Popular Features

  • Week Twelve Fantasy Football Waiver Wire premium
    November 18, 2019
    Week Twelve Fantasy Football Waiver Wire: Nyheim Hines, Noah Fant And More

    Week Twelve Fantasy Football Waiver Wire: Nyheim Hines, Noah Fant, And More This has really been one of the worst seasons that I can remember in terms of true difference-making fantasy football waiver wire additions. There have been a few running backs like Wayne Gallman and Jaylen Samuels who were great one week fill-ins but failed…

  • Week Nine Fantasy Football Waiver Wire premium
    October 28, 2019
    Week Eight Fantasy Football Waiver Wire: Josh Reynolds, Chris Conley And More

    Week Nine Fantasy Football Waiver Wire: Josh Reynolds, Chris Conley, And More Ty Johnson forced many of us to tear our hair out after seeing only 10 rushes and four targets in his debut as a “starter.” We say “starter” because he did not, in fact, start for the Lions. There were some intriguing elements to…

  • Week Ten Fantasy Football Waiver Wire premium
    November 4, 2019
    Week Ten Fantasy Football Waiver Wire: Zach Pascal, Mike Gesicki And More

    Week Ten Fantasy Football Waiver Wire: Zach Pascal, Mike Gesicki And More With no major running back injuries, this is a pretty low key week on the waiver wire. There are a few interesting wide receiver and tight end options that could wind up in your starting lineup over the next few weeks but without…

  • Week Nine Fantasy Football Workshop premium
    October 29, 2019
    The Week Nine Fantasy Football Workshop: Rest Of Season Updates, Trade Targets And Adjustments

    Week Nine Fantasy Football Workshop: Rest Of Season Updates, Trade Targets And Adjustments Every week, after the Monday Night Football game commences, fantasy football players get down to the important work: updating rankings, making Waiver Wire bids, altering projections and figuring out injury news. We are now seven weeks into the NFL season. Like many of…

  • Week Eleven Fantasy Football Waiver Wire premium
    November 11, 2019
    Week Eleven Fantasy Football Waiver Wire: Brian Hill, J.D McKissic And More

    Week Eleven Fantasy Football Waiver Wire: Brian Hill, J.D McKissic And More This has really been one of the worst seasons that I can remember in terms of true difference-making waiver wire additions. There have been a few running backs like Wayne Gallman and Jaylen Samuels who were great one week fill-ins but failed to make…

  • Week 12 Fantasy Football Start/Sit
    October 30, 2019
    Week Nine Fantasy Football Streamers: QB, TE, K And DST

    Week Nine Fantasy Football Streamers: Quarterbacks, Kickers, And DST All offseason, we told you here at RotoExperts that you could find fantasy football streamers at quarterback, kicker, tight ends and defense/special teams. Of course, the implicit part of that agreement is that we would help you FIND said quarterbacks, kickers, tight ends and defenses! We…

  • The Week Ten Fantasy Football Workshop premium
    November 5, 2019
    The Week Ten Fantasy Football Workshop: Rest Of Season Updates, Trade Targets And Adjustments

    Week Ten Fantasy Football Workshop: Rest Of Season Updates, Trade Targets And Adjustments Every week, after the Monday Night Football game commences, fantasy football players get down to the important work: updating rankings, making Waiver Wire bids, altering projections and figuring out injury news. We are now seven weeks into the NFL season. Like many…

  • Week Ten Fantasy Football Streamers
    November 6, 2019
    Week Ten Fantasy Football Streamers: QB, TE, K And DST

    Week Ten Fantasy Football Streamers: Quarterbacks, Kickers, And DST All offseason, we told you here at RotoExperts that you could find fantasy football streamers at quarterback, kicker, tight ends and defense/special teams. Of course, the implicit part of that agreement is that we would help you FIND said quarterbacks, kickers, tight ends and defenses! We have…

  • Week Ten NFL Fantasy Football Start/Sit premium
    November 7, 2019
    AutoMattek Absolutes: Week Ten NFL Fantasy Football Start/Sits

    Week Ten NFL Fantasy Football Start/Sits: AutoMattek Absolutes By this point, you should probably have a pretty idea if your fantasy football team(s) is/are good or bad. My hope is that you have been reading these articles every week, following our rankings and projections and that you have a winning fantasy team. Nothing makes grinding through the…

  • Week 10 Fantasy Football Rankings
    November 7, 2019
    Week Ten Fantasy Football Rankings FREEBIE: Frank Stampfl Fantasy Football Rankings

    Week Ten Fantasy Football Rankings FREEBIE: Frank Stampfl Fantasy Football Rankings Make sure to use the RotoExperts Projections and Rankings to have your best lineups this week! It’s hard to believe but we’re already entering Week 10 of the Fantasy Football season. Enjoy it while you can! Well, it’s a little harder to enjoy it…

