

  • Ten Bold Fantasy Football Predictions For The 2019 Fantasy Football Season
    August 30, 2019
    Ten Bold Fantasy Football Predictions For The 2019 Fantasy Football Season

    Ten Bold Fantasy Football Predictions For The 2019 Fantasy Football Season Bold predictions are exactly what they sound like: bold. By having defined ideas about how the fantasy football season might go, you can actually make better fantasy teams. If you draft every team with the same vision in your projections as to how the…

  • How To Approach Josh Gordon In Fantasy Football
    August 20, 2019
    How To Approach Josh Gordon In Fantasy Football

    How To Approach Josh Gordon In Fantasy Football It actually happened! After taking an aggressive stance on Josh Gordon in the DRAFT Best Ball championship and in other league formats, Gordon has been reinstated by the league and returned to the New England Patriots organization. Of course, this is not the first time that Josh…

  • 32 Things To Learn For Fantasy Football From Week Two Preseason NFL
    August 19, 2019
    32 Things To Learn For Fantasy Football From Week Two Preseason NFL

    32 Things To Learn For Fantasy Football From Week Two Preseason NFL Preseason continues to matters for those who are serious about winning their fantasy football leagues. Not every team flashed their true colors in week two preseason action but there was plenty to take away from a fantasy football context. The to-the-decimal projections here…

  • Fantasy Football Auction Strategy In Action: The RotoWire Pentathlon Experts League
    August 28, 2019
    Fantasy Football Auction Strategy In Action: The Pentathlon Experts League

    Fantasy Football Auction Strategy In Action: The Pentathlon Experts League Fantasy football auctions are pretty drastically different than a standard snake draft. Obviously, instead of drafting players in sequential order, fantasy football managers are given a fake budget (usually $200 “dollars”) in which to complete their starting roster and bench spots. There are many different…

  • Final Countdown: The Biggest Fantasy Football BUSTS Of 2019
    August 23, 2019
    Final Countdown: The Biggest Fantasy Football BUSTS Of 2019

    Final Countdown: The Biggest Fantasy Football BUSTS Of 2019 You have waded through all the articles and research. You read The Perfect Draft for your draft selection, you printed out your customizable cheat sheet using the best projections and rankings in the fantasy football industry and you are ready to absolutely crush your league using the ULTIMATE…

Week One NFL Sports Betting Lines

Week One NFL Sports Betting Lines
Davis Mattek May 15, 2019 1:34PM EDT

A Glance At Week One NFL Sports Betting Lines

It is never to early to start trying to find an edge for NFL Sports Betting lines. Most sportsbooks have released their Week One NFL Sports Betting lines and using SportsGrid’s head statisticians’ model, we are going to take a look and see if there are any profitable Week One NFL sports betting lines.

Week One NFL Sports Betting Model Picks

Week One NFL Sports Betting Lines 1

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Tennessee Titans +5 @ Cleveland Browns

This line is fairly clearly based off of public positive sentiment towards the Cleveland Browns. They traded for Odell Beckham, Baker Mayfield is popular on social media and in general, the public is now Pro-Browns. However, the reality is that these teams are likely not five points off in true talent level. The Browns gained 5.8 yards per play last season and the Titans gained 5.3 while using Blaine Gabbert more than any NFL team should. The average Titans drive produced slightly more points than the average Browns drive. While Marcus Mariota is healthy, these teams project close enough that all three betting models point in favor of the Titans being able to cover five points on the road in Cleveland.

Arizona Cardinals PK @ Detroit Lions

Of all of these bets, this is the one I am most likely to tie my money into while the game is months away. The Detriot Lions are the exact opposite of an inspiring team. Detroit gave up the ninth most net adjusted yards per pass attempt on defense last season and we know that the Arizona Cardinals are going to be throwing early and often. The additions of Kyler Murray, Andy Isabella, Hakeem Butler, and KeeSean Johnson is going to give the Arizona offense a much different dynamic then they had last season. No team ran more in between the tackles runs than the Cardinals last season despite how bad their team was. That is a stat that will not repeat in 2019 as the Cardinals run 90% of their offense out of the shotgun. I’m quite confident that the model is right in this selection in taking the Cardinals as a PK at home.

Los Angeles Chargers -3 vs Indianapolis Colts

Much like the Browns, the Colts have become a public darling over the course of the offseason. The job that Chris Ballard has done with the Colts roster is rather admirable but the Los Angeles Chargers are even better. The Chargers are tied for the second-best record by Las Vegas over/unders, gained the third most yards per play of any team in the NFL in 2018 and scored the sixth most points. The Colts added Devin Funchess and rookie Parris Campbell to their WR corp but overall, their roster is just marginally better than the one that got smoked by the Chiefs in the playoffs last year. The betting model has LAC -3 as the pick in all three facets and I agree.