Week Seven NFL Sports Betting: Picks Against The Spread

Week Seven NFL Sports Betting: Picks Against The Spread
Davis Mattek October 18, 2019 3:08PM EST

Week Seven NFL Sports Betting: Picks Against The Spread

Another great NFL Sports Betting week for the RotoExperts/SportsGrid crew as we move to 10-8 on the year against the spread. After a few brutal weeks, it has been nice to put up a 5-1 record the last two with us leaning on the gift from gambling gods: Kyler Murray. Why Las Vegas has chosen to disrespect our diminutive god, I will never know but I am happy to keep getting plus numbers with Arizona at home or on the road. Home teams have been doing so poorly this year against the spread that it has just made it a little easier for me to follow the teams that I like when they happen to be playing on the road.

We moved to 10-8 against the spread on the year which is a step in the right direction but as always, let this article serve as a reminder to keep tailing the SportsGrid betting model and #TrustTheProcess.

Davis Mattek Record: 10-8 ATS

Week Seven NFL Sports Betting Picks

Los Angeles Chargers +2.5 or +3 (Depending on book)

So let me get this straight. The Tennessee Titans scored zero points last week, benched their quarterback mid-game (who continued scoring no points) and they are, FAVORED? I don’t care if Cardale Jones was the quarterback for the always disappointing Chargers, this is not a spot to be betting against them. The Chargers have been massive disappointments this season, sitting in the mid-’20s in the NFL in expected points, total team DVOA, defensive DVOA. Basically every important stat that a team can rank in, the Chargers aren’t very good in.

I am willing to forgive them this miserable six-game sample because I have a decade long sample of Phillip Rivers being better than Ryan Tannehill. Tannehill’s career adjusted yards per attempt is 6.7 over 2,900 passing attempts. Philip Rivers averages an entire more yards per adjusted attempt. That is really the sell of the bet right there. Even if the Titans have a better defense or a great, conservative game plan, it really should not matter when you see the obvious deficiency that they have at the quarterback position.

Arizona +3

Detriot Lions game? Cover.

Baltimore Ravens game? Cover.

Bengals game? Not only cover but outright WIN.

Atlanta Falcons game? Hilariously they were underdogs and of course, won outright.

While Las Vegas (or maybe just the world of sports gamblers) is not quite hip to Kyler Murray yet, those of us who have been wagering on the Cardinals know what he is showing. Arizona’s defense has been the second-worst in the league up to this point and if we had not just seen Daniel Jones fold like a bad poker hand against the Patriots, I may not be rushing to the betting window with my Cardinals slip but the fact is that the same error-prone Jones from Duke still exists.

While Jones flashed against the Bucs and Washington to start his NFL career, he is now looking like an actual rookie. And that is okay! It doesn’t mean he is trash or the franchise is ruined, it simply means that when he is playing against another good-to-great quarterback, he probably should not be favored by the entire three points. It is worth noting the Giants defense, outside of a stout showing against Washington and a random touchdown against the Patriots has been trounced by Dallas, Tampa Bay, Minnesota, and even Buffalo. The old school NFL bettors would HATE taking Arizona here but we are continuing our trend of taking the best quarterback.

 

Jacksonville -3.5

The Bengals, my friends, are not good. They are 0-6, ranked 29th in adjusted yards per pass attempt allowed, dead last in the NFL in yards per rush allowed and the average drive of another team against them nets 2.29 points. Without A.J Green and John Ross, Andy Dalton is having the worst season of his career with 6.4 yards per pass attempt. Seriously, look it up, Dalton is having the worst season of his rollercoaster career. Part of that can be blamed on Zac Taylor, part of it can be blamed on Dalton and on the front office for sticking him with one of the worst offensive lines in the NFL.

Jacksonville, on the other hand, is having a renaissance. They are top 10 in the NFL in yards per play and 12th in the NFL in yards per pass play. That is absolutely massive for a team that struggled on offense and had a defensive identity. What is impressive about the Jaguars record is that they have been able to hold their own with their defense not playing particularly well, ranking 24th in the NFL in expected points. With Gardner and the Jaguars, we have the better quarterback, likely the better coach/offensive coordinator duo and do not have to spend our Sunday rooting for Andy Dalton.

 

Access premium NFL coverage 365 days a year with the RotoExperts. Season Long Draft Kits. Fantasy Football Projections. Best Ball Coverage. Dynasty Rankings. NFL Draft Coverage. Expert Chat. Betting and much more. Save 10% when you use the promo AMICO at checkout. Learn More HERE.

 

Popular Features

  • Week Twelve Fantasy Football Waiver Wire premium
    November 18, 2019
    Week Twelve Fantasy Football Waiver Wire: Nyheim Hines, Noah Fant And More

    Week Twelve Fantasy Football Waiver Wire: Nyheim Hines, Noah Fant, And More This has really been one of the worst seasons that I can remember in terms of true difference-making fantasy football waiver wire additions. There have been a few running backs like Wayne Gallman and Jaylen Samuels who were great one week fill-ins but failed…

  • Week Nine Fantasy Football Waiver Wire premium
    October 28, 2019
    Week Eight Fantasy Football Waiver Wire: Josh Reynolds, Chris Conley And More

    Week Nine Fantasy Football Waiver Wire: Josh Reynolds, Chris Conley, And More Ty Johnson forced many of us to tear our hair out after seeing only 10 rushes and four targets in his debut as a “starter.” We say “starter” because he did not, in fact, start for the Lions. There were some intriguing elements to…

  • Week Ten Fantasy Football Waiver Wire premium
    November 4, 2019
    Week Ten Fantasy Football Waiver Wire: Zach Pascal, Mike Gesicki And More

    Week Ten Fantasy Football Waiver Wire: Zach Pascal, Mike Gesicki And More With no major running back injuries, this is a pretty low key week on the waiver wire. There are a few interesting wide receiver and tight end options that could wind up in your starting lineup over the next few weeks but without…

  • Week Nine Fantasy Football Workshop premium
    October 29, 2019
    The Week Nine Fantasy Football Workshop: Rest Of Season Updates, Trade Targets And Adjustments

    Week Nine Fantasy Football Workshop: Rest Of Season Updates, Trade Targets And Adjustments Every week, after the Monday Night Football game commences, fantasy football players get down to the important work: updating rankings, making Waiver Wire bids, altering projections and figuring out injury news. We are now seven weeks into the NFL season. Like many of…

  • Week Eleven Fantasy Football Waiver Wire premium
    November 11, 2019
    Week Eleven Fantasy Football Waiver Wire: Brian Hill, J.D McKissic And More

    Week Eleven Fantasy Football Waiver Wire: Brian Hill, J.D McKissic And More This has really been one of the worst seasons that I can remember in terms of true difference-making waiver wire additions. There have been a few running backs like Wayne Gallman and Jaylen Samuels who were great one week fill-ins but failed to make…

  • Week 12 Fantasy Football Start/Sit
    October 30, 2019
    Week Nine Fantasy Football Streamers: QB, TE, K And DST

    Week Nine Fantasy Football Streamers: Quarterbacks, Kickers, And DST All offseason, we told you here at RotoExperts that you could find fantasy football streamers at quarterback, kicker, tight ends and defense/special teams. Of course, the implicit part of that agreement is that we would help you FIND said quarterbacks, kickers, tight ends and defenses! We…

  • The Week Ten Fantasy Football Workshop premium
    November 5, 2019
    The Week Ten Fantasy Football Workshop: Rest Of Season Updates, Trade Targets And Adjustments

    Week Ten Fantasy Football Workshop: Rest Of Season Updates, Trade Targets And Adjustments Every week, after the Monday Night Football game commences, fantasy football players get down to the important work: updating rankings, making Waiver Wire bids, altering projections and figuring out injury news. We are now seven weeks into the NFL season. Like many…

  • Week Ten Fantasy Football Streamers
    November 6, 2019
    Week Ten Fantasy Football Streamers: QB, TE, K And DST

    Week Ten Fantasy Football Streamers: Quarterbacks, Kickers, And DST All offseason, we told you here at RotoExperts that you could find fantasy football streamers at quarterback, kicker, tight ends and defense/special teams. Of course, the implicit part of that agreement is that we would help you FIND said quarterbacks, kickers, tight ends and defenses! We have…

  • Week Ten NFL Fantasy Football Start/Sit premium
    November 7, 2019
    AutoMattek Absolutes: Week Ten NFL Fantasy Football Start/Sits

    Week Ten NFL Fantasy Football Start/Sits: AutoMattek Absolutes By this point, you should probably have a pretty idea if your fantasy football team(s) is/are good or bad. My hope is that you have been reading these articles every week, following our rankings and projections and that you have a winning fantasy team. Nothing makes grinding through the…

  • Week 10 Fantasy Football Rankings
    November 7, 2019
    Week Ten Fantasy Football Rankings FREEBIE: Frank Stampfl Fantasy Football Rankings

    Week Ten Fantasy Football Rankings FREEBIE: Frank Stampfl Fantasy Football Rankings Make sure to use the RotoExperts Projections and Rankings to have your best lineups this week! It’s hard to believe but we’re already entering Week 10 of the Fantasy Football season. Enjoy it while you can! Well, it’s a little harder to enjoy it…