MATTEK PICK: Denver Broncos +2.5 vs Oakland Raiders

This is where the good stuff happens! The model has the Raiders as the correct pick as a favorite against Denver on the road in Mile High but I am not buying it. The Broncos are historically successful at home to begin the year thanks to their altitude advantage. Per Justis Mosqueda, Since the AFL-NFL merger the Denver Broncos are 49-8-2 at home in games during the first two weeks of the season. The massive home advantage the Broncos generate due to training at altitude and playing their home games at altitude is almost immeasurable. Improved roster or not, this is a very tough spot for the Raiders and I am going the opposite way of the model.

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Popular Features

  • Final Countdown: The Best Fantasy Football Sleepers In 2019
    August 22, 2019
    Final Countdown: The Best Fantasy Football Sleepers In 2019

    Final Countdown: The Best Fantasy Football Sleepers In 2019 The final countdown for the start of the 2019 NFL season has begun. We are less than two weeks from the kick-off of the season and more importantly, we are heading into the biggest fantasy football draft weekend of the year. Over the next 10 days, there…

  • Davis Mattek analyzes all of the NFL week three preseason action and comes away with 32 actionable fantasy football takeaways for fantasy football players.
    August 26, 2019
    32 Things To Learn For Fantasy Football From Week Three Preseason NFL

    32 Things To Learn For Fantasy Football From Week Three Preseason NFL All of the “serious” preseason football has been played; we aren’t going to see anymore starting players on the field after week three preseason games. The to-the-decimal projections here on RotoExperts have continued to be updated to the meaningful playing time shifts from preseason…

  • FANTASY FOOTBALL WAIVER WIRE premium
    September 9, 2019
    Week 2 Fantasy Football Waiver Wire: John Ross, Raheem Mostert And More

    Week 2 Fantasy Football Waiver Wire: John Ross, Raheem Mostert And More (Most) of Week One is in the books! Things went rather well for RotoExperts subscribers as Malcolm Brown, Sammy Watkins and Lamar Jackson had amazing days to set themselves up for success for the rest of the year. Of course, fantasy football is never…

  • FANTASY FOOTBALL WAIVER WIRE
    August 29, 2019
    My Guys: Top Fantasy Football Targets For Every Draft And Format

    My Guys: Top Fantasy Football Targets For Every Draft And Format Fantasy football draft season has come and is now rapidly running away from us. Labor Day weekend is when a vast majority of the fantasy football drafts take place in the United States but I have already been through the wringer of more than…

  • Buffalo Bills and the Josh Allen Dilemma
    August 20, 2019
    Buffalo Bills and the Josh Allen Dilemma

    Buffalo Bills and the Josh Allen Dilemma: A Fan’s Plea For A High Variance Offense I’ve been meaning to write this article for a while, and it’s difficult to tell where to start. I think the best place is my feelings about Josh Allen when he was first drafted.  I was upset. I thought it…

  • Ten Bold Fantasy Football Predictions For The 2019 Fantasy Football Season
    August 30, 2019
    Ten Bold Fantasy Football Predictions For The 2019 Fantasy Football Season

    Ten Bold Fantasy Football Predictions For The 2019 Fantasy Football Season Bold predictions are exactly what they sound like: bold. By having defined ideas about how the fantasy football season might go, you can actually make better fantasy teams. If you draft every team with the same vision in your projections as to how the…

  • How To Approach Josh Gordon In Fantasy Football
    August 20, 2019
    How To Approach Josh Gordon In Fantasy Football

    How To Approach Josh Gordon In Fantasy Football It actually happened! After taking an aggressive stance on Josh Gordon in the DRAFT Best Ball championship and in other league formats, Gordon has been reinstated by the league and returned to the New England Patriots organization. Of course, this is not the first time that Josh…

  • 32 Things To Learn For Fantasy Football From Week Two Preseason NFL
    August 19, 2019
    32 Things To Learn For Fantasy Football From Week Two Preseason NFL

    32 Things To Learn For Fantasy Football From Week Two Preseason NFL Preseason continues to matters for those who are serious about winning their fantasy football leagues. Not every team flashed their true colors in week two preseason action but there was plenty to take away from a fantasy football context. The to-the-decimal projections here…

  • Fantasy Football Auction Strategy In Action: The RotoWire Pentathlon Experts League
    August 28, 2019
    Fantasy Football Auction Strategy In Action: The Pentathlon Experts League

    Fantasy Football Auction Strategy In Action: The Pentathlon Experts League Fantasy football auctions are pretty drastically different than a standard snake draft. Obviously, instead of drafting players in sequential order, fantasy football managers are given a fake budget (usually $200 “dollars”) in which to complete their starting roster and bench spots. There are many different…

  • Final Countdown: The Biggest Fantasy Football BUSTS Of 2019
    August 23, 2019
    Final Countdown: The Biggest Fantasy Football BUSTS Of 2019

    Final Countdown: The Biggest Fantasy Football BUSTS Of 2019 You have waded through all the articles and research. You read The Perfect Draft for your draft selection, you printed out your customizable cheat sheet using the best projections and rankings in the fantasy football industry and you are ready to absolutely crush your league using the ULTIMATE…